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Tuesday, June 20, 2017

FiveThirtyEight: Aaron Judge Is The Most Out-Of-Nowhere MVP Candidate Since Ichiro

All Rise!

If Judge does end up winning that piece of individual hardware, he’d be its most unheralded winner ever. Not only has no single-season WAR leader ever gone into a season with fewer than zero career WAR before, but no eventual MVP has ever entered the year with fewer WAR to his name than Judge’s -0.4 mark.

The only MVPs who started from a place similarly close to nowhere were Ichiro Suzuki, who won the award in 2001 in his first year in the (American) majors — he played in Japan until 2000, so he had zero career major league WAR before the season — and Vida Blue, who exploded for 8.5 WAR in 1971 after an up-and-down first two years in the big leagues. Both had terrific seasons in their MVP campaigns, but neither led the league in WAR; Judge is trying to do both, and from an even less likely starting point.

Verdict to come.

The Yankee Clapper Posted: June 20, 2017 at 12:30 AM | 71 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron judge, mvp, new york yankees

 

 

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