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Blue Jays Newsbeat

Sunday, April 06, 2014

Gregg Zaun isn’t afraid of ruffling a few feathers - The Globe and Mail

Ouch!

As far as the team not always playing the game the way it should be played, can you give an example of the Jays playing the wrong way?
The fact that a guy like Anthony Gose can’t [use his speed to hit] .300 speaks volumes to me about what’s going on in the minor leagues. The fact that he doesn’t spend an hour a day in the batting cage with a coach, whether it’s by his design or whether they have to grab him by his shirt collar. The Jays don’t draft well and they don’t develop players well. There’s a lack of accountability in this organization, from the top to the bottom.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 06, 2014 at 06:04 PM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Friday, April 04, 2014

Are Jays fans more drunk, boorish and entitled than ever?

The Royal Blue Hysteria…

But musician, author and Jays fan Dave Bidini suggests that over the last few years, the people filling the blue plastic seats are increasingly drunk, boorish and entitled. “Guys with reversed baseball caps with wrap-around sunglasses coming in from Oshawa or Whitby…who act like jerks and then leave”, is how the Etobicoke native describes the problematic fans responsible for “a lot of vomit, a lot fighting” in the stands. Bidini suggests the Jays’ own marketing is partly to blame for turning their home field into a “drunken destination point”. “Baseball, I think has become very anxious and neurotic in terms of their fanbase eroding or dying off. They’re trying to make it come across as a bit more of a young people’s sport.” Though not a problem exclusive to Toronto, Bidini feels the team is pushing the wrong elements of the ballpark atmosphere to line up with a younger, more party-oriented crowd: lots of contests, big screen displays, giant beers and women’s team shirts that declare “I <3 BJs”. Bidini is baffled by the level of drunkenness under the Dome, given the price of stadium beer. “It’s not a cheap drunk. Like, you’re blowing a hundred, 150 dollars.” He’s convinced the rowdy, young fans are people just passing through Toronto for the night or a weekend. “If you’re a kid living in the city, you don’t really have the disposable income to go down to a Jays game and drink 17 beers.” ...Bidini will on occasion challenge people he calls “ugly-minded fans”. He did at a game last spring, one he was enjoying with kids despite a couple guys blasting the home team through an 8-2 loss. Bidini says they were especially cruel to outfielder Rajai Davis, now with the Tigers. “Their behaviour was reprehensible. And it struck me as inherently racist because Rajai was the only black dude out on the field at the time and they were all over him.” Bidini says he told the bawdy fans the Jays were trying their best. Other people nearby supported him, trying to shout down the negativity of nasty fans.
Repoz Posted: April 04, 2014 at 05:21 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Thursday, April 03, 2014

Blue Jays players were willing to alter contracts to land Santana

It was as if the Toronto Blue Jays passed around a hat, trying to collect enough money to sign free-agent right-hander Ervin Santana.

Several Jays players discussed deferring portions of their salaries to clear payroll for Santana last month, according to major league sources.

The discussions, which apparently did not progress past the conversation stage, raise new questions about the Jays’ payroll flexibility for 2014.

Paul D(uda) Posted: April 03, 2014 at 11:39 PM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, ervin santana

Wednesday, March 26, 2014

Toronto Blue Jays’ Dustin McGowan wins a rotation spot as club sets opening-day roster

McGowan, 32, lost the better part of five years to shoulder injuries. Once a promising starter, he told management at the end of last season that he wanted to try to win a rotation job. But a 10-day bout with the flu seemed to knock him out of the running because he had not been stretched out enough to set himself up for that role.

He expected to wind up in the bullpen again. “It seemed like time was running short on me,” he said Thursday before learning of his new assignment.

But in his past two outings, he has thrown 48 and 62 pitches, and assuming no setbacks, management is betting that another start on Sunday will prepare him for the job.

The Jays will use an 8 man bullpen and Josh Thole beat out Erik Kratz to win the backup/knuckleball catcher job.

Good cripple hitter Posted: March 26, 2014 at 11:13 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, comebacks, dustin mcgowan

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Blue Jays drafting in the Anthopoulos era

Given the talk about the state of the franchise after the Santana nonsense, here’s another article pointing out some recent failures by the Blue Jays, this time in the draft.

