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Thursday, April 28, 2016

Perry: Quintana is Emerging as Second White Sox Ace

In each of the last three full seasons, [Jose Quintana]‘s topped 200 innings and put up a K/BB ratio of 3.41. He’s done that despite over his career pitching almost half his innings in homer-friendly U.S. Cellular Field and ceding the platoon advantage to 73.7 percent of the batters he’s faced.

As well, Quintana is in his age-27 season at present, so it’s possible his peak has not yet been realized. (His slight bump in fastball and sinker velocity this season, during a month when gun readings tend to be down, is something to watch on this front.) If that’s the case, then the White Sox may well have a pair of aces under contract through 2019.

My name is Votto, and I love to get blotto Posted: April 28, 2016 at 01:06 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: al central, pitching, white sox

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 4-28-2016

Bemidji Daily Pioneer, April 28, 1916:

BIBLICAL BASEBALL.

Abel made the first hit; Adam and Eve retired on the first double play; Adam was the first man up. Noah on deck; Abel made the first sacrifice; Noah issued the first rain checks; Eve displayed the first curve; Moses took the first team to a training camp; Elijah’s bears were the original cubs; Reuben was caught stealing by Joseph; Joseph was the first player sold; Lazarus died at first; Laban was the first contract jumper; Elijah’s chariot was the first coach; the dove was the first foul out. When you make a home run after the game, refresh yourself with golden grain juice. Try it. It “satisfies.”

Zacchaeus had season tickets next to Bob Uecker. Julio Franco was Methuselah’s first manager. The serpent was the first to turn two.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: April 28, 2016 at 12:00 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Meet Ronald Herrera, the Yankees’ pet pitching prospect | New York Post

And it is not just the Yankees who appreciate him. This is from an opposing scout: “He is a medium-body right-hander who looks generic as hell. The stuff is not overpowering, but the pitchability and command are both so good. He is so poised, especially for his age. I love his makeup. I love how he mixes pitches. He is a big-league starting pitcher.”

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:44 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: ronald herrera, yankees

Silverman: Red Sox should stick with Steven Wright in rotation | Boston Herald

Steven Wright is the real deal.

Let’s not lose our shirts just because Steven Wright joined Rick Porcello and David Price in the “I, too, shut down the Braves lineup” club last night.

Let’s, however, start banging the drum for Wright to establish permanent residency in the Red Sox rotation.

For a guy who described himself as a starter “by default” just because Eduardo Rodriguez got hurt during spring training, Wright has seized the opportunity to become the most consistent, reliable and arguably the best starter on the team.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:43 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox, steven wright

Ted Cruz the latest victim of politicians trying to talk sports | NBC SportsWorld

I don’t care about a politicians’ sports opinions. I care even less about the political views of sportswriters.

And no, this isn’t another OTP thread. Frankly, just like I’m sure you don’t care about mine, I don’t care much about your political views either.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:40 AM | 81 comment(s)
  Beats: politics

Jake Arrieta sounds off on Cubs future, PED rumblings: ‘Some people are idiots’

A little late on this story.

Sorry about the paucity of links the last few days. A family member has been dealing with a medical issue the last few days and I’ve been busy providing support. Luckily she’s now fine and her prognosis is good.

I’ve heard players, and I’m talking about some of the best players in the league,’’ Arrieta told USA TODAY Sports, “question whether I’ve taken steroids or not. Some of the things I hear are pretty funny, and some people are idiots, frankly.

“I’ll see on Twitter, ‘My close source revealed to me he’s on steroids.’ Well, the 10 tests I take a year say otherwise. I eat plants. I eat lean meat. I work out. And I do things the right way.

“If there are guys still on it, I hope they get caught. I care about the integrity of the game. I wouldn’t want to disappoint my family, my friends, my fans. That’s a huge motivating factor in doing it the right way.

“There are so many people that are counting on you, and leaning on all of us in this clubhouse to do some special things for the city of Chicago. To jeopardize that by taking banned substances, would be a ridiculous mistake.’’

He laughs at the cynicism and innuendo, without displaying the slightest hint of anger.

“Hey, that’s one of the best compliments you can give a guy,’’ he says. “I appreciate the fact that you think I’m pretty good, but taking steroids, that’s pushing it.’’

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:33 AM | 66 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, jake arrieta, peds

The Most and Least Generous Strike Zones | FanGraphs Baseball

Not that it’s helped the Astros much.

A big chunk of this is about catcher framing. But you also have run-of-the-mill luck, and plus there’s pitcher identity to take into account. Some pitchers just earn better zones than others, typically because they possess better command. Now, these numbers aren’t perfect, because the PITCHf/x system isn’t perfect. So this isn’t gospel, but below are my results. To this point, the Astros have pitched to the most generous zone. The White Sox have pitched to the least generous zone. That already tells you this isn’t the most important thing in the world, but it’s definitely a thing in the world.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:31 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics

Cooperstown Confidential: Baseball’s Facebook Phenomenon – The Hardball Times

As someone who spends a good deal of time on Facebook, I can tell you full well the benefits that it provides for someone who likes to spout opinions on our National Pastime. If something catches my attention, particularly if it is a current day issue that annoys me (like the recent Adam LaRoche affair), Facebook is a quick and ready outlet that allows for some candid venting. I used to host a sports talk show, which gave me a nightly forum for such ranting, but that’s something from the long ago. Facebook has filled that talk show gap for me, even if on a smaller scale.

