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Thursday, November 27, 2014

Jon Lester has plenty of options in addition to Red Sox - Sports - The Boston Globe

Nick Cafardo runs down what is currently known about the Lester sweepstakes.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 27, 2014 at 08:25 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, jon lester, red sox

Wednesday, November 26, 2014

Dave Cameron: A proposed three-way swap for Red Sox, Mariners, Nationals

So, we have Cespedes and Napoli going to Seattle, with the Mariners sending Miller and Hultzen to Washington. What do the Red Sox receive from the Nationals to make the trade work for everyone? Zimmermann is the key piece, obviously, but the Sox are dealing two sluggers and watching the Nationals acquire a potential 11 years of young talent in exchange, so they might not settle for just the one year of Zimmermann’s services and the draft pick they’d get if he left next winter. To even things out, the Nationals probably need to add one more piece to the Red Sox side of things, and it should probably be an arm.

Specifically, the Sox could use a high quality reliever to help pitch the innings in front of closer Koji Uehara, and the Nationals happen to have a strong depth of bullpen arms. Clippard would seem to fit well in Boston, especially given that he’s under contract for only one more season; the Red Sox like short-term commitments to pitchers. And, coincidentally, Zimmermann and Clippard are likely to make about $25 million between them next season, almost exactly the same amount that the Red Sox are currently due to pay Napoli and Cespedes. This would be a payroll neutral deal for Boston, with Seattle absorbing the costs that Washington is cutting.

No Jose Lopez?


Should the Red Sox Be Afraid of Hanley Ramirez Being Hanley Ramirez? - Red Sox - Boston.com

Steve Silva runs down the list of Hanley Ramirez’s missteps.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 26, 2014 at 12:06 PM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, red sox

Boston Red Sox owner John Henry hopeful on re-signing Jon Lester, says team willing to exceed luxury tax - ESPN Boston

The Red Sox aren’t restricted by the luxury tax.

“The way it’s structured, you can blow through [the threshold] one year,’’ Henry said. “Again, for next year we have tremendous flexibility, so we could go through for one year. It would not overly affect us [trying to re-sign Lester], but we’re hopeful.’‘

The Sox owner left no doubt that the homegrown Lester remains the team’s No. 1 target.

Red Sox owner John Henry, seen here saying goodbye after Jon Lester was traded to the A’s, said a large part of the team’s presentation to the free agent focused on “finishing that legacy he started.”
“Obviously we’re doing everything we can to sign a top-tier pitcher, Jon Lester,’’ he said. “And hopefully he’ll come back.’‘

Jim Furtado Posted: November 26, 2014 at 08:19 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, jon lester, red sox

Hanley, Panda and the Monster | FanGraphs Baseball

An interesting look at park adjustments by Tony Blengino. I have always preferred park adjustments by BIP rather than AB or PA. I would have liked to have seen their 2014 numbers translated to Fenway rather than just adjusted rate stats.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 26, 2014 at 01:37 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, pablo sandoval, red sox, sabermetrics

Tuesday, November 25, 2014

Wendy Thurm on Twitter: “What the hell kinda panda is that?”

That’s a creepy looking Panda costume. Keep the kids away.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 25, 2014 at 03:13 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: panda, red sox

red sox - So … is there any money left for pitching? Red Sox roster building reconsidered - WEEI | Alex Speier

This contains a pretty good look at the Red Sox payroll right now.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 25, 2014 at 09:05 AM | 121 comment(s)
  Beats: red sox

Monday, November 24, 2014

Hanley Ramirez, Pablo Sandoval, and Boston’s High-Risk, High-Reward Plan «

I wouldn’t completely rule out the possibility that Ramirez ends up at shortstop. It depends on the team’s internal evaluation of Deven Marrero. He’s considered a potential Gold Glove winning shortstop. The question is, will he hit? If the Red Sox think he will, it will open the possibility of trading Xander Bogaerts for a young, top-notch pitcher (or Hamels if they strike out with Lester). That could set up a timeline with Ramirez at shortstop in 2015. In 2016, when Napoli becomes a free agent, Hanley could move to first base and with Marrero taking over at shortstop. Again, *if they think Marrero will hit*, such a scenario would position them to have above-average defense and offense all over the field. Just to be clear, I’m not saying this is their primary plan. I’m saying it’s a potential plan for them going forward.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 08:48 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, pablo sandoval, red sox