The Blue Jays need to draft and develop talent successfully to drive winning at the major league level.  Alex Anthopoulos adopted this as a core belief and when he was hired as general manager he focused on improving the Jays drafting and player development.  How successful has this new approach been? AA has been on the job for just four years, which is too early to fully judge his drafts, but we can make some observations.


When Alex Anthopoulos was hired as general manager of the Blue Jays in 2009 he announced an increased focus on scouting and that included a rebuild of the amateur scouting department.  Jeff Blair, in his book Full Count, says one of AA’s first moves was to increase the size of the amateur scouting ranks from 28 to 54.  Today the website of the Blue Jays lists 23 US amateur scouts, 6 cross-checkers, two Canadian scouts and 12 international scouts.  I emailed the Jays Director of Amateur Scouting, Brian Parker, about the department size and he responded “I believe we still have the most full-time area scouts of any club in baseball.  I know the philosophy that Alex started back then of having smaller areas is something that we still believe in and follow with our current staff.   I truly believe it gives us an advantage.”

Paul D(uda) Posted: March 13, 2014 at 08:12 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, draft

Saturday, March 08, 2014

Blue Jays To Sign Ervin Santana

A pitcher with injury concerns signing with the Jays. What could go wrong?

The Blue Jays have agreed to terms with Ervin Santana on a one-year, $14MM deal, Dionisio Soldevila of ESPN Deportes tweets. Earlier in the day, Soldevila had reported that Santana would sign with an AL club for $14MM. Santana has until recently been represented by Proformance, although there have been recent reports about the possibility of Santana ending his relationship with that agency.

Santana pitched 211 innings with the Royals in 2013, posting a 3.24 ERA with 6.9 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9. After the season, he rejected a $14.1MM qualifying offer, hoping to strike it big on the free agent market. Obviously, that didn’t happen, as the issue of draft pick forfeiture supressed the market for Santana and several other players. The Blue Jays have two first-round picks, at No. 9 and No. 11, and both are protected. So they’ll have to give up the No. 50 overall pick for signing Santana.

Santana’s one-year deal gives him the opportunity to hit the free agent market again next offseason, when he will turn 32. If he performs well, however, he may still have to deal with the qualifying offer issue.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: March 08, 2014 at 01:41 PM | 126 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, ervin santana, free agents

Tuesday, February 25, 2014

Blue Jays Adventure 2

From the person who brought us Gregg Zaun as a drunken mini-boss, we have the (unpatched) 2014 Blue Jays adventure!

About a year ago I uploaded an 8 bit video game adventure surrounding the 2013 Toronto Blue Jays.
Needless to say, things didn’t work out as the game predicted.
I took a stab at predicting the 2014 season, but for some reason I can’t get it to work correctly.

Good cripple hitter Posted: February 25, 2014 at 03:25 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, youtube

Monday, February 24, 2014

Blue Jays, Astros, Nationals Spring Training Site Musical Chairs

Let’s see if I can make the biggest mess yet with this thread!

LAKE WORTH — Lake Worth city officials think they have a home run of an idea to help revitalize their city and save spring training on Florida’s east coast: A baseball stadium on the shores of Lake Osborne in John Prince Park.

They just need Palm Beach County, which owns the land, to buy into the idea. And that might not happen anytime soon.

...Still, city officials say they are cautiously optimistic about the prospect of the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals sharing a spring training complex on 80-some acres in the 728-acre park just south of Lake Worth Road and west of Lake Osborne.

Place your bets, place your bets!

boteman digs the circuit clout Posted: February 24, 2014 at 09:29 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, blue jays, florida, nationals, spring training

Sunday, February 23, 2014

Rosenthal: Questions about Jays’ rotation won’t be answered right away

As recently as late January, Anthopoulos referenced four starters who were still free agents — Santana, Jimenez, Bronson Arroyo and A.J. Burnett — and said that they could “all be a significant improvement” for the Jays.

Well, Santana is the only one still on the market, and he could go to the Mariners, the injury-depleted Rangers or some other club. At that point, the Jays seemingly would have little choice but to rely on returning starters R.A. Dickey, Mark Buehrle, Brandon Morrow, J.A. Happ and one of the youngsters.

In fairness, the Jays’ outlook is brighter than it was early in the offseason, when they were not sure Morrow would recover as well as he has from an entrapped radial nerve in his right forearm. Drabek and Hutchison have continued to progress from their respective Tommy John surgeries in 2012. Both Hutchison and Stroman, the game’s No. 55 prospect according to Baseball America, excelled in the Arizona Fall League.

