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Prospects Newsbeat

Sunday, October 19, 2014

JAVIER prospect comparison system, now with speed! - Beyond the Box Score

After posting the original articles on JAVIER, I knew I would have to update these values after the season, which would provide an opportunity to build some improvements into the system.

As a refresher, JAVIER is a minor league hitting evaluation system that uses basic statistics and finds comparable players in history. It uses each player’s minor league walk, strikeout, and isolated power numbers and compares them to the league average, turning them into z-scores. These z-scores are then compared across minor league data spanning back to 1978. Read the previous description for a full understanding.

Before my prospect system got all fancy and had an official name, it only included walk and strikeout rate. The previous update added the name JAVIER, but more importantly isolated power as a means of differentiating between sluggers and slap hitters. This time I added speed, age adjustment and regression to league average elements. The productive, average, and bust categories still exist, but I instead use an average VORP approach to rank the players.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 05:23 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: projection models, projections, prospects

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Winker earns AFL Player of the Week nod | reds.com

Although I’m already a walking zombie from watching late-night playoff games, I still wish some AFL game were available on television.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 15, 2014 at 06:43 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Mark Appel Proved Wednesday The Big Stuff Is Back | FanGraphs Baseball

The total package is here for a #2 starter. An efficient delivery from a brick wall of a human being, two plus or better pitches and a third average pitch with signs of Major League pitchability. Unless the control hiccups are a harbinger of things to come (something that I’ll be on the lookout for the rest of the month here) I think he’ll be just fine.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2014 at 09:17 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: jake reed, mark appel, prospect reports, prospects

Friday, October 10, 2014

Evaluating the Prospects: Houston Astros | FanGraphs Baseball

Fangraphs has begun their prospect reports.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2014 at 11:16 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, prospects

Tuesday, October 07, 2014


Friday, September 19, 2014

C.J. Edwards: The legend of the String Bean Slinger

This is from a few days back, but a great read on the Cubs’ top pitching prospect.

You cannot help but notice. His Mid-Carolina High coach first saw it. So, too, did the Spartanburg Methodist assistant coach who later hooked on with the Texas Rangers and scouted him in bush league games near Newberry. All along the way, his minor-league coaches shook their heads in disbelief. Once, in major league camp, Josh Hamilton, upon seeing him shirtless, questioned if the Rangers were properly feeding their minor-leaguers.

C.J. Edwards is skinny.

Not normal skinny. Rail-thin skinny. Icabod Crane-skinny. Twiggy-like. Mick Jagger-esque. Standing on a pitcher’s mound, Edwards gives the appearance of a broomstick with a hat resting on top.

HMS Moses Taylor Posted: September 19, 2014 at 10:47 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, fat pitchers, prospects, rangers

Monday, September 15, 2014

Steven Matz, other top minor league Mets to be honored at Citi Field on Monday

Long Island’s Steven Matz finally got called to Citi Field.

Though it’s only to accept an award.

For now.

Matz, who was born in Stony Brook and attended Ward Melville High School, is scheduled to be honored prior to Monday’s 7:10 p.m. game against the Marlins with the Sterling Pitcher of the Year award as the Mets’ best minor league pitcher.
Matz, 23, is the top lefthanded pitching prospect in the Mets’ system. He had a 2.21 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 12 starts with Single-A Advanced St. Lucie before a promotion to Double-A Binghamton. In 12 starts with the Binghamton Mets, Matz had a 2.27 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. He helped lead the team to an Eastern League championship, even taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning of the title clincher.

Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: September 15, 2014 at 06:52 PM | 54 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, prospects

Tuesday, September 09, 2014

VIDEO: Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 15, is huge, destroys baseballs

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a familiar name, and the body/swing combination in the video below are pretty familiar as well. Check it out, keeping in mind that he’s only 15 years old—and if you want to zero in on just one swing to save time, I recommend jumping to the 1:25 mark:

Man, I hope he’s got the goods.  Who was more fun to have around than Vlad Guerrero?


Tuesday, August 26, 2014


Thursday, August 21, 2014

Grantland: The Top Prospect Progress Poll.

Jake Odorizzi, RHP, Rays: Even in a lost season for Wil Myers, the Rays have gotten significant value from the James Shields trade thanks to Odorizzi’s performance, which one scout termed a “huge breakthrough.”

“Odorizzi could always pitch and he always had a deep arsenal, but the knock on him was always the lack of that put-away pitch,” another scout wrote. “Now we’re looking at a dude who strikes out hitters left and right with an upper 80s, low 90s fastball. The key for him has been the development of that changeup, and I think he’s done a better job of learning how to use it as the year has progressed. He really pitches well with the fastball and uses that cut-slider and lollipop curve to disrupt timing while putting away hitters with a sneaky fastball or change.”

Odorizzi has always reminded me a little of Jeff Weaver, except less of an uggo.

Infinite Joost (Voxter) Posted: August 21, 2014 at 07:13 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Byron Buxton promoted to Double-A

Last night, the Twins promoted Buxton to Double-A New Britain. It has to be more off of feel for his development than performance, as a recent slump has saw his numbers dip to .240/.313/.405 in 134 plate appearances for the Fort Myers Miracle. A slower start might be expected for any player whose season was as start-stop-start-stop-start as Buxton’s has been, but it doesn’t sound like that’s a concern for the Twins’ brass.

Our favorite quote regarding Buxton is Terry Ryan saying that he’ll set his own timetable. In this instance, the club appears to be helping to set it for him. There are 22 games remaining on New Britain’s schedule, and as Mike Berardino notes, a good performance could merit a September callup.

