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Pitching Newsbeat

Friday, May 22, 2015

A Baseball’s Exit Velocity Is Five Parts Hitter, One Part Pitcher

But now we have Statcast. The new technology that collects data on the position and velocity of the ball and the players on the field is beginning to change what we know (or thought we knew) about all sorts of things — pitching included. And that’s raising new questions about how much effect a pitcher can have on a ball once it’s put in play. The answer might be: a lot.

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 22, 2015 at 08:51 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: fip, pitching, statcast

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

Velocity and the Likelihood of Tommy John Surgery | Community – FanGraphs Baseball

Don’t want to get hurt, stop throwing so hard.

As you can see these results are more in line with Dr. Fleisig’s results (25% Major League pitchers). I don’t think it’s unreasonable there are some differences, however. This would depend on our methods of gathering the data and how we defined what a Major League pitcher is. My definition was very loose. Basically if a pitcher came up and threw one inning, then I put him in the results. The reason why I didn’t have a stricter definition of what a Major League pitcher was was because my goal wasn’t to find the percentage of Majors League pitchers who had Tommy John. Rather it was to examine the relationship between velocity and Tommy John surgeries. This is really just an added bonus. Also, Dr. Fleisig’s goal was to see how many current pitchers had Tommy John. My results are the percentage of pitchers who have had Tommy John since 2002 and 2007. We, however, now can accurately conclude, in my estimation, that Carroll’s results were way too high and that velocity does increase a player’s chance of having Tommy John.

This can make pitcher selection now very interesting. For example, if you are trying to decipher whether to get a pitcher who throws 96 MPH who is just as good as a pitcher who throws 90 MPH, you might be better off taking the guy who throws 90. By doing that you would be reducing the odds that that pitcher has Tommy John by about 7 to 10 percent, which is pretty good if you ask me. Also if you’re a GM or in fantasy and are terrified of relievers because you think they all tear their ulnar collateral ligaments, well you shouldn’t be. Your starters are actually slightly more likely to tear their UCL. There are of course other factors to consider here but these can serve as basic general guidelines. Finally velocity does increase your likelihood of tearing your UCL, although with starters the data is a little murkier.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 19, 2015 at 09:39 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: pitcher injuries, pitching, sabermetrics, tommy john surgery

Saturday, May 02, 2015

Pedro revels one of his secrets to pitching success - Over the Monster

An interesting observation from Felipe Alou, via Pedro Martinez. I wonder how this would stand up to a higher sample.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 02, 2015 at 11:39 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: pedro martinez, pitching, the little things

Friday, May 01, 2015

Starting Rotations April 30, 2015 | Bill James Online

My real purpose in doing this was to educate myself about the 30 major league rotations.  If I can force myself to do this once a week—which I probably can’t, but if I could—then I would develop a stronger understanding of who was in the rotation right now for all 30 teams, who their #1 starter was, etc.  I’m old; I have a hard time lodging all of that information in my head.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 01, 2015 at 09:26 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, pitching, sabermetrics

Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Player’s View: No-hitter Silent Treatment | FanGraphs Baseball

Not talking about no hitters.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 29, 2015 at 10:40 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: no hitters, pitching

Baseball Prospectus: Introducing Deserved Run Average (DRA)-And All Its Friends

This may be an improvement over other metrics that are currently available. (I don’t have time to read the detailed breakdown, which I applaud them for providing, BTW.) I would think, though, better metrics for measuring pitchers are just around the corner due to Field F/X (whatever it’s called) data. With that data it should be possible to separate (and this is one of the Holy Grail sabermetric goals) fielding from pitching.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 29, 2015 at 09:43 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching, sabermetrics

Monday, April 27, 2015

Abnormal Things That Fastballs Do » Warbird Academy

This popped up in my Twitter feed today.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 27, 2015 at 09:46 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching

Thursday, April 09, 2015

Starting Pitcher Rankings | Bill James Online

Mat Latos has dropped 15 points since the season began…

Here’s something to jazz up your baseball debates: a ranking of the top starting pitchers in the major leagues. These rankings (which include postseason performances) will be updated every morning, though we’ll show each pitcher’s score as of April 1st of each year (that’s the “Started Season” column).  If you’re interested in how we put this together, read about Bill’s concept in this article.

The District Attorney Posted: April 09, 2015 at 03:31 PM | 64 comment(s)
  Beats: bill james, pitching, sabermetrics, statistics

Saturday, March 14, 2015

New pitchers head protection gains MLB approval - ESPN

Will any other pitchers use this cap?

Jim Furtado Posted: March 14, 2015 at 09:07 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: equipment, pitching

Monday, March 09, 2015


Sunday, March 01, 2015

Several aces may need to adjust to a low zone loss. | SportsonEarth.com

Sorry, it’s the right adjustment.

“A hitter can take as many swings as he wants,” Butcher said. “Pitchers are only allowed a certain amount of throws per day. So when you start tinkering with the strike zone, I think it’s a longer adjustment process for a pitcher to go through. I think it would be a tough adjustment and the wrong adjustment for the league.”

Jim Furtado Posted: March 01, 2015 at 08:01 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching, sabermetrics

Friday, February 27, 2015

What Rick Porcello learned while surrounded by aces in Detroit - WEEI | John Tomase

Rick Porcello talks about what he learned from the other starters in Detroit.


Tuesday, December 02, 2014

Searching for Under-Used Breaking Pitches with PITCHf/x – The Hardball Times

Great stuff.

McHugh threw 47.1 innings with the Mets and Rockies between 2012 and 2013, and his pitch selection looked something like this: 56 percent fastballs, 39 percent breaking balls (curve ball and slider), and five percent change-ups. McHugh relied primarily on his hard stuff, complemented it with some breaking balls, and threw in the occasional change-up, a pretty standard plan of action for a starting pitcher.

The Houston Astros, however, saw something more. Something about those breaking balls caught their eye: They had a ridiculous amount of spin on them. This discovery was brought to light in a recent piece in Business Week:

Jim Furtado Posted: December 02, 2014 at 08:11 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: pitching, sabermetrics

 

 

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