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Wednesday, January 17, 2018

Christian Yelich can only blame himself for Jeter entanglement | New York Post

And the money he’s getting is in the same currency. It’s not like Jeter converted payment into Monopoly money.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2018 at 03:33 PM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: christian yelich, marlins

Comparing a Player Outside His Era | Articles | Bill James Online

Very interesting stuff from two of the very best analysts ever.

I’ve always been marginally interested in the HOF debate. One of the biggest reasons is it’s pretty impossible to compare players across eras. I didn’t always believe this to be true. My feeling changed when I was working on my own WAR system, xWins, about 20 years ago. The differences in data and contexts are two HUGE problems which I do not believe can be sufficiently accounted for in the analysis.

On there other hand, if you ask me to evaluate current players or, as Tom describes them, “generational” groups I can an acceptable job (actually even better for today’s players) because I’m not forced to invent a time machine.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2018 at 03:07 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: evaluating players, history

Rubbing Mud: The Evidence of Price Fixing We Have So Far - Baseball Prospectus

Time to get out the Reynolds Wrap.

Now we’re getting into something more sinister, even if it’s not something actionable. If there’s a kind of slotting system developing (however implicit it might be), then the owners are distorting the salary structure of the game, using their advancements in analytic intelligence and the new Collective Bargaining Agreement as cover. If good players with widely disparate skill sets and likely aging profiles are taking their talent to the market and finding an eerily similar, lower-than-expected amount of money waiting for them, something bad is going on.

By the time spring training games begin, this could all be behind us. It’s possible (and perhaps this should be highlighted more often) that owners are anticipating the $50 million windfall each will receive sometime in the next 90 days (thanks to the league’s sale of MLB Advanced Media, to Disney) and would prefer not to make their major expenditures until that money pours in. Maybe the Scott Boras effect is stronger than we think. (I already think it’s quite strong, and a better explanation for the state of the market than is generally understood.) If we look around this summer and find that the market never heated up, though, and that the cost of a win on the free agent market has significantly sagged, remember these similar deals and offers and consider that the evidence of price fixing (even if it be passive price fixing) might be stronger than we think.

The longer this lasts doesn’t prove anything. If I’m Dave Dombrowski and J.D. Martinez hasn’t signed, why would I increase my offer? If it’s me, it just reinforces my belief that I don’t have to exceed my comfort level. This goes for every other team as well. It’s a new trend; it doesn’t have to be planned or coordinated.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2018 at 11:44 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, free agents

2018 Top 10 left-handed pitching prospects

1. MacKenzie Gore, Padres
2. A.J. Puk, Athletics
3. Justus Sheffield, Yankees
4. Luiz Gohara, Braves
5. Brendan McKay, Rays
6. Adrian Morejon, Padres
7. Kolby Allard, Braves
8. Jesus Luzardo, Athletics
9. Stephen Gonsalves, Twins
10. Max Fried, Braves

Jim Furtado Posted: January 17, 2018 at 11:14 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-17-2018

Richmond (Indiana) Palladium, January 17, 1918:

The ball players of Cuba seem to have killed the goose that laid the golden egg. Headed by Mike Gonzales, the Cardinals’ Cuban catcher, they have made demands so exorbitant that baseball has been put on the shelf [in Cuba] for the present season at least.
...
Gonzales explained that [players would have to receive] seventy-five percent [of gate receipts] or no baseball. [Owner Charley] Brown replied that in that case there would be no baseball. And the players who might have been taking in very satisfactory wages are now idle.

Cuban baseball 100 years later: “You think your wages are low? Hold my beer and watch this.”

