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Home Run Derby Newsbeat

Tuesday, July 15, 2014

Brisbee: Figuring out the Inside the Park Home Run Derby

There are all sorts of ways the Derby could be improved, of course. Just ask someone, they’ll tell you. Suggestions range from “Not having it” to “Not televising it,” though I’m partial to something like a Double Dare obstacle course. Hide the baseball in a gigantic nose with fake boogers, and make David Wright have to find it before he can hit it over the fence.

...

But what about an Inside the Park Home Run Derby? I’m not the first person with the idea, nor I will be the last. But I can’t get it out of my head. The inside-the-park homer is much rarer than the outside-the-park homer, and it’s far less galooty. In theory, everyone would rather see an inside-the-park homer, given the chance.

Would be better than the Celebrity Softball Game, at least.


Saturday, June 28, 2014

BtBS: The Home Run Derby doesn’t affect some types of hitters more

We keep hearing, though, that players whose swings aren’t built for home runs are particularly susceptible to getting out of whack because of a Derby. Is that true? Albert Pujols and Joe Mauer suffered wOBA drops in 2009 (.046 and .027, respectively), and other hitters who aren’t necessarily thought of as power-first guys have made up a pretty big chunk of the group of 40.

Taking the leap that power-first guys are also pull-first guys, I computed the percentage of the time that each of the 40 Derby participants hit the ball to their pull field (“Pull%”), as well as the percentage of the time that they batted the ball to the opposite field (“Oppo%”).

The results: there’s no evidence to suggest that all-fields hitters are more susceptible to a post-Derby slump than pull hitters.

bobm Posted: June 28, 2014 at 10:05 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: home run derby, regression to the mean

 

 

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