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Saturday, November 22, 2014

Rays name managerial finalists: Cash, Ibanez, Wakamatsu | Tampa Bay Times

There doesn’t appear to be any rhyme or reason to the Rays managerial search.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2014 at 08:10 AM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: managerial search, rays

Friday, November 21, 2014

Dodgers Acquire Joel Peralta – MLB Trade Rumors

The Dodgers announced that they have acquired right-hander Joel Peralta and lefty Adam Liberatore from the Rays in exchange for right-handers Jose Dominguez and Greg Harris.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2014 at 07:20 AM | 35 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, rays

Monday, November 17, 2014

Joe Maddon impressed with Rays’ managerial candidates | Tampa Bay Times

He shouldn’t comment on this process. It’s like breaking up with a girl and then months later telling her, “Your new boyfriend seems like a solid candidate to fill the gaping void that I surely left in your life.”

They’ve created a wonderful list, they really have,” Maddon said. “They’ve given themselves an opportunity to interview some really qualified people and make a typically very good Rays decision at the end of the day. I really believe that. You know it’s going to be well thought out, and they’re going to select a solid candidate to lead.”

Jim Furtado Posted: November 17, 2014 at 11:36 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: joe maddon, rays

Saturday, November 15, 2014

Doug Glanville travels different path in Rays’ managerial search | Tampa Bay Times

If playing baseball simulations and watching and talking a lot about baseball is valuable, a hereby throw my hat into the ring.

But his mind has been in the game during much of the 10 years since; he has written extensively, and as an ESPN analyst watched and talked a lot about baseball.

Add that to a longtime interest in analytics he ascribes to playing the Stratomatic baseball game as a kid, and creativity and leadership qualities he has developed through life experiences, and Glanville, 44, feels he can present well.

“Maybe I am a dark horse (candidate), I don’t know,” he said. “I approach it like, ‘Why not?’ “

Jim Furtado Posted: November 15, 2014 at 12:46 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: managerial search, rays

D-backs land Hellickson for two prospects | MLB.com

“In just about every deal that we’re going to do, I’m going to try and get as much information as I can, first of all,” Stewart said when asked what he liked about Hellickson. “I touched base with a lot of people to find out about him, people who had seen him pitch and people who know him. One, they said he was competitive. And I’ve seen him pitch on a couple of occasions and he commands his fastball and throws to both sides of the plate, he pitches inside well and he changes speeds well, which is the definition of a pitcher.”

Jim Furtado Posted: November 15, 2014 at 09:39 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks, rays, trades

Tuesday, November 11, 2014

MLB probing Cubs for tampering with Maddon | New York Post

The Rays are acting like jilted lovers.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 11, 2014 at 07:40 AM | 28 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, rays

Friday, November 07, 2014

Dodgers to hire Gabe Kapler as farm director

According to Mark Saxon of ESPN Los Angeles, the Dodgers will hire former major league outfielder Gabe Kapler as their farm director.

Kapler will fill the vacancy created when De Jon Watson left the Dodgers to become the Diamondbacks senior vice president of baseball operations in late September. The hiring doesn’t come out of nowhere, as ESPN’s Jerry Crasnick first reported news of the possibility last week.

Kapler has strong ties to new Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman from his playing days with the Rays and later on as a part-time consultant. It’s a bold and outside-the-box choice, but through his baseball coverage on FOX and Twitter, Kapler has shown that he’s extremely sharp and analytical.

Win Big Stein's Money Posted: November 07, 2014 at 07:23 AM | 94 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers, fox, gabe kapler, rays

Thursday, November 06, 2014

Rays name 8 manager candidates, including Raul Ibanez

Joe Maddon skipped town to sign with the Cubs on a five-year, $25 million contract, so the Rays need to find a new manager. They’re going to initially try to select one from a list of eight candidates, but according to earlier reports, they are going to check out at least 12 potential managers before making a decision.

Those initial eight candidates, courtesy of the Tampa Bay Times’ Marc Topkin:

   Dave Martinez
   Charlie Montoyo
   Manny Acta
   Ron Wotus
   Don Wakamatsu
   Raul Ibanez
   Craig Counsell
   Kevin Cash


Saturday, November 01, 2014

Tampa’s choice on tampering charges—MLB - ESPN - Insider (Sub Required)

Where’s the proof? Maddon had a opt-out clause in his contract. He reportedly was reminded about the clause by TB’s Matt Silverman, “The opt-out clause, Maddon said, was something of a fine-print treasure revealed to him in a call from Matt Silverman, the Rays’ president of baseball operations, just after Friedman left. “I had totally forgotten about it,” Maddon said. “Andrew leaves, and I get a phone call that I have an opt-out clause. Otherwise I would not have known, I swear to you.”” Without evidence, this is reckless reporting.

