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Friday, November 17, 2017

Fangraphs: Let’s Make One Thing Absolutely Clear About Aaron Judge

Click the link for a rather compelling graphic beyond my ability to embed, as well as additional data, but the conclusion is:

Judge hits the ball the hardest. The point that’s less obvious: That means Judge gets to play by his own rules. Strikeouts don’t mean for him what they would for someone else, because Judge doesn’t need a low strikeout rate to be good. He doesn’t need a low strikeout rate to be terrific. He doesn’t even need a low strikeout rate to be a deserving league MVP. Statcast has revealed the whole truth of Aaron Judge, and the truth is that, at least in the American League, he is one of a kind. That might make it harder to see the future, but then, maybe, it doesn’t make it harder at all.

And he just might cut down on those strikeouts.

The Yankee Clapper Posted: November 17, 2017 at 12:34 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron judge, exit velocity, home runs, new york yankees, statcast

Friday, September 29, 2017

Aaron Judge’s 51st HR Ties Babe Ruth For Most Yankee HRs At Home

Anytime you’re tied with Babe Ruth in a HR category, you’re doing pretty well:

The homer was Judge’s 32nd in 75 games at Yankee Stadium, tying Babe Ruth’s 1921 tally at the Polo Grounds for the most homers hit at home in a single season by a Yankee.

By working his AL-leading 125th walk later in the contest, Judge became the third player in history, age 25 or younger, with at least 125 runs and 125 walks in a season. Judge joined Ruth (1920, age 25) and Ted Williams (1941 and ‘42, ages 22 and 23) in that select group.
.  .  .
As the Yankees gear up for October, Judge is enjoying his best month of the season. His career-long hitting streak has reached 11 games, and Judge has reached base safely in 23 straight games, the second-longest streak of his career. He is batting .329/.486/.961 (25-for-76) with 14 homers, 29 RBIs and 26 walks during the streak. Judge also has an extra-base hit in each of his past eight games.

Three games left to break the record.

The Yankee Clapper Posted: September 29, 2017 at 03:21 AM | 128 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron judge, babe ruth, home runs, new york yankees, yankee stadium

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Dodgers’ Cody Bellinger sets NL rookie home-run record with 39th

Bellinger breaks the NL rookie home run record in the same game the Dodgers clinch their 5th straight division title. And he’s still got 8 games left to pad the record.

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: September 23, 2017 at 01:35 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: cody bellinger, dodgers, home runs, rookie of the year

Wednesday, September 20, 2017

This is baseball’s home run breaking point | New York Post

Breaking point?

And this?

And, let’s not be naïve, chemists somewhere have cooked up strengthening concoctions that currently evade MLB’s testing for illegal performance enhancers.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 20, 2017 at 03:42 PM | 42 comment(s)
  Beats: home runs

Tuesday, September 05, 2017

The unlikely story of how No. 762 became Barry Bonds final home run

At that point, Bonds had homered every 16 plate appearances for the season and had played in 84 percent of the Giants’ games. With 22 games remaining on the schedule (plus the rest of the current game), he’d likely bat about 75 more times. The chances of Bonds going homerless in 75 consecutive plate appearances were a tick less than one in a hundred.

 

Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: September 05, 2017 at 05:22 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: barry bonds, collusion, home runs

Wednesday, August 30, 2017

The year of the home run in MLB is reaching a very rare milestone

Let us bury no ledes: At some point on Tuesday night, we’ll very likely see the 5,000th home run in Major League Baseball this season. If that strikes you as a lofty tally, that’s with good reason. That’s because it’s a lofty tally. Shall we explore this matter further? Lo, we shall explore this matter further ...
5,000 home runs has happened before but not often.
Going into Tuesday night’s packed slate, MLB hitters have combined for 4,979 home runs. So, yes, at this writing it’s probably a matter of hours. As it turns out, we’ve reached this threshold before. Specifically, we’ve topped 5,000 homers in 11 seasons, all of which have been since 1998. Yes, it’s a growth economy for homers and has been for some time. Probably by the time the West Coast games start on Tuesday night, we’ll have added a 12th season to that list.

