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Thursday, August 31, 2017

What are the most valuable players based on contracts? | Sports on Earth

1. Jose Altuve, 2B, Astros

WAR: 6.9
Salary: $4.5M
Surplus value: $57.6M

As if it weren’t easy enough to root for Altuve because of his size (5-foot-6, 165 pounds), the pure joy he brings to the field and the pure hitting he provides at a time when batting averages are punier than he is, he’s also laughably underpaid. Altuve is making $4.5 million this year, and he might be the AL MVP.

Altuve signed his club-friendly extension midway through the 2013 season, when the Astros were still terrible and when he was in the midst of compiling a .283 average and .678 OPS—marks that look so strange attached to his name now. It was a four-year deal covering his arbitration years for a grand total of just $12.5 million, with club options for $6 million in 2018 and $6.5 million for 2019. So he’s going to be a candidate for this list for the next couple years, too.

Jim Furtado Posted: August 31, 2017 at 02:40 PM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: surplus value, war

Tuesday, July 11, 2017

The Recent History of Free-Agent Pricing

But first this piece will explain how I actually calculate average value — the reference point for whether players are undervalued or overvalued. It is also the appropriate reference point when considering the opportunity cost of any other number of baseball moves. For example, when a team is considering the value of acquiring a young player who will produce a large volume of team-controlled WAR, the reference point for valuing him is the cost of acquiring that amount of WAR on the free-agent market. This is an important concept for team construction….

While the last few years have clearly seen growth in Dollars per WAR in excess of that rate, I believe that this was largely a function of the declining WAR share of players with six years of service time. I’m skeptical that such a development can continue indefinitely, and I think that, as the WAR share of such players flattens and salaries grow continuously, we should expect salaries to grow at about this 5.9% rate. After all, free-agent spending net of the league minimum only grew 5% per year since 2006, with the remaining growth in Dollars per WAR coming from the shrinking WAR in the denominator.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: July 11, 2017 at 05:15 PM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: war

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

Stats All, Folks: WAR, what it is, what it’s good for and the absolute best WAR Orioles - BaltimoreBaseball.com

fWAR and bWAR, it’s no wonder people get confused.

Jim Furtado Posted: April 12, 2017 at 08:46 AM | 56 comment(s)
  Beats: orioles, sabermetrics, war

 

 

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