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Friday, July 31, 2015

Trade Chatter - 2015 Deadline

Linked to MLB.com transaction page.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 31, 2015 at 06:23 AM | 609 comment(s)
  Beats: trade rumors, trades

Friday, March 27, 2015

BBTF 2015 Shooty Memorial Softball Meet-up!

We’ve finally got a date scheduled for this year’s NYC softball game, August 8.

Anybody who’s in contact with Primates who haven’t been around lately, please let ‘em know.

Hysterical & Useless Posted: March 27, 2015 at 06:49 PM | 371 comment(s)
  Beats: softball

Monday, August 03, 2015

David and Goliath at the trade deadline

At the start of the season, a player making $7 million and winning his team one more game than a replacement player would might appear to have a marginal value of $0. That is to say he’s payed exactly what he’ll likely produce, on average. But at the trade deadline, context is important. A team that knows that his one extra win might push them into the playoffs might actually value his contributions at $15 million, while a team that knows that his one extra win will push get them to 75 wins could value that at only $1 million.

In this situation, the two teams should be able to work out a deal, trading him from the team that views him as having a declining surplus value to the team that views him as having a surplus value much higher than his salary. Trades like that are optimal strategies. Both teams are made better by the trade, and every team in baseball should (and mostly does) participate in this trading market.

But while the optimal strategy is to always choose the trade package that brings the highest overall marginal value, when teams start to have preferences for the composition of what return package they want when they trade major leaguers at the deadline, they’re getting into David and Goliath strategies.

Prospects, by their very nature of being unfinished, carry wider variances than major league players. This spectrum is open for debate (especially the high-minors hitters/low-minors pitchers part), but here’s my hypothesis, listed from lowest variance to highest variance:

MLB hitters - MLB pitchers - high-minors hitters - high-minors pitchers - low-minors hitters - low minors pitchers

If a team views themselves as a Goliath, they may tend toward preferring to trade for the players at the left side of the spectrum, while if they view themselves as a David, they may instead prefer to acquire players at the right side of the spectrum, hoping for higher value with a more drastic variability.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 03, 2015 at 03:02 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: trade deadline

Dodgers CEO Stan Kasten knows not to rush to judgment after trading deadline - The Orange County Register

Some trade deadline perspective from Stan Kasten, a guy who has been around forever.

“Every stock that has ever been sold in the history of the world has been sold by someone who thought it was going down to someone who thought it was going up,” Dodgers team president and CEO Stan Kasten said. “It’s always a function of an intersection of needs and plans.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 01:34 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, trades

OTP - August 2015: Meet the … Baseball Owner Funding the 2016 Campaign ...

Scott Walker’s Super PAC “Unintimidated” raked in the biggest donation from a sports-associated contributor. The Ricketts family — the owners of the Chicago Cubs baseball team — tossed $5 million dollars to the Super PAC backing the Wisconsin governor. Joe gave $100,000, his wife Marlene gave $4.9 million in contributions and their son Todd gave almost $2,500. According to Forbes, the family is worth nearly $4.5 billion.

Just when I was beginning to like the Cubs again :)

BDC Posted: August 03, 2015 at 01:20 PM | 83 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, politics

The 2015 Strike Zone, Through July | FanGraphs Baseball

The ever expanding strike zone.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 11:36 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics, strike zone

Having the AL’s worst record could benefit Red Sox - Sports - The Boston Globe

Funny. Sonny Gray is the kind of player Beane holds onto.

Take Sonny Gray. If the A’s decide to expose him to revocable waivers, the Sox would have the first crack at claiming him so long as they have either the worst record in the AL or the worst record for any team besides the A’s. If the Sox do claim him, they would then have about two days to discuss what kind of return it would take for Oakland to consider moving the righthander – laying a framework for further discussions in the offseason.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 11:34 AM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics

Grant: Jeff Banister on why he pulled Martin Perez, went with bullpen with AL’s highest ERA in close game | Dallas Morning News

Jeff Banister discusses his thoughts on pulling Martin Perez.

What Banister was witnessing was a bit different. Banister subscribes to the theory that not all pitches are the same. Pitches in the first aren’t thrown with as much stress as pitches in the seventh and later. Pitches in the ninth of a close game against an elite team, when facing the lineup the fourth time through, are ramped in stress level significantly.

When Banister saw a changeup that stayed up and over the plate to Angel Pagan and the hitter drove it in the gap in left center, the manager didn’t hesitate.

“He did as good a job as anybody has done for us all year,” Banister said. “But at that point, we are going to let those guys in the bullpen do their job.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 11:31 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: jeff banister, rangers

Kaiser Carlile, 9-Year-Old Bat Boy, Dies After Being Struck by Player’s Swing

Just awful news…

A 9-year-old bat boy died Sunday evening after getting hit in the head as a baseball player took practice swings in Kansas, his team said.

