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Relief Pitching Newsbeat
Friday, September 19, 2014
Dellin goes electric?
Lindbergh: Where Dellin Betances’s Season Ranks Historically, and What It Teaches Us About Bullpen Strategy
Despite being a setup man with only one save on the season, Betances has been lights-out enough to lead the majors in WPA — the first time a setup man has done so since Tyler Clippard in 2011. On the post-’88 leaderboard, though, the closers rise to the top, and Betances has to settle for a spot just inside the top 60.3
The Goldilocks stat we’re seeking — a counting stat that doesn’t discriminate based on leverage — is Run Expectancy Wins, or REW. Using a framework similar to WPA’s, REW calculates the difference between the number of runs a team is expected to score in the inning at the start and the end of each play, credits/debits the batter/pitcher accordingly, and then compiles the differences to arrive at a full-season total of wins added or subtracted. But because it’s not sensitive to inning or score — a two-out, bases-loaded strikeout counts the same in the seventh inning of a six-run game as it does in a ninth-inning tie — it’s closer to context-neutral than WPA, allowing us to pit Betances against guys who got the chance to finish more games.
Friday, August 15, 2014
Doing the math, the average reliever in 1964 threw 1.67 IP/G as opposed to 1.03 IP/G today.
Monday, June 16, 2014
WSJ: At Least the Mets Are Good at One Thing… Bullpen Somehow Excels in Preventing Inherited Runners to Score
Too bad they’re 7th of 30 this season in games the relief pitcher pitched in more than one inning.
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