So if you’re on Facebook, and you get a friend request from someone named Jim Gosger, do something smart and don’t turn it down.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:29 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: facebook, history

Let’s just put the coronation of the Cubs on hold a minute | FOX Sports

We interrupt the coronation of the Cubs to remind you that that the NL Central features two other contenders with powerful offenses.

Yes, the Cubs already lead the Pirates by three games and the Cardinals by 3½; neither of the trailing clubs is pitching as well as expected, while the Cubs rank second in the NL in ERA.

The race, however, remains intriguing.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 28, 2016 at 09:28 AM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs

4-28-16 OMNICHATTER

A OMNICHATTER of Swords

Gamingboy Posted: April 28, 2016 at 08:24 AM | 269 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Fehr (BLS): Noah Syndergaard Tours New York City as Thor

Thor could crush somebody in Times Square and he wouldn’t lose fans.

The Mets flamethrower has teamed up with SportsNet New York for a segment where he hits the street of New York City dressed as Thor.

JEe (Jason) Posted: April 27, 2016 at 07:05 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, new york, noah syndergaard, thor

How Teams Can Get Around International Bonus Pools

The most obvious route, especially in the first year of the international bonus pools, was a package deal. Take a player for July 2 you want to sign for $2 million, but give $1.5 million to him on July 2 and give $500,000 to another player from the same trainer before July 2. Prior to July 2, 2012, there were no bonus pools, so you save half a million dollars from your 2012-13 bonus pool.

While the decision should ultimately be up to the player and his family, the reality is that the trainers often hold the ultimate decision-making power in these deals. Maximizing the money that goes to the chief decision-maker is what gets a deal done.

Before July 2 that year, we asked Major League Baseball what the league would do if a team tried that type of package deal. The response was that the commissioner’s office would view it as a circumvention of the bonus pools and would respond with strict penalties.

Except, they didn’t. Teams did exactly what we wrote that they would do, and MLB did nothing. I’m not saying MLB necessarily should have done anything either, but it at least set a precedent that the commissioner’s office was fine with teams signing players that way.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 27, 2016 at 04:28 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: bonus pools, international free agents

Minors 4.26.16: Sizzling Amed Rosario leads St. Lucie to win

ST. LUCIE 10, CHARLOTTE 5: Amed Rosario went 3-for-5 and drove in four runs. He smashed a two-run homer in the seventh to give the Mets a 5-4 lead. It was Rosario’s third long ball of the season and second in three games. Rosario added a two-run triple in the eighth to put the Mets ahead by four runs. Rosario has two four-RBI performances in the last three games. He was seeking a double for the cycle, but was stranded on deck in the ninth.

Rosario is off to a very good start with the bat in the FSL, .321/.345/.590 as a 20 year old SS there.

Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb Posted: April 27, 2016 at 01:41 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, minor leaguers

OMNICHATTER 4-27-16

A Clash of OMNICHATTER

Gamingboy Posted: April 27, 2016 at 11:24 AM | 115 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 4-27-2016

Philadelphia Evening Public Ledger, April 27, 1916:

FUTURE GIANT HURLS NO-HIT GAME

Erasmus Hall High School won another baseball game by defeating Manual Training High School by a score of 4 to 1…Waite Hoyt, who is under contract with the Giants and who pitched a no-hit game Saturday, relieved Davidson and repeated his feat of holding his opponents hitless. Hoyt went into the box in the second inning, and during the remainder of the game was never touched for even a scratch hit. He struck out seven of the opposition.

Say, I think this Hoyt kid is going to be pretty good.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: April 27, 2016 at 09:58 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, waite hoyt

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

FG - Rate Your MLB Broadcaster

Recently, the present author began the process of process of reproducing the broadcaster rankings which appeared on this site roughly four years ago. The purpose of those rankings? To place a “grade” on each of the league’s television and radio broadcast teams — a grade intended to represent not necessarily the objective quality or skill of the relevant announcers, but rather the appeal those announcers might have to the readers of Fangraphs.

I have a feeling I know how CFB will vote on the Cardinals broadcasters. This looks like it could be gravy.

Bote Man makes baseball fun again Posted: April 26, 2016 at 10:50 PM | 73 comment(s)
  Beats: analytics, broadcasters, poll

When Athletes are left to their own digital dating devices

Tinder’s location-specific search makes an athlete’s road game easier, and longer stays increase the chances of consummating a match, so for MLB players, in particular, scores come in bunches. “Tinder is better for an area you’re not familiar with, so that’s how a lot of guys meet people,” says Royals first baseman Eric Hosmer, who’s off the market but estimates that a third of his single colleagues are right swipers. And that number spikes during spring training, when regulars can punch out by the fifth inning. The taken might kill that time with golf and pool parties. The single guys? “They’re having lots of sex out here, and at least half are using Tinder to do it,” says a Cactus Leaguer with the Giants. “It’s like shooting fish in a barrel.”


