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Thursday, February 04, 2016

The Wainwrightization of Rick Porcello | FanGraphs

Great stuff from Jeff Sullivan.

Granted, there are similarities between lots of great players and lots of inferior players. The limitation of the pitch-comp system is it says nothing about consistency, and I can’t imagine Porcello yet trusts his curve the way that Wainwright has trusted his. One still has to assume Wainwright commands the pitch better, and then there’s also the matter of Wainwright having the cutter, which is better than Porcello’s. The effectiveness of a pitch is in part ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 02:45 PM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: adam wainwright, cardinals, pitching, red sox, rick porcello, sabermetrics

OT: Soccer Thread - February 2016

Coming up in the month of February:

Man City v. Leicester (2/6)
USWNT Olympic Qualifying (2/10 - 2/21)
Juventus v. Napoli (2/13)
Arsenal v. Leicester and Man City v. Spurs (2/14)
The return of the Champions League (starting 2/16)
Madrid Derby (2/27)
League Cup final (2/28)

Probably lots of other things I’m failing to remember.

Baldrick Posted: February 04, 2016 at 02:37 PM | 72 comment(s)
  Beats: football, off-topic, soccer

NBC/Calcaterra: Cubs sign Matt Murton

When you saw this link, you thought the database must have puked on itself and started pulling up articles from ten years ago. But no, this actually happened in the Year of Our Lord 2016.

I’m rooting for him.

But after the 2009 season he went to Japan and has been playing there ever since, all of it with the Hanshin Tigers. And he’s played really well there too. In 2010 he broke Ichiro’s single season hits record with 214 in a year in which he put up a line of .349/.395/.499. Over the ...

Read More...
PASTE Transcends Almost All Generations (Zeth) Posted: February 04, 2016 at 12:03 PM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, matt murton, no, really

The Mets plan to implement a six-man rotation again in 2016 | FOX Sports

It appears as though the New York Mets will hold another on-and-off affair with a six-man rotation.

General manager Sandy Alderson tells ESPN.com that the Mets plan to “strategically use a sixth starter to keep their staff fresh.”

New York implemented a six-man rotation primarily consisting of Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Jon Niese, Bartolo Colón, and rookies Noah Syndergaard and Steven Matz with mixed reaction in 2016.

Although the format allowed the Mets to preserve their young arms, not ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 10:48 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Scott Boras, other baseball minds propose anti-tanking measures - Buster Olney Blog- ($Insider$)

How do these changes actually help bad teams return to contention?

In no particular order, here are some of the suggestions mentioned by evaluators and agents:

1. Prevent teams from picking at or near the top of the draft in successive seasons:
(snip)

2. Reduce the difference in draft dollars attached to the highest picks under the current system:
(snip)

3. Have a draft lottery:
(snip)

4. The E system: Agent Scott Boras presented a multifaceted idea that would allow the worst teams to ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 10:07 AM | 71 comment(s)
  Beats: economics, scott boras

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-4-2016

Pittsburgh Press, February 4, 1916:

In a Western league game last season the following play came up, the like of which probably never before occurred on a ball field. Omaha had three men on bases with none out; three balls and two strikes had been called on the batter, when he met the ball solidly and drove it on a line straight to the shortstop…It looked like a sure triple play, but [baserunner] Cy Forsythe...reached up into the air with his right hand and pulled the ball down, thus preventing ...

Read More...
Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: February 04, 2016 at 09:45 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Will Detroit Tigers Lopsided Right-Handed Lineup be a Handicap?

Can a team win with an almost exclusive RH lineup?

This year the Detroit Tigers will feature an everyday lineup with eight right-handed batters and one switch-hitter Although it’s quite a potent lineup, it’s a remarkably lopsided one. You can argue this one-sidedness doesn’t matter, but the numbers say it does. To take a fair measure, examine the Tiger regulars’ OPS against righties and lefties over the last three seasons.

Here are those figures for the cumulative OPS from 2013, 2014, ...

Read More...
Wahoo Sam Posted: February 04, 2016 at 09:29 AM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: cameron maybin, detroit tigers, justin upton

Orioles have expressed interest in free-agent right-hander Tim Lincecum - Baltimore Sun

They have “expressed interest”.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 09:20 AM | 26 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, orioles, tim lincecum

Wrigleyville -THE BEST CUBS CATCHERS SINCE 1988

BP thinks Joe Girardi stunk.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 08:53 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, sabermetrics

MLB’s most unpredictable team in every division.

Winning the off-season means nothing.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 08:31 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: predictions

Mets GM: Premature to call Conforto an everyday player - NY Daily News

Why trade for De Aza? He’ll probably end up getting cut.

