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Monday, January 14, 2019

Mel Stottlemyre, New York baseball icon, dies at 77

Mel Stottlemyre, whose work as both a Major League pitcher and pitching coach made him one of the most respected men in the game, died Sunday in Seattle after a lengthy battle with bone marrow cancer. He was 77.

Stottlemyre was a five-time All-Star, winning 20 games on three separate occasions during an 11-year career. Stottlemyre pitched his entire career (1964-74) with the Yankees, appearing in only one World Series—the seven-game 1964 Fall Classic won by the Cardinals, only two months after ...

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ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: January 14, 2019 at 07:26 PM | 8 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, yankees


Baseball Doesn’t Need Collusion To Turn Off The Hot Stove

So while outright collusion among owners is certainly possible, it isn’t necessary to explain what’s going on. It’s far more likely that what we’re seeing in recent winters is simply the hard cold math resulting from a mismatch between how much money each team is raking in overall and how much of that revenue each individual player can lay claim to being responsible for.

“A lot of us in academia wrote about that and actually told the players’ association that that was going to be ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 01:51 PM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, revenue sharing

MLB free agency: Swellopt is the latest victory for mlb owners | SI.com

Arrieta signed a three-year, $75 million contract before the 2018 season, with the Phillies retaining the option, after 2019, to add 2020 and 2021 to the deal. Kikuchi signed a four-year, $56 million deal earlier this month that allows the Mariners, after 2021, to tack on 2023, 2024, and 2025 for an extra $53 million total.

Scott Boras, the agent who negotiated all three deals, calls it a “swellopt.” He unpacked the etymology for Ken Rosenthal: “For the club, if the player performs well, the ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 11:35 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: contracts, free agency

Tangotiger Blog: Nola, Pivetta, Phillies, and pitcher-specific UZR

And, as expected Pivetta was hurt by the Phillies fielders more than any other Phillies pitcher.  Indeed, more than any other pitcher in the league!  The Phillies fielders gave up 24 more hits with Pivetta on the mound.

So, adding it all up:

     
  • Nola allowed 27 fewer hits than the average Phillies pitcher, and that still holds.
  •    
  • Pivetta’s 11 MORE hits when he’s on the mound drops down by 24, so that he really should count as 13 FEWER hits than the average Phillies pitcher. 

And ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 11:21 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: aaron nola, defense, phillies, uzr

Farhan Zaidi On Giants’ Offseason, Bumgarner - MLB Trade Rumors

Some interesting tidbits.

From a hot-stove perspective, Zaidi noted that “we’re hopeful to have an announcement on a signing or a trade here in the next couple of days,” so some type of transaction could be imminent now that we’re more than two days removed from the interview.

...

Zaidi reiterated that the Giants aren’t going into a full rebuild, saying “We’re going to do what we can within the constraints we have to put a competitive ballclub out there” in 2019.  Winning the ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 11:05 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: farhan zaidi, giants

2019 MLB players who have avoided arbitration

Players going to arbitration. I highlighted the most interesting cases.

Blue Jays: Ryan Tepera (Tepera’s figure: $1.8 million; TOR figure: $1.525 million, per Associated Press)

Rays: Tommy Pham (Pham’s figure: $4.1 million; TB figure: $3.5 million, per Associated Press)

Yankees: Luis Severino (Severino’s figure: $5.25 million; NYY figure: $4.4 million, per Associated Press)

Indians: Trevor Bauer (Bauer’s figure: $13 million; CLE figure: $11 million, per Associated Press)

Tigers: Michael ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 10:57 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: arbitration

Bryce Harper, Manny Machado mystery teams

This.

1. Giants
Things have been entirely too quiet around the Giants. Some of it is new president of baseball operations Farhan Zaidi putting together a front office staff and assessing his needs. Since he has not traded away Madison Bumgarner, his most valuable asset, that could be a tipoff that the Giants aren’t diving into any kind of rebuild. What they need more than anything is an impact offensive player or two, preferably an outfielder. Signing Harper would insert the Giants back into the ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 10:45 AM | 12 comment(s)
  Beats: bryce harper, free agents, manny machado

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-14-2019

Washington Times, January 14, 1919:

Lieut. Lloyd Waite, formerly a Pirate, now an officer in France, says that the German troops know a lot more about baseball than generally is supposed. On several occasions, when American soldiers were playing games in dangerously exposed positions, Germans within good firing distance not only let them alone, but stood up in their trenches and hooted derisively when anybody made a fielding error, struck out, or boneheaded on a play.

It’s pretty unnerving when ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 14, 2019 at 10:14 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Bowden: Sizing up the rookies who are ready to make their mark in the majors in 2019 – The Athletic

Saw him pitch last year in Spring Training. He looked like he could pitch in the majors then.