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 17, 2018 at 10:17 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history


Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Bill James on Baseball, Facts, and the Rules

I expect this interview to go well beyond baseball. Econtalk tackles a lot of different topics but frequently dwells in the “meta” realm of those topics. Russ, the host, is a huge Red Sox fan as well as a great interviewer.

isaacc7 Posted: January 16, 2018 at 10:28 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, podcast

Padres won’t feature brown uniforms until 2020, at the earliest - The San Diego Union-Tribune

Executive Chairman Ron Fowler, asked Tuesday about serious alterations in the near future, said “it’ll probably be the 2020 season before we see anything.” The owner said the team has commissioned a “major firm” to conduct a research study of quantitative data.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 08:24 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: padres, uniforms

Jeter may get mayor’s help on Marlins home run sculpture | Miami Herald

Certainly a priority.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 08:04 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: marlins

Christian Yelich’s relationship with Miami Marlins is ‘irretrievably broken,’ agent says

Players play.

“The relationship between player and team is irretrievably broken. It’s soured. He’s part of the old ownership regime. The new ownership regime needs to get new parts into this plan and move forward, and he needs to get on with his career where he’s got a chance to win. The big issue is him winning and winning now.

General manager builds the team.

“Should we feel like we need to make a trade involving any of our under-contract, controllable players, we will be the ones who initiate that conversation and always do what’s best for the organization,” Hill said at the time.

Of course, the Marlins encouraged this uprising by poorly managing the Stanton situation.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 07:23 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: christian yelich, marlins

Why Adrian Gonzalez can bother the Mets’ clubhouse | New York Post

“You don’t want somebody saying and talking the things he talks about if he’s not being productive, because he will have an opinion on most everything,” Valentine said. “That bugs some people, but it never bugged me. That’s what you’re getting into, and I think it’s well worth a half-a-million bucks. It’s a heck of a little gamble.”

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 07:16 PM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: adrian gonzalez, dodgers, mets

Are Teams “Buying the Dip” in the Relief Market? | FanGraphs Baseball

Starters are pitching less innings so relievers are pitching more. It makes sense teams would shift money from starters to relievers. At the same time, though, individual relievers are also pitching less innings. What this should mean is, teams increase reliever salaries. Eventually top pays for reliever salaries stagnate (expect for the very, very best) as teams spread the money over more relievers.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 07:03 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: economics

Here’s why baseball’s economic system might be broken

You would if the baker waited so long hoping for a better price of flour while the distributor sold out its stock to other bakeries.

“I wouldn’t blame the baker if the flour doesn’t show up,” Boras told Yahoo Sports.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 06:40 PM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: economics

Hall of Fame umpire Doug Harvey dies at 87

Doug Harvey, one of 10 umpires in the National Baseball Hall of Fame, has died from natural causes.  Harvey umpired 4,673 regular-season games in his 30-year career (1962-92), the fifth most in history.  He was a crew chief for 18 seasons, and also worked five World Series and six All-Star Games.

Gonfalon Bubble Posted: January 16, 2018 at 12:57 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: religion, rip, umpire

Molina plans to retire at the end of his three-year extension | Cardinal Beat | stltoday.com

“Three more years, and that’s it,” Molina said.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 11:10 AM | 54 comment(s)
  Beats: cardinals, yadier molina

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-16-2018

Harrisburg Telegraph, January 16, 1918:

Grover Cleveland Alexander has been drafted for government service, and the deal between the Phillies and Chicago Cubs, which stirred the baseball world, may be declared off, causing the Philadelphia club to lose the bulk of the $50,000 reported as the burchase price for Alexander and Killefer.
...
In commenting upon the news, Alexander said the drafting would make little difference to him, as he did not intend to play with Chicago unless he received a share of the purchase money. When asked if he was ready to go with the troops, Alexander replied, “I’m no slacker.”

The deal remained in place. Alexander appeared in three games for the 1918 Cubs before heading to the army and eventually the front lines in France. His time in the war left Sgt. Alexander with deafness in his left ear, shrapnel in his right ear, muscle damage in his pitching arm, and almost certainly caused the PTSD that led to his alcoholism.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 16, 2018 at 10:07 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

What Is Baseball’s Equivalent of the Vikings’ Miraculous Victory?