Alderson said he could see teams approaching him about deals for Alejandro De Aza, though he’s not engaged there now. The GM acknowledged that the outfielder’s playing situation is “a little less clear” now that Cespedes is here. “But we’re happy to have another left-handed hitter who hits well against right-handed pitching and we’ll figure it out,” Alderson said. Juan Lagares, meanwhile, “definitely has a role for us, ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 08:07 AM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, michael conforto

MLB’s qualifying-offer system is stacked against low-revenue clubs | FOX Sports

Sorry, I don’t even know where to start on this article. I really like Ken Rosenthal and generally enjoy his stuff but this piece is a mess.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 08:03 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, economics, qualifying offers

Documents: Mets Owners’ Real Estate Fund Was $300 Million In The Hole This Past June

Can the Wilpons dig out of their hole?

Jim Furtado Posted: February 04, 2016 at 07:03 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Wednesday, February 03, 2016

OT: Monthly NBA Thread - February 2016

I estimate only 10-12 Primates care about the NBA, but with our own thread, we won’t detract from what this site is really about: contract opt-outs and tanking (in baseball).

Link goes to the announcement of your 2016 NBA All-Star Game entertainment, Sting.

My name is Votto, and I love to get blotto Posted: February 03, 2016 at 01:43 PM | 333 comment(s)
  Beats: basketball, nba, ncaabb, off-topic

Atlanta executives meet with two Florida Gators who might be draft candidates

Sources have told Scout.com that John Coppolella, Atlanta’s general manager, and Brian Bridges, Atlanta’s scouting director, recently met in Gainesville with Gators’ outfielder Buddy Reed and Florida left-handed pitcher A.J. Puk.

Coppolella has recently said the Braves would prefer to draft a college hitter with the third pick, which is not a surprise considering the large number of pitchers Atlanta took last year in the draft. The Braves took pitchers with 20 of their first 26 draft ...

Read More...
Rickey! weren't no D.J. he was hazy cosmic jive Posted: February 03, 2016 at 12:12 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, prospects

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-3-2016

Pittsburgh Gazette Times, February 3, 1916:

Kansas City is going to be in a major baseball league within two years, according to [American League president Ban] Johnson. He said Kansas City was “a major league city right now.” He thought it would fit into the American League better than the National, and intimated one of the St. Louis clubs might be involved in such a move.

Ban was off by 37 years, but (obviously) Kansas City got its MLB club and both of them have been in the AL.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: February 03, 2016 at 07:46 AM | 43 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, kansas city

After death of son, seasons of struggle in Milwaukee, new Diamondback Jean Segura may finally blossom in Arizona desert | FOX Sports

Segura, who turns 26 on March 17, rejected a seven-year, $40 million extension with an option for an eighth year in the spring of ’14, according to major-league sources. He felt he deserved better, particularly since the Braves had just signed Andrelton Simmons to a seven-year, $58 million deal.
...
“I think the change will do him good,” Roenicke said. “I really like how (the Diamondbacks) play. They’re aggressive. They’ve got some really good leadership with (Paul Goldschmidt). ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 03, 2016 at 05:52 AM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, diamondbacks, jean segura

OT - College Football offseason thread (February - August 2016)

The home of everything from signing day to fall camp.

Lance Reddick! Lance him! Posted: February 03, 2016 at 01:06 AM | 25 comment(s)
  Beats: college football, off-topic

Tuesday, February 02, 2016

Dodgers add Maddux, Ibanez to front office

Hall of Fame pitcher Greg Maddux and 19-year Major League veteran Raul Ibanez have been named special assistants to Dodgers president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman and the baseball operations department.

The Dodgers announced Tuesday that in their roles, Maddux and Ibanez will assist in all aspects of baseball operations, including scouting, player development and working with the club’s players, both at the Major League and Minor League levels.

The Dodgers are going to have to rent ...

Read More...
eddieot Posted: February 02, 2016 at 10:13 PM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: dodgers

Stacking Up MLB’s Most Productive International Programs - BaseballAmerica.com

It amazing how much better some teams are in the international market.

