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Statistics Newsbeat

Tuesday, September 30, 2014

Spector: Stats incredible! Numbers from the 2014 MLB season will amaze you

John Davidson just keeps following Jesse around.

Victor Martinez finished second in the majors in all three slash-line categories…

Major league strikeout leader Ryan Howard and Phillies outfielder Marlon Byrd became the first pair of teammates to each strike out 185 times in a single season…

Reds rookie Billy Hamilton stole 56 bases, but was caught 23 times, the most in the majors since Scott Podsednik stole 59 and was caught 23 times for the 2005 White Sox…

A.J. Burnett finished the season with a major league-high 96 walks, the fourth time in five years that nobody has walked 100 batters. The last time that happened was 1871-81, when far fewer games were played per season…

Yankees outfielder and Hank Aaron Award nominee Brett Gardner, Cardinals pitcher Shelby Miller, and Indians infielder Jose Ramirez shared the major league lead with 13 sacrifice bunts. That is the lowest total to lead the majors ever, including strike-shortened seasons…

Brewers right-hander Marco Estrada led the majors with 29 home runs allowed, making this the first time since 1981 that no major league pitcher served up 30 gopherballs, and the first time in a non-strike season since 1976…

The San Diego Padres finished last in the majors in all three slash-line categories, at .226/.292/.342… The Padres did do better than the average hitter facing Clayton Kershaw: .196/.231/.289, but worse than the average hitter facing Cole Hamles: .235/.296/.345.

The District Attorney Posted: September 30, 2014 at 03:37 PM | 69 comment(s)
  Beats: statistics

Thursday, July 17, 2014

WaPo: Research supports the notion of the ‘hot hand’

Green and Zwiebel studied two million MLB at-bats from 2000 to 2011. They neutralized for the abilities of the hitter and pitchers — such as lefty-on-lefty matchups and stadium sizes — and focused on 10 major statistical categories, such as batting averages, home run percentages and strikeout rates.

They found that a hitter’s past 25 at-bats were a significant predictor of his next at-bat. When a player is hot, they found his expected on-base percentage to be 25 to 30 points higher than it would if he were cold. Home run rates jumped 30 percent and strikeout rates dropped. For pitchers in hot streaks, future performance was improved, too.

“The effect is fairly large,” Zwiebel said. “It’s highly significant not just in the statistical sense but the strategic sense. The effect is large enough where it makes sense for managers to sit a cold hitter or play a hot hitter, or perhaps the strategical adjustments for a pitcher to pitch around a hot hitter.”

Chris Needham Posted: July 17, 2014 at 11:28 AM | 80 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics, statistics, stats

 

 

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