From the Rays’ perspective, the way the Maddon situation has played out must be, well, maddening. In the hours after Andrew Friedman’s departure to the Dodgers was announced, Maddon publicly stated a renewed commitment to remain with the Rays for the long term, and Matt Silverman—who replaced Friedman at the head of the Rays’ baseball operations—announced that Maddon would be the manager for 2015, and that the team would work to sign him to a long-term deal.

And the Rays followed up. They opened negotiations with Maddon and offered him a deal that would guarantee him standing as one of baseball’s highest-paid managers. There was a sense in the Tampa Bay organization that the two sides were on the verge of a deal.

Then, abruptly, something changed, days before Maddon formally opted out of his contract.

Update: Alen Nero talking about Joe Maddon.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 01, 2014 at 01:52 PM | 39 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, joe maddon, managers, rays

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Evan Longoria: A Bust and Not a Bust | FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

Is batted ball distance available online anywhere?

Furthermore, Longoria chased pitches outside the zone like never before. His O-Swing% jumped above 30% for the first time, and he’s been below average at making contact with those types of pitches. That might explain what led to the higher SwStk%.

So Longoria got a little swing happy at pitches outside the strike zone. But what about his power? Well, his batted ball distance which had sat in the 287 to 294 foot range over the last four seasons, declined to about 279 feet this year. That’s right around the league average. And so then it’s no surprise that his HR/FB rate also fell near the league average, barely clearing the 10% mark. And it’s not like he was hitting tons of doubles that just fell short of the wall. He went from hitting a double once every 15.7 at-bats in 2013 to just once every 24 at-bats. So this was a legitimate power outage.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 28, 2014 at 10:10 AM | 3 comment(s)
  Beats: evan longoria, rays, sabermetrics

Monday, October 27, 2014

Report: Rays owner has discussed moving team to Montreal

Put the Rays in Montreal, the Bobcats in Seattle, the Coyotes in Hartford, and the Jaguars back in Decatur!

Tampa Bay Rays owner Stuart Sternberg has had discussions about moving the franchise to Montreal, reports the New York Daily News.

According to the report, Sternberg has spoken about the possibility with “wealthy Wall Street associates.” Sternberg resides in Rye, New York, and worked in finance in New York City before buying into the Rays in 2004….
  
Rays owner Stuart Sternberg has been frustrated in his efforts to get out of Tropicana Field in St. Pete and move to a new stadium in Tampa, but there is growing belief that the economically depressed Tampa Bay area won’t support the Rays no matter where they play.

   As one major-league official put it to me Friday: “Say what you will about Montreal, but the Expos drew well over two million fans four times there in their heyday, while the Rays did that only once, their first year.”

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: October 27, 2014 at 10:10 AM | 60 comment(s)
  Beats: montreal, rays, stu sternberg

Sunday, October 26, 2014

Players, staff to be consulted in Rays manager search | Tampa Bay Times

Since Silverman is giving voice to the players, what do they want?

“Most important thing for me is a manager that the players can relate to and feel comfortable,” third baseman Evan Longoria texted Saturday. “Don’t think that the environment in the clubhouse needs a complete overhaul. I welcome a new manager’s enthusiasm. Joe was pretty tough to rival on that front, so we will see what the new plans are.”

Top starter Alex Cobb said personality and leadership skills — preferably as a “players’ manager” who “truly has your back” — are more important than strategic ability.

“Sometimes over-managing can be almost overevaluated and thought of too highly,” Cobb said. “What I would look for is someone that can really bring guys together and truly have the ultimate goal just by winning games.”

And Cobb, for one anyway, said the Rays don’t necessarily need to focus on finding a Maddon clone.

“You’re not going to be able to replicate what we had here,” Cobb said. “I think going in a different direction might be the way to go. I don’t think being narrow-minded and envisioning one particular way of success will be the answer here.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 26, 2014 at 09:37 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: managerial search, rays

Thursday, October 16, 2014


New Rays president Auld steps into middle of stadium talks | TBO.com

I hope St. Petersburg is smarter than other communities.