Still, this is a team that won only 74 games last season, a team that finished next-to-last in the American League with a 4.81 rotation ERA, a team that figured to make a bigger acquisition than free-agent catcher Dioner Navarro this winter.

Thanks to Butch.

Repoz Posted: February 23, 2014 at 12:48 PM | 49 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Thursday, January 30, 2014

Davidi: Kinsler To Jays Scuttled By No-Trade Clause

Shi Davidi dropped something of a bombshell on us, and it’s one requires some more (relatively) immediate examination. According to his latest for Sportsnet, he reported that, in addition to the one for Brett Anderson we’d already heard about, the Jays had a deal fall apart that would have landed them Ian Kinsler, who was then with the Texas Rangers, but has since been moved to Detroit.

Or… “fall apart” isn’t quite the right terminology. He writes:

  “A potential deal was scuttled by the three-time all-star’s no-trade clause, leaving the Rangers to look elsewhere, and the Blue Jays to anoint rookie Ryan Goins as the front-runner at second base.”

Paul D(uda) Posted: January 30, 2014 at 08:14 AM | 57 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, rangers

Thursday, January 23, 2014

DJF: Dirk Hayhurst Parts Ways With Sportsnet

Dirk Hayhurst COULDN’T hack it…again!

In a post on his Facebook page Tuesday, Dirk Hayhurst confirmed that he would not be returning to Sportsnet next season. Bob Elliott had first grumbled about the possibility around the end of December, burying the news in the middle of some silly listicle he wrote for the Toronto Sun.

I contacted Dirk to see if there was anything else that he could add, but he politely declined, explaining only that their parting of the ways was amicable, and that he doesn’t have any future broadcasting plans to divulge at this time.

The year-and-a-half that he was here wasn’t without controversy, but it was mostly of the lighthearted variety. Of course, Clay Buchholz may disagree. And, actually, the whole Buchholz/cheating incident actually did get a little bit nastier — and awesomer, as in the insta-classic Jack Morris quip, “Salty, this isn’t my first fuckin’ rodeo” — than we might remember. Even the Arencibia stuff and the David Price thing from the ALDS maybe don’t quite meet the standards of “lighthearted,” but they sure as hell were entertaining. More importantly, those incidents really only represent a small portion of a body of work that was, among other things, strong enough to get Dirk noticed by TBS.

It was around that time — when Hayhurst joined Keith Olbermann, Tom Verducci, Gary Sheffield, and Pedro Martinez as that network’s postgame playoff studio crew — that a lot of us around got the inkling that his days in what remains, if we’re being honest with ourselves, a baseball backwater might be shortly numbered. It didn’t help when we saw praise for his work, like when Will Leitch wrote for Sports On Earth that Dirk was “an impressive, unconventional choice as a studio guy; he has proven to be an outstanding one. Hayhurst is 32 years old and is going to be on your television screen for a long, long time.”

Repoz Posted: January 23, 2014 at 06:09 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Wednesday, January 08, 2014

MLB’s Five Positive Regression Candidates

Jonah Keri has the audacity to not write about the Hall of Fame or steroids!

The biggest reason for Boston’s worst-to-first season, however, was that the players who failed miserably in 2012 were amazing in 2013. David Ortiz, Jacoby Ellsbury, Dustin Pedroia, Jon Lester, Clay Buchholz, and John Lackey went from off years, lousy years, or entirely missed years to huge performances during the team’s ride to rings. Everything that could have gone wrong two years ago did, but then everything that could have gone right last year did, too…

From 2010 to 2012, Castro’s first three big league seasons, only five other shortstops (Troy Tulowitzki, Jose Reyes, Hanley Ramirez, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Derek Jeter) were more productive offensively on a park-adjusted basis. Castro was just 22 at the time, and he’d posted a .297/.336/.425 line over his first three seasons. While not all players develop at the same rate, Castro looked poised to improve over the course of the deal if he joined the majority of baseball players who peak in their mid-to-late twenties.

