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Wednesday, July 02, 2014

Signing Predictions For The Top 30 International Prospects

Today is International Signing Day, so consider this a thread for signings.

1. Adrian Rondon, ss, Dominican Republic

The combination of premium position, one of the most advanced game hitters on the market and projectable power from an athletic frame makes Rondon the No. 1 prospect for July 2. Or in Rondon’s case, July 7, which is his 16th birthday and the first date when he’s eligible to sign. With a price tag that figures to be in the neighborhood of $3 million, that means only a team with one of the biggest bonus pools or one that plans to ignore them completely is going to be able to get him. The Rays have scouted Rondon heavily and look prepared to shatter their international bonus pool and pay the maximum penalty to get him signed.

The Rays have indeed inked Rondon for $3.4 million.

John Sickels has a good thread with a summary of signings and bonus pools.


Friday, April 04, 2014

Baseball’s Best Farm Systems: How Much Do They Matter?

He found an effect similar to what Andrecheck observed: The best farm system was worth 41 more nonmarket WAR than the worst farm system over the subsequent five seasons.

But Swartz also underscored the risk involved in banking on prospects. A team’s organizational ranking didn’t explain anywhere near as much of its subsequent nonmarket WAR as its payroll explained its future auction-market WAR. Or, as Swartz wrote, “Payroll … can tell you about four times as much as about the difference between teams over the next five years as farm-system rankings can.”

 

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: April 04, 2014 at 02:38 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: baseball america

 

 

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