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Three True Outcomes Newsbeat

Friday, October 24, 2014

Did Adam Dunn Ruin Baseball? – The Hardball Times

Adam Dunn didn’t invent this approach. It wasn’t a good approach. I followed Dunn throughout his career. Dunn could have been a better hitter if he was more aggressive within the strikezone. I witnessed countless at bats where Dunn passed up a perfectly good pitch and ended up either taking a called strike or whiffed on a worse pitch later in the at bat. Dunn’s method sucked.

Adam Dunn didn’t do a lot of things well, but he controlled the strike zone. He didn’t expand the zone and when pitchers made a mistake he crushed it. That might not be the kind of thing that everyone can agree is exciting, but it also isn’t selfish or uninteresting.

Putting the ball in play is better than striking out, but by shortening your swing, you’re likely decreasing the odds of a good outcome. That’s why the strikeout isn’t toxic for batters anymore. The 2014 Royals lived with the magic of the ball in play, but there are other ways to live.

Dunn’s method is no better or worse than any others and it’s a particular approach that highlights what many consider the game’s most challenging task. The ball is traveling towards the hitter at 95 mph. Should you swing or should you take? If your default is to swing, the game will move faster and the fielders will play a bigger role. But I’m not so sure that’s baseball’s ideal arrangement.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 24, 2014 at 06:39 AM | 73 comment(s)
  Beats: adam dunn, three true outcomes

Wednesday, October 01, 2014

Adam Dunn, 34, calls it a career

KANSAS CITY, Mo.—Adam Dunn trekked 14 seasons and 2,001 games just to get to the postseason. But when his one and only playoff chance arrived Tuesday, he never got off the bench, and afterward he said he will retire.

The Oakland Athletics designated hitter, 34, told ESPN’s Pedro Gomez that he has played his final game.

“I guess the computer got me,” Dunn said, referring to the A’s “Moneyball” tactics.


Saturday, July 05, 2014

Hardball Times: The Royals and “Anti-Three True Outcomes”

There is a definite trend line/correlation between a team’s homer and walk percentages and its overall winning percentage. [...]

[The 2014 Royals HR+BB rate of 8.0% is] right there with the lowest total of any team over the past 40-plus years. You’ll also notice that few, if any, teams have been able to win even at a .550 clip without having a nine-percent homer-plus-walk rate. These Royals need only look at similarly walk and homer-challenged teams to realize their chances of a winning season are poor

bobm Posted: July 05, 2014 at 11:00 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: royals, three true outcomes

 

 

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