A’s RHP Sean Murphy Dies

“The Oakland Athletics announced that righthander Sean Murphy, a member of the organization since 2010, unexpectedly died on Monday in Arizona.

The 27-year-old had not pitched in an official game since 2014 as he rehabilitated from Tommy John surgery. He was suspended for 50 games in February after testing positive for a drug of abuse.”


Fivethirtyeight: Statheads Are The Best Free Agent Bargains In Baseball

Even though some of the initial rewards had already been realized by 2009, there were still significant gains to be made by semi-early adopters. To measure them, we built a model estimating how good a team was before its front-office hires, using the following factors for each team: its winning percentages over the previous three seasons, its payroll and market size and its Baseball America farm-system ranking. Using these variables, we generated an expected winning percentage for each team over the following three seasons, beginning with the two historical years for which we had analyst counts (2009 and 2012).

The takeaway: It paid to invest in analytics early. Teams with at least one analyst in 2009 outperformed their expected winning percentage4 by 44 percentage points over the 2012-14 period, relative to teams who didn’t — an enormous effect, equivalent to more than seven extra wins per season. That might be overstating things a bit — the precise advantage varies depending on how the analysis is structured — but over most permutations of the model we tried,5 the effect was consistently stronger than two wins per season, particularly for the earliest-adopting teams, which got a head start by implementing analytics before 2009.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 26, 2016 at 03:11 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: analytics, fivethirtyeight, stats vs. scouts

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 4-26-2016

Pittsburgh Press, April 26, 1916:

LAVAN TRIES TO CALL BALK ON OWN PITCHER

For the first time in a big league a team has tried to call a balk on its own pitcher. When Graney stole second in the first inning of Monday’s Indian-Brown battle while Groom held the ball, then took third on Groom’s wild throw, Johnny Lavan rushed in with a wild shout of “balk.” He claimed Groom moved from the pitcher’s pose and that therefore Graney was only entitled to one base on a balk.

Very quick thinking on Lavan’s part, even if it was ineffective.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: April 26, 2016 at 10:11 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: doc lavan, dugout, history

Why Would Anybody Watch the Braves? (Baseball Prospectus)

Fightin’ words:

If you were in the Atlanta area on Sunday, you could have seen matinee performances of ‘Dream Girls’ (at the Cobb Civic Center in Marietta) or ‘Ragtime’ (at the Cobb Energy Performing Arts Center). You could have attended an Italian Film Festival at the Plaza Theatre, or the Sweetwater 420 Festival in Centennial Olympic Park, where the craft beer was flowing and live music played. It was a free entrance day at several National Parks, including nearby Chattahoochee Park. Instead of pursuing any of those opportunities, 32,085 people bought tickets to see the Braves host the Mets, and I’m writing this article just to ask a simple question: Why?

Why, when the Braves started 4-13 in their final season as true residents of Atlanta, rather than white suburbia, keep throwing good money after very, very bad? Why, when this team’s upper management threw a temper tantrum over a bad month and a half in late 2014 and traded away nearly all of what was a tremendous, successful core of exciting young players, place any faith in their current plan to stomach years of losing in the hope of building another such core? Why, when this team is going nowhere this season and benefits far more from losing than from winning, go to the park and implore them to do the latter?

Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos Posted: April 26, 2016 at 06:21 AM | 123 comment(s)
  Beats: braves

OMNICHATTER 4-26-16

A Game of OMNICHATTER

Gamingboy Posted: April 26, 2016 at 12:50 AM | 169 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

What happens to teams that start the season hot?

16 of the 20 teams who have won at least 30 of their first 40 games went on to win the pennant. Nine of them won the World Series, six of them losing it (one played before the World Series began).

Most promising for teams that win at a 75% clip through 40 games is the fact that 18 of the 20 teams to do so have finished in first place and advanced to the postseason.

When we look at teams that won at least 17 of their first 20 (twelve total), we see that five of them failed to even make the postseason: the 1987 Brewers, 1938 Giants, 1918 Giants, 1907 Giants, and the 1911 Detroit Tigers.


Monday, April 25, 2016

538: 2016 MLB Predictions

Each team’s rating and its chances of advancing to the playoffs.

ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: April 25, 2016 at 05:36 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: predictions

Yankees prospect Acevedo dies in car wreck

Yankees Minor Leaguer Sandy Acevedo was killed in a car accident in his native Dominican Republic on Saturday night, the team said. Acevedo was 18 years old.

Prior to their Sunday game against the Rays, the Yankees held a moment of silence in memory of the third baseman. Acevedo had not appeared in any Minor League games since signing with New York as an international free agent last July 6, his 18th birthday.

MLB.com’s David Adler cited a 2015 Scout.com interview in which Donny Rowland, New York’s director of international scouting, said of discovering the infielder, “Acevedo was one of the hitters that we brought in to face [pitching prospect Yoan Lopez, now the D-backs’ No. 8 prospect], and he absolutely owned him in three out of four at-bats and crushed stuff.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: April 25, 2016 at 02:34 PM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: minor leagues, obituaries, prospects, yankees

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