Tuesday, September 22, 2015
There is a long way to go in all this. Dombrowski may try to move some of the money owed Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval, which may not be simple propositions. Ownership may want to restrict pitching contracts. They may look at the fact that four of the top pitchers in WAR are Jake Arrieta, Dallas Keuchel, John Lackey (the ask-out fallout from the Lester offer) and Chris Archer; the work put in the last two months in developing and finding pitchers has been tireless and creative.
Alpha dogs cannot be found at a breeder. Not that easy.
Wednesday, September 09, 2015
I’ve been looking over the DRA figures at Baseball since they announced the stat. I like it but, from what I have learned in old research, there should be a factor differentiating between pitcher performance with nobody on and with runners on. Although the difference isn’t much from most pitchers, there are some who have a different profile. Of course, I may have missed the adjustment in their explanations.
Tuesday, August 25, 2015
Good stuff from Eno Harris.
So when Trevor Bauer dismisses the fact his curveball has the highest whiff rate among starters, saying, “That’s just because of how I use it, not because of the movement of the pitch,” then you can understand better how complicated pitching is — and how one good pitch thrown infrequently does not automatically beget one great pitch thrown more often.
Monday, August 24, 2015
Did you ever pitch high on cannabis? And if so, do you think it made you performance better or worse?
You won’t believe his answer to this question!
Friday, August 14, 2015
Not any shocking findings but interesting nonetheless.
Managers, it appears, stack their lineups with more lefties when facing right-handed pitching but pay little attention to the projected platoon split of the pitcher. The right-handed pitchers projected to have reverse splits faced roughly as many left-handed batters as the right-handed pitchers with the most extreme projected splits and dramatically more left-handed batters than the left-handed pitchers with the weakest projected splits. Daily fantasy managers may well act similarly and, in either world, some advantage could be accrued by looking at more than just a pitcher’s throwing hand.
Posted: August 14, 2015 at 07:57 AM | 0 comment(s)
Sunday, August 09, 2015
Much has been made lately about the Mets “Matrix’’ system.
The Matrix is a computer program coupled with scouting, Collins said Saturday they use the info to help figure out what pitchers the Mets’ young hitters, especially, might have the most success against.
“What we’ve tried to do is get our scouts together and take [Rays starter] Nathan Karns for example, how many guys have that kind of stuff, similar stuff, go through the computer system and say, ‘OK, here is a guy who pitches at 92-93, a good curve ball, who are these guys?’ ” Collins explained. “You take that list, and some of our hitters have faced them in the past. You put it together and you have a better idea that this guy should hit this guy, so it helps us a little bit more.’’
With more options, Collins can make a more informed decision, the Matrix on Saturday said Wilmer Flores, Tejada and Kelly Johnson, should all be able to hit Karns. Collins opted for Tejada and Johnson to be in the lineup.
Posted: August 09, 2015 at 10:45 AM | 1 comment(s)
Thursday, July 16, 2015
“Velocity is a big part of this game,” said Troy Tulowitzki, the Colorado shortstop. “Hopefully, it doesn’t go any higher.”
Posted: July 16, 2015 at 11:18 AM | 0 comment(s)
Monday, June 15, 2015
But does it measure The Will to Win?
So, it comes with little surprise that the Rays and markerless bio-mechanics company KinaTrax have announced a deal that will allow the Rays to keep track of their pitchers’ form. The two organizations released a statement today, saying that KinaTrax will install a software-hardware product suite in Tropicana Field for use in the 2015 MLB season.
The system will be able to track a pitcher’s mechanics in real-time during a game. It does not use any sort of device that a pitcher must wear, but will be able to capture a pitcher’s “joint angles, bone displacements and velocity metrics” from afar.
Then, the system will use motion capture analytics to ascertain whether or not a pitcher’s form will make him prone to injury. The suite in Tropicana field will also be able to tell whether a pitcher’s form is hurting his performance.