6. Jesus Luzardo, LHP, Oakland Athletics

Age: 21 Height: 6-1 Weight: 205 B: L T: L
Scouting Grades
FB: 60 CB: 50 CH: 60 CTL: 65

The Athletics showed great discipline in not bringing up Luzardo last September, instead opting to make sure he was fully developed, but they’re prepared to let him compete for a rotation spot in spring training. Based on their lack of starter depth, it would be a surprise ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 09:37 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: pay site, prospects

Finding This Season’s Chris Paddack – Prospects365.com

Here’s a nice list of buy-low guys you might have available in your dynasty league.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 09:03 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: prospects

Social media helps Hal Steinbrenner on decision-making for Yankees

How many big contracts can the Yankees absorb? I see analysts suggesting that it’s outrageous if the Yankees don’t sign Manny. It’s not though. Big contracts can’t be signed without considering your future salary commitments.The checks also can’t be written without factoring in the economic limits of the current CBA (Luxury Tex, etc.), which were **collectively bargained**. You also can’t ignore the players you already have on your 40-Man and in your pipeline.(Your players impact Machado’s ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 14, 2019 at 08:39 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: manny machado, yankees

The CheckSwings 2019 Mock Expansion Draft

The most recent Expansion Draft was before I started following baseball. I enjoyed this thought experiment quite a bit, as they take it seriously, follow the official MLB rules (for protected players and such), and therefore create a pretty realistic idea as to what type of teams we might expect the next two Expansion Teams to field.

As we went through the exercise of creating protected lists for each existing club, we realized that we needed to bring in as much outside help as possible in ...

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Davo and his Moose Tacos Posted: January 14, 2019 at 08:35 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: expansion, fantasy, mock draft

Padres’ Wil Myers moving from 3B back to the outfield

SAN DIEGO (AP) — Wil Myers said Saturday he’s moving back to the rebuilding Padres’ crowded outfield, indicating that San Diego likely is still in the market for a third baseman.

Myers said the decision to switch positions yet again was made during a recent discussion with general manager A.J. Preller and manager Andy Green.

“It was more of a group decision,” Myers said at FanFest. “I did tell them I want to do what’s best for the team going forward. Obviously, I want to win and ...

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QLE Posted: January 14, 2019 at 08:35 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: padres, third basemen, wil myers

Did J.D. Martinez contract the Drake curse? Red Sox can prove otherwise

Did J.D. Martinez derail the Boston Red Sox’s 2019 season before it even began?

The Red Sox slugger posted an Instagram photo Saturday of himself hanging with rap superstar Drake in Las Vegas.

That would appear to be harmless—until you remember the Drake Curse.

Unfortunately, I’m neither Irish enough nor curly enough in the hair to make a living rambling about this curse in the popular press- anyone here want to give it a go?

QLE Posted: January 14, 2019 at 08:35 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: curse, drake, goofy, red sox

Phillies’ Jake Arrieta warns players coming up on new contracts: ‘You’re next’

Jake Arrieta wants players coming up on arbitration and free agency to be aware of what they’re getting into.

“All of you 1-3 yr players out there better be paying attention to what’s going on in our game,” he wrote Saturday on Twitter. “You’re next. @MLB.”

MLB has seen a significant decrease in free-agent contracts over the last two seasons, despite record revenue in 2018.

Note to self: Check back in 2021 and see if it looks like there will be a 2022 season. ...Read More...

QLE Posted: January 14, 2019 at 08:35 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, jake arrieta

Saturday, January 12, 2019


Madison Bumgarner to Brewers Blockbuster Would Create Cubs’ Worst 2019 Nightmare

The Milwaukee Brewers aren’t out to knock the Chicago Cubs from the National League Central throne. They already did that in 2018. Their goal for 2019 is to keep the status quo.

This explains their interest in Madison Bumgarner. According to Jon Morosi of MLB.com, the San Francisco Giants have had “substantive communication” about the ace left-hander with the Brewers, who represent his “most likely destination” in a trade.

It’s not guaranteed that the Giants will indeed move Bumgarner. There ...

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QLE Posted: January 12, 2019 at 08:06 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, madison bumgarner, trade rumors

Detroit Tigers prospect Gregory Soto suspended 20 games by MLB

Gregory Soto, the Detroit Tigers’ left-handed pitching prospect who was named the organization’s minor league pitcher of the year two seasons ago, has been suspended 20 games.

Soto’s suspension for “Conduct Detrimental or Prejudicial to Baseball” was announced on Friday afternoon by Major League Baseball, citing Article 12, Part B of the collective bargaining agreement as the offense.

Article 12, Part B reads, “Players may be disciplined for just cause for conduct that is ...

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QLE Posted: January 12, 2019 at 08:06 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: conduct detrimental to baseball, gregory soto, suspension, tigers

Reds agree with newly acquired Puig on $9.7 million contract

CINCINNATI (AP) — The Cincinnati Reds avoided arbitration with Yasiel Puig, agreeing with the newly acquired outfielder on a $9.7 million contract for 2019.

