Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Pitcher Injuries Newsbeat

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Velocity and the Likelihood of Tommy John Surgery | Community – FanGraphs Baseball

Don’t want to get hurt, stop throwing so hard.

As you can see these results are more in line with Dr. Fleisig’s results (25% Major League pitchers). I don’t think it’s unreasonable there are some differences, however. This would depend on our methods of gathering the data and how we defined what a Major League pitcher is. My definition was very loose. Basically if a pitcher came up and threw one inning, then I put him in the results. The reason why I didn’t have a stricter definition of what a Major League pitcher was was because my goal wasn’t to find the percentage of Majors League pitchers who had Tommy John. Rather it was to examine the relationship between velocity and Tommy John surgeries. This is really just an added bonus. Also, Dr. Fleisig’s goal was to see how many current pitchers had Tommy John. My results are the percentage of pitchers who have had Tommy John since 2002 and 2007. We, however, now can accurately conclude, in my estimation, that Carroll’s results were way too high and that velocity does increase a player’s chance of having Tommy John.

This can make pitcher selection now very interesting. For example, if you are trying to decipher whether to get a pitcher who throws 96 MPH who is just as good as a pitcher who throws 90 MPH, you might be better off taking the guy who throws 90. By doing that you would be reducing the odds that that pitcher has Tommy John by about 7 to 10 percent, which is pretty good if you ask me. Also if you’re a GM or in fantasy and are terrified of relievers because you think they all tear their ulnar collateral ligaments, well you shouldn’t be. Your starters are actually slightly more likely to tear their UCL. There are of course other factors to consider here but these can serve as basic general guidelines. Finally velocity does increase your likelihood of tearing your UCL, although with starters the data is a little murkier.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 19, 2015 at 09:39 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, pitching, sabermetrics, tommy john surgery

Friday, March 27, 2015

At Least All These Tommy John Surgeries Aren’t Rotator Cuff Surgeries | FiveThirtyEight

Shoulder injuries really suck. Fortunately, conditioning methods have improved.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 27, 2015 at 11:02 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, tommy john surgery

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Are pitchers getting hurt more often? - SweetSpot Blog - ESPN

Some interesting stuff from David Schoenfield.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 11, 2015 at 12:40 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, sabermetrics

 

 

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Shooty Is Disappointed With His Midstream Urine
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP - July 2015: Winning the Political Game: Politics is More Like Baseball Than Football
(638 - 10:59am, Jul 05)
Last: Mefisto

NewsblogBen Zobrist is the mystery hitter Mets would ‘overpay’ to get | New York Post
(10 - 10:32am, Jul 05)
Last: Misirlou is too lofty, and grabs up all the light

NewsblogMLB and the Grateful Dead - JOIN US FOR THE FINAL 5 SHOWS EVER!
(221 - 10:14am, Jul 05)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - July 2015
(484 - 9:54am, Jul 05)
Last: Athletic Supporter is trying to remember your name

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 7-5-2015
(1 - 9:45am, Jul 05)
Last: Joey B. is counting the days to Trea Turner

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(1002 - 9:43am, Jul 05)
Last: Rowland Office Supplies

NewsblogOT: Soccer June 2015
(930 - 9:33am, Jul 05)
Last: The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott)

NewsblogCharges pending in alleged St. Louis Cardinals computer intrusion of Houston Astros - CNNPolitics.com
(11 - 9:29am, Jul 05)
Last: The Anthony Kennedy of BBTF (Scott)

NewsblogBrian McCann’s Three-Run Homer in 12th Helps Yankees Walk Off With a Victory - The New York Times
(5 - 7:42am, Jul 05)
Last: boteman asks Where's My Ring?

NewsblogAlex Rodriguez, New York Yankees settle dispute over bonus payment
(17 - 5:59am, Jul 05)
Last: Swedish Chef

NewsblogTigers place Miggy on DL with calf strain | MLB.com
(14 - 12:48am, Jul 05)
Last: Random Transaction Generator

NewsblogBaseball and Fireworks -- What Better Way to Celebrate the Fourth of July? - providencejournal.com
(1 - 12:27am, Jul 05)
Last: Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogKlapisch: Mets’ 16-13 win over Braves in 1985 an instant classic
(8 - 12:14am, Jul 05)
Last: Perry

Newsblog7-4-2015 OMNICHATTER
(74 - 11:14pm, Jul 04)
Last: you mess with the meat you get the wada

NewsblogNo Chicago White Sox front office rift
(3 - 7:04pm, Jul 04)
Last: Walt Davis

Page rendered in 1.0879 seconds
57 querie(s) executed