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Prospects Newsbeat

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Ranking the top 25 prospects from the Arizona Fall League | MLB.com

Byron Buxton is first in ability and brittleness.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 20, 2014 at 04:33 PM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Switch-pitcher Pat Venditte is ready to take a major step. | SportsonEarth.com : Howard Megdal Article

If he makes it to the majors, computer game designers will have to make some coding changes.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2014 at 07:16 PM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Top prospects face off in Arizona Fall League title game | MLB.com

Set your DVRs.

he Peoria Javelinas face the Salt River Rafters at Scottsdale Stadium live on MLB Network and MLB.com at 3 p.m. ET.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 15, 2014 at 09:37 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Friday, November 14, 2014

Breaking down the best tools in the Arizona Fall League | MLB.com

Although I didn’t get to watch as many games as I hoped, I saw enough to change my opinion on a few players. Now I just need some of the winter league games to make it onto my TV and I’ll be good.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 14, 2014 at 03:35 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Pipeline Inbox: How do Moncada, Tomas rank? | MLB.com

Q/A with Jim Callis.

Yankees prospects Greg Bird and Aaron Judge have performed well in the Arizona Fall League. How much stock do you put in AFL stats?
—Ben E., Conway, Ark.
Bird and Judge were two of the most impressive hitters in the AFL this season. A leading AFL MVP Award candidate, Bird batted .313/.391/.556 and topped the league with six homers and 21 runs while ranking second with 31 hits, 55 total bases and 21 RBIs. Judge hit .278/.377/.467 and recorded an AFL-high four outfield assists.

I put very little stock in Fall League stats, because the 32-game season is a relatively small sample size and the quality of the hitters is usually quite better than the quality of the pitchers. But I have spent two weeks watching AFL games, and Bird and Judge were two of the best position players I have seen. I really like the way they manage their at-bats, working counts and letting their considerable power come naturally rather than swinging for the fences.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 14, 2014 at 03:23 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Baseball Prospectus | 2015 Prospects: Chicago Cubs Top 10 Prospects (PAY)

I don’t typically link to pay content but I found the BP Top 10 interesting. (After not subscribing to BP for years, I signed up last season. Their daily content, especially the scouting stuff, has really improved. It’s well worth the subscription fee.)

The Top Ten

1. SS Addison Russell
2. 3B Kris Bryant
3. OF Jorge Soler
4. OF Albert Almora
5. C Kyle Schwarber
6. OF Billy McKinney
7. RHP Pierce Johnson
8. SS Gleyber Torres
9. 1B Dan Vogelbach
10. LHP Carson Sands

Jim Furtado Posted: November 14, 2014 at 01:40 PM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, prospects, scouting reports

Thursday, November 06, 2014

Cubs’ Edwards works on offerings in Fall ball | cubs.com

Will Edwards really be more than a back-ender of a rotation?

The Cubs’ best hope for a front-line starter from their farm system is right-hander C.J. Edwards, whose prospect status has surged dramatically since the Rangers signed him as a 48th-round Draft pick from a South Carolina high school in 2011. Edwards came to Chicago in the Matt Garza trade during a 2013 season in which he led the Minors by averaging 12 strikeouts per nine innings.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 06, 2014 at 08:06 AM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, prospects

Wednesday, November 05, 2014

Ask BA: How Should The Red Sox Handle Their Catcher Logjam? - BaseballAmerica.com

Excellent analysis about the Red Sox catching situation.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 05, 2014 at 09:45 AM | 38 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, red sox

Monday, November 03, 2014

Cuban Notebook: Latest Buzz On Cuban Players - BaseballAmerica.com

So, if the Red Sox sign someone like Yoan Moncada, it’s impacts his cost, but it doesn’t impact who they can sign in the future?

The Red Sox could also have interest in Cuban players who fall under the international bonus pools, where they would have somewhat of an advantage over other teams. Like the Yankees and Rays, the Red Sox have already blown well beyond their bonus pool into the maximum penalty range, which means they can’t sign anyone subject to the pools for more than $300,000 the next two signing periods, beginning July 2, 2015, and they’re subject to a 100 percent tax on their 2014-15 pool overage. Since they’re already in the max penalty range, they don’t have to make the decision that most other clubs face over whether it’s worth it to go over their pool sit out on players for more than $300,000 for the next two years.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 03, 2014 at 12:17 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: cuban free agents, prospects

Showcase planned for Cuban prospect Yoan Moncada « Jesse Sanchez at the Park

There is a lot of info in the article about his signing status.

Scouts believe Yoan Moncada could be the best teenage prospect to come from Cuba in years.
...
Scouts have called Moncada the next Jorge Soler and his skills have been matched up against Yasiel Puig’s at the same age. He once beat new Red Sox outfielder Rusney Castillo in a base running competition during the Serie Nacional all-star festivities in Cuba and his power has been compared to Cuban slugger Yasmany Tomas.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 03, 2014 at 09:40 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: cuban free agents, prospects

Sunday, November 02, 2014

Yankees’ Bird leads East to Fall Stars victory | MLB.com

The Arizona Fall League’s most dangerous hitter this season continued to pound pitchers in the prospect circuit’s Fall Stars Game at Salt River Fields on Saturday evening. Yankees first baseman Greg Bird opened the scoring with the longest home run in the game’s nine-year history, triggering a four-run second inning that held up for a 6-2 Eastern Division victory.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 02, 2014 at 10:16 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Saturday, November 01, 2014

Fall Stars Game filled to brim with talent | MLB.com

One of favorite things to watch. If we could get the other AFL games on demand at MILB.com, I would be even happier.

