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Prospects Newsbeat

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Top 29 Prospects: Atlanta Braves | FanGraphs Baseball

Cristian Pache is #1.

Jim Furtado Posted: December 12, 2018 at 09:30 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Tuesday, November 20, 2018

Drafting high school pitchers is a suckers game

Drafting High School Pitchers Is a Major Problem for MLB, Health of Young Prospects

SI article with a look at the diminishing success over time of pitchers drafted out of high school

charityslave is thinking about baseball Posted: November 20, 2018 at 05:57 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, high school baseball, prospects

Thursday, November 15, 2018

An Update to Prospect Valuation | FanGraphs Baseball

Very interesting work. A couple of quibbles…the discount rate seems a little too low (maybe because they don’t factor in the teams’ player development costs); and, since prospects are already team property, approximate player value pegged to the player’s free agent value is less useful than approximate trade trade value. Nevertheless, some great work.

What follows are the present-day values of prospects based on the study performed above. The results are presented in present-day WAR and translated to a rough dollar figure based on $9 million as the cost of a win on the free-agent market. Keep in mind that the dollar figure isn’t a direct value, but rather equivalent value of a prospect relative to the free-agent market. Part of the reason prospects have such tremendous value is due to the suppressed salaries permitted by the CBA until a player has reached six years of service time. By translating the WAR figure into a monetary value, we can compare the value of prospects with the values of major-league players and their contracts. These values likely roughly approximate what an individual player might get as a signing bonus if he were declared a free agent and teams could only provide a signing bonus instead of a long-term contract.

Edit: My comment edited for clarity.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 15, 2018 at 08:33 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Friday, October 12, 2018

Cincinnati Reds’ Shed Long, who can be a ‘game changer,’ is working on his consistency

SCOTTSDALE, Arizona – A few hours before Shed Long made his debut in the Arizona Fall League Wednesday, Barry Larkin gave a scouting report of the 23-year-old second baseman.

He can hit for power. He can steal bases. He plays strong defense.

Batting leadoff for his Fall League team, Long showcased all of it. He went 1-for-4 with three RBI, two walks and one stolen base. The No. 8-ranked prospect in the Reds’ farm system by MLB.com, he’s trying to make the leap to the Majors.

Wonderful name that deserves to be remembered, if nothing else.

QLE Posted: October 12, 2018 at 01:53 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: arizona fall league, prospects, reds, shed long

Thursday, October 11, 2018

Using Fly Ball Distance to Find Sleeper Prospects | The Hardball Times

Interesting.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2018 at 10:59 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Friday, September 14, 2018

Prospects who had big seasons in 2018

Someone for everyone.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 14, 2018 at 07:50 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Friday, September 07, 2018

2018 Pipeline’s Prospect Team of the Year

A year after making their full-season debuts, Blue Jays third baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and White Sox right-hander Dylan Cease dominated the Minor Leagues throughout 2018. Guerrero made a run at becoming the Minors’ first .400 hitter in 29 years and Cease was unhittable for much of the season, especially down the stretch.

Guerrero was a no-brainer choice as MLB Pipeline’s Hitter of the Year, and Cease was nearly as obvious a pick as our Pitcher of the Year. They also headline our annual Prospect Team of the Year, which includes eight Top 100 prospects on the 12-player first team.

To be eligible for the Prospect Team of the Year, a player must have spent at least half of the season in the Minors and ranked on MLB Pipeline’s Top 30 Prospects list for his organization at some point.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 07, 2018 at 02:35 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Thursday, September 06, 2018

Should We Adjust How We Evaluate Pitching Prospects? | FanGraphs Baseball

Each season I consolidate prospect ratings and rankings from multiple sources. The last two years, based on research about typical WAR yields, I’ve shifted most pitchers downward and now spend most of my top picks on position players and try to stock up on pitchers later in the drafts. My stockpile of position players is really growing, while I’m still occasionally hitting on pitchers later.

My interest in these three specific pitchers relates to my work on last winter’s top-100 list with Eric. He and I purposely moved pitchers, as a population, down our rankings a bit to better reflect how many wins pitchers create relative to position players. Traditionally, there appears to be too little consideration in these lists for pitcher attrition. (This is the case for our own old lists, as well.) It’s easy to downgrade the Cease/Manning types due to questions about their future roles, but it’s also just as easy to boost them on the grounds that they could be the power-over-feel types who turn into Max Scherzer.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 06, 2018 at 10:40 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: prospect rankings, prospects

Wednesday, September 05, 2018

End of season top 100 prospects part 1 (1-50) the top players I saw in 2018 |

Stumbled on this site today. Looks promising.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 05, 2018 at 10:16 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Sunday, September 02, 2018

Top prospects among 2018 September callups

Some interesting players.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 02, 2018 at 10:14 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, september roster expansions

Tuesday, August 07, 2018

Lou Trivino thriving in loaded A’s bullpen

Yes, you read that right.

Just three years ago, when Trivino was a starter for Class A Advanced Stockton, he says his fastball sat in the low 90s on a good day. Mike Connors, who Trivino enlisted at the Tri-State Elite Baseball Academy in Quakerstown, Pa., emphasized urgency and discipline to a revamped conditioning regimen that slowly led to an uptick of nearly 10 mph.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 07, 2018 at 01:30 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, lou trivino, prospects

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

Mets finally calling up one sizzling prospect [Jeff McNeil]

The Mets are calling up Jeff McNeil from Triple-A Las Vegas, The Post’s Joel Sherman confirmed Tuesday morning, after he tore up the Eastern League and then Pacific Coast League. The utilityman hit .368/.437/.600 in Vegas [after hitting .327/.402/.626 at AA Binghamton] and the Mets will hope he can help replenish a lineup that has struggled to produce.

The corresponding roster move has yet to be announced, though there is no shortage of expendable players in the Mets’ infield.


Is this the end of Jose Reyes?

Adam Starblind Posted: July 24, 2018 at 11:55 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, prospects

Monday, July 16, 2018


Thursday, July 12, 2018

Toolshed: Futures Game tale of the tape | MiLB.com News

One of the most interesting games of the year.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 12, 2018 at 01:12 PM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: futures game, prospects

 

 

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