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Friday, July 21, 2017

Do Teams Still Overpay for Free Agents from Other Teams?

Fascinatingly, the OPP Premium for pitchers has completely disappeared and reversed itself, while the OPP Premium for hitters has increased. I suspect that this is just a function of limited sample sizes, but it could also be a case of the market overcorrecting for the risk of signing other team’s pitchers.]

I think the best evidence is that teams have gotten smarter about signing free agents from other teams, and the market has become more efficient as a result. While it is difficult to say for sure due to sample sizes, the marked decline in OPP Premium for pitchers in particular suggests teams now consider the information asymmetry when targeting free agents.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 21, 2017 at 12:07 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Tuesday, June 06, 2017

Ringolsby lists seven under the radar signings | MLB.com

Mediocre starter becomes good reliever. Who could see something like that happening?

Angels right-hander Bud Norris signed a $1.75 million deal with the idea he could be a swingman, but injuries opened up late-inning opportunities. Norris finally earned his first save on April 20. Beginning with that game, he is 10-for-11 in save situations. He has allowed only six earned runs in 20 1/3 innings over 22 appearances, striking out 27 and giving up only 11 hits.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 06, 2017 at 06:56 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Scouting Shohei Otani

A fairly detailed look at Shohei Otani:

Do scouts for MLB teams think Otani can be a two-way player? For four out of five scouts, there was some hemming and hawing. They all like him as a batter – especially the left-handed power. They all love him as a pitcher. The fifth scout, though, is willing to dream.

“I’ve never said this about a player, but I believe he can be a two-way player,” the scout said. “There are good-hitting pitchers like Madison Bumgarner and Greg Maddux, but this guy is a legitimate offensive threat. How you balance his pitching and his hitting … that’s where it really comes down to a general manager and a manager and ownership. How much do you want to risk your ace pitcher running the bases or taking at-bats? But from an evaluation standpoint, this guy … if he was on my team, he’d be the fastest baserunner, he’d have the most raw power. I absolutely feel this guy can hit on a daily basis. Or if you wanted … you can pick-and-choose when you’d DH him or pinch hit him. But absolutely, this guy can be a two-way player. If anyone can do it, he’s the one.”

Lots of interesting stuff, but all anonymous. RTFA.


Sunday, March 19, 2017

So many of MLB’s 2015-16 megadeals are in deep trouble | New York Post

Who could have seen this coming?

Jim Furtado Posted: March 19, 2017 at 10:08 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Tuesday, February 28, 2017

The 10 Best Bargains of the MLB Offseason

Of course, the reason Nova had to settle for a pedestrian contract in a barren starting pitching landscape is the very qualifier from that paragraph: He threw only 64.2 innings with the Pirates, which did little to counter his perception after he spread 729 inconsistent innings across seven seasons with the Yankees. Nova’s talent is undeniable, but his performance is undeniably frustrating, and his stale market made it apparent that teams don’t trust the tall righty outside Pittsburgh, where pitching coach–slash-magician Ray Searage turned him into a strike-throwing, run-preventing marvel.

Maybe the key to his success is as simple as throwing more strikes. In Pittsburgh, Nova stayed in the zone more often than any time since his rookie year, and he had the highest first-strike rate of his career. Even if he sticks as a midrotation arm, the going rate for a no. 3 starter is greater than the $8-plus million Nova is due in the coming years, making the Pirates’ investment in his second-half gains a reasonable gamble.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 28, 2017 at 03:18 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, ivan nova, matt joyce, steve pearce

Saturday, February 11, 2017

Dodgers agree to bring back Chase Utley | MLB.com

The Dodgers continued a flurry of late free-agent additions Friday night by agreeing to a one-year contract with veteran Chase Utley. Earlier in the day, they agreed to a deal with outfielder Franklin Gutierrez on the heels of an agreement for reliever Sergio Romo.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 11, 2017 at 03:40 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: chase utley, dodgers, free agents

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Why is veteran catcher Matt Wieters still on the free-agent market? | FOX Sports

Catch Rosenthal shilling for Boras.

Cue the chorus:

“Boras,” the agent’s critics will say, “is asking for too much money.”