Meatwad Posted: August 30, 2017 at 02:57 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: 73, bonds, home runs, stanton

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Pitchers Are (Slowly) Adapting To The Home Run Spike | FiveThirtyEight

But for every hole in the zone that the league’s batters close, another one opens. “It goes in waves, the pitching changes its philosophy, and the hitting changes up, and the pitching adjusts, and on and on,” Baker said. With batters adopting uppercut swings to generate loft even on low pitches, it stands to reason that pitchers could go even higher in response. Previous research has shown that when a fly-ball hitter meets a high strike, the result is often a popup or weak contact. I looked at the median height of all four-seam fastballs month by month to see whether pitchers are giving that strategy a try.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 25, 2017 at 08:53 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: home runs

Friday, June 30, 2017

June sees greatest number of home runs in 1 month in MLB history

Smoak’s home run was the 1,070th across the majors in June, breaking the previous mark set in May 2000…..

The 2000 season had 5,693 home runs overall—the most of any MLB campaign. This year’s pace of 6,139 would smash that record.

Entering Friday, the New York Yankees’ Aaron Judge (27) and Los Angeles Dodgers’ Cody Bellinger (24)—both in the midst of phenomenal rookie campaigns—lead their respective leagues in home runs this season.

There has been at least one player with a multihomer game on all but one day this month (June 27).

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 30, 2017 at 11:24 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: dongs, home runs, juiced ball

Monday, June 26, 2017

Record homers, strikeouts show something not adding up in MLB | Fort Worth Star-Telegram

It sucks when our gods stumble.

No one is safe. The best pitcher in the game, the Dodgers’ Clayton Kershaw, already has allowed 17 homers. Masahiro Tanaka of the Yankees, who pitched against the Rangers on Friday night, has given up 21.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 26, 2017 at 06:25 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: home runs

Monday, June 12, 2017

WaPo: Fancy Stats: Today’s Yankees Are A Modern-Day Murderers’ Row

The Yankees have 14 games in which they hit three or more home runs this season, the most in franchise history over the first 60 games of the season. And this year’s squad also has three five-homer games in 2017, the most in the majors. This season, the Yankees have 102 home runs in 60 games, putting them on pace for 275 home runs over a 162-game season, which, if sustained, would eclipse the major league record set by the 1997 Seattle Mariners (264). The most ever by the Yankees was in 2012 (245), followed closely by the 2009 (244) and 2004 seasons (242). The 1961 Yankees, which included a 61-home run campaign by Roger Maris, hit 204 [Typo Alert: actually 240] that season. The 1927 version of Murderers’ Row hit 158 home runs in 155 games.

That was a different era. Yet even after you adjust for that, plus further account for league and park effects, this is the fourth-best hitting team in franchise history, creating runs at a rate that is 22 percent higher than average. The only other rosters in the Bronx that were (slightly) better were the Ruth and Gehrig years of 1927 (126 wRC+), 1930 (124) and 1931 (124).

If they get some production out of the 1st & 3rd base slots, everything would be good.


Sunday, June 11, 2017

The Economist: Baseball’s rarest offensive achievement is about to get more common

A 43% increase in the leaguewide HR rate since 2014 corresponds to over a 3x increase in the probability of seeing at least one 4-HR game in a given season.

Mr Gennett has a much lower chance of a four-home-run game than, say, a power hitter like Giancarlo Stanton: based on their career rates, Mr Stanton would be about 6,000 times more likely to accomplish the feat. However, the gap between the best and the rest appears to be shrinking slightly. In 2014, the top five players by home-run rate exceeded the league average by 134%. This year, in contrast, the top five surpass the (much higher) league average by “just” 105%.

And of course, there are far more average players like Mr Gennett than there are superstars like Mr Stanton. Given enough humdrum hitters, the sum of their low probabilities of a four-home-run game can exceed that of the small handful of sluggers with truly elite talent.

David Concepcion de la Desviacion Estandar (Dan R) Posted: June 11, 2017 at 06:26 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: home runs

 

 

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