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Monday, May 02, 2016
But these are not the campaigns that people will study, looking back at 2016. The surprises came from the Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump campaigns, which followed completely different models. They have broader, more emotional appeals to voters, rather than trying to slice the electorate into ever-narrowing segments (which have been the source for a generation of condescending consultant-speak: Bill Clinton’s soccer moms, George W. Bush’s security moms, and so on). They are running humanities campaigns in an era of social science. At least for Trump, it seems to be working.
Monday, January 25, 2016
Serious science has also increasingly treated politics as sports. In 2012, the political scientist John Sides of George Washington University explained that he derived approach to research from baseball, specifically from Michael Lewis’s “Moneyball,” in which a baseball manager abandons the “gut feeling” school of selecting players and starts relying exclusively on arcane but important statistics. Sides wrote:
“My goal with the study of elections is to move things as close as possible towards ‘Moneyball,’ which is to say I want to measure what’s going on, I want to measure the background conditions and the fundamentals that are important in any election, like the economy. I want to measure the news coverage, I want to measure the campaign advertising, all of the things that convey information to the voters about the candidates, and then finally I want to measure the voters themselves, I want to understand why they made the choices they did and what impact, if any, the campaign had.”
Tuesday, January 05, 2016
Whoa. Did anyone see this coming? Will the Mets get Ricardo Rincon in return?
Sunday, December 06, 2015
We are all the new Moneyball.
Tuesday, November 10, 2015
How can a person who makes his living with the written word have such poor reading comprehension? Tip: Moneyball isn’t about OBP being the Holy Grail; it’s about finding undervalued assets.
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