That’s what makes me doubt that Castro’s disastrous 2013 season has much predictive value

Jose Can Still Seabiscuit Posted: January 08, 2014 at 12:48 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: 2014, angels, blue jays, brewers, cubs, nationals

Sunday, December 29, 2013

Griffin: Blue Jays’ Alex Anthopoulos on thin ice

“Why do we forget what’s been said
Ai-ai-ai-ai-ai-ai-ai-ai…”

The honeymoon could be over for Blue Jays general manager Alex Anthopoulos.

No longer is he viewed as baseball’s Boy Wonder, as he was after taking over from J.P. Ricciardi on Oct. 3, 2009. No longer is he perceived as the game’s rising star, a 32-year-old with unlimited vision and the vigour of youth. No longer is he looked upon as one step ahead, ready to re-invent the GM position.

No, it seems others have adjusted to him faster than he has adjusted to them, and after four seasons the clock on his tenure is clearly ticking. Early, he was renowned for his knowledge of all 29 competitors — what skills they sought, what players they were willing to offer. He could call GMs to discuss trades he had no intention of making, simply for the knowledge, the information. It was gold.

Whenever he needed a third wheel to finish up a trade, he knew where to go to find the missing piece. He was the ringmaster with information as his whip. It was radical, game-changing stuff.

It was just a year ago that Anthopoulos shocked the baseball world by swinging blockbuster trades with the Marlins and Mets, signing Melky Cabrera and hiring the overlooked John Gibbons to manage a group that was a Las Vegas favourite. The national media fawned over his aggressive tactics and closed-mouth approach to dealing with other teams and the public. If info leaked, it was the other guy.

Ultimately, his team fell on its face and there was little, if any, sympathy within the GM fraternity.

...One executive at the recent winter meetings indicated that other GMs now realize that when they are talking to Anthopoulos about a potential trade, it may just be information gathering. Some have become more careful in their conversations. Maybe it’s time to adjust.

...Anthopoulos, like his predecessor, has found out Jays fans are knowledgeable and hard to fool.

Repoz Posted: December 29, 2013 at 07:15 AM | 38 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Tuesday, December 24, 2013

Blue Jays sign Kawasaki

The TORONTO BLUE JAYS have agreed to terms with INF MUNENORI KAWASAKI on a 2014 minor league contract with an invitation to attend Major League spring training.

Kawasaki, 32, appeared in 96 games for the Blue Jays last season batting .229 with a .326 OBP, one home run and 24 RBI. His five triples tied for the club high in 2013

Good cripple hitter Posted: December 24, 2013 at 01:36 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, munenori kawasaki

Thursday, December 19, 2013

Tweet: BtBScore writers hired by MLB teams

If you’re keeping track, three @BtBScore writers have gotten jobs with MLB organizations this week. And they don’t even throw left-handed!

The Jays get Ben Horrow.
The Rays get Andrew Ball.
The Reds get Lewie Pollis.

JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: December 19, 2013 at 02:01 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, media, rays, reds, sabermetrics

Sunday, December 15, 2013

Baseball America: Toronto Blue Jays Top 10 Prospects

From Nay to Nolin…naysayers unite!

TOP 10 PROSPECTS

1. Aaron Sanchez, rhp
2. Marcus Stroman, rhp
3. D.J. Davis, of
4. Mitch Nay, 3b
5. Franklin Barreto, ss
6. Daniel Norris, lhp
7. Roberto Osuna, rhp
8. Alberto Tirado, rhp
9. Dawel Lugo, ss
10. Sean Nolin, lhp

The farm system still has high-ceiling arms, but after the wave of trades the talent is concentrated at the lower levels of the organization. The trades left the upper minors short on prospects and long in the tooth. The pitching staffs for Triple-A Buffalo, high Class A Dunedin and short-season Vancouver were the oldest in their leagues.

A single staff, Rookie-level Bluefield, was young for its level, and four pitchers from that club are among the organization’s Top 30 Prospects, with three (Alberto Tirado, Chase DeJong and Jairo Labourt) in the top 15. The Jays are arguably as deep and as talented as any organization at the lower levels, with a strong contingent of Latin American pitchers and infielders and early-round draft picks from 2012 and 2013. That’s even after failing to sign their first-round pick, California high school righthander Phil Bickford—the second time in three years Toronto has not signed its first-rounder.

Repoz Posted: December 15, 2013 at 10:16 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays

Thursday, December 12, 2013

Tomo Ohka reportedly has a minor league deal with the Blue Jays

Shi Davidi of Sportsnet.ca reports that the Blue Jays have reached a verbal agreement on a minor league contract with Tomo Ohka, who has reinvented himself as a knuckleballer since he last appeared in the majors in 2009. The expectation is that he’ll begin the year with Double-A New Hampshire.

