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Tuesday, January 15, 2019

MLB Trade Rumors: Phillies Frontrunners To Sign Bryce Harper

With a little more than a month before pitchers and catchers report to spring training, the two biggest free agents of this offseason still have yet to sign deals.

The Phillies and White Sox are the Manny Machado frontrunners, while Harper met with the Phillies brass in his hometown of Las Vegas this weekend, and could command a contract worth $300 million.

There are still plenty of quality free agents to be signed, but the freeze on the Hot Stove probably won’t thaw until Harper and Machado have inked deals.

Well, the Phillies might have found their new Ryan Howard- the question is, where do they find their new Chase Utley?

QLE Posted: January 15, 2019 at 04:41 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: bryce harper, phillies, rumors

Monday, January 14, 2019

Tangotiger Blog: Nola, Pivetta, Phillies, and pitcher-specific UZR

And, as expected Pivetta was hurt by the Phillies fielders more than any other Phillies pitcher.  Indeed, more than any other pitcher in the league!  The Phillies fielders gave up 24 more hits with Pivetta on the mound.

So, adding it all up:

     
  • Nola allowed 27 fewer hits than the average Phillies pitcher, and that still holds.
  •    
  • Pivetta’s 11 MORE hits when he’s on the mound drops down by 24, so that he really should count as 13 FEWER hits than the average Phillies pitcher. 

And so, that 38 hit gap gets reduced down to 14 hits.

***

Every year we see something like this.  Back in 2011 when I first wrote about this, it was Verlander in the Nola role, and (future Cy Young winners) Scherzer and Porcello in the Pivetta role.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 11:21 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron nola, defense, phillies, uzr

Thursday, January 03, 2019

Deadspin: It’s Time For Some Bryce Harper Game Theory

Is the news of a meeting with the Nationals evidence that the Nationals are still interested in Harper? Or is it evidence that they are trying to make his price higher for the Phillies?


Monday, December 31, 2018

As of today, Phillies have 4th-best roster in NL East

Prior to the arrival of new GM Brodie Van Wagenen, the Mets largely operated like a mid-market team these last few years. It didn’t help the Phillies much in their head-to-head matchup, with the Phillies going 50-82 against the Mets the last seven seasons.

It did, however, make the Mets less of a threat in the division race. The same can’t be said now after the Mets added Edwin Diaz, Robinson Cano and Wilson Ramos, brought back Jeurys Familia and watched Zack Wheeler transform in the second half of 2018 into a legit top-of-the-rotation starter.

Suddenly, the Mets can talk themselves into a wild-card spot or perhaps even an NL East title if things break right. There is just a major advantage to having Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Wheeler, two very good late-inning relievers and a deeper lineup.

There are times when there are advantages to sharing a division with the Marlins….

QLE Posted: December 31, 2018 at 10:04 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, mets, nationals, phillies

Thursday, December 27, 2018

Report: Manny Machado not in love with Philadelphia either – Phillies Nation

What are they going to do with their stupid money?

In fact, Joel Sherman of The New York Post says that there are rumblings that Machado, like Bryce Harper, isn’t enamored with Philadelphia:

  Word is neither player [Machado or Harper] particularly likes Philadelphia and both would have preferred the Yankees, who have shown little interest in Harper.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 27, 2018 at 10:32 AM | 57 comment(s)
  Beats: manny machado, phillies

Saturday, December 22, 2018


Report: Machado won’t choose team before 2019

Free agent infielder Manny Machado has told teams interested in his services that he won’t be making a decision until after the New Year, according to Jon Heyman of MLB Network.

The three teams known to have hosted Machado for a visit are the New York Yankees, Chicago White Sox and Philadelphia Phillies.

Machado, 26, is believed to be seeking a contract in the 10-year, $300 million-plus range.

And the antics continue for another week and a half….

