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Wednesday, February 21, 2018

Rays move fast to fill RF void, strike 1-year, $4M deal with Carlos Gomez

A reasonable facsimile of Steven Souza and the Rays get a few other players. (PTBNL still waiting to be named. Keith Laws says, “The Rays can still come out ahead in this deal depending on who the players to be named are—I’m told they’re more than just throw-ins—but Souza, with three years remaining before free agency, is a big loss, and Banda and Solak alone don’t make up for it.”)

Jim Furtado Posted: February 21, 2018 at 03:05 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: carlos gomez, free agents, rays

Tuesday, February 20, 2018

Arizona Diamondbacks set to sign Jarrod Dyson | MLB.com

I’m a little surprised the Giants didn’t sign him.

A baseball source has confirmed the deal is worth $7.5 million [two years], and a source told MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand that Dyson’s deal includes performance bonuses each year: $50,000 at 100 and 125 games played; and $50,000 each at 350, 400 and 450 plate appearances.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 20, 2018 at 08:48 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks, free agents, jarrod dyson

Sunday, February 18, 2018

Eric Hosmer surprised Red Sox didn’t pursue him | The Kansas City Star

His actions don’t match Marrero’s info. If he really believed in himself and wanted to play for a contender, he would have signed a three- or four-year deal with a contender for a higher AAV. Hosmer’s priority, though, was clearly getting the most guaranteed money. I don’t begrudge him for it but, in the short term at least, he’ll be playing in a lot of meaningless games.

Now, the overall dollars on the deal aren’t bad. $21 million a year for five years then $39 million over the last three isn’t crazy. If he doesn’t decide to opt out after five years, though, the team could be locked into mediocrity (or worse) play out of the position. The Padres would then be in an Pujols situation. The worst part about the Albert Pujols deal isn’t the money he’s owed. It’s that the Angels feel compelled to play him. As a fan I’m not concerned about an owner making less money after signing an expensive guaranteed contract with a free agent; it’s having my team locked into a guy who stinks for an extended period.

On Sunday, Marrero told Boston media members that Hosmer was surprised the Red Sox didn’t push for his services.

“I mean, yeah,” Marrero told the Boston Globe. “He obviously wanted to play for a contender. That’s what everybody wants to do. And play for this great city, this great organization, which has a winning tradition. I mean, he would have loved to be here just like everyone else for sure.”

....

“He’s not that type of person,” Marrero told WEEI.com. “He’s the type of guy who wants what he wants and he’s going to get what he wants. He knows his value and he knew what he wanted and that was it. He kept working hard every day. He was the same old guy every day. We live together. We train together every day. Nothing was different. He just knew what he wanted and he was going to wait until he got it. ...

“There was nothing in him that was worrying him or anything like that. He knew he was going to get what he was going to get. I’m sure he’s happy making a decision, that’s why he waited so long. He’s not the type of person. He’s not the type who freaks out, who panics and stuff like that. He was cool as a cucumber. He handled it perfectly. He got bullied there a little bit at the beginning, but that didn’t faze him. He knew his worth and got what he deserved.”

That faith in himself paid off as Hosmer is getting an eight-year, $144 million contract with the Padres.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 18, 2018 at 02:27 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: eric hosmer, free agents, padres

Saturday, February 10, 2018

Yu Darvish signs with Cubs | MLB.com

Darvish turns 32 in August.

Darvish and the Cubs agreed to a six-year deal on Saturday that guarantees the right-hander $126 million, two sources told MLB.com’s Jon Paul Morosi and Carrie Muskat. The Cubs could not immediately confirm the signing because it was pending a physical exam.

Darvish’s $126 million contract would be the largest free-agent deal so far this offseason. Sources told MLB Network insider Ken Rosenthal that the contract includes incentives that could push its total value to $150 million, though Darvish would have to win multiple Cy Young Awards to reach that figure. The contract includes an opt-out clause and no-trade protection, ESPN’s Jerry Crasnick reported.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 10, 2018 at 06:09 PM | 66 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, free agents, yu darvish

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Latest On Red Sox, J.D. Martinez - MLB Trade Rumors

Yeah, right.