The game, which starts at 5 p.m. MST/8 p.m. ET, will be broadcast on MLB Network and streamed live on MLB.com.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 01, 2014 at 08:54 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Cubs prospect C.J. Edwards dazzles early; Twins prospect Byron Buxton hurt late | MiLB.com

Buxton is hurt again.

Two notable players who fit that profile appeared in Monday’s 3-3 tie between Mesa and Salt River, with each experiencing starkly different outcomes. C.J. Edwards—the Cubs’ No. 5 prospect and No. 51 overall prospect—fired three perfect innings for Solar Sox, while the Rafters’ Byron Buxton—a Twins prospect ranked the best in baseball—sustained yet another injury.

Buxton was taken to a hospital after the game for X-rays on his left middle finger, which he hurt while diving for a ball in center field during the ninth inning. He was limited to 31 regular-season games in 2014 because of recurring wrist problems and a concussion resulting from an outfield collision.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 28, 2014 at 10:42 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: byron buxton, prospects

Fall Stars Game filled to brim with talent | orioles.com

I can’t wait. This is one of the off-season highlights.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 28, 2014 at 10:12 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, television

Saturday, October 25, 2014

Boston Red Sox prospect Deven Marrero enjoying turnaround in Arizona Fall League | MiLB.com

If Marrero can just hit like an average shortstop, he’ll be a very, very good player.

Edit: Link fixed, Jim.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 25, 2014 at 08:24 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, red sox

Yankees Arizona Fall League overview | yankees.com

Aaron Judge is one big outfielder.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 25, 2014 at 07:24 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, yankees

Friday, October 24, 2014

How top World Series players ranked as prospects. | SportsonEarth.com : Jim Callis Article

Which World Series participants were the most highly regarded? Glad you asked. Here’s a ranking of the top 15 players in the World Series based on how they were perceived as prospects when they made their MLB debut.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 24, 2014 at 11:36 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, world series

Pittsburgh Pirates prospect Tyler Glasnow captures Starting Pitcher MiLBY Award | MiLB.com

It takes more than talent to get to the big leagues. Warning: TINSTAAPP.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 24, 2014 at 10:58 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: pirates, prospects, tyler glasnow

Sunday, October 19, 2014

JAVIER prospect comparison system, now with speed! - Beyond the Box Score

After posting the original articles on JAVIER, I knew I would have to update these values after the season, which would provide an opportunity to build some improvements into the system.

As a refresher, JAVIER is a minor league hitting evaluation system that uses basic statistics and finds comparable players in history. It uses each player’s minor league walk, strikeout, and isolated power numbers and compares them to the league average, turning them into z-scores. These z-scores are then compared across minor league data spanning back to 1978. Read the previous description for a full understanding.

Before my prospect system got all fancy and had an official name, it only included walk and strikeout rate. The previous update added the name JAVIER, but more importantly isolated power as a means of differentiating between sluggers and slap hitters. This time I added speed, age adjustment and regression to league average elements. The productive, average, and bust categories still exist, but I instead use an average VORP approach to rank the players.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 19, 2014 at 05:23 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: projection models, projections, prospects

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Winker earns AFL Player of the Week nod | reds.com

Although I’m already a walking zombie from watching late-night playoff games, I still wish some AFL game were available on television.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 15, 2014 at 06:43 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Saturday, October 11, 2014

Mark Appel Proved Wednesday The Big Stuff Is Back | FanGraphs Baseball

The total package is here for a #2 starter. An efficient delivery from a brick wall of a human being, two plus or better pitches and a third average pitch with signs of Major League pitchability. Unless the control hiccups are a harbinger of things to come (something that I’ll be on the lookout for the rest of the month here) I think he’ll be just fine.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 11, 2014 at 09:17 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: jake reed, mark appel, prospect reports, prospects

Friday, October 10, 2014

Evaluating the Prospects: Houston Astros | FanGraphs Baseball

Fangraphs has begun their prospect reports.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 10, 2014 at 11:16 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, prospects

Tuesday, October 07, 2014


Friday, September 19, 2014

C.J. Edwards: The legend of the String Bean Slinger

This is from a few days back, but a great read on the Cubs’ top pitching prospect.

You cannot help but notice. His Mid-Carolina High coach first saw it. So, too, did the Spartanburg Methodist assistant coach who later hooked on with the Texas Rangers and scouted him in bush league games near Newberry. All along the way, his minor-league coaches shook their heads in disbelief. Once, in major league camp, Josh Hamilton, upon seeing him shirtless, questioned if the Rangers were properly feeding their minor-leaguers.

C.J. Edwards is skinny.

Not normal skinny. Rail-thin skinny. Icabod Crane-skinny. Twiggy-like. Mick Jagger-esque. Standing on a pitcher’s mound, Edwards gives the appearance of a broomstick with a hat resting on top.

Moses Taylor, Moses Taylor Posted: September 19, 2014 at 10:47 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, fat pitchers, prospects, rangers

Monday, September 15, 2014

Steven Matz, other top minor league Mets to be honored at Citi Field on Monday

Long Island’s Steven Matz finally got called to Citi Field.

Though it’s only to accept an award.

For now.

Matz, who was born in Stony Brook and attended Ward Melville High School, is scheduled to be honored prior to Monday’s 7:10 p.m. game against the Marlins with the Sterling Pitcher of the Year award as the Mets’ best minor league pitcher.
Matz, 23, is the top lefthanded pitching prospect in the Mets’ system. He had a 2.21 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 12 starts with Single-A Advanced St. Lucie before a promotion to Double-A Binghamton. In 12 starts with the Binghamton Mets, Matz had a 2.27 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. He helped lead the team to an Eastern League championship, even taking a no-hitter into the eighth inning of the title clincher.

Russlan is fond of Dillon Gee Posted: September 15, 2014 at 06:52 PM | 54 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, prospects

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