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Monday, March 06, 2017
I’ve argued about this for 20 years. The MVP question and the best player question are two entirely different things. Using WAR for either conflates the two. Why not transform WAR into a purely contextual answer (value) and continue to define results in runs and wins based on outcome and then use Statcast probabilities as a scouting tool for the best player question? In my mind, using Statcast as the inputs on an improved 20/80 scouting scale and apportioning all the components properly would be a wonderful upgrade to what’s done now. It would also put teams on a better path for projections as they will be able to better quantify aging patterns in a more realistic way.
Mike Gimbel’s video was made on February 28th. It contains criticism of the WAR formula(s), using a comparison of results from the 2016 season and an analysis of all 30 MLB teams going into the 2017 season.
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
Phil Birnbaum puts Joe Posnanski’s criticism of WAR into his intellectual hopper.
Sunday, November 27, 2016
Joe Posnanski follows up on his earlier article about Porcello and Verlander.
Bill James weighs in on Verlander vs. Porcello.
Wednesday, November 23, 2016
Speaking as someone who spent a couple years of his life working on a WAR system before WAR was cool, too many people put too much credence in WAR. Too many don’t put enough. It’s something nice to look at and works well for a lot of different questions. Despite what some think, even with the advances in technology, it will always be just a reflection of reality. And that’s OK.
Monday, November 21, 2016
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