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Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Why PECOTA projections were so wrong about the Cubs

Before the 2019 season began, opinions on how the Chicago Cubs would rebound from a disappointing finish to 2018 were varied—but one stood out from the rest. PECOTA, Baseball Prospectus’ math-based system, pegged Chicago for 79 wins and a last-place finish in the NL Central. The same Cubs who had won 90-plus games in five consecutive seasons and were coming off a 95-win season. As you can imagine, this did not go over well in the Cubs clubhouse or throughout the Windy City.

Now flash forward a few months and the Cubs are sitting at 27-18 and on pace for a 97-win season, a far cry from that 79-victory campaign that PECOTA projected. So what gives? How could a projection system be this far off? Does this early-season success mean Chicago is going to outperform the formula all year or is a big-time pitching regression on the way? We enlisted ESPN’s Sam Miller and Jesse Rogers to look into it all.

 

Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: May 22, 2019 at 08:00 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: chicago cubs, fip, pecota

Wednesday, April 03, 2019

Here are 5 stats that basically sums up how disastrous the Cubs’ season has been so far

Sooooo how’d everyone’s weekend go?! Enjoying the return of baseball?!

There’s something about the Cubs’ IMMEDIATE descent into panic-mode that I find deeply respectable. Picking up right where they left off, and all that.

Things were bad in Texas, but things have been ugly in Atlanta. How bad? How ugly? Let’s jump right in

I don’t get it- how did the drunks who usually made up the Cubs fanbase get to be as obnoxious as the pseudo-intellectuals in the Red Sox fanbase so very fast?

 

QLE Posted: April 03, 2019 at 03:55 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, fip, the sky is falling, walks

 

 

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