The staredown between J.D. Martinez and the Red Sox doesn’t appear to be all that close to ending. Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston spoke to agent Scott Boras Tuesday evening, with Boras making clear that his client is willing to wait until after the start of Spring Training to sign a contract. Meanwhile, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports (subscription required) that Martinez has become “fed up” with the lack of flexibility on Boston’s part and may actually prefer to sign with another club at this point.

“The dialogue is ongoing, we have not reached any kind of agreement,” Boras tells Drellich, noting that Martinez doesn’t necessarily need a full Spring Training to work himself into game shape. “Particularly for position players, these guys are in great shape, they’re ready to go.”

Jim Furtado Posted: February 07, 2018 at 09:28 AM | 49 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, j.d. martinez

Heyman | Boras Sees Too Much Of Past In Current State Of MLB

This is just bluster. First, the offers have been in the press. Second, as MLB gets complaints by the Players’ Association it needs the ability to verify whether the claims are true or not. Third, just like MLBPA and the agents have the right to take their case to the public, so does MLB.

Boras stopped short of using the word “collusion,” but took issue with MLB revealing in its statement of response that “some” nine-figure ($100+ million) offers have been turned down. The 1987 case won by the players regarding collusion resulted in a $280 million settlement paid after it was found owners were colluding.
...
Boras said the issue isn’t the existence of offers or non-offers but MLB reporting the offers as fact when they shouldn’t even know about them.  The league office doesn’t have the right to know of the offers, Boras said.

“I am also curious how a public statement communicated to all teams about offers on the table and players demanding too much money, from a central office that oversees, coordinates with and represents the 30 teams, is any different than the infamous ‘information bank’ in the 1980s,” Boras said.

Dan Halem, MLB’s lead negotiator and a deputy commissioner, pointedly responded to Boras’ remark, telling FanRag through a spokesman, “If Mr. Boras spent as much time working on getting his players signed as he does issuing inflammatory and unsubstantiated statements to the press, perhaps the events of this off-season would be different.”

Boras, responding to that, but ignoring the personal observation, noted, “So he did not deny the point.”

Jim Furtado Posted: February 07, 2018 at 09:13 AM | 54 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, collusion, free agents

Friday, February 02, 2018

Baseball payrolls could drop for first time in nearly a decade

It would mark the first drop in payroll at the beginning of a season since 2009, when salaries dipped 1.3 percent. Since then, they’ve risen on average 5.5 percent a year, exceeding the $4 billion mark on opening day last year. Currently, teams have committed around $3.78 billion – a 7 percent decline from last season. And while the eventual signings of top free agents Yu Darvish, J.D. Martinez, Eric Hosmer and Jake Arrieta will help bring that number closer to the $4 billion mark, the prospect of wage stagnation is another trend that troubles players as they consider how to voice their displeasure.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2018 at 09:18 PM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, free agents

MLB agent’s threatening tweet won’t alter the free agent market | SI.com

Not unexpectedly, a good take by Tom Verducci.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2018 at 08:48 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, free agents

Agent Brodie Van Wagenen Speaks Out On Stagnant Free-Agent Market - MLB Trade Rumors

Reportedly Hosmer has a seven-year $120+ million offer on the table, J.D. Martinez a five-year $125 million offer. The CBA doesn’t require teams to pay players what the players “think* they are worth.

On the pitchers side, starters are throwing less innings than ever. We’ve already witnessed an increased market for relievers this off-season. It stands to reason the starter market would be shrinking to balance out pitcher payrolls.

A lot of players aren’t signing because they don’t believe the offers are high enough. That’s their choice. Suggesting collusion is the reason the current offers don’t meet the players’ and agents’ expectations sounds more like an agent making an excuse for misjudging the market than anything factual.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2018 at 03:24 PM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: agents, cba, free agents

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Brandon Moss Weighs In On Offseason Pace, CBA - MLB Trade Rumors

Moss with some truth telling.

Moss said that the players have no one but themselves to blame.

“Everything that happens in the game of baseball, as far as how things are done financially, is bargained into a collective bargaining agreement,” says Moss. “The way free agency runs, the way draft money is allotted, the way international signing bonus is allotted. Everything is bargained.”

