Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Chase Headley Newsbeat

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Looking For the Real Chase Headley | FanGraphs Baseball

Headley fits in New York.

So what do we have going forward? Headley’s defensive numbers in 2014 were stellar, and while regression should certainly be expected, his ability to handle that position over his next contract isn’t likely in question. His fly ball tendency will play extremely differently in Yankee Stadium than it will in AT&T Park, as suggested by his 118 NYY PRD and 89 SF PRD figures on fly balls listed above. AT&T is more liner and grounder-friendly, though as discussed above, the impact on grounders will be muted by his pull tendency. What we have is a league average hitter, assuming a very high liner rate. In all likelihood, he is starting from a slightly below league average hitter baseline at age 31, with normal aging to be expected moving forward.

Looking for a reason to expect better than that? Then you must believe that his improved fly ball authority — that 145 post-trade fly ball ADJ PRD — in his two months as a Yankee is real, a product of some sort of swing adjustment, and not small sample noise. To me, the four-year, $65M rumors being tossed around with regard to Headley are beyond the pale, as he isn’t that guy. If that late-season fly ball surge holds moving forward, Yankee Stadium, with it’s 129.3 overall fly ball park factor (177.4 to RCF, 165.4 to RF) is one place where it would more than fully translate into production, much more than it would by the Bay, with it’s overall mark of 67.3 (63.8 to RCF, 92.5 to RF). All things considered, if I were representing Chase Headley, I’d take a slight discount to stay in New York, as it makes one more somewhat lucrative future contract more likely.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 11, 2014 at 06:51 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: chase headley, free agents, sabermetrics

Thursday, December 04, 2014

Anthony Castrovince: 10 bold Winter Meetings predictions

These rumors are all wet.

1. Justin Upton to the Orioles

While their hesitance to go to a fourth guaranteed year for Nelson Cruz is understandable, the immediate fact of the matter is that the reigning home run champ now resides elsewhere. Even with Matt Wieters and Manny Machado getting healthier, and even if you believe that Chris Davis is going to rebound, the O’s have some potential for major offensive regression if they don’t make some moves this winter.

In Upton, the O’s can reel in a corner outfielder who has a history of getting on base roughly 35 percent of the time, and can give you a 30-plus-homer season at Camden Yards. This is the kind of move the O’s need to make to maintain their top spot in an AL East in which the Red Sox and Blue Jays are obviously both dramatically improved.

Here’s the rub: The Braves, who appear more certain than ever to move Upton now that they’ve signed Nick Markakis, are looking for young, controllable arms in their bid to build a contender for 2017. There was a time when a top-tier pitching prospect such as Dylan Bundy would have netted far more years of contractual control than Upton, a pending free agent, provides. But in this starting-saturated market - and with Bundy re-establishing himself following Tommy John surgery - I’m not so sure that’s the case. Would the O’s be willing to part with Bundy’s long-term potential for some short-term thump? Hard to say, but their free-agent options have thinned in a hurry.


Wednesday, December 03, 2014

Source: Yankees cooling on Chase Headley, high on Rob Refsnyder - Yankees Blog - ESPN New York

Five years for Headley? No thank you. No thank you. No thank you. No thank you.

But one free agent who might not find the Yankees to be his Santa Claus is Chase Headley, who only two weeks ago was being touted by folks in the organization as Priority No. 1 considering the lack of faith the Yankees have in the returning Alex Rodriguez.

Now, however, the Headley fever seems to have cooled, especially since the Pablo Sandoval deal with the Red Sox—five years, $95 million—seems to have stiffened Headley’s resolve to get a five-year deal of his own. According to a baseball source I spoke with Tuesday, the Yankees are not willing to give Headley five years, considering his age (31 in May), so-so offensive production the past two seasons, and lingering lower back problems, which could lead to surgery at some point over the length of a five-year contract.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 03, 2014 at 08:41 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: chase headley, yankees

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Yankees won’t get into bidding war for Chase Headley: source - NY Daily News

Why would they? They are already paying third baseman Alex Rodriguez $22 million.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 26, 2014 at 07:25 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: chase headley, free agents, yankees

 

 

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Francis
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogJavier Baez heating up but is there a place for him?
(4 - 1:44am, May 26)
Last: Moses Taylor world tour 2015: Singapore

NewsblogIs switch-hitting a lost art? - Sports - The Boston Globe
(55 - 1:43am, May 26)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - May 2015
(2382 - 1:41am, May 26)
Last: sardonic

NewsblogOT: 2015 NHL Playoff thread
(537 - 12:47am, May 26)
Last: Obo

NewsblogAngels again are stung by Mike Napoli in loss to Red Sox - LA Times
(18 - 12:45am, May 26)
Last: BillWallace

NewsblogOTP - May 2015: Jeb Bush would like to watch baseball with Teddy Roosevelt and Pitbull
(3886 - 12:25am, May 26)
Last: zenbitz

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-25-15
(13 - 12:21am, May 26)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogCollege Seniors Find Little Leverage - BaseballAmerica.com
(8 - 11:50pm, May 25)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogAT&T Ad Showing First Woman In Major League Baseball Draws Strong Reactions
(258 - 10:27pm, May 25)
Last: TerpNats

NewsblogBernie Williams Day reminds us Yankees' glory days are over - Newsday
(7 - 9:55pm, May 25)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy

NewsblogOT: Soccer March 2015
(1086 - 9:07pm, May 25)
Last: JuanGone..except1game

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-24-2015
(144 - 9:03pm, May 25)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogAll-Star Game shouldn't stop slumping Reds from firing Price | FOX Sports
(19 - 8:36pm, May 25)
Last: Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogBrian Matusz of Baltimore Orioles ejected for foreign substance
(20 - 7:29pm, May 25)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(1680 - 3:58pm, May 25)
Last: Random Transaction Generator

Page rendered in 1.1030 seconds
62 querie(s) executed