Good cripple hitter Posted: December 12, 2013 at 12:53 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, knuckleball, knuckleballers, signings, tomo ohka

Monday, December 09, 2013

Roy Halladay to retire as a Blue Jay

Greatest Blue Jays pitcher: Roy Halladay or Dave Stieb?

Charlie Gibbs Fracture Zone Posted: December 09, 2013 at 12:35 PM | 88 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, cy young award, phillies

Wednesday, December 04, 2013

Verducci: Morris Deserves Spot in Hall of Fame

A lot of people on this site have been asking for a credible Jack Morris Hall of Fame argument.  It won’t convince everyone (especially around here) but Verducci gives it an honest shot. 

 

 

Chris Fluit Posted: December 04, 2013 at 01:53 PM | 65 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, hall of fame, jack morris, tigers, twins, verducci

Tuesday, December 03, 2013

Phillies Acquire Brad Lincoln

The world will little note, nor long remember…

The Phillies announced that they acquired right-handed pitcher Brad Lincoln from the Blue Jays in exchange for catcher Erik Kratz and minor league left-hander Rob Rasmussen.

Lincoln, 28, appeared in 22 games for Toronto in 2013 and posted a 3.98 ERA with 7.1 K/9 and 6.3 BB/9…

Rasmussen combined to post a 4.11 ERA with 7.5 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9 in 28 games (24 starts) for the Dodgers Triple-A and Double-A affiliates.

Kratz, 33, hit just .213/.280/.386 in 218 major league plate appearances last season.


Monday, December 02, 2013

Blue Jays To Sign Dioner Navarro

Poor J.P., I feel so bad for him.

The Blue Jays have reached an agreement with catcher Dioner Navarro on a two-year deal, according to Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports (on Twitter)...

It wasn’t until this past season with the Cubs that Navarro proved he can still hit at the Major League level in a big way. In 266 plate appearances with the Cubs, Navarro slashed .300/.365/.492 with 13 home runs.

Catcher was a clear area of need for the Blue Jays this offseason after J.P. Arencibia, Josh Thole, Mike Nickeas and Henry Blanco combined to bat .190/.235/.335 in 2013…

Navarro will turn 30 in February, and his signing could cost Arencibia his job, as Rosenthal notes in a second tweet. Blue Jays GM Alex Anthopoulos recently said in a radio interview that Arencibia would not be with the club as a backup in 2014 (as chronicled by Sportsnet’s Ben Nicholson-Smith). Navarro’s two-year deal seems to indicate that he’s in line for significant playing time, and the club would also like to use Thole to catch R.A. Dickey, says Rosenthal. As such, Arencibia, who projects to earn $2.1MM via arbitration this winter, could find himself on the move today, as tonight is the deadline to tender him a contract for the 2014 season.

Navarro’s contract will pay him $3MM in 2014 and $5MM in 2015, reports Jon Heyman of CBS Sports (Twitter link).

The District Attorney Posted: December 02, 2013 at 03:45 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, cubs, dioner navarro, free agents, transactions

Gregg Zaun: World Series Champion, Analyst, and helping families in need

Okay…so the analyst bit was a reach.

GZ: I think the game has deteriorated fundamentally. High-level players are rushed to the bigs too soon. They don’t get enough reps in the minors anymore. Just look at the bunting and the inability to command the fastball. Pitchers who throw 95 are out there trying to trick guys and end up with Tommy John surgery from throwing too many sliders, etc. Players focus on the areas of their games which get them paid.

...GZ: Don’t assume that a veteran is automatically a leader. Poor starting pitching, defense, and situational hitting were the reason they stunk. Refer to the previous answer for clarification. The formula for winning is almost always good starting pitching, timely hitting and defense.

GMs: Can you see a complete turnaround next year if this nucleus stays together, or is another so-called “rebuild” on the horizon?

GZ: I can’t see a COMPLETE turnaround. These guys should already know how to play the game the right way. They are in THE SHOW after all. The current nucleus of players needs guidance and discipline. They need to put in the work to do the little things and excellence needs to be demanded of them. It feels like a Country Club atmosphere to me. There just aren’t any consequences for poor play or behavior. One of the reasons may be that a lot of guys are a little too comfortable at too young of an age. I looked over my shoulder for 16 years. It motivated me. It’s healthy.