Well, yes. That’s Boras’ job — to get the best deals he can for his players.

The case of Wieters, though, is even more curious than most.

No, Ken, I don’t think the situation is more complicated than Wieters’ asking price is higher than what teams are willing to pay him.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 09, 2017 at 07:55 AM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, matt wieters

Saturday, February 04, 2017

“Hope” the operative term as Rays prepare to report to camp | Tampa Bay Times

Wieters and Gutierrez are big bats?

One of the remaining big bats on the market — headlined by Matt Wieters, Chris Carter, Mike Napoli and, less so, Franklin Gutierrez — is willing to sign on, putting opportunity ahead of potentially more dollars elsewhere; or they make a trade, to add some needed offense after the trade of Logan Forsythe.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2017 at 09:53 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, rays

Friday, February 03, 2017

Does baseball still dig the long ball?

A lot of good stuff in Jayson Stark’s latest.

What’s happening now is something that smart sim players figured out years ago. That’s because when you play a sim, it was easy enough to quantify fielding. With the Statcast stuff, it’s now possible for teams to realistically quantify defense. As expected, this development fundamentally changes the way teams value players.

Regarding the conclusion of Stark’s article, home runs are great and entertaining, nothing drives revenues more than a winning team. So, although chicks might still dig the longball, they dig winning teams even more.

It’s especially possible, because this is still the entertainment business, right? And for the past 90 years, nothing about baseball has ever managed to provide more entertainment than the sight of baseballs floating through the sky, on the way to landing where nobody can catch them. But does that even matter anymore?

“Let me put it this way,” said one of the execs quoted earlier, with a laugh, when we laid out that very argument. “God bless the entertainment business. But we’re here to win baseball games.”

Jim Furtado Posted: February 03, 2017 at 08:08 AM | 36 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Wednesday, February 01, 2017

Big MLB free agents signed late in offseason | MLB.com

With pitchers and catchers to begin reporting to Spring Training in two weeks, most of the offseason’s wheeling and dealing has been done.

But since the advent of free agency in 1976, there have been several notable signings made on Feb. 1 or later that paid large dividends for the clubs that made them. Could we see that again in 2017? It’s possible with the likes of Matt Wieters, Chris Carter, Mike Napoli, Chase Utley and Jason Hammel still out there for the taking.

With that in mind, here’s a ranking of the 10 best free-agent signings made after the start of February, taking into account regular season and postseason performance, as well as length of service with the club.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 01, 2017 at 07:08 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Friday, January 27, 2017

Rosenthal: Bullpen action starting to heat up

Agents for the top two remaining free-agent left-handers, Jerry Blevins and Boone Logan, are signaling to teams that the pitchers will secure deals of at least two years and $12 million.

*The Blue Jays are trying to add two relievers, a lefty to replace Brett Cecil and a righty as well. Signing one such pitcher for bigger money — say, Blevins or right-hander Joe Blanton — could limit the team’s options.

*The Indians continue to explore the market, and bullpen coach Jason Bere was one of two representatives from the team to watch Craig Breslow’s throwing session on Monday, according to a scout in attendance. Breslow impressed scouts by throwing at a lower arm slot. The Mets and Dodgers each had two officials attend the session as well, and the Jays and Cubs were among the other clubs represented.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: January 27, 2017 at 11:01 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: boone logan, free agents, jerry blevins, relievers

Bullpen action starting to heat up | FOX Sports

The clock is ticking.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 27, 2017 at 01:33 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents

Wednesday, January 25, 2017

Rockies agree to deal with Greg Holland | MLB.com

The Rockies and two-time All-Star righty reliever Greg Holland are closing in on a one-year deal with a vesting option for a second year, pending a physical, according to various media reports that were confirmed by a baseball source.

The Rockies have not announced the pending agreement and declined to comment, and the timetable on the physical is unclear. BSN Denver was first to report the deal, along with FanRag Sports and Yahoo! Sports. Financial terms were not immediately known, but a Major League source said the deal is for $7 million.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 25, 2017 at 06:20 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, greg holland, rockies

 

 

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