“With the permission of the family, and with much sorrow and a very broken heart, I regretfully inform everyone that Kaiser Carlile passed away earlier this evening,” the Liberal Bee Jays, an amateur baseball team, announced on Facebook….

A witness told NBC affiliate KSNW that the boy was running to bring back a bat after an out when he was hit by a batter taking a practice swing.

“The bat boy retrieved the other bat and he just ran right by him, and he was swinging, and it hit him in the helmet,” Jim Parks told the station.

An umpire started giving first aid until first responders arrived….

The Bee Jays, of Liberal, Kansas, were playing in Wichita as part of the National Baseball Congress World Series. Liberal is a town of about 20,000 located in the southwest part of the state.


Yordano Ventura calls Jose Bautista a “nobody” and accuses him of stealing signs | HardballTalk

Yordano Ventura might be a little volatile.

Yordano Ventura, who was in the middle of the beefing after the benches cleared, had his own words for Bautista. They were also on Twitter but were since deleted. Jeff Passan of Yahoo, however, describes them here:

In those tweets, according to two people who read and translated them, Ventura said to Bautista: “We’ll meet again later and if you do that with me, you’ll see what I’m about. I don’t care about anybody. I used to respect you, but you’re a nobody. … You got lucky this time, but MLB doesn’t get canceled after this season. Keep running your mouth. … You need to stop giving signs. You’re gonna get it from me for being fresh and you really are a nobody.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 09:29 AM | 63 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, jose bautista, royals, yordano ventura

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 8-3-2015

Pittsburgh Press, August 3, 1915:

The report issuing from Chicago to the effect that the White Sox had offered several players and $20,000 for the sale of Outfielder Joe Jackson was denied by Vice President Barnard of the Cleveland American league club.

“No one here has ever had the temerity to suggest the sale of Jackson to any club nor has any club made a recent bid for his services,” said Barnard.

Suuuuuuure, Ernest. Sure. And I bet there’s no chance Jackson is playing for the White Sox by the end of the month, right?

Dan Lee is a Big Hunk of Neufchâtel Posted: August 03, 2015 at 07:59 AM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, joe jackson, lies


Edward Fitzpatrick: With opposition on right and left, will Providence ballpark be out at home?

Larry Lucchino’s new project is trying to screw over the taxpayers in Rhode Island.  His biggest cheerleader is House speaker, Nicholas A. Mattiello. Mattiello is trying to paint the opposition as extremists. Although some of them might be, all it takes is a little knowledge about how these deals work to oppose any deal which transfers taxpayer money into the pockets of owners, who are already making a ton of money.

“The extreme right and the extreme left are opposed to this,” Mattiello said in an interview. “It makes sense that both extremes are against something that is moderate and thoughtful and designed to create economic growth and activity.” But, he said, “Most Rhode Islanders are moderate and thoughtful.”
...
As we go forward, I’ve got two words for you to pay attention to: “revenue neutral.” I suspect we’ll hear a lot of discussion about how to define that neutrality.

“It depends on the factors you take into account,” Mattiello said. “The way I’m looking at it now is what the direct impact on taxpayers is going to be and what revenues come in and out. That is direct activity generated by the ballpark — not the multipliers, the indirect activity created by more people in Providence.”

Would the revenue-neutrality calculation include the value of a 30-year property tax break? Mattiello said he considers property tax “irrelevant because it was going to be a park. It was never going to be a tax-generating property. In fact, it would be saving money because they don’t have to maintain the park.”


‘He was crying like a baby’: Tempers flare as Royals lose to Blue Jays 5-2 | The Kansas City Star

I guess there is a lot of crying in baseball.

In the aftermath, Royals veteran Edinson Volquez sneered at the behavior of All-Star third baseman Josh Donaldson. After Volquez hit Donaldson in the first inning, Donaldson twice reacted with demonstrative anger when Kansas City pitchers continued to pitch inside.

“He’s a little baby,” Volquez said. “He was crying like a baby.”

The sentiment spread through the visitors’ clubhouse, as members of the Royals pitching staff decried Donaldson’s theatrics in the finale of this four-game series. Volquez and others, including reliever Ryan Madson, who also hit a batter and threw inside later at Donaldson, felt Donaldson assumed sinister intent when there was none to be found.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 05:55 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, crying in baseball, royals

Sunday Notes: Felix, Shark, Archer, Sale, Castellanos, more | FanGraphs Baseball

David Laurila’s latest Sunday notes.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 05:53 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: notes

In losing Baseball Hall of Fame vote, timing the only bad thing - Chicago Tribune

This guy is so out of touch he doesn’t even know the years of eligibility has changed to ten years.

