Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


Contributors

Jim Furtado
Founder & Publisher
Repoz
Editor - Baseball Primer

Syndicate

Stats Newsbeat

Thursday, September 04, 2014

Lee Judge: What if we didn’t keep stats?

Imagine there’s no baseball stats
It’s easy if you try
No WAR below us
Above us only RBI
Imagine all the players
Bunting for today…

What if we didn’t keep stats?

What if the only stats recorded were team wins and team losses?

And then — as long as we’re fantasizing — what if all the money were put in a pool and players were paid based on how many wins their team had?

How would the game be played then?

Right now, players play to put up numbers. That’s how you get paid. And it can lead to selfish baseball. Play hot grounders off to the side. If you miss one, you won’t get tagged with an error. Forget hitting the ball to the right side to move a runner over. Try to drive him in yourself. Don’t let someone else have that RBI. And if you don’t feel 100 percent, don’t play. You might be better than the guy replacing you even if you’re at 80 percent, but why risk your numbers by playing hurt?

This stuff goes on every night in the major leagues, and for the most part, we don’t know enough to spot it. When I started covering major-league baseball, I naively assumed players put the team first until their team was knocked out of the race. After that, they took care of their own numbers.

Ask people who know, and they will tell you the opposite attitude is all too common. You worry about your own stats and then, if it looks as if your team has a shot, you start putting the team first. But what if the only stat that mattered was winning?

How would the game be played then?

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: September 04, 2014 at 02:39 PM | 73 comment(s)
  Beats: lee judge, royals, stats, teamwork

Thursday, July 17, 2014

WaPo: Research supports the notion of the ‘hot hand’

Green and Zwiebel studied two million MLB at-bats from 2000 to 2011. They neutralized for the abilities of the hitter and pitchers — such as lefty-on-lefty matchups and stadium sizes — and focused on 10 major statistical categories, such as batting averages, home run percentages and strikeout rates.

They found that a hitter’s past 25 at-bats were a significant predictor of his next at-bat. When a player is hot, they found his expected on-base percentage to be 25 to 30 points higher than it would if he were cold. Home run rates jumped 30 percent and strikeout rates dropped. For pitchers in hot streaks, future performance was improved, too.

“The effect is fairly large,” Zwiebel said. “It’s highly significant not just in the statistical sense but the strategic sense. The effect is large enough where it makes sense for managers to sit a cold hitter or play a hot hitter, or perhaps the strategical adjustments for a pitcher to pitch around a hot hitter.”

Chris Needham Posted: July 17, 2014 at 11:28 AM | 80 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics, statistics, stats

 

 

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Los Angeles El Hombre de Anaheim
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogMatthews: Cashman sleeps on the street, says all is quiet on the free-agent front
(21 - 8:21pm, Nov 23)
Last: eric

NewsblogOTP Politics November 2014: Mets Deny Bias in Ticket Official’s Firing
(4205 - 8:08pm, Nov 23)
Last: Joe Kehoskie

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - November 2014
(978 - 7:58pm, Nov 23)
Last: Athletic Supporter can feel the slow rot

NewsblogRed Sox trying for mega-free agent double play: Panda and Hanley - CBSSports.com
(6 - 7:58pm, Nov 23)
Last: Super Creepy Derek Lowe (GGC)

NewsblogPablo Sandoval leaning toward Red Sox, to decide next week — Padres have highest offer, all offers on table (including SF Giants’) - John Shea
(28 - 7:07pm, Nov 23)
Last: Justin T is going to crush some tacos Thursday

NewsblogOT: NFL/NHL thread
(8638 - 7:05pm, Nov 23)
Last: Commissioner Bud Black Beltre Hillman

NewsblogMike Schmidt: Marlins' Stanton too rich too early? | www.palmbeachpost.com
(31 - 6:53pm, Nov 23)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogOT:  Soccer (the Round, True Football), November 2014
(451 - 6:43pm, Nov 23)
Last: JuanGone..except1game

NewsblogPirates DFA Ike Davis, clear path for Pedro Alvarez - Pittsburgh Post-Gazette
(11 - 6:17pm, Nov 23)
Last: Swedish Chef

NewsblogCashman in wait-and-see mode on retooling Yanks | yankees.com
(22 - 6:14pm, Nov 23)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogKemp drawing interest, raising chance he's the Dodgers OF dealt - CBSSports.com
(21 - 6:09pm, Nov 23)
Last: Pops Freshenmeyer

NewsblogSunday Notes: Arroyo’s Rehab, Clark & the MLBPA, Doc Gooden, AFL Arms, ChiSox, more
(16 - 5:53pm, Nov 23)
Last: ReggieThomasLives

NewsblogAstros interested in Robertson: source | New York Post
(15 - 5:45pm, Nov 23)
Last: The John Wetland Memorial Death (CoB)

NewsblogBraves shopping Justin Upton at a steep price | New York Post
(33 - 4:24pm, Nov 23)
Last: spike

NewsblogOT - November 2014 College Football thread
(567 - 3:59pm, Nov 23)
Last: AuntBea

Page rendered in 1.4702 seconds
51 querie(s) executed