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Designated Hitters Newsbeat

Saturday, February 22, 2014

DJ Short: Report: Orioles closing in on a deal with Nelson Cruz

No word yet on the terms involved and Heyman writes that a couple of issues still need to be resolved, but a deal is seen as “extremely likely.” The Orioles would surrender their second-round pick (and the corresponding draft pool money) in order to sign Cruz, as they already gave up their first-rounder for Jimenez. It’s unclear whether signing Cruz officially takes the Orioles out of the mix for Ervin Santana, but it’s safe to say that they fully intend to contend this season.

The Orioles are unsettled in the DH spot, so given Cruz’s poor reputation on defense, he should be a good fit there. It could also help keep him healthy, which has been an issue for him in previous since and should be a consideration as he moves toward his mid-30s.

JE (Jason Epstein) Posted: February 22, 2014 at 10:19 AM | 46 comment(s)
  Beats: designated hitters, jon heyman, orioles

Wednesday, October 30, 2013

Bill James Mailbag - 10/27/13 - 10/30/13

Anyway, moving away from paranoid nut case theories, there’s this special coming up on Reelz…

Bill, what do you think it would take to get the Players Association to give up the dh jobs?
Asked by: manhattanhi

Is this a new paranoid nut case theory. . .the players asssociation has something to do with the DH rule?  Hadn’t heard that one.

In the “Hot Hand” article there was spirited discussion about the impact of changes in skill versus randomness in streaks… Do you still feel that the skill level (not outcomes) of Papi and [Stephen] Drew are basically the same as they were in, say, August? Doesn’t your eye tell you that, for the time being, they are very different hitters than they were?

Your eye tells you that the world is flat.  Intellectual self-discipline is the ability to understand that what you can see is not always an accurate image of the world.

Hey, Bill, in WS Game 4, the Red Sox used 3 starters (Buchholz, Doubront, Lackey)... My question is whether there is evidence that using such a strategy actually works in the short run.

Well, we won the game.  Exactly what kind of evidence are you looking for?

Hey Bill, regarding last night’s pick off and the decision to hold the runner on, is St. Louis in a better position with their man on second or third vs. first (with two outs and two runs back in the ninth?)

There wasn’t any decision to hold the runner on.  There was a decision to try to pick him off.  I don’t understand why people are confused about that issue.

On talk radio and places like that it’s a total article of faith, just constantly asserted to be true, that the Players’ Association would never tolerate getting rid of the DH because it eliminates 15 high-salary slots. My view is close to yours: it never made any sense—the roster size is the same, the revenue and salary structure are the same, plus most DHs are not Ben Oglivie-level stars anyway. But you hear it said all the time. It’s not a pet idea invented by manhattanhi, is what I’m saying. Having said all of that, how do you know for certain that it’s never been part of the negotiations?

Because for it to be part of the negotiations, there would have to be one party to the negotiation that wanted to get rid of the rule.  There has never been a party to the negotiations that wanted to get rid of the rule. 

You can’t form a CONSENSUS in secret.  The negotiating position of the owners is a consensus of the owners.  There is no way they could reach a consensus that they wanted to get rid of the rule without the public becoming aware of that.

The District Attorney Posted: October 30, 2013 at 12:14 PM | 83 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, designated hitters, red sox, sabermetrics



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