Jim Furtado Posted: February 01, 2018 at 09:48 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, free agents

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

MLB Buzz: Trade talk, deals and rumors

I’m not a hardcore anti-Hosmer guy. In the *right deal* he could be a quality acquisition. The deals he already has on the table, however, would be past my comfort zone, if I were the guy writing the checks.

Hosmer seeking deal longer than seven years
The representatives of free-agent first baseman Eric Hosmer have continuously been “pushing for a contract of more than seven years,” a source told MLB.com’s Jon Paul Morosi on Wednesday.

Morosi also notes that with the Royals dealing Brandon Moss to the A’s earlier in the week, Kansas City became a better fit to re-sign Hosmer, and the club’s “capacity to pay him” has increased.

Hosmer, 28, reportedly has a $140 million offer on the table from the Padres and a $147 million proposal from the Royals, but he is hoping a potential suitor might reach a bit higher.

The left-handed-hitting first baseman recorded a career-best batting line of .318/.385/.498 and tied a career high with 25 homers in 2017 with Kansas City. He also played in all 162 games last season and has appeared in at least 128 games in every season of his career.

Hosmer, taken with the No. 3 overall pick by the Royals in the 2008 Draft, is a .284/.342/.439 career hitter with 127 home runs and 566 RBIs in seven big league seasons, all of which have come with Kansas City.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 31, 2018 at 05:32 PM | 94 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, rumors

Tuesday, January 30, 2018

Updating 5 free agents who could sign soon

This has to be #fakenews. It doesn’t look like another free agent will ever sign with a team.

Slowest, most boring off-season ever.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 30, 2018 at 12:11 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Baseball’s Rumored Spring Training for Free Agents Has Happened Before - The Ringer

I remember 1995 well. It was a mess.

The union was capable of creating the camp—which at that time, really was without precedent, as far as Fehr knows—on short notice because it had already laid the groundwork for a more ambitious strike contingency plan. “The camp was originally never intended to be a camp,” says Price, who helped spearhead the MLBPA’s strike contingency plans, which started to coalesce in December ’94. Instead, the union intended to bring back a time-honored baseball tradition, the barnstorming tour. Selected players would form four teams—East, South, Central, and West—and play each other in weekend-only games in parks across the country (mostly minor league parks without MLB affiliations) for six to eight weeks, beginning in May. The union hired outside consultants to help secure the venues and an agency to sell sponsorships that would help fund the tour, which would also raise money for charity, including youth baseball programs, the Children’s Miracle Network, and the Baseball Assistance Team.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 30, 2018 at 07:51 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Friday, January 19, 2018

Why is J.D. Martinez’s big bat still available

Why should the Red Sox bid against themselves? If there was another team out there willing to bid higher, he would have signed already. Certainly a higher bid could eventually materialize but until that actually happens…

“If you’re Boras, J.D. and the Red Sox, there has to be some creativity involved to get a deal done,” the industry source said. “They’re a perfect match. They’re really the only match.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 19, 2018 at 09:11 AM | 48 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, j.d. martinez, red sox

Thursday, January 18, 2018

The Current MLB Free Agent Market - Perception vs Reality? | Jays From The Couch

A very interesting take on 2018 free agency.

Remember last year when the market for power bats collapsed and shocked many – including the Blue Jays front office? That was preceded by a couple of years where “lower quality” aging veterans had already been relegated to 1 year deals or even minor league contracts. Last winter it was more middle of the road players which were hit hard, and higher quality players like Edwin Encarnacion and Jose Bautista were impacted. The contract Jay Bruce just signed (3 years and $39 million) continues this trend. Remember in early November when Jay Bruce’s agent appeared to be “demanding” 5 years and $80-$90 million? Kind of like a real estate agent setting the price of a home based upon recent comps regardless of where the market has actually moved. The result of such a mis-judgement of a market? Inventories pile up until prices drop to the point where the market clears, and/or sellers begin to panic and start making the dreaded “bid wanted” calls.