[Brian] Auld, 37, now finds himself not only running a major-league team and implementing owner Stuart Sternberg’s organizational vision, but he also has moved to the forefront of the team’s effort to land a new stadium.

“I’ve ridden side-car, if you will, on the stadium situation since 2006 when we got started,” Auld said.

Auld said he will rely heavily on Melanie Lenz, the Rays’ vice president of development, during what he hopes will be successful talks with St. Petersburg mayor Rick Kriseman. Auld said he is optimistic an agreement can be reached by the end of the year that will allow the Rays to look throughout the Tampa Bay area for a new stadium location.

“Obviously, we need to figure it out,” Auld said. “I think we understand our incentives, and the community’s incentives are perfectly aligned. Now, figuring out exactly what that is and where the stadium should go will be very challenging. But it needs to go in the best place for the Rays, and it needs to go in the best place for the community.”

Jim Furtado Posted: October 16, 2014 at 09:28 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: rays, stadium deals

Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Friedman’s best, worst moves with Rays | TBO.com, The Tampa Tribune and The Tampa Times

An Andrew Friedman postmortem.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 15, 2014 at 08:55 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: andrew friedman, rays

Rays’ Silverman counts on innovative spirit | TBO.com

Meet the new geek in charge. He’s going to need some luck. As Baseball America’s John Manual commented on Twitter “Friedman left at right time. Several years of rough drafts have left farm system thin. Dodgers have several more high-end prospects.” The Rays could have tough times on the horizon.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 15, 2014 at 08:50 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: general managers, rays

Tuesday, October 14, 2014


Friday, October 10, 2014

Recap: Survivor: “Actions vs. Accusations”

Anyway, he’s still in good shape.

“It was well played,” John Rocker says, walking down the steps with the Idol in his pocket. “I enjoyed myself and was happy to have the opportunity,” John says…

I just can’t see voting John Rocker out at this stage in the season, other than to avoid awkward moments at mixed tribe social events. If you go along with John, he’s always a bigger target than you are, no matter who you happen to be. He’s always the person who will be viewed as the bigger threat or the bigger cancer. And maybe in the short-term he catches you a few fish and keeps you close in a couple challenges. But in the long-term, he’s a guy who couldn’t win a Jury vote if he went to 100 different “Survivor” Juries composed of 100 different Juries of his peers. He wouldn’t even win a “Survivor” Jury composed of nine Braves fans who only watched the 1999 season. Nobody would ever give John Rocker a million bucks and if he’s competing hard in challenges and helping at camp and your tribe sucks anyway? There’s no way they get stronger by voting John Rocker out…

That was my passionate defense of John Rocker in this situation. And I mostly believe it! You know what I also believe? That Sports Illustrated article came out in 1999. If, in 15 years, John Rocker hasn’t found a way to not fight back when people come after him about it? He can’t expect to play a game like “Survivor.” And if, 15 years later, he hasn’t realized that there’s a target on his back everything he does and he has to be thrice as polite and pacified as those around him? There’s nothing to be said. From the sexist grumbling after losing to his girlfriend to the inability to recognize the line between competitiveness and hostility, John Rocker couldn’t possibly have made it easier for everybody to take the assumptions they already had about him and transfer those assumptions to game strategy against him. He basically said, “You heard I was a monster… Well… I’ll be a jerk and that’ll confirm for you that I’m a monster.” That’s all under his control. Or it has to be under control if he was going to have any chance on “Survivor.” Jeff Kent was frequently reported to be one of the worst teammates in baseball, but he was mostly able to be an understated, mediocre “Survivor” player. John Rocker didn’t see any point in trying to be understated and so he became who the other players thought he was.

The District Attorney Posted: October 10, 2014 at 10:50 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, indians, john rocker, rangers, rays, television

Friday, September 26, 2014

Mets outfielder Bobby Abreu, former All-Star and Gold Glove winner, retires

I wonder what Kevin Stocker is doing now?

Bobby Abreu’s illustrious 18 year career is coming to an end. The Mets outfielder announced today that he will retire.

Over the course of his career, Abreu was one of the best hitters in baseball. He’s hit .291 in his career with a .395 on-base percentage. This season, only Victor Martinez, Andrew McCutchen and Jose Bautista have posted an OBP higher than that.

