Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback



All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Editor - Baseball Primer


Pitching Newsbeat

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Peter Gammons: Red Sox could use an “Alpha Dog” to fill top of rotation -

There is a long way to go in all this. Dombrowski may try to move some of the money owed Hanley Ramirez and Pablo Sandoval, which may not be simple propositions. Ownership may want to restrict pitching contracts. They may look at the fact that four of the top pitchers in WAR are Jake Arrieta, Dallas Keuchel, John Lackey (the ask-out fallout from the Lester offer) and Chris Archer; the work put in the last two months in developing and finding pitchers has been tireless and creative.

Alpha dogs cannot be found at a breeder. Not that easy.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 22, 2015 at 10:13 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: david price, free agents, johnny cueto, pitching, red sox, zach greinke

Wednesday, September 09, 2015

Deserved Run Average: A better way to determine the Cy Young winners | FOX Sports

I’ve been looking over the DRA figures at Baseball since they announced the stat. I like it but, from what I have learned in old research, there should be a factor differentiating between pitcher performance with nobody on and with runners on. Although the difference isn’t much from most pitchers, there are some who have a different profile. Of course, I may have missed the adjustment in their explanations.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 09, 2015 at 12:46 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: awards, cy young award, dra, pitching, sabermetrics

Tuesday, August 25, 2015

Taylor Jungmann and Diminishing Marginal Utility | FanGraphs Baseball

Good stuff from Eno Harris.

So when Trevor Bauer dismisses the fact his curveball has the highest whiff rate among starters, saying, “That’s just because of how I use it, not because of the movement of the pitch,” then you can understand better how complicated pitching is — and how one good pitch thrown infrequently does not automatically beget one great pitch thrown more often.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 25, 2015 at 11:12 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, pitching, taylor jungmann

Monday, August 24, 2015

MiLB pitcher Josh Wilkie AMA on Reddit

Did you ever pitch high on cannabis? And if so, do you think it made you performance better or worse?

You won’t believe his answer to this question!

boteman sez FIRE MATTY!! Posted: August 24, 2015 at 03:08 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: marijuana, minor leaguers, nationals, pitching

Friday, August 14, 2015

Forecasting Pitcher Platoon Splits – The Hardball Times

Not any shocking findings but interesting nonetheless.

Managers, it appears, stack their lineups with more lefties when facing right-handed pitching but pay little attention to the projected platoon split of the pitcher. The right-handed pitchers projected to have reverse splits faced roughly as many left-handed batters as the right-handed pitchers with the most extreme projected splits and dramatically more left-handed batters than the left-handed pitchers with the weakest projected splits. Daily fantasy managers may well act similarly and, in either world, some advantage could be accrued by looking at more than just a pitcher’s throwing hand.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 14, 2015 at 07:57 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitchfx, pitching, sabermetrics

Sunday, August 09, 2015

The Mets have to learn lessons a computer can’t teach them | New York Post

Much has been made lately about the Mets “Matrix’’ system.

The Matrix is a computer program coupled with scouting, Collins said Saturday they use the info to help figure out what pitchers the Mets’ young hitters, especially, might have the most success against.

“What we’ve tried to do is get our scouts together and take [Rays starter] Nathan Karns for example, how many guys have that kind of stuff, similar stuff, go through the computer system and say, ‘OK, here is a guy who pitches at 92-93, a good curve ball, who are these guys?’ ” Collins explained. “You take that list, and some of our hitters have faced them in the past. You put it together and you have a better idea that this guy should hit this guy, so it helps us a little bit more.’’

With more options, Collins can make a more informed decision, the Matrix on Saturday said Wilmer Flores, Tejada and Kelly Johnson, should all be able to hit Karns. Collins opted for Tejada and Johnson to be in the lineup.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 09, 2015 at 10:45 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, pitching

Thursday, July 16, 2015

Sullivan | As heat rises, hitters cooling off

“Velocity is a big part of this game,” said Troy Tulowitzki, the Colorado shortstop. “Hopefully, it doesn’t go any higher.”

Jim Furtado Posted: July 16, 2015 at 11:18 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching, velocity

Monday, June 15, 2015

Tampa Bay Rays Looking To New Tech To Study Pitching

But does it measure The Will to Win?