In financial markets, there are times when liquidity literally evaporates. There are legendary stories from the crashes of 1906, 1929, 1987 and even the relatively recent global financial crisis in 2008. Owners of assets need to sell due to financial obligations and/or panic, and there is a rush of people in search for buyers and liquidity. By definition, by the end of a long bull market, most market participants are already similarly extended and not in positions of strength to offer the required liquidity. This is a particular problem when asset prices are driven to levels well above actual value, as the combination of overvalued assets and low liquidity, means that prices can drop rapidly – like from the 5 years and $150 million that Bautista reportedly demanded prior to the 2016 season, to the 1 year $19 million deal he ended up with. There have been times when an asset owner makes a call to get a price on their asset (think mortgage bonds in 2008) and the price quoted is 50% below the last trade, or literally no one picks up the phone on the other side!

Jim Furtado Posted: January 18, 2018 at 08:36 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, free agents

Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Rubbing Mud: The Evidence of Price Fixing We Have So Far - Baseball Prospectus

Time to get out the Reynolds Wrap.

Now we’re getting into something more sinister, even if it’s not something actionable. If there’s a kind of slotting system developing (however implicit it might be), then the owners are distorting the salary structure of the game, using their advancements in analytic intelligence and the new Collective Bargaining Agreement as cover. If good players with widely disparate skill sets and likely aging profiles are taking their talent to the market and finding an eerily similar, lower-than-expected amount of money waiting for them, something bad is going on.

By the time spring training games begin, this could all be behind us. It’s possible (and perhaps this should be highlighted more often) that owners are anticipating the $50 million windfall each will receive sometime in the next 90 days (thanks to the league’s sale of MLB Advanced Media, to Disney) and would prefer not to make their major expenditures until that money pours in. Maybe the Scott Boras effect is stronger than we think. (I already think it’s quite strong, and a better explanation for the state of the market than is generally understood.) If we look around this summer and find that the market never heated up, though, and that the cost of a win on the free agent market has significantly sagged, remember these similar deals and offers and consider that the evidence of price fixing (even if it be passive price fixing) might be stronger than we think.

The longer this lasts doesn’t prove anything. If I’m Dave Dombrowski and J.D. Martinez hasn’t signed, why would I increase my offer? If it’s me, it just reinforces my belief that I don’t have to exceed my comfort level. This goes for every other team as well. It’s a new trend; it doesn’t have to be planned or coordinated.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2018 at 11:44 AM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, free agents

Thursday, January 11, 2018

Heyman | Red Sox And JD Martinez Remain In Stalemate

Six years at $30 million per? I’d rather see the Sox put that money toward getting another Manny.

Top free-agent slugger J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox have been engaged in a staredown/stalemate for weeks. And judging by Martinez’s commitment to the cause, it may go on quite awhile longer.

Miami acquaintances of Martinez say he is willing to “hold out,” certainly into spring training, for what he believes should be his market value. The Red Sox have offered Martinez a five-year deal, and sources suggest at least one other has, too.

The Diamondbacks still have Martinez atop their list as well, and while a D-backs person suggested he didn’t believe an official five-year offer was extended, it’s hard to imagine them still being in it for less, and they are in it.

In any case, word coming out of Miami is that Martinez, 30, believes it appropriate that he get a six-year deal. It isn’t known what kind of total dollars the Red Sox, Diamondbacks and maybe others are offering (the Jays also have been showing interest and met with Martinez at the Winter Meetings), but sources suggest that Martinez is seeking $30 million-plus annually — $200 million if he can get it but at least $180 million, following his boffo season, first in Detroit and then Arizona.

The interested teams are believed offering somewhere in the $120 million to $150 million range (yes, that’s a big range, but the offers to this point are unknown). So it’s believed he’s in the neighborhood of around $50 million short of the asking price at present. That sounds like a lot.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 09:40 AM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, j.d. martinez

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Todd Frazier’s message for Yankees, Mets and MLB: I’m worth it | New York Post

He should be looking for a pillow deal.

Frazier posted a .222/.365/.423 slash line in 66 games with the Yankees after coming over from the White Sox in a trade.