That move will delight the anonymous Twitter trolls who have hectored me every year to give up my vote because they apparently are upset that I roundly dismiss the candidacies of players like Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, Mark McGwire and Sammy Sosa, whose use of PEDs was apparent, admitted or both.

My only regret in losing the vote now is not having a further voice in shutting that crowd out of Cooperstown until their 15 years of eligibility is over. One can only hope that 26 percent of the 520 or so remaining voters will continue to bar the door.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 03, 2015 at 05:49 AM | 52 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame

8-3-2015 OMNICHATTER

The Amazin’ OMNICHATTER

Gamingboy Posted: August 03, 2015 at 12:08 AM | 208 comment(s)
  Beats: mlb, omnichatter

Sunday, August 02, 2015

THE CRAZIEST BASEBALL PLAYER COMMERCIALS OF ALL TIME, RATED

Player: Pete Rose
Brand: Kool-Aid
Description: Pete Rose plays baseball against children in some sort of post-apocalyptic wasteland/acid trip. The Cincinnati Reds still exist in this world, as the oldest baseball team will also be the longest-lasting. When Rose hits a long fly to center, the Kool-Aid man destroys the center field wall to get him out. Even in this world of psychedelic baseball, Rose is shocked.

OH NO!!!!

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 02, 2015 at 10:56 PM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: advertising, commercials

Zack Wheeler: Why I made the call to Sandy Alderson asking to stay a Met | Newsday

Sandy Alderson has a beating heart.

Yet Alderson admitted the conversation “actually had quite an impact.” In all of his years in baseball, the general manager said he had never seen a player in Wheeler’s position take the unusual step of calling.

“Again, if you go back to Wednesday and even this conversation, we’re talking about human beings,” Alderson said. “We all develop an attachment to each other and whatever capacity we serve, so it’s hard.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 08:33 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, sandy alderson, zack wheeler

OT: Soccer August 2015

Aug 4/5: UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
Aug 6: Europa League Qualifiers
Aug 7: Ligue 1 (France), & Eiredivisie (Netherlands) begin
Aug 8: English Premier League begins
Aug 14: Bundesliga (German) & Primeira Liga (Portugal) begin
Aug 18/19/20: CONCACAF Champions League group play
Aug 21: La Liga (Spain) begins
Aug 22: Serie A (Italy) begins
Aug 25/26/27: CONCACAF Champions League group play

I am going to be Frank Posted: August 02, 2015 at 05:02 PM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: soccer

A.J. Burnett injured, might be done pitching | MLB.com

Placed on the disabled list following a Thursday night outing when the pain in his right elbow became “a little more than I expected, and more than I could tolerate,” Burnett has an appointment with Pirates team doctors on Monday in Pittsburgh. He expects the diagnosis to be one of two things.

“It’s either [the ulnar ligament],” said Burnett, who had the requisite Tommy John surgery for that in 2003, “or the flexor [tendon]. I’m prepared for both. Either way, I’m not going to be bothered by the result.”
...
“I might start thinking about that if I thought it could be over,” Burnett said softly. “But it’s far from over.”

Asked when he started feeling discomfort in his pitching elbow, Burnett said, “About 10 years ago.”

“Everybody goes through stuff, especially pitchers,” he went on. “But it hasn’t been anything to worry about. I was doing my thing, going about my business—until the other night.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 04:39 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: a.j. burnett, pirates

REMEMBER WHEN METS WERE A JOKE? | FOX Sports

Of course I do.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 07:40 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Bay Area Sports Guy – Madison Bumgarner isn’t racist, he’s a control freak

Some people, Baer included, apply the “racist” label too easily for my likes. It’s irresponsible.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 07:35 AM | 45 comment(s)
  Beats: giants, madison bumgarner

How August Trades Work - MLB Trade Rumors

The mechanics of making a deal after the trade deadline.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 07:25 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: rules

Mets notes: Wright says ‘everything’s good’ - Mets - NorthJersey.com

This is the first time Wright will have three straight days of baseball activity, and he recently completed back-to-back days Tuesday and Wednesday.

Wright is fielding and taking batting practice in the cage.

“Everything’s good. Now it’s a matter of getting the reps without overdoing it,” Wright said after working out prior to Friday’s game against the Nationals. “Incremental steps every day where not only are you doing the baseball thing a number of days in a row but you’re also kind of upping your reps each day. It’s a little bit more on my plate every day and just making sure my body can respond to the baseball things on a daily basis.”

Jim Furtado Posted: August 02, 2015 at 07:23 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: david wright, mets, notes

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