Bud Selig, A-rod, Mlbpa, Michael Weiner Newsbeat
Saturday, May 23, 2015
Because RBIs were not considered an official statistic until 1920, there is some discrepancy as to how many RBIs Ruth should be credited with. However, Elias Sports Bureau, the statistician of Major League Baseball, has Ruth at 1,992 for his career.
bb-ref has Ruth at 2214 RBI. If you ignore everything before 1920, it becomes 1990 RBI. So it would seem that they’re ignoring everything before 1920 and have two extra RBI unaccounted for. Maybe they came from the same game as Ty Cobb’s two extra hits.
Saturday, May 09, 2015
Mays beats A-Rod by nine lengths.
An easy way to measure Mays’ dominance over A-Rod is to look at the all-time wins above replacement (WAR) leaderboard1. By total WAR, Mays ranks as the fifth most-productive player in major-league history, trailing only Babe Ruth, Barry Bonds and pitchers Cy Young and Walter Johnson. Mays also ranks as the third-best non-pitcher ever, according to JAWS, which attempts to balance a player’s aggregate WAR compilation against the brilliance of his peak. Among position players in the history of baseball, only Ruth had a better prime — as measured by WAR in a player’s best seven seasons — than Mays did when he was at the top of his game.
Rodriguez also ranks highly in WAR, but his numbers are nowhere near those of Mays. A-Rod ranks 17th all-time in total WAR, trailing Mays by about 40 wins. At his career rate of WAR per 162 games, Rodriguez would have to play five and a half more seasons of 162 games apiece — that is, until age 44 — to catch Mays. It also bears mentioning that Rodriguez hasn’t even played more than 150 games in a season since 2007; at a more realistic rate of 125 games per year, he’d have to play until age 46 (with no decline in performance) to reach Mays’ total.
Since Rodriguez has recently missed big chunks of playing time in which he could have been accumulating raw WAR, his peak ranking fares a bit better than his overall WAR rank. That’s why A-Rod sits at 12th all-time in JAWS. But the difference in JAWS between No. 3 Mays and No. 12 Rodriguez is the same as the difference between Rodriguez and No. 33 Charlie Gehringer.
And the gap isn’t likely to close much before Rodriguez retires. While A-Rod is having a resurgent start to the 2015 season, Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA projection system still only predicts about 0.7 more wins above replacement left in his career before his contract runs out (and, coincidentally, he begins to provide negative value) following the 2017 season.
So, any way you cut it, Mays provided much more value in his career than A-Rod.
Posted: May 09, 2015 at 01:12 PM | 171 comment(s)
Friday, May 01, 2015
The system is working. Change the system!
Major League Baseball average game times are down almost 8 1/2 minutes from 2014, thanks to the league’s new pace-of-game rules.
That’s good news not just for fans, but players as well; ESPN reports that MLB officials and the players union are in discussions to drop the fines for slow play the league could impose beginning Friday.
According to Major League Baseball, through Wednesday’s games, the average nine-inning game time of just under two hours and 54 minutes is 8 1/2 minutes quicker than the 3:02 average in 2014.
The success of the new pace-of-game rules has led MLB officials to rethink the need to institute slow-play fines, which would range from $100 to $500 for infractions such as leaving the batter’s box during an at-bat. MLB officials agreed to give players a month of play to get used to the new procedures, issuing warnings for infractions, before issuing fines beginning May 1.
Thursday, April 30, 2015
1. Josh Hamilton (5 years, $125 million)
2. Mike Hampton (8 years, $121 million)
3. Melvin Upton Jr. (5 years, $72.25 million)
4. Manny Ramirez (2 years, $45 million)
5. Chan Ho Park (5 years, $65 million)
HM. Carl Pavano (4 years, $39.9 million with the Yankees)
HM. Jason Bay (4 years, $66 million with the Mets)
HM. Chone Figgins (4 years, $36 million with the Mariners)
HM. Gary Matthews Jr. (5 years, $65 million with the Angels)
HM. Andruw Jones (2 years, $36.2 million with the Dodgers)
Additionally: Jason Schmidt, Barry Zito, Denny Neagle, Kei Igawa, Shin-Soo Choo, A-Rod.
Wednesday, April 22, 2015
Hold off on the glue.