Which Pablo Sandoval Did the Red Sox Buy | FanGraphs Baseball

I looked at Sandoval in the postseason, and if you ignore power results — and you should, because power becomes stable only in really large samples — there’s no difference between Regular Season Pablo and Postseason Pablo. Maybe he swings at a few more fastballs. But really you should probably bet on Pablo to be more like his 3533 regular season plate appearances than his 167 postseason ones.
—-
Because the biggest, broadest definition of Pablo Sandoval is that of a three-to-four win third baseman, the deal probably makes sense. That isn’t to say that he isn’t without risk. And yes, most free agent deals come with risk, but this one seems to come with more than most. His size, his position, his skills at the plate, and his reputation — all of these things bring with them hefty asterisks.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 03:06 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

Sandoval agrees to Red Sox deal, as Boston looks for free agent sweep - CBSSports.com

Heyman is reporting the deal is done. Other media reports say the deal isn’t.

Pablo Sandoval has agreed to to a Red Sox deal, completing what appears to be a stunning free agent double play.

Sandoval will receive close to $100 million for five years, people familiar with the deal say, following news Hanley Ramirez is close to a deal with Boston, as well. The Red Sox were reported by the Boston Globe to have originally offered $95 million, but they may have gone up a bit from there.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 11:15 AM | 34 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

red sox - Trying to make sense of Red Sox reunion with Hanley Ramirez - WEEI | Rob Bradford

Another take on the Ramirez signing.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 07:45 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, red sox

Hanley Ramirez and the Logjam in Boston | FanGraphs Baseball

Some possible end games for the Red Sox. I wouldn’t rule out Ramirez as a longterm solution at 1B. Napoli has only one year left on his contract. Their young players still have options available. They can trade some of their surplus and option some of their young players for at least part of next season. In 2016, Napoli leaves, Ramirez moves to 1B, and one of the youngsters slots in.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 07:10 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, red sox

Boston Red Sox in talks to acquire free agent Hanley Ramirez - ESPN Boston

Get ready for the trades.

The Boston Red Sox, not content to wait for third baseman Pablo Sandoval’s decision as to whether he will sign with the club, reportedly have come to terms with Hanley Ramirez on what is expected to be in the range of a five-year, $90 million agreement, FoxSports.com reported Sunday.

Ramirez was set to arrive in Boston on Monday to finalize terms of the deal, according to the report.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 24, 2014 at 06:54 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, hanley ramirez, red sox

Sunday, November 23, 2014

Red Sox trying for mega-free agent double play: Panda and Hanley - CBSSports.com

Really?

The Boston Red Sox are trying hard for a huge free agent double play, as they are involved with not only Pablo Sandoval but also Hanley Ramirez, according to sources.

The Red Sox are known to be in the middle of talks for star third baseman Sandoval, and after remaining in contact with Ramirez since as far back as the GM meetings, they are believed to be possibly moving toward an agreement with the star shortstop.

The Red Sox could even make it a triple play if they are able to lure both those positional stars, plus their former ace Jon Lester, who they are also talking to.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 23, 2014 at 07:29 PM | 180 comment(s)
  Beats: hanley ramirez, red sox

Pablo Sandoval leaning toward Red Sox, to decide next week — Padres have highest offer, all offers on table (including SF Giants’) - John Shea

I hear Pablo Sandoval has received his highest contract offer from the Padres but is leaning toward accepting an offer from the Red Sox, though events could change in a hurry.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 23, 2014 at 08:56 AM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, free agents, giants, pablo sandoval, padres, red sox

Saturday, November 22, 2014

Red Sox offer for Pablo Sandoval might be in the lead - Sports - The Boston Globe

A major league source indicated the Red Sox’ five-year, $95 million offer may be in the lead over Sandoval’s offers from the San Francisco Giants and the San Diego Padres.

It’s not certain whether any of the teams have offered a sixth-year option.

Sandoval would like to make a decision soon. He visited the Red Sox Monday and Tuesday and came away with an offer.
...
During an interview with a San Francisco radio station on Thursday, Giants assistant general manager Bobby Evans expressed hope that Sandoval, one of the more popular Giants players, would return to the Bay Area. He also said Sandoval was likely to make his decision before Thanksgiving.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 22, 2014 at 07:54 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, free agents, giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

Friday, November 21, 2014

Pablo Sandoval’s Brother: Red Sox Showed ‘First Class’ Attentiveness | Boston Red Sox | NESN.com

Was Werner or Lucchino very, very sneaky?