Texas Rangers

The Rangers consistently grade out near the top of this list, with their international program continually churning out talent first under the direction of A.J. Preller, then Mike Daly (now their farm director) and most recently Gil Kim, who just left the organization to become Toronto’s farm director. Preller has moved on to become the Padres general manager, with Daly and Kim both candidates to follow in ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 09:44 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: international free agents

Braves interested in Cuban free agent Lazarito | MLB.com

The Braves are rumored to already have a big haul after July 1st, including Kevin Maitan. So, it will be interesting to see what they have going.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 09:39 PM | 0 comment(s)
  Beats: braves, cuban free agents

Schoenfield: Top 5 Hall of Fame classes

Can’t fault the Cobb/Ruth/Wagner/Mathewson/Johnson entry, but what say you about the others?

reech Posted: February 02, 2016 at 05:27 PM | 49 comment(s)
  Beats: espn, hall of fame

Owners are worried about tanking. Which is something they themselves created. – HardballTalk

Tanking as an issue is much ado about nothing. Teams already pay a price for tanking. Attendance and ratings drop.

Now, however, there is a lockstep relationship between losing and the draft. If you’re not going to make the playoffs, it’s clearly better to lose 105 games than 95. at a certain point it’s in a club’s best interest to simply wave the white flag and position itself for three years from now. Unless and until that relationship is reduced in strength, that incentive will ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 09:58 AM | 42 comment(s)
  Beats: draft, draft pick compensation, economics

Qualifying-offer system key to collective bargaining negotiations, maintaining more than two decades of labor peace as MLB, players union begin to talk | FOX Sports

Maybe these players misread the market and should have signed for the $15.8 million.

This will be an interesting story to keep an eye on.

Desmond, Fowler, and Gallardo are the last remaining free agents who rejected qualifying offers in November—meaning teams must surrender a draft pick in order to sign them.

It is undeniable that draft-pick compensation has depressed the values for several free agents this offseason. The same has happened before under the current CBA. What’s impossible to ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 09:52 AM | 125 comment(s)
  Beats: cba, mlbpa, owners

Re-meet Zack Wheeler: Stud has hitter threats, ‘greatness’ goal | New York Post

“I want to stay on top of the ball instead of being on the side of it,’’ Wheeler said as he demonstrated his revamped motion with the long scar snaking along his right arm.

“In the past I was just throwing and saying, ‘Here it is.’ My ball moves a lot, and that’s what got me in trouble,’’ said Wheeler, who is 18-16 with 3.50 ERA and 271 strikeouts over 285 ¹/₃ innings.

Now there is more of a focus on mechanics.

“I was supposed to be on the mound the beginning of ...

Read More...
Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 09:49 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: mets, zack wheeler

The Brewers’ Quiet Upside Play | FanGraphs Baseball

There is no concern about the future in Arizona. It’s all about the now.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 02, 2016 at 08:46 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: brewers, diamondbacks, trades

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-2-2016

Pittsburgh Gazette Times, February 2, 1916:

Wagner and Lajoie are starting their twentieth big league campaigns. Did it ever occur to you they were batting over .300 in the Big Show before—

1. The Colonel, or T.R., was drafted from the minors?
2. Before W.J. Bryan had run for president but once?
3. Before the Spanish-American War was even thought of?
4. Before President Wilson had gotten used to his job as president of Princeton?
...
9. Before Ty Cobb reached the fourth grade at the public ...

Read More...
Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: February 02, 2016 at 07:53 AM | 19 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, honus wagner, nap lajoie

Monday, February 01, 2016

The Record Underperformance of 2015

What does that make them? Lollygaggers.

Regardless of which method you want to use, 2015 gave us the biggest team underperformance in the years with data available—though the models disagree about which team that was. By third-order wins, it was the Indians — they finished more than 12 wins below where they were expected. By BaseRuns, it was the A’s, with a similarly affected record.

And those weren’t the only teams that underperformed significantly. Add in the Astros, and you’re ...

Read More...
RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 01, 2016 at 05:25 PM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: underperformance

Yankees’ Greg Bird to miss 2016 after shoulder surgery

Yankees first baseman Greg Bird will miss the 2016 season due to a torn labrum in his right shoulder.

Bird initially hurt his shoulder last May while in the minors, and felt discomfort again this offseason. He will have surgery Tuesday to repair the torn labrum.

Jim Furtado Posted: February 01, 2016 at 03:42 PM | 33 comment(s)
  Beats: greg bird, injuries, yankees

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 2-1-2016

Pittsburgh Press, February 1, 1916:

James McGill, who bought the Denver club of the Western league and the Indianapolis club of the American Association, after he inherited a fortune from his uncle…may have to sell both clubs as a result of suits files against him by Jack Coffey, former Denver manager, and Mrs. Coffey.
...
Mrs. Coffey alleges she was induced to enter McGill’s auto when he told her Mrs. McGill was to go with them. She charges that when she noticed McGill was driving into the ...

Read More...
Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: February 01, 2016 at 09:46 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, jack coffey, rape

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