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Thursday, November 20, 2014

Examining our assumptions about Pablo Sandoval

It’s dangerous using run-based park factors in projecting a batter’s performance in a new park. Some hitters are particularly suited for specific parks. From what I’ve seen I’d expect him to get a pretty nice boast coming to Fenway.

(Sandoval should expect a boost in his numbers if he moves from AT&T Park in San Francisco to Fenway Park — but not as much as you might think. Sandoval’s adjusted OPS+ last season was 111, the same as that of Brett Gardner, who posted a .749 OPS in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. That probably gives you an idea of how Sandoval’s numbers should be viewed. A .739 OPS doesn’t become an .800 OPS just by changing stadiums.)

Jim Furtado Posted: November 20, 2014 at 07:52 AM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

Monday, November 17, 2014

Interactive 2014 World Series Probability Added Chart Reflects Mad Bum’s Dominance | Rational Pastime

Tom Tango calls Win Probability Added the ultimate “story stat.” By combining FanGraphs’ WPA and my World Series Projections, I aim to depict and uncover the stories of the 2014 World Series in the same way.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 17, 2014 at 07:17 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, madison bumgarner, sabermetrics

BtBS: The 2015 Hall of Fame ballot—first-time candidates

Four players deserve some discussion. I’m not even going to waste space on Randy Johnson since his induction is such a foregone conclusion. He is quite likely the last 300-win pitcher baseball will ever see (for those who care), and my only interest will be in the tortured excuses from voters who don’t list Johnson on their ballots. Likewise, I discussed Pedro Martinez at some length a couple weeks ago.

Gary Sheffield and John Smoltz will generate significant discussion.

bobm Posted: November 17, 2014 at 02:30 AM | 84 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Alvin Dark dies — former Giants shortstop, manager, mentor of Willie Mays

Alvin Dark, manager of two Bay Area World Series teams and captain of the 1951 New York Giants who made a legendary comeback to beat the Brooklyn Dodgers for the National League pennant, died early this morning at his home in Easley, S.C.

He was 92.

“He just simply died of old age,” said his son, Gene Dark. “He did not suffer. He did not linger. He died in his sleep.”

Dudefella Posted: November 13, 2014 at 04:42 PM | 24 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, giants, obituary

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

Boston Red Sox making big push to sign free agent Pablo Sandoval - ESPN Boston

While there have been reports, most notably from Buster Olney of ESPN.com, that the San Francisco Giants are optimistic about re-signing Pablo Sandoval and that a deal could happen soon, an executive with another major league club said Tuesday that the Red Sox are “all in” on the free-agent third baseman and are making a big push to sign him.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 11, 2014 at 09:11 PM | 57 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

Sunday, November 09, 2014

Ex-Tiger Lolich: No comparison between me and Bumgarner

“Pitching three complete games in a World Series is, you know, is sort of a great feat,” Lolich said.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 09, 2014 at 09:12 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, madison bumgarner, mickey lolich, tigers

Friday, November 07, 2014

Pablo Sandoval wants at least a six-year contract | HardballTalk

Six years is pretty funny. Should an agent really start off the free agent season by trying to scare off teams?

Talked to Sandoval’s agent, Gustavo Vasquez. Sandoval wants at least 6 years. At 28, length of deal more important than last

Jim Furtado Posted: November 07, 2014 at 02:34 PM | 69 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, giants, pablo sandoval

Thursday, November 06, 2014

Five MLB execs who will shape the offseason. | SportsonEarth.com : Richard Justice

We have the dynamics for a fascinating offseason in place.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 06, 2014 at 08:17 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, dodgers, free agents, general managers, giants, red sox, yankees

Two Unrecognized Hall of Fame Shortstops

In the next part of this article, we’ll walk through the latest DRA estimate, showing Derek Jeter made approximately 450 fewer successful fielding plays that an average-fielding shortstop playing in his place would have fielded and converted into outs. Jeter played 2,674 defensive games at short. A player playing nearly every game per season, say, 150 games, plays 6 games a week, so Jeter played close to 450 “weeks” at short.

The easiest way, then, to put Derek Jeter’s defense into perspective is to recognize that he allowed, on average, about an extra single a week throughout his career: something that nobody could ever notice and keep track of in their head simply by watching him play.

And, as we shall see, with the exception of his first full-time season and a highly intriguing interlude of three seasons at the beginning of the second half of his career, Jeter’s rate of allowing more singles than an average shortstop would have each season was almost exactly the same and almost exactly as consistent year to year as his rate of hitting more singles than an average batter would each season.