So, it comes with little surprise that the Rays and markerless bio-mechanics company KinaTrax have announced a deal that will allow the Rays to keep track of their pitchers’ form. The two organizations released a statement today, saying that KinaTrax will install a software-hardware product suite in Tropicana Field for use in the 2015 MLB season.

The system will be able to track a pitcher’s mechanics in real-time during a game. It does not use any sort of device that a pitcher must wear, but will be able to capture a pitcher’s “joint angles, bone displacements and velocity metrics” from afar.

Then, the system will use motion capture analytics to ascertain whether or not a pitcher’s form will make him prone to injury. The suite in Tropicana field will also be able to tell whether a pitcher’s form is hurting his performance.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: June 15, 2015 at 01:32 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: mechanics, pitching, rays, technology

Tuesday, June 02, 2015

Have relievers really gotten better? | FOX Sports

If relievers are truly getting better, maybe a team won’t need so many of them. How about a couple less relievers and a few more quality pinch-hitting options?

Now that we know that teams have better bullpens at their disposal than they used to, what’€™s the counter-move? One that’s been suggested is that hitters should stop being so patient and just attack what the starter gives them. In fact, there’€™s evidence that one reason for the recent rise in strikeouts is that hitters are being too patient. If the batter comes up saying, “€œI won’€™t swing until you throw me a strike,”€ the pitcher is likely to say, “€œOK, here”€ and we end up in an 0-1 count. If bullpens really are getting better, maybe it’€™s worth it to go after the No. 4 starter and make sure that it’€™s already 7-2 by the fifth inning so that the All-Star bullpen doesn’€™t matter.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 02, 2015 at 01:41 PM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: bullpens, pitching, sabermetrics, trends

Friday, May 22, 2015

A Baseball’s Exit Velocity Is Five Parts Hitter, One Part Pitcher

But now we have Statcast. The new technology that collects data on the position and velocity of the ball and the players on the field is beginning to change what we know (or thought we knew) about all sorts of things — pitching included. And that’s raising new questions about how much effect a pitcher can have on a ball once it’s put in play. The answer might be: a lot.

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 22, 2015 at 08:51 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: fip, pitching, statcast

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Velocity and the Likelihood of Tommy John Surgery | Community – FanGraphs Baseball

Don’t want to get hurt, stop throwing so hard.

As you can see these results are more in line with Dr. Fleisig’s results (25% Major League pitchers). I don’t think it’s unreasonable there are some differences, however. This would depend on our methods of gathering the data and how we defined what a Major League pitcher is. My definition was very loose. Basically if a pitcher came up and threw one inning, then I put him in the results. The reason why I didn’t have a stricter definition of what a Major League pitcher was was because my goal wasn’t to find the percentage of Majors League pitchers who had Tommy John. Rather it was to examine the relationship between velocity and Tommy John surgeries. This is really just an added bonus. Also, Dr. Fleisig’s goal was to see how many current pitchers had Tommy John. My results are the percentage of pitchers who have had Tommy John since 2002 and 2007. We, however, now can accurately conclude, in my estimation, that Carroll’s results were way too high and that velocity does increase a player’s chance of having Tommy John.

This can make pitcher selection now very interesting. For example, if you are trying to decipher whether to get a pitcher who throws 96 MPH who is just as good as a pitcher who throws 90 MPH, you might be better off taking the guy who throws 90. By doing that you would be reducing the odds that that pitcher has Tommy John by about 7 to 10 percent, which is pretty good if you ask me. Also if you’re a GM or in fantasy and are terrified of relievers because you think they all tear their ulnar collateral ligaments, well you shouldn’t be. Your starters are actually slightly more likely to tear their UCL. There are of course other factors to consider here but these can serve as basic general guidelines. Finally velocity does increase your likelihood of tearing your UCL, although with starters the data is a little murkier.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 19, 2015 at 09:39 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, pitching, sabermetrics, tommy john surgery

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Pedro revels one of his secrets to pitching success - Over the Monster