However, the sabermetric canon also includes a caveat to “Voros’s law” about the volatility of small sample sizes. Although the overwhelming majority of events that can transpire in baseball over a brief time period cannot be distinguished statistically from random variation, a handful of accomplishments are so rare that even a single game can contain impressive predictive power. Bill James, the father of modern baseball analysis, called this principle “signature significance”. In one well-known example, of the 14 pitchers who have struck out 18 or more batters in a nine-inning game during the past century, 12 were at least All-Stars, and six are in the Hall of Fame. Mr Rodríguez’s mammoth blast might well be a similar case. After all, of the 38,143 homers hit in MLB since 2007—the first year that HitTracker recorded the path of every ball to leave the yard—just 25 (0.06%, or one in 1,525) traveled 477 feet or more. ...
In order to determine how much predictive power a single deep home run can provide, I started with every batter who played between 2007 and 2014. I first discarded all their ground balls and pop-ups, since balls on those trajectories cannot become homers no matter how hard they are hit. I then measured the share of their other batted balls—the line drives and outfield flies—that turned into home runs, a standard measure of a batter’s power. If ultra-long home runs truly have signature significance, then players who hit even one ball as deep as Mr Rodríguez’s should fare well above average in this category over the course of an entire season.
As one might expect, the data were extremely noisy—using a single swing to project what will happen on as many as 300 others is a tall order. But buried within them was a powerful and highly statistically significant trend. For each foot beyond the distance of a league-average longball (usually just under 400 feet) that any individual home run travels, an additional 0.06% of that batter’s other line drives and outfield fly balls in that season become home runs (see chart).
In most cases, this amounts to a rounding error. But for the biggest of blows, those percentage points add up in a hurry. If a player about whom we had no other information—say, a recent arrival from Cuba—hit a home run of average distance in his first at-bat, we would expect him to hit about 6% more homers than an average player for the rest of the season. In contrast, if the player hit a 477-foot home run like Mr Rodríguez’s in his first at-bat, we would expect him to hit around 50% more homers than average. That is as strong an example of signature significance as one could hope to find.
Posted: April 22, 2015 at 09:43 AM | 1 comment(s)
Saturday, April 18, 2015
Do dead centaurs bounce?
In other all-time HR list news, Trout passes Drew.
Friday, April 10, 2015
Who should I start this week, Joe Jackson or Pete Rose?
Major League Baseball and the players’ association have agreed to a deal that forbids players from playing in daily fantasy baseball games that involve a prize, but still allows them to endorse these companies.
Earlier this week, at the IMG World Congress in California, commissioner Rob Manfred said that although he considered daily fantasy different from gambling, playing fantasy for prizes became part of Rule 21, which prohibits players from gambling. Players will be subject to discipline if they are found to have violated the rule.
Sources involved in the talks between the league and the players’ association said that there was indeed concern over conflict of interest or at least the appearance of a conflict of interest in which the players could affect the outcome and potentially make money off of it.
The deal between MLB and the players’ association does not preclude the players from playing fantasy baseball when something of value is not involved and they can play fantasy sports other than baseball for prizes. It also doesn’t stop any player from accepting compensation from a daily fantasy site to endorse or promote the company or the players’ association from signing an official deal with one of those companies.
Major League Baseball acquired a stake of daily fantasy sports site DraftKings in 2013 when the site became the league’s official daily fantasy game. The league recently received a larger stake as part of an expansion of that original deal.
Monday, March 30, 2015
Nathaniel Grow makes some great points about the growing gap between baseball’s revenues and the players’ share of those revenues. Do you know what be a great thing for the MLBPA to work toward in the next CBA? A guaranteed portion of the revenue for minor leaguers. I won’t hold my breath.
Posted: March 30, 2015 at 11:55 AM | 42 comment(s)
Monday, March 09, 2015
I’ll take “‘80s sports talk topics” for $800, Alex.
For more than 40 years, the National League has remained free of the designated hitter, but that could change in the future, according to MLB players’ union chief Tony Clark.
“That topic has come up independently of us bringing it up,” Clark said to the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. “It has been a topic, as I’m sure you know, a topic of discussion going back the last two bargaining agreements. Nothing has changed at this point in time. But I am guessing come 2016 that conversation will come up again.”...
“That was a concern when we started to talk about evening out the divisions and how that would manifest itself over the course of interleague play,” Clark said. “The idea that you would be in September with a possible division (title) on the line with one team who was not used to having a DH or a team that was used to having a DH not having it and how that could affect the overall outcome.