Jim Furtado Posted: November 21, 2014 at 12:06 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, pablo sandoval, red sox

Thursday, November 20, 2014


Examining our assumptions about Pablo Sandoval

It’s dangerous using run-based park factors in projecting a batter’s performance in a new park. Some hitters are particularly suited for specific parks. From what I’ve seen I’d expect him to get a pretty nice boast coming to Fenway.

(Sandoval should expect a boost in his numbers if he moves from AT&T Park in San Francisco to Fenway Park — but not as much as you might think. Sandoval’s adjusted OPS+ last season was 111, the same as that of Brett Gardner, who posted a .749 OPS in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. That probably gives you an idea of how Sandoval’s numbers should be viewed. A .739 OPS doesn’t become an .800 OPS just by changing stadiums.)

Jim Furtado Posted: November 20, 2014 at 07:52 AM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, giants, pablo sandoval, red sox

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Red Sox Claim Juan Francisco

“We don’t need a DH because we have Dioner Navarro,” said no Juan ever.

The Red Sox have claimed Juan Francisco off waivers from the Blue Jays, Boston announced today…

Francisco is projected by MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz to take home a $2.2MM payday through arbitration… Last year, Francisco posted a fairly typical .220/.291/.456 slash over 320 plate appearances for the Jays, swatting 16 home runs in the process.

The District Attorney Posted: November 19, 2014 at 06:19 PM | 15 comment(s)
  Beats: juan francisco, red sox, transactions

Jon Lester offer on table from Boston Red Sox - ESPN Boston

The checkbook is open!

Jim Furtado Posted: November 19, 2014 at 10:00 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, jon lester, red sox

Tuesday, November 18, 2014


Sunday, November 16, 2014

Teams with excess depth could play big role in offseason | New York Post

Joel Sherman is very entertaining. He has a lot of ideas.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 16, 2014 at 08:36 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, nationals, red sox, trade rumors, white sox, yankees

Friday, November 14, 2014

Jon Lester would further solidify solid staff - Chicago Tribune

Thirteen pitchers have commanded contracts of $100 million or more, including two for C.C. Sabathia because of an opt-out clause he exercised. Clayton Kershaw’s seven-year, $215 million deal is the gold standard, followed by Justin Verlander ($180 million over seven years), Felix Hernandez ($175 million/seven), Sabathia ($161 million/seven), Masahiro Tanaka ($155 million/7), Zack Greinke ($147 million/six), Cole Hamels ($144 million/six), Johan Santana ($137.5 million/six), Matt Cain ($127.5 million/six), Barry Zito ($126 million/six), Sabathia ($122.5 million/five), Mike Hampton ($121 million/eight), Cliff Lee ($120 million/five) and Kevin Brown ($105 million/seven).

The jury is still out on many of those deals, but certainly Brown, Lee, Hampton and Santana didn’t work out, and Sabathia’s contract has become an albatross for the Yankees. Cain and Tanaka were injured this year, while Verlander no longer appears dominant.

The Red Sox have done studies to determine the characteristics in pitchers that make for better long-term investments — lefty vs. righty, power vs. finesse, what kind of delivery, etc.

“We do look at that. What we have found is the more predicted element at this point in their career is what they’ve done, not so much what they look like,” Cherington said. “Not to say what they look like or their delivery doesn’t matter. It does.

“But the track record is usually the best predictor. It just so happens that a lot of the available starting pitchers this offseason, at least toward the top of the market, have that very strong record of pitching a lot for a long period of time.”

Jim Furtado Posted: November 14, 2014 at 09:17 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, free agents, jon lester, red sox

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Is Allen Craig This Bad? | FanGraphs Fantasy Baseball

I guess we won’t know until spring training, at the earliest.

This all seems to indicate that Craig, 30, lacked bat speed compared to previous campaigns. Perhaps there’s even a minor change in his swing plane. He may have just lost it. He’s kaput. This stuff is disturbing without some context. The changes are all too dramatic to be age-related and thus to accept without some other explanation, though. He may have lost something his swing mechanics, whether it’s related to his 2013 foot injury – a result of pain, or to avoid pain, or to avoid the perception of a possible recurrence of pain? – or not.

Craig has stated multiple times that his 2014 performance wasn’t injury-related. Some players don’t like to use their health as an excuse. I don’t know if Craig is one of them, but there’s an allusion to the possibility that he is in the Gordon Edes piece. Craig may even acknowledge it indirectly by admitting his relief that he won’t have to deal with something medical this offseason. The BoSox, who do their due diligence on health issues, say that Craig’s past foot injury won’t be a problem going forward.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 13, 2014 at 12:49 PM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: allen craig, red sox

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