Michael A. Humphreys Posted: November 06, 2014 at 04:48 PM | 47 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

Tuesday, November 04, 2014

‘Big Red’ GM makes intriguing case for Hall of Fame | MLB.com

An architect of one of baseball’s greatest teams.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 04, 2014 at 07:54 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

Monday, November 03, 2014

Minnie Minoso: Hall of Fame Worthy

There is a quote on the wall in the third floor of the Baseball Hall of Fame from Minnie that says, “I gave my life to the game. And the game gave me everything.” I think the game owes him one last thing, and I think it’s time he got it.

DL from MN Posted: November 03, 2014 at 04:46 PM | 53 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

Saturday, November 01, 2014

Giants’ foundation rock solid with architect Sabean | MLB.com

Shortly after Brian Sabean became general manager of the Giants, he orchestrated a trade that was arguably one of the most unpopular in franchise history. He sent third-base fan favorite Matt Williams to the Cleveland Indians in a deal that brought back at the time little-known second baseman Jeff Kent, infielder Jose Vizcaino and reliever Julian Tavarez.

The outrage among the folks in the Bay Area, including the media, was so strong that Sabean finally called a news conference to explain, “I’m not an idiot.’‘
And 18 years later, he has proven it.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 01, 2014 at 08:07 AM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: brian sabean, giants

Friday, October 31, 2014

Deadline: World Series Ratings: Game 7 Scores Home Run For Fox

the most watched show on TV this year. Baseball is dead.

By far the best result of this year’s World Series, last night’s game is way, way up a stellar 70% from the 8.9/14 metered market results of Tuesday’s 8 PM – 11:30 PM Game 6. And with what looks to be the network’s best non-NFL rating in more than 3 years, Fox must be pretty happy that the last game of the third World Series win in 5-years by the Giants is steady with the World Series 2014 logoovernight results of the last World Series Game 7 back on October 28, 2011. That fall classic between the victorious St. Louis Cardinals and the Texas Rangers got a 16.2/28 in MM ratings – just a 6% difference with this year in a very different TV landscape. The only other times that the World Series has gone seven games in the 13 years that Fox has exclusively had the diamond battles was in 2001 and 2002. That latter game between the Giants and the winning Anaheim Angels saw a now almost unimaginable 19.8/28 MM rating.

After the lowest rated World Series on record so far, Fox really needed last night’s unexpected Game 7 to turn things around and have America’s pastime grab America’s eyeballs. With smaller market and wild card teams making up the match-up and most of the games’ blowouts, the series and Fox distinctly suffered. Not only was it down from the sturdy numbers of 2013 but this year’s World Series also dipped from the 4-game series of 2012, which had been a record low.

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Game 7 only drew 50% more viewers than the most watched show on TV this year. Baseball is dead.

By far the best result of this year’s World Series, last night’s game is way, way up a stellar 70% from the 8.9/14 metered market results of Tuesday’s 8 PM – 11:30 PM Game 6. And with what looks to be the network’s best non-NFL rating in more than 3 years, Fox must be pretty happy that the last game of the third World Series win in 5-years by the Giants is steady with the World Series 2014 logoovernight results of the last World Series Game 7 back on October 28, 2011. That fall classic between the victorious St. Louis Cardinals and the Texas Rangers got a 16.2/28 in MM ratings – just a 6% difference with this year in a very different TV landscape. The only other times that the World Series has gone seven games in the 13 years that Fox has exclusively had the diamond battles was in 2001 and 2002. That latter game between the Giants and the winning Anaheim Angels saw a now almost unimaginable 19.8/28 MM rating.

After the lowest rated World Series on record so far, Fox really needed last night’s unexpected Game 7 to turn things around and have America’s pastime grab America’s eyeballs. With smaller market and wild card teams making up the match-up and most of the games’ blowouts, the series and Fox distinctly suffered. Not only was it down from the sturdy numbers of 2013 but this year’s World Series also dipped from the 4-game series of 2012, which had been a record low.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 31, 2014 at 09:05 AM | 45 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, tv ratings, world seres

NY Times: In Rare Film, White Sox Before They Were Black Sox

The second segment is a series of “close-ups” of [1917 NL pennant winning] Giants filmed at the Polo Grounds. McGraw looked grimly at the camera and doffed his cap. Pitcher Ferdie Schupp was described on-screen as “the best twirler in the game;” right fielder Dave Robertson was said to “cover as much territory as a three-ring circus;” and the multisport star Jim Thorpe was introduced as the “Indian all-’round world champ.”

Click through for film excerpt.

bobm Posted: October 31, 2014 at 12:03 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: film, giants, history, white sox

Thursday, October 30, 2014

A Visit to Madison Bumgarner Country, and a Proud Father’s Home - NYTimes.com

Read this.