QLE Posted: December 22, 2018 at 08:49 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: gaming the system, manny machado, phillies, white sox, yankees

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Andrew McCutchen eager to play in hitter friendly ballpark

PHILADELPHIA-Andrew McCutchen returned to his home state to join his third team in less than 12 months, intent on regaining his old hitting stroke.

The Philadelphia Phillies introduced their newest outfielder at a news conference Tuesday, a week after giving him a $50 million, three-year contract that includes a team option for 2022 and could be worth $62 million over four seasons.

“This is a game of adjustments,” McCutchen said. “I’ve definitely had to make some adjustments over the years, and I know that I can be even better than what I’ve been over the past few (seasons). There has been a decline, yes, but I do understand what I’m capable of doing.

Best wishes- shame things went for you in San Francisco as they did, but I sincerely hope it isn’t the end.

QLE Posted: December 19, 2018 at 07:57 AM | 51 comment(s)
  Beats: andrew mccutchen, phillies

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Source: Phillies ‘don’t have enough’ to pull off trade for catcher J.T. Realmuto | NBC Sports Philadelphia

Is anyone else thinking the Phillies will be the first analytical front office trainwreck?

Jim Furtado Posted: December 12, 2018 at 08:36 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: phillies

Friday, December 07, 2018

What Should the Phillies Do as the Winter Meetings Near? Start Spending, Baby!

The Phillies’ offseason began with a proclamation from team owner John Middleton. “We’re going into this expecting to spend money,” he told USA Today. “And maybe even be a little bit stupid about it.”

Taken at face value, the statement might feel silly. The easiest and quickest way to win is to spend money, after all. If you want to win—any team owner’s goal, ostensibly—it should be stupid not to enter free agency expecting to spend money. But “stupid” is flexible, shifting relative to baseball’s definition of “smart.” These judgments tend to rely on process rather than outcome, and a smart process is one that displays innovation and good timing. It’s exploiting a market inefficiency, or discovering a new way to maximize player value, or waiting out a weak window. This is baseball’s current definition of “smart”: finding a way to do more with less.

Relative to that, then, is baseball’s current definition of stupid, as invoked by Middleton: doing more with more. The outcome might be the same. The process doesn’t have the same signs of conventional virtue, but it isn’t hard to look for conventional sin—greed, waste, shallowness—and, well, there’s stupid.

Matthew Lesko had some thoughts that would apply rather well here….

QLE Posted: December 07, 2018 at 06:26 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: dollah dollah bills, y'all, phillies, spending spree

Wednesday, December 05, 2018

Interesting subplot brews in NL East as rival Braves hire Rick Kranitz, Phillies’ deposed pitching coach

After the Phillies surprisingly fired pitching coach Rick Kranitz last month, we wrote this line:

Kranitz, who had previously served as head major-league pitching coach with Miami, Baltimore and Milwaukee, should have no trouble hooking on with another organization.

Well, this has proven true.

Pity that the soap opera is a dying breed- this is the sort of thing for which the organ music was very much intended.

QLE Posted: December 05, 2018 at 05:22 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, phillies, rick kranitz, soap opera

Carlos Santana, J.P. Crawford say goodbye to Philadelphia in classy fashion

On paper, general manager Matt Klentak and the Phillies did very well by trading Carlos Santana and J.P. Crawford for All-Star shortstop Jean Segura and two relief pitchers.

Neither the 23-year-old Crawford nor Santana, signed to a three-year, $60 million deal last December, performed to expectations in their time as Phillies.

Give both guys credit, though, for going out the right way.

QLE Posted: December 05, 2018 at 04:52 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: carlos santana, j.p. crawford, phillies

Monday, December 03, 2018

Jean Segura to Phillies trade rumors | MLB.com

Sources confirmed to MLB.com late Sunday night that the Phillies are on the verge of acquiring Jean Segura from Seattle. Sources said at least shortstop J.P. Crawford and Carlos Santana will be traded from Philadelphia to the Mariners, with other players likely involved.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 03, 2018 at 09:28 AM | 42 comment(s)
  Beats: mariners, phillies, trade rumors

Friday, November 30, 2018

Should the early success of their division rivals affect how the Nationals approach the offseason?

