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Monday, May 02, 2016

OTP 2016 May 2: The Anti-Moneyball Election

But these are not the campaigns that people will study, looking back at 2016. The surprises came from the Bernie Sanders and Donald Trump campaigns, which followed completely different models. They have broader, more emotional appeals to voters, rather than trying to slice the electorate into ever-narrowing segments (which have been the source for a generation of condescending consultant-speak: Bill Clinton’s soccer moms, George W. Bush’s security moms, and so on). They are running humanities campaigns in an era of social science. At least for Trump, it seems to be working.

Bitter Mouse, Space Tyrant Posted: May 02, 2016 at 07:18 AM | 1155 comment(s)
  Beats: moneyball, politics

Monday, January 25, 2016

OTP - 2016 January 25: A vanishing line separates politics and sports

Serious science has also increasingly treated politics as sports. In 2012, the political scientist John Sides of George Washington University explained that he derived approach to research from baseball, specifically from Michael Lewis’s “Moneyball,” in which a baseball manager abandons the “gut feeling” school of selecting players and starts relying exclusively on arcane but important statistics. Sides wrote:

“My goal with the study of elections is to move things as close as possible towards ‘Moneyball,’ which is to say I want to measure what’s going on, I want to measure the background conditions and the fundamentals that are important in any election, like the economy. I want to measure the news coverage, I want to measure the campaign advertising, all of the things that convey information to the voters about the candidates, and then finally I want to measure the voters themselves, I want to understand why they made the choices they did and what impact, if any, the campaign had.”

Bitter Mouse, Space Tyrant Posted: January 25, 2016 at 08:06 AM | 2612 comment(s)
  Beats: moneyball, nate silver, politics

Tuesday, January 05, 2016

Sherman: DePodesta to the Browns

Whoa. Did anyone see this coming? Will the Mets get Ricardo Rincon in return?

I have learned Paul DePodesta leaving #Mets to run the NFL Cleveland Browns as executive VP, answerable only to team owner/pres.

JEe (Jason) Posted: January 05, 2016 at 11:33 AM | 97 comment(s)
  Beats: browns, cleveland, executives, mets, moneyball, paul depodesta

Sunday, December 06, 2015

Welcome to the new Moneyball

We are all the new Moneyball.

The bottom line: Despite all the talk about the Royals’ old-school, go-for-broke offense, Kansas City scored 724 runs this year, just 14 more than the AL average. And it’s scoring—not contact or aggressiveness or intangibles—that wins games. Even if we credit the Royals for smart or timely hitting (and we should—they scored 32 percent of their runners who reached base, the fourth-highest rate in MLB), their offense simply wasn’t championship level. Their pitching wasn’t so hot either. KC starters ranked 12th in the AL with a 4.32 FIP, a measure designed to separate pitching performance from defense and scaled to resemble ERA. As a staff, the Royals ranked sixth in the AL with a 4.04 FIP, behind teams such as the Indians, White Sox and Rays—none of whom won more than 81 games.

SO WITH ALL those decidedly average stats, exactly how did Kansas City win the World Series? By assembling undervalued players to form a devastating weapon: defense.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: December 06, 2015 at 03:50 PM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: defense, moneyball, royals

Tuesday, November 10, 2015

The Kansas City Royals: the anti-Moneyball team | The Kansas City Star

How can a person who makes his living with the written word have such poor reading comprehension? Tip: Moneyball isn’t about OBP being the Holy Grail; it’s about finding undervalued assets.

Dayton Moore and the Royals organization took a beating from some critics for not emulating the Moneyball formula for success. But Dayton Moore and the Royals had a formula of their own; one that has proven to be more successful than the Moneyball approach.

Here’s one more quote from Moneyball:

“There was a truly astonishing discrepancy between Billy Beane and every other general manager in the business. There was no question that Billy was the best in the game.”

GM Dayton Moore has been criticized and GM Billy Beane has been lionized, but only one of them has led his team to two American League titles and a World Series championship.

It ain’t Billy Beane.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 10, 2015 at 06:54 AM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: moneyball, royals

 

 

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