“As you might expect, we are very concerned about the integrity of the game and having scenarios or situations play out like that that could affect inevitably how a division ends, is not a place you want to find yourself.”
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Alex Rodriguez, in preparation for the upcoming season, worked out with legendary slugger Barry Bonds in January at the Future Prospects Baseball facility in San Rafael, California.
“He was funny,” Bonds told the San Francisco Chronicle. “He said, ‘I want to take your record.’ I said, ‘That’s OK. If that’s what you want to do, we’ve got a lot of work to do.’ I was excited he wanted to do it.”
Posted: February 10, 2015 at 05:09 PM | 51 comment(s)
Friday, February 06, 2015
“Alex considers everything with the Yankees to be family business and family business stays within the family,” Rodriguez’s spokesman Ron Berkowitz said Friday.
Friday, January 23, 2015
I let the machine pick up, and was more than a little bemused to hear this: Rob, this is Commissioner Selig. I read your column on ESPN and wanted to talk to you about it. When you get a chance, please call me at …”
Selig clearly had a print-out of my ESPN.com column at hand, probably with the offending passages highlighted by a flunky. And he spent the next half-hour or so simply going through the passages, and telling me exactly how I’d gotten each one so horribly wrong. A few times, I tried to interject with my questions. He wasn’t having any of it, not even a little. I think it’s probably safe to say that Selig didn’t respond, or really react at all, to a single thing I said. He was the High Commissioner of Baseball, Lord of Lords, and I was nothing.
When finally he’d finished haranguing me, I believe he did sign off civilly. But it’s certainly the most frustrating conversation in my professional life, to this day. And I probably was less well-disposed toward Selig than I’d been before.
I probably became even less well-disposed a few weeks later, when the word came down from above: Lay off Commissioner Bud. Oh, I wasn’t told I couldn’t criticize him. Just that I couldn’t do it with such obvious relish.
Still, seemed petty at the time (and still does). I wasn’t the only one, either. I know other writers who’d gotten calls from Selig, and I know other writers who’d been told by their bosses to take it easy on the poor old Commissioner.
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Thursday, January 15, 2015
“The scouts are among the most underappreciated part of the game of baseball, so what Dennis has done with his foundation and dinner is just so right. That’s why I come,” Selig said. “What Dennis has done for them is remarkable.”
Posted: January 15, 2015 at 09:07 PM | 1 comment(s)
Wednesday, January 14, 2015
I hope nobody gets arrested at the party.
This week’s quarterly meetings for the 30 MLB owners will double as a retirement party for Bud Selig, whose 23-year tenure as commissioner officially ends Jan. 25.
I am not sure I get the bachelor degree requirement. What if a former player, who has MLBPA and CBA knowledge and experience, decides he wants to be an agent? He can’t? Does Dave Stewart have a degree?
But policing these rules has been a difficulty. Despite clearly stated rules that a bachelor degree is required for certification, there’s a high-profile agent that has recently been outed as lacking that all-important section on his resume. Perhaps he has demonstrated “sufficient knowledge” to be exempted as the rule states, but there was agreement between the sources that there isn’t much enforcement from the MLBPA on many rules.
Posted: January 14, 2015 at 06:52 AM | 0 comment(s)
Tuesday, December 23, 2014
Pasta diving Lupica:
The organization that talks more about winning-or-bust than any other — maybe more than all the others combined — last year prioritized Derek Jeter’s farewell tour over victories.
Let us count the ways:
Hal Steinbrenner ordered his re-signing — and at decent money — though Jeter was coming back from a horrific ankle injury, there was infinitesimal history of a shortstop succeeding at Jeter’s age and despite there being pretty much zero chance Jeter was going to soil his legacy by trying to get paid more to play somewhere else.
Brian Cashman never put a shortstop on the roster better than Brendan Ryan or Stephen Drew who would have offered a no-brainer alternative to Jeter. And Joe Girardi persisted with the absurdist statement that playing Jeter day after day at shortstop and batting him second gave the Yankees their best chance to win.
There was not a scout or stat that backed up that contention on either side of the ball. For example, just 89 players accumulated 200 plate appearances from Aug. 1 until the end of the season. Only one member of that group finished in the bottom six in batting average, on-base percentage and slugging percentage. And Girardi let that obviously tiring player be the only Yankee to hit that plate-appearance benchmark while desperate to find the wins to get into the playoffs. That player was, yes, Jeter.