After a lackluster few years, the Philadelphia Phillies look ready to compete with starting pitching and an owner ready to spend big. The Atlanta Braves find themselves ready to compete with their barely-old-enough-to-drink superstars and a core that’s already won a division title.

So with the Washington Nationals coming to a crossroads with the potential loss of a superstar or potential bill of somewhere around $400 million, D.C. is facing an important question about their offseason move: Should they keep up with the proverbial Joneses, or try to plan for rebuilding in the future?

Every team’s decision-making, roster construction, and aggressiveness is determined by one defining factor: where they stand in terms of a contention window. Entering one? Go after that final piece. In the middle of one? Do everything you can to stay ahead of the competition. Solidly not in one? Sell, sell, sell.

I’d like to think that changes in general conditions would change how teams would behave, yes.

QLE Posted: November 30, 2018 at 06:50 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, nationals, phillies, the competition

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Phillies and Indians match up very well for a big trade

There have been plenty of starting pitchers connected to the Phillies this offseason. There was James Paxton, before the Yankees trade. Robbie Ray. Madison Bumgarner. Zack Greinke.

Patrick Corbin, of course. The top free-agent lefty was in Philly on Tuesday.

Keep an eye on the Cleveland Indians. The Phillies and Indians match up as well for a big trade as any two clubs in baseball.

Wait a minute- since when do the Phillies need pitchers and not outfielders?

QLE Posted: November 29, 2018 at 07:45 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: indians, phillies, trade talk

Sunday, November 18, 2018

MLB Trade Rumors: Phillies ‘Expecting to Spend Money’ in Pursuit of Bryce Harper, Manny Machado

First task of the Phillies negotiators: making sure that Harper and Machado have no knowledge whatsoever about the nature of Phillies fans.

QLE Posted: November 18, 2018 at 06:41 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: bryce harper, manny machado, phillies, trade rumors

Wednesday, October 03, 2018

Phillies manager Gabe Kapler gets into fiery exchange with WIP’s Angelo Cataldi over ‘disrespectful’ remarks

“Basically, Matt Klentak in the three years that he’s been here has put two people on the roster that are true building blocks … Rhys Hoskins and Aaron Nola,” Cataldi said, turning his criticism toward Kapler’s coaching.

“You’ve got Rhys Hoskins playing in left field when he has a terrible WAR (wins above replacement), should be at first base. You’re putting [Carlos Santana] who was originally a catcher as your third baseman, showing a complete contempt for defense,” Cataldi said. “When I write what I write, Gabe, it’s represented by hundreds of people who think the way I am. So you’re perception may be real positive about the team, but that doesn’t mean it’s reality. It’s only your perception.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 03, 2018 at 01:52 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: gabe kapler, phillies

Monday, October 01, 2018

With another losing season complete, Phillies GM Matt Klentak faces a crucial winter | NBC Sports Philadelphia

The number of questionable decisions continues to grow.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 01, 2018 at 12:26 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: phillies

Saturday, September 29, 2018

Big meeting upstairs is prelude to Phillies’ 9th straight loss

Given the team’s monstrous free fall in the standings, there isn’t much need for a lot of game detail in these nightly Phillies obituaries.

But we are required to point out the final result.

Even ugly ones.

I can think of several possibilities for why they’d have a big meeting upstairs, and none of them are promising….

QLE Posted: September 29, 2018 at 05:03 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: losing streak, phillies

Tuesday, September 25, 2018

Carlos Santana at third base in 2019? He’d be open to it | NBC Sports Philadelphia

Maybe they should cut their losses and trade him (at a discount).

