Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Pitcher Injuries Newsbeat

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Velocity and the Likelihood of Tommy John Surgery | Community – FanGraphs Baseball

Don’t want to get hurt, stop throwing so hard.

As you can see these results are more in line with Dr. Fleisig’s results (25% Major League pitchers). I don’t think it’s unreasonable there are some differences, however. This would depend on our methods of gathering the data and how we defined what a Major League pitcher is. My definition was very loose. Basically if a pitcher came up and threw one inning, then I put him in the results. The reason why I didn’t have a stricter definition of what a Major League pitcher was was because my goal wasn’t to find the percentage of Majors League pitchers who had Tommy John. Rather it was to examine the relationship between velocity and Tommy John surgeries. This is really just an added bonus. Also, Dr. Fleisig’s goal was to see how many current pitchers had Tommy John. My results are the percentage of pitchers who have had Tommy John since 2002 and 2007. We, however, now can accurately conclude, in my estimation, that Carroll’s results were way too high and that velocity does increase a player’s chance of having Tommy John.

This can make pitcher selection now very interesting. For example, if you are trying to decipher whether to get a pitcher who throws 96 MPH who is just as good as a pitcher who throws 90 MPH, you might be better off taking the guy who throws 90. By doing that you would be reducing the odds that that pitcher has Tommy John by about 7 to 10 percent, which is pretty good if you ask me. Also if you’re a GM or in fantasy and are terrified of relievers because you think they all tear their ulnar collateral ligaments, well you shouldn’t be. Your starters are actually slightly more likely to tear their UCL. There are of course other factors to consider here but these can serve as basic general guidelines. Finally velocity does increase your likelihood of tearing your UCL, although with starters the data is a little murkier.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 19, 2015 at 09:39 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, pitching, sabermetrics, tommy john surgery

Friday, March 27, 2015

At Least All These Tommy John Surgeries Aren’t Rotator Cuff Surgeries | FiveThirtyEight

Shoulder injuries really suck. Fortunately, conditioning methods have improved.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 27, 2015 at 11:02 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, tommy john surgery

Wednesday, March 11, 2015

Are pitchers getting hurt more often? - SweetSpot Blog - ESPN

Some interesting stuff from David Schoenfield.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 11, 2015 at 12:40 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, sabermetrics

 

 

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
phredbird
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogJavier Baez heating up but is there a place for him?
(4 - 1:44am, May 26)
Last: Moses Taylor world tour 2015: Singapore

NewsblogIs switch-hitting a lost art? - Sports - The Boston Globe
(55 - 1:43am, May 26)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - May 2015
(2382 - 1:41am, May 26)
Last: sardonic

NewsblogOT: 2015 NHL Playoff thread
(537 - 12:47am, May 26)
Last: Obo

NewsblogAngels again are stung by Mike Napoli in loss to Red Sox - LA Times
(18 - 12:45am, May 26)
Last: BillWallace

NewsblogOTP - May 2015: Jeb Bush would like to watch baseball with Teddy Roosevelt and Pitbull
(3886 - 12:25am, May 26)
Last: zenbitz

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-25-15
(13 - 12:21am, May 26)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogCollege Seniors Find Little Leverage - BaseballAmerica.com
(8 - 11:50pm, May 25)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogAT&T Ad Showing First Woman In Major League Baseball Draws Strong Reactions
(258 - 10:27pm, May 25)
Last: TerpNats

NewsblogBernie Williams Day reminds us Yankees' glory days are over - Newsday
(7 - 9:55pm, May 25)
Last: Biff, highly-regarded young guy

NewsblogOT: Soccer March 2015
(1086 - 9:07pm, May 25)
Last: JuanGone..except1game

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-24-2015
(144 - 9:03pm, May 25)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogAll-Star Game shouldn't stop slumping Reds from firing Price | FOX Sports
(19 - 8:36pm, May 25)
Last: Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogBrian Matusz of Baltimore Orioles ejected for foreign substance
(20 - 7:29pm, May 25)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(1680 - 3:58pm, May 25)
Last: Random Transaction Generator

Page rendered in 1.1283 seconds
57 querie(s) executed