“It’s going to be a new, revitalized me,” he said. “I want to prove that I’m worth it. I want to be prepared and be the leader I can be on the field. I know whatever team I do fit with, they’re going to get the best Todd Frazier they are ever going to have because I want to play better. I want to get my average up. I have a lot of goals set for myself. Whenever we figure out what team we are going to go with, it’s going to be a lot of fun because I’m going to get these guys going as much as I am going to get myself going.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:18 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, todd frazier

Lorenzo Cain likely to age gracefully

Petriello’s comps:
Garret Anderson
Mike Cameron
Brett Gardner
Curtis Granderson
Torii Hunter
Andruw Jones
Kenny Lofton
Reggie Sanders
Shane Victorino
Randy Winn

Baseball Reference’s most similar players.
Similar Batters through 31
Marlon Byrd (968.0)
Angel Pagan (967.0)
Roy Weatherly (965.0)
Al Zarilla (958.7)
Johnny Grubb (957.3)
Dave Robertson (950.6)
Lee Maye (950.1)
Ira Flagstead (947.8)
Frank Catalanotto (947.1)
Fred Schulte (947.0)

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:33 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, lorenzo cain, similarity scores

Friday, January 05, 2018

Inside Baseball | Where Top 10 MLB Free Agents Stand In Slow Market

Will teams be able to stay disciplined to their evaluations?

2. J.D. MARTINEZ
The Red Sox did indeed offer a five-year deal, as Nightengale reported. But word is there are other five-year offers. So while they seem like the logical landing spot, as the richest team in the mix (the Diamondbacks, Blue Jays and perhaps the Giants are the others known to be at least dabbling in the derby), they probably can’t be called the bona-fide favorite unless they go to six years, which might have the potential to carry the day.

The D-Backs are known to be willing to go to nine figures, too, but they may be constricted by their inability to deal Zack Greinke, who at this point makes three times more than any of his teammates. The Blue Jays have quietly been in the mix, while the Giants are seen as more likely to look for a more cost-efficient outfield alternative after spending on third baseman Evan Longoria.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 07:39 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Is Eric Hosmer bidding war overblown?

You need two teams to have a bidding war. At least you need one team to believe there are two teams.

The largest contract the Royals have given was the $72 million they gave to Alex Gordon, a stifling contract that—as the Royals head into rebuilding mode—stands as a hard reminder of what can happen when you let your heart guide your decisions.

None of this really stands up to reason. The only explanations I can come up with are:
1. Agent Scott Boras is some sort of James Bond villain supergenius.
2. Some people really, really, really like Eric Hosmer.
3. The bidding war report is overblown.

There are reasons to at least partially accept each explanation.

Boras can be a Bond supervillain; he’s blown up the moon before for players. This is a guy who got Prince Fielder more than $200 million as the slugger headed into his 30s. This is a guy who got Barry Zito the largest contract given to a pitcher, just as he was coming off three average seasons. He certainly has a lot more to work with with Hosmer.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 05, 2018 at 07:35 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: eric hosmer, free agents

Tuesday, January 02, 2018

MLB Buzz: Trade talk, deals and rumors

Is this Boras just priming the pump?

J.D. Martinez, regarded as the best hitter available on the free-agent market, has a five-year offer on the table from the Red Sox, according to USA TODAY Sports.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 02, 2018 at 04:58 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, j.d. martinez, red sox

MLB hot stove: Cold-hearted economics freeze out elite free agents

Sure, that will end sometime before the start of the season. All-Star first baseman Eric Hosmer has a seven-year offer from the San Diego Padres, which would make him the highest-paid player in franchise history. Outfielder J.D. Martinez has a five-year offerfrom the Boston Red Sox. Yet, neither have signed a contract.

The top two starting pitchers, Yu Darvish and Jake Arrieta, have been wined and dined, but still haven’t found a team willing to meet that six- or seven-year asking price.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 02, 2018 at 02:32 PM | 70 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Friday, December 29, 2017

Wade Davis signs 3-year deal with Rockies | MLB.com

The club has not confirmed the deal, which was first reported by Yahoo Sports’ Jeff Passan. But Davis has passed a physical, per Harding, so the deal could be announced at any time.

Davis’ deal is for three years and worth $52 million, making it the highest per-year salary ever for a reliever. It also includes a $15 million vesting option for 2021 that would make it a four-year, $66 million deal if Davis finishes 30 games in ‘20; otherwise, the option becomes a mutual option with a $1 million buyout. Davis will earn $16 million in ‘18, $18 million in ‘19 and $17 million in ‘20.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 29, 2017 at 12:13 PM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, rockies, wade davis

Thursday, November 16, 2017


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