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Tuesday, November 29, 2016

Sabermetric Research: How should we evaluate Detroit’s defense behind Verlander?

Phil Birnbaum puts Joe Posnanski’s criticism of WAR into his intellectual hopper.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 29, 2016 at 07:08 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: cy young, justin verlander, rick porcello, sabermetrics, war

Sunday, November 27, 2016

A Bit More on WAR | Joe Posnanski

Joe Posnanski follows up on his earlier article about Porcello and Verlander.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 27, 2016 at 09:27 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics, war

Porlander and Vercello | Articles | Bill James Online

Bill James weighs in on Verlander vs. Porcello.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 27, 2016 at 09:26 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: sabermetrics, war

Wednesday, November 23, 2016

Miller—Going to WAR—The mystery of Robbie Ray

Speaking as someone who spent a couple years of his life working on a WAR system before WAR was cool, too many people put too much credence in WAR. Too many don’t put enough. It’s something nice to look at and works well for a lot of different questions. Despite what some think, even with the advances in technology, it will always be just a reflection of reality. And that’s OK.

“One might assume.” One might assume that, if Martin Perez’s WARs are 1.8, 1.8 and 1.9 (as they were in 2016), that Martin Perez is a 1.8- or 1.9-win pitcher. But we’ve already seen, with Ray, that one model of WAR can be wildly misleading. We’ve seen, in fact, that two can be. It’s not much of a leap to think even three could be, all at once, and in all the same ways, especially for unique players such as Zach Britton or Yadier Molina or David Ross or for players on the extremes.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 23, 2016 at 08:00 PM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: diamondbacks, robbie ray, sabermetrics, war

Monday, November 21, 2016

Murray Chass: Trout selection raises question

The voters should be congratulated for their diligence, hard work and perceptive thinking in selecting the m.v.p.s and compiling their ballots. I suppose it’s the modern way of performing this onerous chore. Why think when you can just copy names from a list already computed elsewhere?

Why not change the name of the award from m.v.p. to W.A.R. Lord?

The point is there is more to a player’s value to his team than simple statistics. Certainly statistics play a large role in a player’s value to his team, but so do other factors, not all of which can be measured with numbers.

As good as Trout might have been, the Angels could have finished last without him. Could the Red Sox have won the A.L. East title without Betts or Ortiz? Could the Astros have contended without Altuve, the Blue Jays without Donaldson, the Orioles without Manny Machado?

Did any of them contribute more than the others in ways that were not quantifiable? I don’t know; I lost too much of the season to make a judgment. But did the voters, who presumably watched closely all season, consider other factor, or did they decide to take the easy way out and not go to war with W.A.R.?

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: November 21, 2016 at 09:52 AM | 21 comment(s)
  Beats: mike trout, murray chass, mvp, war

Monday, September 12, 2016

Another Milestone Approaches for Mike Trout (Yawn)

Mike Trout is a few “Mike Trout” games away from notching his second 10-WAR season. Combined, the rest of major league baseball has zero. 

Trout’s career has essentially been one long milestone to this point, so marking another 10-WAR season probably doesn’t warrant a plaque in his personal trophy room (though there’s plenty of room where his multiple MVPs should be).

gehrig97 Posted: September 12, 2016 at 05:36 PM | 31 comment(s)
  Beats: a-rod, barry bonds, ichiro suzuki, mike trout, mvp, war

 

 

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