For fabulous finishes in sports history, it’s hard to top Stefon Diggs’s 61-yard touchdown catch on Sunday, as time expired, to lift the Minnesota Vikings over the New Orleans Saints and into the N.F.C. championship game. As my colleague Ben Shpigel noted, it happened on the site of the old Metrodome in Minneapolis, where the Twins won the final two games of the 1991 World Series in extra innings.

Ben would know; he’s a former baseball writer. And as much as I love watching the N.F.L., I try to relate everything to my favorite sport. So when the question of a baseball equivalent to Diggs’s catch arose on Twitter, I tried to think of a precise match….

ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: January 16, 2018 at 07:28 AM | 46 comment(s)
  Beats: history, miracle finishes

2018 Top 10 Right-handed pitching prospects

It’s top prospect season!

Jim Furtado Posted: January 16, 2018 at 06:56 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Monday, January 15, 2018

Japan Times: Hideki Matsui elected to Japanese Baseball Hall of Fame

Matsui was inducted into the Japanese Hall of Fame on Monday along with former Hanshin Tigers star Tomoaki Kanemoto and ex-Yomiuri Giants skipper Tatsunori Hara.

Matsui becomes the youngest-ever inductee at 43 years, 7 months, surpassing former Los Angeles Dodgers pitcher Hideo Nomo, who was 45 years and 4 months old.

Matsui and Kanemoto were chosen by the Players Selection Committee. Matsui garnered 91.3 percent of the vote (336 votes out of 368) to surpass the 75 percent threshold for induction, while Kanemoto managed to sneak over the borderline with 75.5 percent.

vortex of dissipation Posted: January 15, 2018 at 11:39 PM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: hall of fame, japanese baseball

Marcell Ozuna reveals the once place he didn’t want to be traded to.

Marcell Ozuna, the new St. Louis Cardinals outfielder, met the local fans for the first time Sunday at the team’s annual Winter Warm-Up event and relayed a story that will surely endear him to Cardinals fans for years to come.

And it might earn him some boos the next time he’s in Oakland.

As you might recall, Ozuna’s trade from the Miami Marlins to St. Louis was held in a bit of limbo during the Winter Meetings before it finally became official on both sides. Ozuna — who hit .312 with 37 homers and 124 RBIs last season — was just happy he landed in St. Louis and not the first place to which he thought he was getting traded to.

spanx for the memories Posted: January 15, 2018 at 08:34 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: miami marlins, oakland athletics, st louis cardinals

Giants, Pirates Agree To Andrew McCutchen Trade

The end of an era of hope and promise ends, back into the wilderness for another 20 years.

Russ Posted: January 15, 2018 at 04:12 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: pirates

Pirates, Giants agree to McCutchen trade

No details yet.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 15, 2018 at 04:11 PM | 95 comment(s)
  Beats: andrew mccutchen, giants, pirates, trade

OTP 15 January 2018:Mississippi’s anti-gay marriage law is hurting two college baseball teams

The “stick to sports” mantra took on a life of its own in 2017, as the interweaving of sports and politics was undeniable and, ultimately, angered quite a few sports fans. Still, protests during the national anthem or political tweets by athletes never actually got in the way of the action or stopped games from being played.

But politics have halted a college baseball series between the University of Southern Mississippi and Stony Brook University, a public school in New York. The two schools were scheduled to meet in a three-game series in February, but dueling declarations in each state have now made that series impossible. The kicker? It has absolutely nothing to do with baseball.

 

Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: January 15, 2018 at 03:13 PM | 882 comment(s)
  Beats: college baseball, off topic, politics

Nats’ Victor Robles tops 2018 All Defense Team

Suspects.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 15, 2018 at 02:24 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

4 Reasons Mets Signing Adrian Gonzalez Makes Sense

1. He’s cheap.
2. He’s injury prone (so he’ll fit right in).

Sorry, that’s all I have.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 15, 2018 at 12:02 PM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: adrian gonzalez, mets

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