Tuesday, June 02, 2015
If relievers are truly getting better, maybe a team won’t need so many of them. How about a couple less relievers and a few more quality pinch-hitting options?
Now that we know that teams have better bullpens at their disposal than they used to, what’s the counter-move? One that’s been suggested is that hitters should stop being so patient and just attack what the starter gives them. In fact, there’s evidence that one reason for the recent rise in strikeouts is that hitters are being too patient. If the batter comes up saying, “I won’t swing until you throw me a strike,” the pitcher is likely to say, “OK, here” and we end up in an 0-1 count. If bullpens really are getting better, maybe it’s worth it to go after the No. 4 starter and make sure that it’s already 7-2 by the fifth inning so that the All-Star bullpen doesn’t matter.
Friday, May 22, 2015
But now we have Statcast. The new technology that collects data on the position and velocity of the ball and the players on the field is beginning to change what we know (or thought we knew) about all sorts of things — pitching included. And that’s raising new questions about how much effect a pitcher can have on a ball once it’s put in play. The answer might be: a lot.
Tuesday, May 19, 2015
Don’t want to get hurt, stop throwing so hard.
As you can see these results are more in line with Dr. Fleisig’s results (25% Major League pitchers). I don’t think it’s unreasonable there are some differences, however. This would depend on our methods of gathering the data and how we defined what a Major League pitcher is. My definition was very loose. Basically if a pitcher came up and threw one inning, then I put him in the results. The reason why I didn’t have a stricter definition of what a Major League pitcher was was because my goal wasn’t to find the percentage of Majors League pitchers who had Tommy John. Rather it was to examine the relationship between velocity and Tommy John surgeries. This is really just an added bonus. Also, Dr. Fleisig’s goal was to see how many current pitchers had Tommy John. My results are the percentage of pitchers who have had Tommy John since 2002 and 2007. We, however, now can accurately conclude, in my estimation, that Carroll’s results were way too high and that velocity does increase a player’s chance of having Tommy John.
This can make pitcher selection now very interesting. For example, if you are trying to decipher whether to get a pitcher who throws 96 MPH who is just as good as a pitcher who throws 90 MPH, you might be better off taking the guy who throws 90. By doing that you would be reducing the odds that that pitcher has Tommy John by about 7 to 10 percent, which is pretty good if you ask me. Also if you’re a GM or in fantasy and are terrified of relievers because you think they all tear their ulnar collateral ligaments, well you shouldn’t be. Your starters are actually slightly more likely to tear their UCL. There are of course other factors to consider here but these can serve as basic general guidelines. Finally velocity does increase your likelihood of tearing your UCL, although with starters the data is a little murkier.
Saturday, May 02, 2015
An interesting observation from Felipe Alou, via Pedro Martinez. I wonder how this would stand up to a higher sample.
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Friday, May 01, 2015
My real purpose in doing this was to educate myself about the 30 major league rotations. If I can force myself to do this once a week—which I probably can’t, but if I could—then I would develop a stronger understanding of who was in the rotation right now for all 30 teams, who their #1 starter was, etc. I’m old; I have a hard time lodging all of that information in my head.
Wednesday, April 29, 2015
This may be an improvement over other metrics that are currently available. (I don’t have time to read the detailed breakdown, which I applaud them for providing, BTW.) I would think, though, better metrics for measuring pitchers are just around the corner due to Field F/X (whatever it’s called) data. With that data it should be possible to separate (and this is one of the Holy Grail sabermetric goals) fielding from pitching.
Posted: April 29, 2015 at 09:43 AM | 21 comment(s)
Monday, April 27, 2015
Thursday, April 09, 2015
Mat Latos has dropped 15 points since the season began…
Here’s something to jazz up your baseball debates: a ranking of the top starting pitchers in the major leagues. These rankings (which include postseason performances) will be updated every morning, though we’ll show each pitcher’s score as of April 1st of each year (that’s the “Started Season” column). If you’re interested in how we put this together, read about Bill’s concept in this article.
for his generous support.
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