Abreu signed with the Mets in April and has had two stints with them this season—his last stop in a career that began in Houston, then seven years in Philadelphia, then the Yankees, then the Dodgers and Angels.

Abreu was an All-Star in 2004 and 2005, and won a Gold Glove in 2005 as well.

He told reporters he would eventually like to become a hitting coach.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 26, 2014 at 04:54 PM | 36 comment(s)
  Beats: angels, astros, bobby abreu, dodgers, mets, phillies, rays, yankees

Monday, September 22, 2014

Rays missing out shows how tough it is to consistently reach playoffs

The majority of the 2014 squad won 92 games in 2013, won the AL wild card before getting bounced by the Boston Red Sox in the AL Division Series.

The Red Sox won the World Series. Now they are last in the AL East. The Rays are fourth in the five-team division. The teams meet this week in Boston for what most everyone expected to be a huge late-September series between the defending World Series champions and the team ready to take them down.

That won’t happen, which illustrates just how difficult it is to make Major League Baseball’s postseason.

Coot Veal and Cot Deal taste like Old Bay Posted: September 22, 2014 at 01:12 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: rays

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Sternberg: Rays’ payroll likely to go down

They can’t afford big stars like Grant Balfour anymore.

Stu Sternberg spoke to reporters prior to Wednesday night’s game at Yankee Stadium, and the Rays’ principal owner made it clear that he expects a payroll reduction for 2015.

“It’s clearly going to be lower,” Sternberg said. “This year was an enormous aberration. Look, having said that, if the greatest thing since sliced bread shows up, and it costs us money, anything is possible. We never say no to anything, but the default is clearly going to be lower.

“Our two highest payrolls have been the years we stepped it up, 2009 and 2014, and those are the only two years we haven’t played significant September baseball.”

The 2009 Opening Day payroll was $63.3 million, up from $43.7 in ‘08, and this year, the Rays opened the season at $76.8 million, up from $61.9 million.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 11, 2014 at 01:44 PM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: payrolls, rays, stuart sternberg

James Shields is the perfect pitcher at the perfect time

The trade has been everything the Royals could have wanted and Moore.

This is who and what the Royals wanted when they gave up Wil Myers and Jake Odorizzi, two pieces of their future, because they wanted to succeed in the present. They didn’t go far enough in 2013 to justify the move, because they left the back-end of their rotation a Bruce Chen-like mess, and Wade Davis, who came over with Shields, was expected to fix that even though he had been spending his time in Tampa Bay proving he belonged in relief. Predictably, Davis struggled, the Royals won their most disappointing 86 games in recent memory because they couldn’t plug the holes they started the season with, and Shields’ efforts were wasted while Myers won himself a Rookie of the Year award and helped the Rays along to the playoffs.

General manager Dayton Moore has deserved scorn for much of the prolonged Royals’ rebuilding, but for once he deserves credit for realizing that he didn’t go far enough in 2013 with the Shields’ deal alone. Rather than hope for a better second attempt, Moore added Vargas, who is built for the pitcher-friendly parks of the AL Central, to round out the rotation. He promoted Ventura to the bigs permanently, and gave Duffy, who had recovered from Tommy John, surgery,  the chance to keep the likes of Chen out of the rotation once again. Davis was put back in the pen where he belonged in the first place, and the lineup holes at second base and right field were finally addressed by putting literally anyone besides Chris Getz and Jeff Francoeur in those spots. A year had already been wasted, but the Royals were going to make a go at October for real heading into 2014, the final season of Shields’ deal.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 11, 2014 at 01:28 PM | 47 comment(s)
  Beats: jake odorizzi, james shields, rays, royals, trades, wade davis, wil myers

Saturday, August 30, 2014

The Rays’ next ace: Alex Cobb

Commenter: “his wind up reminds me of elaines dance move on seinfeld”

[Alex] Cobb is at or near the top of the list in two notable, important statistics that go hand in hand with his success… Cobb’s changeup… has accumulated 20 runs of value, meaning it is a pitch that has gotten significantly better than average results. The only pitcher with a changeup whose value is greater than Cobb’s is Felix Hernandez (22 runs)... Pitchers with elite changeups are hard to hit, and Cobb rates best in another stat—hard-hit rate. Inside Edge, a video-tracking service that provides data to teams and media, charts every batted ball, rating each as hit soft, medium or hard… Cobb has the lowest hard-hit rate of anyone with at least 80 innings pitched this season. He has allowed hard-hit balls in only 9 percent of the at-bats against him…