An interesting observation from Felipe Alou, via Pedro Martinez. I wonder how this would stand up to a higher sample.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 02, 2015 at 11:39 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: pedro martinez, pitching, the little things

Friday, May 01, 2015

Starting Rotations April 30, 2015 | Bill James Online

My real purpose in doing this was to educate myself about the 30 major league rotations.  If I can force myself to do this once a week—which I probably can’t, but if I could—then I would develop a stronger understanding of who was in the rotation right now for all 30 teams, who their #1 starter was, etc.  I’m old; I have a hard time lodging all of that information in my head.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 01, 2015 at 09:26 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, pitching, sabermetrics

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Player’s View: No-hitter Silent Treatment | FanGraphs Baseball

Not talking about no hitters.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 29, 2015 at 10:40 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: no hitters, pitching

Baseball Prospectus: Introducing Deserved Run Average (DRA)-And All Its Friends

This may be an improvement over other metrics that are currently available. (I don’t have time to read the detailed breakdown, which I applaud them for providing, BTW.) I would think, though, better metrics for measuring pitchers are just around the corner due to Field F/X (whatever it’s called) data. With that data it should be possible to separate (and this is one of the Holy Grail sabermetric goals) fielding from pitching.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 29, 2015 at 09:43 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching, sabermetrics

Monday, April 27, 2015

Abnormal Things That Fastballs Do » Warbird Academy

This popped up in my Twitter feed today.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 27, 2015 at 09:46 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching

Thursday, April 09, 2015

Starting Pitcher Rankings | Bill James Online

Mat Latos has dropped 15 points since the season began…

Here’s something to jazz up your baseball debates: a ranking of the top starting pitchers in the major leagues. These rankings (which include postseason performances) will be updated every morning, though we’ll show each pitcher’s score as of April 1st of each year (that’s the “Started Season” column).  If you’re interested in how we put this together, read about Bill’s concept in this article.

The District Attorney Posted: April 09, 2015 at 03:31 PM | 64 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, pitching, sabermetrics, statistics



BBTF Partner

Support BBTF


Thanks to
for his generous support.


You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP - October 2015: Political and baseball desperation
(686 - 8:49am, Oct 04)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogIchiro Suzuki Aiming at Age 50
(1 - 8:13am, Oct 04)
Last: bfan

NewsblogMax Scherzer pitches second no-hitter of 2015 |
(17 - 8:07am, Oct 04)
Last: Adam Starblind

NewsblogOT - October 2015 College Football thread
(29 - 3:09am, Oct 04)
Last: Gold Star - just Gold Star

NewsblogWhy we picked the Cubs to win the 2015 World Series
(21 - 2:26am, Oct 04)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble Video: Pillar's outstanding diving grab
(5 - 2:15am, Oct 04)
Last: Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos

NewsblogOrioles shortstop J.J. Hardy says he has played entire season with torn labrum in left shoulder - Baltimore Sun
(16 - 2:04am, Oct 04)
Last: Infinite Yost (Voxter)

NewsblogOT - September 2015 College Football thread
(527 - 1:26am, Oct 04)
Last: Infinite Yost (Voxter)

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 10-3-15
(212 - 1:13am, Oct 04)
Last: Spahn Insane

NewsblogCardinals, already with 100 wins, can finish as stingiest team since 1969
(42 - 12:10am, Oct 04)
Last: Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogOT: NBA Pre-Season Thread
(147 - 10:30pm, Oct 03)
Last: Srul Itza

NewsblogChris Sale sets franchise strikeout record in White Sox win over Tigers | Chicago Sun-Times
(7 - 10:10pm, Oct 03)
Last: Infinite Yost (Voxter)

NewsblogJerry Seinfeld to join Mets’ broadcast booth Saturday night | For The Win
(10 - 9:34pm, Oct 03)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble

NewsblogSo, Uh, What Happened to the Astros? «
(49 - 9:33pm, Oct 03)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogInside Baseball: Nationals to let Williams go, and more MLB moves -
(37 - 8:01pm, Oct 03)
Last: PASTE Will Notice Harper When He Hits .467 (Zeth)

Page rendered in 0.5107 seconds
128 querie(s) executed