If you did not see this decaying performance, you were watching with your heart, not your eyes, and/or you get all of your baseball information from The Players’ Tribune.
I understood the charade. Steinbrenner did not want to be the owner who let Jeter go and Girardi did not want to be the manager who benched him. Not in Jeter’s victory-lap season when an entire sport wrapped him in loving embrace.
But the contrast to how the Yankees are handling Alex Rodriguez is stark.
Posted: December 23, 2014 at 03:48 PM | 41 comment(s)
This sounds like a nice set up for existing agents, especially big agencies. The college degree requirement is a curious one. So a person who gets drafted, plays twenty years, is actively involved with the union, and has knowledge of the intricacies of player contracts can’t be an agent?
But ask the industry about bad agents, and you’ll get a list of infractions that don’t necessarily focus on felonies, CBA rules, or players on the forty-man. Agents can make mistakes when it comes to handling player finances, marketing decisions, personal advice, and understanding the marketplace. These directly impact the MLBPA’s main clients—the players—but it’s hard to really create a test that weeds these bad agents out.
Posted: December 23, 2014 at 06:14 AM | 0 comment(s)
Monday, December 22, 2014
So it was announced that Miller Park would now contain something called “The Selig Experience,” and this is not something I am making up, either. Neither am I making this part up:
The exhibition space totals approximately 1,400 square feet, and will include authentic artifacts from Selig’s tenure as the Brewers owner. A multimedia show will include a 3-dimensional encounter with Selig inside a reproduction of his old Milwaukee County Stadium office.
The number of people who had a truly three-dimensional encounter with the actual Bud Selig can be counted on the extremities without removing both shoes. Now he is going to haunt his personal ballpark as a hologram for eternity? Some Brewers fan as yet unborn is going to amble into the wrong part of the stadium’s loge and be confronted with an ambulatory, spectral Bud Selig, wandering the Miller Park parapets like Hamlet’s father? Great Caesar’s ghost!
(Wait. Forget I said that.)
And what is the interactive attraction in walking into a facsimile of anybody’s office, especially Bud Selig’s? What do you get to do? Arrange for the World Series not to be held? Mastermind an All-Star Game that ends in a tie? Ignore the glistening tower of syringes, reaching almost all the way up to the ceiling over there in the corner? Duck baseballs thrown at you by the hologrammic Gary Sheffield? Trade Greg Vaughn for Bryce Florie, over and over again? That sounds like something Dante would have dreamed up. Alighieri, that is. Not Bichette, whose hologram likely will stalk the joint, too, looking for the head of Kevin Reimer.
Posted: December 22, 2014 at 01:37 PM | 11 comment(s)
Thursday, December 11, 2014
Sylvia Lind’s lawsuit, filed in Manhattan federal court, seeks unspecified damages for what she describes as a failure by the league to consider, interview, appoint and promote qualified Hispanic women to managerial and executive positions. Lind, 48, says the league has created a hostile work environment for her because of her age. Lind, the league’s director of baseball initiatives in its Office of the Commissioner, names as defendants the league, commissioner Bud Selig and Hall of Famer Frank Robinson, who supervised her. Messages to the league were not immediately returned Thursday.
The lawsuit says Lind works in an industry dominated by white men and has been passed over for promotions and underpaid since 1995. Lind said Hispanics are underrepresented in the management level while baseball has a high percentage of Hispanic players. She said of 52 people who are vice presidents or above only two are Hispanic and only 12 are women.
According to the lawsuit, Lind, who is of Cuban descent and lives in New Jersey, earned her law degree from Fordham University School of Law in 1995. It says she began working for Major League Baseball on Nov. 21, 1995, as supervisor in the legal department of MLB Properties Inc. at an annual salary of $43,000. She said she was the only Hispanic female lawyer in the legal department at the time and no Hispanic attorneys have been hired since.
Lind said her troubles with the league worsened after Robinson, who played for several teams between 1956 and 1976, became executive vice president of baseball development in June 2012 and criticized her writing and other skills. She said Robinson, who won rookie of the year and MVP honors with the Cincinnati Reds and MVP with the Baltimore Orioles, lacked the educational credentials, professional license and executive experience to qualify for the job, which paid him more than $1 million annually.
A farewell present for Bud Selig.
for his generous support.
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