And that’s pretty exciting, all things considered. How excited would you be to have an opportunity to watch Buxton play Major League games in September?

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 12, 2014 at 09:29 AM | 40 comment(s)
  Beats: byron buxton, prospects, twins

Thursday, August 07, 2014

Great Minor League Home Run Race

GIANT photos and big time home run power dominate this article.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 07, 2014 at 05:57 AM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: joey gallo, kris bryant, matt olson, peter o'brien, prospects

Wednesday, August 06, 2014

Baez goes boom: First big league blast wins it

Evidently, the timing was right for Javier Baez to get to the big leagues.

Playing his first Major League game, Baez launched the first pitch he saw from Boone Logan leading off the 12th inning into the bullpen for his first big league homer and hit to power the Cubs to a 6-5 victory over the Rockies.

That’s a lot of firsts, and Baez will have plenty of souvenirs to remember the game, including the home run ball, which landed in the Rockies’ bullpen.

 

Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: August 06, 2014 at 12:02 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, home runs, prospects

Friday, August 01, 2014

Ranking The Prospects Traded At The Deadline - BaseballAmerica.com

Baseball America gives snapshots of the prospects who were recently traded.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 01, 2014 at 08:35 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, trade deadline

Monday, July 28, 2014

2014 Prospect Watch | MLB.com: UPDATED

MLB.com updates its Top 100 Prospect List.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 28, 2014 at 10:30 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: prospect reports, prospects

Monday, July 21, 2014

Former first-round pick Karsten Whitson focused on proving value after 11th-round selection - Over the Monster

Really? No regrets?

Sure, Whitson lost nearly $2 million dollars by going to college, but the now 22-year-old has no regrets.

“College was easily the best four years of my life,” Whitson said. “I can’t wait to get back in the offseason and work out and get up with some old friends. I think it helped me a lot as a person and as a player. It matured me and was able to walk away with that degree, so mom and dad were happy and it was good.”

Jim Furtado Posted: July 21, 2014 at 08:17 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, red sox

Monday, July 14, 2014

Joey Gallo’s homer backs stellar U.S. pitching in Futures Game win | cubs.com: News

Does anyone have a link to see the game online? I missed a couple of innings on the cable broadcast.

Jim Furtado Posted: July 14, 2014 at 10:14 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: futures game, prospects

Monday, July 07, 2014

BA Midseason Top 50: Injury Can’t Knock Buxton From No. 1

It has been a dangerous year to be a top prospect. Injuries happen every year, but the 2014 season has been worse than usual. The top prospect in baseball, Twins outfielder Byron Buxton, has missed all but five games with a wrist injury. Another preseason top 10 prospect, Twins third baseman Miguel Sano, had Tommy John surgery this spring. Injuries are a recurring theme, but the Joey Gallo-Kris Bryant home run race has given fans something more enjoyable to watch.

Note: 2014 draftees, players in the majors as of July 6 and players who had exhausted rookie eligibility were not eligible for this list.

 

Barry`s_Lazy_Boy Posted: July 07, 2014 at 03:17 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: minor leagues, prospect reports, prospects

Tuesday, June 24, 2014

Big league power highlights rosters for 2014 Sirius XM All-Star Futures Game | MLB.com: News

Meet the Futures Game players.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 24, 2014 at 08:11 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Thursday, June 19, 2014

ESPN: CHICAGO: Kyle Schwarber moves up quickly

It took all of five games for Kyle Schwarber, the Chicago Cubs’ 2014 first-round pick, to get a promotion. Schwarber dominated Northwest League pitching, racking up four home runs and 10 RBIs to go along with a .600 batting average.

While last year’s top pick, Kris Bryant, spent 18 games with short season Class-A Boise, Schwarber is headed to Low-A baseball in Kane County much quicker. The difference is Schwarber was playing college baseball up until a couple of weeks ago and signed quickly with the Cubs after the draft. After seeing him for a few days—the plan had been to give him a few more games—the Cubs decided he wasn’t rusty and gave him the promotion. Bryant didn’t sign with the Cubs until mid-July so he had been away from competitive baseball for a while and needed more time. He eventually skipped Kane County and went right to High-A Daytona.

Kris Bryant was promoted to AAA.  Also where the heck do these guys play if they make it.

odds are meatwad is drunk Posted: June 19, 2014 at 04:19 AM | 20 comment(s)
  Beats: 2014 draft, cubs, indiana, prospects

Thursday, June 05, 2014

2013 Draft Retrospective: One year gone | MiLB.com News | The Official Site of Minor League Baseball

MiLB’s rundown of last year’s first round.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 05, 2014 at 12:41 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, prospects

Wednesday, June 04, 2014

MLB draft—Rise, fall of New York Yankees pitcher Brien Taylor - ESPN New York

The second greatest pitcher that never was.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 04, 2014 at 01:17 PM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, prospects, yankees

Checking in on the Draft class of 2013 | MLB.com

How good might this year’s picks be this time next year? Check out how last year’s picks are doing.

Jim Furtado Posted: June 04, 2014 at 11:11 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, prospects

Tuesday, May 27, 2014

Gallo’s Home Run Production Stands Alone - BaseballAmerica.com

If he can continue to make adjustments, he’s going to be a monster.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 27, 2014 at 11:25 AM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: joey gallo, prospects

Wednesday, May 14, 2014

Cubs’ Javy Baez showing ‘major’ deficiencies - Chicago Sun-Times

Hitting a baseball is hard.

Jim Furtado Posted: May 14, 2014 at 11:11 AM | 44 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, javy baez, prospects

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