You know, this is rather disappointing, after everything claimed about Puig in the popular press.

QLE Posted: January 12, 2019 at 08:06 AM | 4 comment(s)
  Beats: contracts, reds, yasiel puig

Astros’ Alex Bregman undergoes elbow surgery

Astros third baseman Alex Bregman underwent arthroscopic surgery on Friday to remove loose bodies in his right elbow, the team announced.

Bregman will be “limited” at the start of spring training, according to a statement disseminated Friday morning, but the Astros expect their reigning All-Star infielder to be ready to play prior to opening day against the Rays on March 28.

Bregman approached the team around New Year’s Day to complain of discomfort, general manager Jeff Luhnow said. ...

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QLE Posted: January 12, 2019 at 08:06 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: alex bregman, astros, elbow surgery

MLB Rumors: ‘Mystery Team’ Involved In Manny Machado Sweepstakes

The Manny Machado sweepstakes were narrowed to two teams Friday, or so we thought.

The New York Yankees appeared to withdraw consideration for Machado’s services when they reportedly agreed to terms with veteran infielder DJ LeMahieu. Not to mention, a new report indicated not all Yankees executives were on board with the idea of bringing Machado to The Bronx.

As such, the Philadelphia Phillies and Chicago White Sox became the effective front runners to sign Machado in free agency. But ...

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QLE Posted: January 12, 2019 at 08:06 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, manny machado, mysteries, rumors

Friday, January 11, 2019

Orioles payroll to fall significantly in 2019 - BaltimoreBaseball.com

A year ago, the Orioles’ Opening Day payroll was $148.57 million, according to Cot’s Baseball Contracts. MLBTradeRumors.com estimates that this year’s Opening Day payroll will be just under $83 million.

Gone are Adam Jones ($17.3 million), Manny Machado ($16 million), Zach Britton ($12 million) and Darren O’Day ($9 million). Jones was on the final year of a six-year contract. O’Day has a year remaining on a four-year deal, and Machado and Britton were in the final years of club ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 03:17 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: orioles

Dodgers trading for catcher Russell Martin

Low cost (in talent) move for the Dodgers which allows them to wait for their fantastic catching prospects to be ready.

The Dodgers appear to have addressed their catching situation for 2019, as they have acquired Russell Martin from the Blue Jays via trade. Los Angeles also yielded cash considerations, while Toronto netted Minor League righty Andrew Sopko and Minors infielder Ronny Brito. Sportsnet’s Arash Madani was first to report the swap.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 03:12 PM | 17 comment(s)
  Beats: blue jays, dodgers, russell martin

Yankees add infielder DJ LeMahieu | MLB.com

A little protection/preparation for Didi Gregorius’ pending free agency?

New York agreed to a two-year, $24 million contract with free-agent second baseman DJ LeMahieu on Friday afternoon, a source confirmed to MLB.com’s Mark Feinsand. The agreement is pending a physical, and the club has not confirmed.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 03:10 PM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: d.j. lemahieu, yankees

How MLB’s Luxury Tax Has Put a Deep Freeze on Spending - WSJ

Players also should consider the unintended consequences of their decision to screw amateurs and foreign free agents. By limiting the amount of money teams can spend on those players (in the hope the money would then be spent on MLB players), they’ve increased the surplus value of those players. At the same time, by not pushing for higher luxury limits, by not pushing for higher minimum salaries, and by limiting the money spent on farm/international players, teams (especially high revenue ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 11:14 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, economics, luxury tax

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-11-2019

Pittsburgh Gazette Times, January 11, 1919:

An effort will be made to have Thirdbaseman Dug [sic] Baird of the St. Louis National League club play at Vandergrift [Pennsylvania] next summer. Jimmy Beeson, who is to manage the team in the Westmoreland county town, said yesterday he already is in negotiations with Baird, and he has reasons to believe he will wean him away from the major league. Beeson shares the belief with Baird that St. Louis will try to mete out some sort of punishment to him ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 11, 2019 at 10:27 AM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Inside Kyler Murray’s football-vs.-baseball decision

Dan O’Dowd had a great idea last night on MLB Tonight. With the changes in the CBA it’s a lot more difficult for baseball to compete with football because of the limits on bonuses. He suggested a change in the CBA whereby a team can match an NFL bonus, so baseball can better compete with the NFL.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 09:57 AM | 67 comment(s)
  Beats: athletics, kyler murray

What Explains Labor’s Declining Share of Revenue in Major League Baseball? by John Charles Bradbury :: SSRN

J.C. Bradbury looks at the dwindling players’ share of MLB revenues. The takeaway…

Player wages are not growing as fast has league revenue because player marginal revenue products have   been falling.  Observations of the returns to success over time indicate that player performance became less valuable during this time-period, which should lower the returns flowing to players
. The falling revenue share of MLB players is consistent with changes in labor’s share in the hospitality and leisure ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2019 at 09:28 AM | 9 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, economics


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