Repoz Posted: December 02, 2013 at 10:29 AM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, history, sabermetrics

Thursday, November 28, 2013

Ted Lilly To Retire

Theodore Roosevelt will no longer be the man in the arena.

Also, another Expo down…

Left-hander Ted Lilly’s comeback attempt has stalled due to persistent shoulder and back pain, and the 15-year veteran is set to announce his retirement from professional baseball, he told Andreina Salas Guzman Venezuelan news outlet El Universal (Spanish link)...

Lilly, 37, recently had nerve endings in the right side of his neck cauterized in an attempt to alleviate neck pain that had been hampering his ability to pitch. That procedure seems to have been effective, as he told Guzman his neck feels ok, but he’s far from pain free: “It’s principally the pain in my back and shoulder. I’m having problems there. I feel like I can’t return to being the pitcher I was a few years ago.”...

Lilly’s career will come to a close with a 130-113 record, a 4.14 ERA and 1,681 strikeouts in 1982 2/3 innings of Major League action.

The District Attorney Posted: November 28, 2013 at 02:51 PM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, blue jays, cubs, dodgers, expos, retirements, ted lilly, yankees

Tuesday, November 26, 2013

The R.A. Dickey Effect - 2013 Edition

It is widely talked about by announcers and baseball fans alike, that knuckleball pitchers can throw hitters off their game and leave them in funks for days… I decided to analyze to determine if there really is an effect and what its value is…

Most people that try to analyze this [R.A.] Dickey effect tend to group all the pitchers that follow in to one grouping with one ERA and compare to the total ERA of the bullpen or rotation. This is a simplistic and non-descriptive way of analyzing the effect and does not look at the how often the pitchers are pitching not after Dickey…

I summed the stats for following Dickey and weighted each pitcher based on the batters he faced over the total batters faced after Dickey. I then calculated the rate stats from the total. This weight was then applied to the not after Dickey stats. So for example if [Casey] Janssen faced 19.11% of batters after Dickey, it was adjusted so that he also faced 19.11% of the batters not after Dickey…

Starters see an approximate 18.9% decrease in their FIP when they follow Dickey over the past 4 years. So assuming 130 IP are pitched after Dickey by a league average set of pitchers (~4.00 FIP), this would decrease their FIP to around 3.25. 130 IP was selected assuming ⅔ of starter innings (200) against the same team. Over 130 IP this would be a 10.8 run difference or around 1.1 WAR! This is amazingly significant and appears to be coming mainly from a reduction in HR%. If we regress the HR% down to -10% (seems more than fair), this would reduce the FIP reduction down to around 7%. A 7% reduction would reduce a 4.00 FIP down to 3.72, and save 4.0 runs or 0.4 WAR…

Relievers[’]... FIP was reduced 10.3%. Assuming 65 IP (in between 2012 and 2013) innings after Dickey of an average bullpen (or slightly above average, since Dickey will likely have setup men and closers after him) with a 3.75 FIP, FIP would get reduced to 3.36 and save 3 runs or 0.3 WAR.

Combining the un-regressed results, by having pitchers pitch after him, Dickey would contribute around 1.4 WAR over a full season. If you assume the effect is just 10% reduction in FIP for both groups, this number comes down to around 0.9 WAR, which is not crazy to think at all based off the results. I can say with great confidence, that if Dickey pitches over 200 innings again next year, he will contribute above 1.0 WAR just from baffling hitters for the next guys.

And The Dickey Effect Part II—Wakefield:

Similar to Dickey, pitchers saw a positive effect almost across the board. The main difference with [Tim] Wakefield is that walks also went up, but not by much. A career 8% reduction in FIP is significant, and with the sample size, probably fairly accurate.

h/t Roberto

The District Attorney Posted: November 26, 2013 at 10:00 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, knuckleballers, r.a. dickey, sabermetrics, tim wakefield

Monday, November 25, 2013

Yellon: Cubs Rumors: Blue Jays After Jeff Samardzija

Levine tweet:

Teams have inquired about StarterJeff Samardzija. Source: Toronto putting together package of young players.

McCoy Posted: November 25, 2013 at 10:32 AM | 35 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, cubs, rumors, trades

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