Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Clusterluck Newsbeat

Thursday, July 03, 2014

538: Keri: The Giants Clustered Their Luck

With that win, they improved to 42-21. A year after stumbling to a 76-86 record, the Giants owned the best record in baseball. They’ve been terrible ever since. San Francisco has lost 16 of its last 21 games, the worst record for any major league team during that time…Few could have predicted such a sharp and sudden drop. But one indicator did suggest that regression was coming, sooner or later: cluster luck.

In a late-May Grantland column, I wrote about the concept of cluster luck as a way to explain how a series of good (or bad) events coming one after another can propel or punish a team:

Joe Peta, a former Wall Street trader, presented cluster luck in his book, Trading Bases. Essentially, the concept boils down to this: When a team’s batters cluster hits together to score more runs and a team’s pitchers spread hits apart to allow fewer runs, that’s cluster luck. Say a team tallies nine singles in one game. If all of those singles occur in the same inning, the team would likely score seven runs; if each single occurs in a different inning, however, it’d likely mean a shutout.

clusterunluck leads to, ...well, you know…

Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: July 03, 2014 at 03:15 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: clusterluck, giants

 

 

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Don Malcolm
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP - July 2014: Republicans Lose To Democrats For Sixth Straight Year In Congressional Baseball Game
(3029 - 7:11am, Jul 25)
Last: Jolly Old St. Nick Still Gags in October

NewsblogNoble: Tom Seaver expects Derek Jeter to become first unanimous Hall of Fame inductee
(53 - 6:39am, Jul 25)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread- July 2014
(915 - 5:53am, Jul 25)
Last: MikeOberly

NewsblogOT: The Soccer Thread July, 2014
(382 - 5:25am, Jul 25)
Last: Swedish Chef

NewsblogAs shifts suppress offense, time has come to consider a rule change
(90 - 5:07am, Jul 25)
Last: Sunday silence

NewsblogSurprising Sports Stars – Guided by Voices’ Robert Pollard
(3 - 4:44am, Jul 25)
Last: Alex meets the threshold for granular review

NewsblogYadier Molina serves his brother crackers on a plate — home plate
(43 - 3:59am, Jul 25)
Last: Sunday silence

NewsblogBucs Dugout: Manel: Pirates getting creative with defensive shifts
(8 - 3:53am, Jul 25)
Last: Sunday silence

NewsblogTwitter / Ken_Rosenthal: Mariners announce acquisition of Kendrys Morales for RHP Stephen Pryor.
(16 - 3:37am, Jul 25)
Last: Jeff Francoeur's OPS

NewsblogA's designate Johnson for assignment
(20 - 3:28am, Jul 25)
Last: Sunday silence

NewsblogGoldman: Eliminating the shift a bandage for a phantom wound
(31 - 3:23am, Jul 25)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogCSN: Enough is enough — time to move on from Ryan Howard
(80 - 3:16am, Jul 25)
Last: Red Menace

NewsblogFivethirtyeight: Billion-Dollar Billy Beane
(21 - 2:42am, Jul 25)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOMNICHATTER: 7-24-14
(59 - 1:56am, Jul 25)
Last: Bunny Vincennes

NewsblogEx-MLB star Chuck Knoblauch accused of assaulting ex-wife
(21 - 12:26am, Jul 25)
Last: Ray (RDP)

Page rendered in 1.1119 seconds
47 querie(s) executed