Just before midnight Wednesday, I walked up a darkened driveway to a brick home along a rural lane. A linebacker-size man with a shaved pate swung opened the door, peered at me and loosed a soft, celebratory howl.

“Wooooooooooo.”

The man, Kevin Bumgarner, trundled back into his living room, waving at me to follow. He eased into his recliner, where he’d spent the last three hours in the highest of high anxiety, watching as the San Francisco Giants beat the Kansas City Royals and claimed the World Series title.

He had more than a normal rooting interest. His son, Madison, the best postseason pitcher on the planet, plays for the Giants. And this night Madison had pitched five innings and earned the save.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 30, 2014 at 02:52 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, madison bumgarner

Madison Bumgarner, World Series legend - McCovey Chronicles

It’s all Madison Bumgarner.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 30, 2014 at 06:35 AM | 103 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, madison bumgarner, world series

Statcast: Butler chugs home

Statcast isn’t just for the burners.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 30, 2014 at 06:29 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, statcast, world series

Bumgarner extraordinary as Giants claim decade | CSN Bay Area

“You know what?” he said with that knowing smile. “I can’t lie to you anymore. I’m a little tired now.”

Hell to the yes, he is. So he’ll wave with his right hand at the parade. So he’ll skip a few chores back home. So he’ll ease into spring training. The extraordinary comes with a price, and he cheerfully paid full retail for a moment this sport hasn’t seen since Catfish Hunter, Mickey Lolich, Koufax and Bob Gibson. He thought he might be a bridge from Jeremy Affeldt to Santiago Casilla Wednesday night. Instead, he is a bridge between eras, and a monument in a town that knows how to surround its ballpark with them.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 30, 2014 at 06:26 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, world series

Old shortstop, fireman help Giants get critical out in Game 7 | CSN Bay Area

Dunston and Chop had several angles on the play in the third inning. Second baseman Joe Panik stretched every fiber while diving to knock down Eric Hosmer’s hard grounder, he flipped with his glove to Brandon Crawford and first baseman Brandon Belt made the stretch. The replays were extremely close, but one angle showed a bulge in Belt’s glove from where the baseball made contact while Hosmer’s fingers were millimeters from touching the base.

“I said, ‘OK, OK, he’s out. Let’s go for it,’” Dunston said. “And we did that together.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 30, 2014 at 06:06 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

San Francisco Giants at Kansas City Royals - October 29, 2014 | MLB.com Box

When he first came out of the pen I thought things were going to go into the crapper. I was wrong. Bumgarner was awesome. Congrats to the Giants and their fans.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 11:23 PM | 92 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

On a wild ride to Game 7, these Royals super fans are the cat’s meow - Yahoo Sports

I hate it when fans get catty.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 09:06 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Nobody knows anything about Game 7 | FOX Sports

The most insightful, accurate pregame prediction that I’ve read all day. Great job, Rob!

Later today, I’m sure I’ll be overcome by the impulse to cogitate, to calculate, and finally to prognosticate. But while we know an immense amount of things about these teams, literally more than we’ve ever known about any two sports teams before athe biggest of games, nobody knows anything the actual Biggest Game.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 02:23 PM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Second-guessing ends for managers in World Series Game 7 | SportsonEarth.com : Will Leitch

Although I agree that process is important, the critiquing of every managerial move has gotten out of hand.

Jim Caple of ESPN thinks so, arguing earlier this week that all we’re doing when we’re yelling at Ned Yost or Mike Matheny is creating senseless noise, that it’s the players who decide this, not the managers. As he put it: “Can we please have a moratorium on ripping every single managerial move, including the ones that work out?” The opposing argument, nicely elucidated by Joe Sheehan in his indispensible baseball newsletter, argues that it doesn’t matter what the results are, that all you can evaluate, and all that matters is the process. If Royals manager Ned Yost makes a dumb move and it works out anyway, that doesn’t change the fact that it’s a dumb move.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 06:54 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Game 7 fitting end to perfectly strange World Series | CSN Bay Area

I have become a bigger fan of Ray Ratto this postseason. He’s a funny guy.

“There’s a lot of managers out there, and I understand that,” official manager Bruce Bochy said when asked a circuitous question about the Twitteratii, “but this guy just pitched. He’s going to be on two days’ rest. He just threw a complete game. Our confidence in Huddy. But you know, this guy is human. I mean, you can’t push him that much . . . so when they Tweet you, just tell them that.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 06:44 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

Royal flush turns World Series into 7-game stud | MLB.com

What’s the over/under on how many innings Herrera, Davis, and Holland pitch tonight?

Jim Furtado Posted: October 29, 2014 at 05:19 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, royals, world series

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