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Jim Furtado
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Arbitration Newsbeat

Tuesday, October 06, 2015

Projected Arbitration Salaries For 2016

As explained here, Matt Swartz and MLB Trade Rumors have developed an accurate model to project arbitration salaries.  Many MLB teams and agencies reference our projections in their work.  You won’t find anything else like this on the Internet!  Click here to download an Excel spreadsheet with all the projected salaries.  The number in parentheses next to each player is his Major League service time (Years.Days) through 2015 (172 days constitutes a full year of Major League service, per the collective bargaining agreement).

Service time data, the Super Two cutoff, and the 2016 MLB minimum salary are not yet official or known.  We’re using 2.130 for the Super Two cutoff and $508K for the MLB minimum here.

Some interesting ones:
Aroldis Chapman $13M
Josh Donaldson $12M
Kanley Jansen $11.4M
Greg Holland $11.3M
Jake Arrieta $10.9M
Mark Trumbo $9.1M
Pedro Alvarez $8.7M
Dallas Keuchel $6.4M
Manny Machado $5.9M


RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 06, 2015 at 02:12 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: arbitration, mlb trade rumors

Monday, September 07, 2015

Kahrl: For Matt Harvey, October innings might last a lifetime

Kahrl suggests a way out of this mess.

Does that put him in danger? Yes and no. Pitching always puts a pitcher at risk. But an arm is not a gas tank, so let’s remember he isn’t gassed or running on empty. For that, you should credit the Mets for the care they have exercised in managing his workload this season. The Mets haven’t had him pitch on four days’ rest in consecutive turns since May. While he’s slightly better than the MLB average in pitches per batter faced (3.73 vs. 3.79), he’s averaging less than 100 pitches per start on the year and exactly 100 per start since the break. That care has paid off: He has easily been the Mets’ best starter since the break with a staff-best 1.67 ERA in eight starts.

That care seems to have created very little trust about what might happen going forward. Of course, on the team’s side of things, there’s an easy fix: Their shot at winning it all being so valuable, why not make Harvey an offer before he has to go through the unpleasantness of arbitration for the first time this winter? Just offer to buy out his arbitration years at the very least, perhaps more, Boras willing. Put enough money in Harvey’s pocket to protect against the risk to instead encourage him to embrace the possibilities of the present. Harvey’s already 26 years old, and he won’t reach free agency until after the 2018 season. His big shot at major money in the market is so far off that he’s reasonably concerned. Management’s responsibility to him? Allay those concerns.

JE (Jason) Posted: September 07, 2015 at 06:29 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: arbitration, innings limit, matt harvey, mets



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