Pitching is an evolving process, and Cobb has discovered that what works best for him is different from what works for most other pitchers. His windup includes a pause point midwindup and a leg kick that would be best described as nontraditional… “Most people do a leg kick where they bend their knee 45-degree angle to third base,” Cobb said earlier this week. “I try to reach to the catcher by squeezing my hip. That’s where the pause comes into play. It’s not to distract the hitter. I just want my arm to catch up to the rest of my body. A lot of people have told me that the pause messes with hitters. That’s just a bonus.”

The District Attorney Posted: August 30, 2014 at 03:40 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: alex cobb, rays

Monday, August 25, 2014

FG: Joe Maddon’s Bunting Identity Crisis

I also thought the graph of “league wide WPA on sac bunts” was extremely interesting.

Since he began leading the Rays in 2006, Joe Maddon has been known as one of the more progressive MLB managers… He’s even spoke out publicly against sac bunting in the past… [yet] The Tampa Bay Rays have attempted 58 non-pitcher sacrifice bunts this season, by far the highest mark in the major leagues. No other team has even 50… Just 35 of those 58 attempts have turned into “successful” sacrifice bunts… 35-of-58 yields a 60% success rate. That’s bad. The league average success rate for a sacrifice bunt is 71%. Only five teams have lower success rates on bunts than the Rays this year…

the Rays, despite having attempted more sac bunts than anyone, have not executed more sac bunts than anyone. Instead, that title goes to Terry Francona’s Indians, with a league-leading 38 successful sacrifice bunts. The Indians, like the Rays, are known as one of the most progressive organizations in baseball and Francona has a reputation as a progressive manager from his time with the Theo Epstein-led Red Sox who didn’t bunt at all…  both the Indians (104 wRC+) and Rays (102 wRC+) have top-1o offenses in baseball this season… The Indians have at least bunted well, which is more than the Rays can say, with an 82% success rate that is topped only by the Rangers’ 86%...

To be honest, I really can’t think of a good explanation as to why Maddon and Francona have fallen in love with the sacrifice bunt this year. Both have proven to be anti-bunt in the past and have strong lineups, yet rely on the bunt more than any other manager in baseball seemingly to a fault.

Just for fun, since we’re talking about the Rays and the Indians, what do the bunting habits of the Moneyball A’s look like? Fewest in the league, with just 12. Part of that is due in part to their league-worst 44% success rate, but they’ve also attempted just 24, the sixth-fewest in the MLB.

 

The District Attorney Posted: August 25, 2014 at 06:31 PM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, indians, joe maddon, rays, strategy, terry francona

Friday, August 22, 2014

DRays Bay: Rays to Montreal? “Smart chronicler” says yes

Pre-game conversation with a smart chronicler of the Rays, who believes team is finished in this market and eventually headed to Montreal.

— Lynn G. Henning (@Lynn_Henning) August 20, 2014

As I have said before, and in direct disagreement with Henning, the Rays do not have a weak market as they face almost no competition for baseball, with excellent television ratings. Baseball is a television sport.

A far more likely team to move would be the Oakland Athletics, who have a far worse stadium than the Rays, and direct market competition with a massive franchise in the Giants, who surely would love to control the west coast, bay-area market.

 

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Oh goody, now Montreal can be part of the ruse to extort cities for new stadiums!

Lynn G. Henning, a writer for The Detroit News, reported at the beginning of this series that he’d had an in-depth conversation with a presumably knowledgeable source that the Rays are on their way to Montreal.

This is a standard rumor for the Rays franchise. Complications of baseball’s worst attendance and most chastised stadium, combined with two very limiting contracts in the lease on Tropicana Field and minimal television revenue, have made this a routine conversation. Purporting an actual source, however, is a new development….

 

As I have said before, and in direct disagreement with Henning, the Rays do not have a weak market as they face almost no competition for baseball, with excellent television ratings. Baseball is a television sport.

A far more likely team to move would be the Oakland Athletics, who have a far worse stadium than the Rays, and direct market competition with a massive franchise in the Giants, who surely would love to control the west coast, bay-area market.

 

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: August 22, 2014 at 01:02 PM | 39 comment(s)
  Beats: montreal, rays, relocation, stadium

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