Recently, Kapler has used Santana at third as a way to improve the Phillies’ outfield defense. With Santana at third, Rhys Hoskins can move from left field to his natural first base and Kapler can use a stronger defender in left. On Monday night, he used an outfield of Roman Quinn in center, Odubel Herrera in right and Aaron Altherr in left. It was all about covering the vast green that is the Coors Field outfield.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 25, 2018 at 11:24 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: phillies

Monday, September 17, 2018

Phillies GM Matt Klentak will continue to push new-school approach he was hired to

The Phillies this season have challenged many old-school baseball ideas. They’ve made frequent lineup changes and used players in new positions. They’ve employed pinch-hitters in the early innings. They’ve rejected the notion that relievers must have assigned roles and some nights make five or six pitching changes.

Buckle up, folks. It’s going to continue.

“When I was brought in here three years ago, I wasn’t brought in here to do things the way they’d always been done,” general manager Matt Klentak said Sunday. “You guys remember that there was a narrative surrounding the Phillies that they were slow to adjust. So our job is to move the needle, to stay current and win baseball games.”

The lineup changes and the creative use of position players I see the appeal of- all the pitching changes, not so much….

QLE Posted: September 17, 2018 at 09:05 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: making ruben amaro jr. cry, matt klentak, phillies

Tuesday, September 11, 2018

Phillies stuck in the mud, figuratively and literally

Probably for the best that the game was called- I’d hate to imagine what the Philadelphia sports fans would do if they got their hands on all that mud, to say nothing about the blowtorches…..

There have been times in recent days when it has looked like the Phillies’ season was stuck in the mud. So the unexpected, and probably avoidable, events of Monday night served as an apt metaphor for what has happened to the team lately.

The Phillies’ scheduled game against the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park was postponed because of poor field conditions. The grounds crew worked feverishly for several hours – even using blowtorches in an effort to dry the soggy infield dirt – before the decision to postpone was made about 7:15 p.m.

The two teams will play a traditional doubleheader Tuesday at 3:05 p.m. Monday’s scheduled starter Jake Arrieta will get the ball in one of the games and Nick Pivetta in the other. The Phillies, who entered Monday trailing Atlanta by 4½ games in the NL East, are coming off a 2-4 road trip to Miami and New York and they are 6-14 since August 18.

QLE Posted: September 11, 2018 at 08:06 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: groundskeeping, phillies, rain delay

Sunday, September 02, 2018

Phillies reliever Austin Davis has cheat sheet confiscated by Joe West

Veteran umpire Joe West confiscated a card from Phillies reliever Austin Davis in the eighth inning of Philadelphia’s 7-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Saturday night.

Davis and Phillies manager Gabe Kapler said he was using the card merely for information on the Cubs hitters. West said that was illegal under Rule 6.02(c)(7), which states that the pitcher shall not have on his person, or in his possession, any foreign substance.

You don’t see this every day…..

Posada Posse Posted: September 02, 2018 at 08:07 AM | 104 comment(s)
  Beats: cheating, joe west, phillies

Thursday, August 30, 2018

Sheinin - A Lifelong Dream Washed Away

I feel privileged to be able to tell the story of Brian Mazone, big league pitcher who watched his debut get rained out. - Dave Sheinin, Washington Post

Bote Man Posted: August 30, 2018 at 12:16 PM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: cup o coffee, debuts, phillies

Monday, August 20, 2018

How are the Diamondbacks 200 runs better than the Phillies on defense? | The BIS Blog

I received a tweet recently that asked if I could demonstrate the difference between the team with the most Defensive Runs Saved (the Diamondbacks with 120) and the team with the fewest (the Phillies with -102).

It seemed a reasonable question to wonder – can the difference between the two be more than 200 runs? We wouldn’t question the best and worst teams being that far apart in terms of their offense or their pitching. But for defense, we don’t have as good a feel for the value of certain statistics.

It’s important to note that when we give a team’s DRS total, that represents the sum of their players’ DRS. It’s not a value solely assigned to the team, but rather the accumulation of many values.

With that in mind, let’s go through a few notable positions around the diamond.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 20, 2018 at 02:08 PM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks, drs, fielding, phillies

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