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Prospects Newsbeat

Thursday, March 20, 2014

FiveThirtyEight | What to Expect From Baseball America’s Top 100 Prospects

Top 20 or bust!

For example, Baseball America’s No. 1 slot gets 46 WAR from 1995’s top prospect, Alex Rodriguez. But the top spot loses 1.9 WAR from Todd Van Poppel, one of the game’s all-time biggest busts. Among 18 players from 1990 to 2007, the average for Baseball America’s top spot was nearly 20 WAR.

Do this for all 100 slots, and you arrive at an average, early-career WAR total for each ranking. It’s not a perfectly smooth drop-off from each spot to the next — for instance, the average at No. 10 (15.5 WAR) was quite a bit higher than the average at No. 5 (9.3) — but overall, the shape of the list’s average WAR resembles a logarithmic curve. In other words, a disproportionate amount of WAR is generated by the top handful of prospects.

Jim Furtado Posted: March 20, 2014 at 11:44 AM | 57 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, sabermetrics

Wednesday, February 19, 2014

2014 Baseball America Top 100 Prospects

The definitive list of baseball’s up and coming talent celebrates its 25th edition this year.

1. Byron Buxton
2. Xander Bogaerts
3. Oscar Taveras
4. Masahiro Tanaka
5. Javier Baez

JJ1986 Posted: February 19, 2014 at 11:09 PM | 39 comment(s)
  Beats: byron buxton, cubs, minors, prospects, twins

Thursday, January 23, 2014

red sox - Hoarding promise: Why Red Sox see strength in numbers with their pitching prospects - WEEI | Alex Speier

TNSTAAPP!

Cherington, formerly the Sox’ director of player development, has plenty of experience in terms of both the reality of pitching prospects hitting on their ceilings and the impact of trading away young talent.

The Red Sox have had 22 instances of pitchers in Baseball America’s top 100 prospects list since 2000. While the career arcs of the most recent pitchers who were thusly recognized (Casey Kelly in 2010; Anthony Ranaudo and Drake Britton in 2011; Matt Barnes, Allen Webster and Henry Owens in 2013) remain to be determined, a nearly complete picture of the pre-free agent years of the pitchers who ranked among the publication’s top 100 prospects in the 10-year span from 2000-09 can be made.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 23, 2014 at 09:28 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, red sox, sabermetrics

Tuesday, January 14, 2014

Xander Bogaerts heads list of MLB.com’s top 10 shortstop prospects | MLB.com: News

MLB started publishing its top ten list by position. Bogaerts is number one at short.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2014 at 07:27 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Thursday, December 26, 2013

Looking for Bias in Top 100 Prospect Lists | FanGraphs Baseball

What does making Baseball America’s Top 100 list really mean?

Jim Furtado Posted: December 26, 2013 at 04:45 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Thursday, November 07, 2013

BA: Sano, Buxton Winter Seasons Cut Short by Injury

And Twins’ fans everywhere (hello Aaron Gleeman) cringe!

On the heels of a dispiriting 96-loss season in the American League, the Twins now feel the sting of injuries to two of the game’s premier prospects. The organization believes neither injury is serious, however.

Third baseman Miguel Sano won’t play the remainder of the Dominican League season because of a strained collateral ligament in his right elbow. He appeared in two games for the Estrellas and went 1-for-5 with four walks and two strikeouts. Sano stands as the top power-hitting prospect in the minors and ranked No. 3 on our midseason Top 50 update.

Meanwhile, center fielder Byron Buxton likely will miss the rest of the Arizona Fall League season after straining his left, non-throwing shoulder, Twins director of minor league operations Brad Steil told Berardino. The BA Minor League Player of the Year and consensus top talent in the minors, Buxton hit .212/.288/.404 in 52 at-bats for Glendale.

Mike Emeigh Posted: November 07, 2013 at 04:24 PM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects, twins

Monday, November 04, 2013

Giants prospect sustains graphic wrist injury in Dominican

The future is highly uncertain for outfielder Gustavo Cabrera, the Giants’ prized signee from last year’s international free-agent class, after he sustained a horrific right wrist injury in the Dominican Republic.

Baseball America’s Ben Badler broke the story and saw pictures of the injury, which he described as “gruesome” and “graphic.”

“Cabrera appeared to nearly lose his right hand,” Badler wrote.


Sunday, November 03, 2013

Alex Meyer, homers lead West to Fall Stars Game victory | MLB.com

I’m only in the seventh inning on the DVR but I’ve seen a lot of impressive looking players already. I can’t find a replay on the schedule but I would hope they will show it again.

Edit: Link fixed. Sorry. Jim

Jim Furtado Posted: November 03, 2013 at 12:46 PM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: afl, prospects

Friday, November 01, 2013

Baseball America: 2014 New York Mets Top 10 Prospects

1. Noah Syndergaard, rhp
2. Travis d’Arnaud, c
3. Rafael Montero, rhp
4. Dominic Smith, 1b
5. Kevin Plawecki, c/1b
6. Wilmer Flores, 2b/1b
7. Amed Rosario, ss
8. Brandon Nimmo, of
9. Gavin Cecchini, ss
10. Jake deGrom, rhp

The Mets believe they have as much pitching depth as anybody. For proof, they can point to the fact that their pitchers at the full-season levels finished with a collective 2.79 K-BB ratio, better than any of the other 29 organizations. They handed out the second-fewest unintentional walks (7.6 percent of batters) and struck out the third-most (21.3 percent).

Outside of Travis d’Arnaud and Wilmer Flores, who made their big league debuts in 2013, all the Mets’ brightest position-player prospects spent the season in the low minors. That list includes catcher Kevin Plawecki, shortstop Amed Rosario and the club’s three successive high school first-rounders from 2011-13: outfielder Brandon Nimmo, shortstop Gavin Cecchini and first baseman Dominic Smith.

d’Arnaud just hit the majors at 24 (yeah, I know). Plawecki’s 22 and has played half a season at high-A. Nimmo’s 20 at low-A. Cecchini’s turning 20 and hasn’t played above short-season yet. None had particularly strong seasons, although all showed signs of progress. None of these guys are particularly young for their levels, and none have stood out to the point where they force you to pay attention (Las Vegas skews context a lot). I like Smith but he’s already 19 and a long way away. I just don’t see stars here, just good, solid major leaguers at best. Nothing wrong with that, but the Mets need some stars.

Mike Emeigh Posted: November 01, 2013 at 05:29 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, prospects

 

 

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