Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Justin Upton Newsbeat

Friday, August 19, 2016

The So-Far Disastrous Crop of 2016 Free Agents

Jason Heyward, Justin Upton, and Alex Gordon were all supposed to be All-Star caliber outfielders; instead, they’ve all lost their power and are hitting like backup catchers. Between them, they’ve been worth less than +1 WAR this year, but they’ll be paid a combined $55 million this season anyway, and that’s even with the Royals backloading Gordon’s deal. Heyward and Upton are young enough that it’s still reasonable to think they can bounce back from this, but given the disastrous 2016 seasons now on their resume, it’s pretty clear that neither player would get anything close to the contracts they signed last winter if they were forced back onto the free agent market at this point.

And while I was a big fan of the Gordon contract for the Royals, I can’t imagine they’re all that happy to have a 32 year old who looks like a league average hitter under contract for $60 million over the next three years; even with high-level outfield defense, the bat needed to hold up better than this to make it a good deal for the Royals, and one year in, it looks like he might not be an impact hitter anymore.

And those outfielders might actually be doing better than the other expensive starting pitchers.

Zack Greinke’s success was largely built on a .229 BABIP last year, and to the surprise of no one outside of Arizona, that hasn’t carried over. And with his strikeout rate dropping back down to league average, a lack of weak contact is a problem for a guy being paid at ace-levels. Greinke is still a good pitcher, and he might still give the Diamondbacks some good years, but like most of what happened in Arizona this year, the expectations and the realities were simply not the same.


 

 

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
tshipman
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP 23 Jan. 2017: Theo Epstein on baseball, politics and what he may do next
(223 - 5:55pm, Jan 23)
Last: Greg K

NewsblogMets' Jay Bruce problem: Ex-GMs weigh in on what team should do - NY Daily News
(4 - 5:24pm, Jan 23)
Last: TDF, situational idiot

Newsblog2017 Top 10 second base prospects | MLB.com
(9 - 5:04pm, Jan 23)
Last: akrasian

NewsblogScott Simkus plays Strat-o-Matic with Negro Leaguers for Slate
(64 - 5:02pm, Jan 23)
Last: Gone Fishing

NewsblogPhillies' Maikel Franco works to improve plate approach
(1 - 4:40pm, Jan 23)
Last: eddieot

NewsblogBaseball Prospectus | Prospectus Feature: Command and Control
(1 - 4:35pm, Jan 23)
Last: Walt Davis

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 2000 Ballot
(7 - 4:29pm, Jan 23)
Last: Chris Fluit

NewsblogRyan Zimmerman hits hard but needs to add lift | MLB.com
(3 - 4:09pm, Jan 23)
Last: Jacob

NewsblogdWAR Doesn't Care One Bit About Your Reputation
(28 - 3:51pm, Jan 23)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

Hall of Merit2018 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(119 - 3:44pm, Jan 23)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogMLB community mourns deaths of Yordano Ventura and Andy Marte
(70 - 3:42pm, Jan 23)
Last: Baseballs Most Beloved Figure

NewsblogGary Sheffield and the war on WAR - Beyond the Box Score
(79 - 3:27pm, Jan 23)
Last: AROM

NewsblogOT - NFL stretch drive/playoffs (December 2016 - February 2017)
(794 - 3:11pm, Jan 23)
Last: Rickey! No. You move.

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 2000 Discussion
(31 - 2:47pm, Jan 23)
Last: DL from MN

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-23-2017
(9 - 1:38pm, Jan 23)
Last: Betts, Bogaerts, and D Price(GGC)

Page rendered in 1.4713 seconds
45 querie(s) executed