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Jim Furtado
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Economics Newsbeat

Friday, March 31, 2017

Why the MLB is flooded with huge contracts - CNN.com

But forecasting baseball players’ productivity based on past performance is tricky, says Berri, who co-authored “Stumbling on Wins: Two Economists Expose the Pitfalls on the Road to Victory in Professional Sports.”

“Salary is a function of what (a player) did in the past,” says Berri, who notes that MLB general managers often overlook the obvious when considering the future—including the downfall of an aging superstar like 37-year-old Albert Pujols.

The three-time MVP’s batting efficiency has declined since signing with the Los Angeles Angels in 2012, yet has five years and $140 million remaining on his contract.

“I’ve spoken to a lot of different people in sports; I never get the impression that they know what they’re talking about,” says Berri.

“There is a sense you get that they would know who’s good and whose bad, and they would figure this stuff out.”

Jim Furtado Posted: March 31, 2017 at 11:05 AM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: economics

Tuesday, March 07, 2017

Max Scherzer and Jon Lester Have Been Free-Agent Bargains | FanGraphs Baseball

Bargains? Mookie Betts is a bargain. Kris Bryant is a bargain. Noah Syndergaard is a bargain. Scherzer and Lester aren’t bargains.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 07, 2017 at 02:44 PM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: economics

Wednesday, February 22, 2017

Restricted Free Agency, Anyone? | FanGraphs Baseball

Salary arbitration in conjunction with free agency has treated the players quite well over the years. With exploding revenues and smarter front offices, however, the players’ share of the pie has been getting smaller. No matter what changes get made to 4-6 year players, without a higher luxury cap, the players’ share will continue to get smaller. Nevertheless, it might be a good time to think about moving from the current arb system to a restricted free agency model for 4-6 year players. How? I like the solution proposed by Adam Dorhauer on HardballTimes.com last year. It’s relatively simple but gets rid of the funky current system with a market driven approach which seems to balance the needs of owners and players.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 22, 2017 at 11:17 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, economics, salary arbitration

Friday, February 10, 2017

The Disconnect Between Franchise Values and Player Salaries

Specifically, MLBAM and their BAMTech spin-off unit have created an enormous technological powerhouse by moving early into streaming technology, and BAMTech is now one of the world’s dominant players for hosting and providing over-the-top content…..

While nothing in life is guaranteed, that money is pretty likely to be distributed at some point in the not-too-distant future, so anyone buying the Marlins (or any other MLB team) is likely to get a pretty significant rebate on the purchase price if or when Disney buys out the league’s interest in BAMTech. And the sale of BAMTech does nothing to affect the league’s ownership of MLBAM, which remains a significantly valuable operation itself, and is still entirely owned by the 30 teams.

In other words, if you buy the Marlins, you’re buying a baseball team, but you’re also buying a 3% stake in a very valuable tech company, and you’re buying about a 2% stake in an even more valuable tech company that already has a purchase agreement in place. And it’s not really clear that the players have much in the way of a legitimate claim to any of the money that baseball owners are generating from the investments in these tech companies.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 10, 2017 at 02:36 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, franchise valuation, marlins, mlbam

 

 

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