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Thursday, January 11, 2018

Heyman | Red Sox And JD Martinez Remain In Stalemate

Six years at $30 million per? I’d rather see the Sox put that money toward getting another Manny.

Top free-agent slugger J.D. Martinez and the Boston Red Sox have been engaged in a staredown/stalemate for weeks. And judging by Martinez’s commitment to the cause, it may go on quite awhile longer.

Miami acquaintances of Martinez say he is willing to “hold out,” certainly into spring training, for what he believes should be his market value. The Red Sox have offered Martinez a five-year ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 09:40 AM | 32 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, j.d. martinez

Jay Bruce deal: Patience pays off again for Alderson and Mets

Bruce has returned to the Mets for three years and $39 million, an eminently reasonable deal for a 31-year-old-to-be who brings power and durability to an environment sorely in need of both.

Nowaday’s high price of mediocrity, I suppose, or the mehiest meh that ever mehed.

Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama Posted: January 11, 2018 at 09:26 AM | 10 comment(s)
  Beats: mets

Heyman | Yankees Having Trouble Finding Taker For Ellsbury

The New York Yankees are said to be willing to pay at least half of Jacoby Ellsbury’s $22 million salary but are still having trouble stirring much trade interest at this point.

That could be because there are so many similar players still available on the free-agent market, though, and it’s possible they could find some takers later.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 09:15 AM | 131 comment(s)
  Beats: jacoby ellsbury, yankees

THT: The Boston Red Sox Are the MLB Draft Kings

Which team has accumulated the most “Future WAR” with its draft picks during the draft era while averaging the least advantageous spot on the board? Remarkably, the Boston Red Sox are the only ball club to amass over 2000 Future WAR while averaging the second-lowest picks in the draft. Only the New York Yankees have worked with a lower average pick, and they are 14th in total Future WAR.

djordan Posted: January 11, 2018 at 09:02 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: boston red sox, draft


MLB agent Jason Wood fired; accused of filming clients’ showers

I don’t even know what to say about this one.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 06:36 AM | 17 comment(s)
  Beats: agents

Wrigleyville - Baseball Prospectus: COLLUSION BY ANY OTHER NAME WOULD SMELL AS FOUL

It’s not collusion. It’s sanity. It’s also the MLBPA making a very bad deal. Instead of focusing on a very small part of its membership, it should have been focusing on increasing money for a majority of its members.

So, when we see explicit reports by establishment voices like Ken Rosenthal assert that “teams are using a new playbook” when it comes to free agency, we should not be shy to critique such a system and those who perpetuate it. The evidence of collusion, or something ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 05:58 AM | 14 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency

Restricted Free Agency Could Benefit Players | FanGraphs Baseball

This isn’t a good idea for a small-market team.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 11, 2018 at 05:57 AM | 13 comment(s)
  Beats: collective bargaining agreement, mlbpa


Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Sources: Jay Bruce returning to Mets on 3-year, $39M contract

With Bruce back in the fold, the Mets’ 2018 starting outfield is likely to consist of Yoenis Cespedes in left field, Michael Conforto in center and Bruce in right.

Conforto hit 27 home runs last season and made his first career All-Star team before suffering a dislocated shoulder in August and undergoing surgery to repair a torn posterior capsule. Although the Mets have said his rehab is going well, it’s questionable whether he’ll be ready by Opening Day.

Russlan thinks deGrom is da bomb Posted: January 10, 2018 at 10:41 PM | 45 comment(s)
  Beats: jay bruce, mets

Astros, Pirates have ‘no deal’ for Gerrit Cole yet

Morosi and Rocco DeMaro say yea, Passan says nay.

Mike Emeigh Posted: January 10, 2018 at 03:03 PM | 22 comment(s)
  Beats: astros, gerrit cole, pirates

Fangraphs: The One I Never Thought I Would Write

It’s been a remarkable run. But for me, it comes to an end today. This will be my last post at FanGraphs.

...

But after 10 years, I’m hanging up my virtual pen. Starting next week, I’m going to go begin a new adventure, helping build out a Research and Development department for the San Diego Padres.

Random Transaction Generator Posted: January 10, 2018 at 11:49 AM | 29 comment(s)
  Beats: dave cameron, fangraphs, padres

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-10-2018

Cap Anson’s all-time team, published in The Sporting News, January 10, 1918:

C: Buck Ewing and King Kelly
IF: Cap Anson (1B), Fred Pfeffer (2B), Ned Williamson (3B), Ross Barnes (SS)
OF: Bill Lange, George Gore, Jimmy Ryan, Hugh Duffy
P: Amos Rusie, John Clarkson, Jim McCormick

Unfortunately I can’t seem to find a direct link to the article itself. According to an entry in the BBRef Bullpen, Anson does concede that Ty Cobb, Tris Speaker, and Eddie Collins are good. They just weren’t good enough ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 10, 2018 at 09:41 AM | 16 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history, old man yells at cloud

Notable books about baseball published in 2017 | MLB.com

Please add your favorites. I’m looking for something new to read.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 10, 2018 at 08:15 AM | 37 comment(s)
  Beats: books

Tuesday, January 09, 2018

Maybe “Super Teams” Are Ruining the Offseason | FanGraphs Baseball

He’s trivializing the wild card format.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:38 AM | 30 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency

Gerrit Cole to Yankees ‘inevitable’ despite Astros’ interest - NY Daily News

in·ev·i·ta·ble
inˈevidəb(ə)l/Submit
adjective
1.
certain to happen; unavoidable.
“war was inevitable”
synonyms: unavoidable, inescapable, inexorable, ineluctable; More
noun
1.
a situation that is unavoidable.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:36 AM | 51 comment(s)
  Beats: gerrit cole, pirates, trade, yankees

The Phillies don’t want ‘bloggers’ at the IronPigs Banquet - The Good Phight

But…it’s a great time of year to stay in your basement.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:34 AM | 5 comment(s)
  Beats: phillies

Life of a scouting report: How the Cubs have streamlined an age-old process – The Athletic

A lot of good stuff at The Athletic recently. If you can get access at a discount, you should.

“Our scouts don’t travel to the draft,” Dorey said. “So it’s my job to really challenge analytic information we have if it doesn’t align with what our scouts are saying, and try to find the sweet spot there. I’m constantly trying to make sure that the voice of the scout doesn’t get lost in the entire profile of the player. And I think we’ve done a really good job of that, but it’s ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:23 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: cubs, pay site, scouting

Todd Frazier’s message for Yankees, Mets and MLB: I’m worth it | New York Post

He should be looking for a pillow deal.

Frazier posted a .222/.365/.423 slash line in 66 games with the Yankees after coming over from the White Sox in a trade.

“It’s going to be a new, revitalized me,” he said. “I want to prove that I’m worth it. I want to be prepared and be the leader I can be on the field. I know whatever team I do fit with, they’re going to get the best Todd Frazier they are ever going to have because I want to play better. I want to get my average up. I have a ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:18 AM | 27 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, todd frazier

Phillies Trade Proposal For Christian Yelich « CBS Philly

This strikes me as a little short on the Phillies side.

MLB.com’s Anthony Castrovince proposed a trade that might work for both the Phillies and the Marlins: Nick Williams, Mickey Moniak, and Jorge Alfaro for Yelich.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:17 AM | 6 comment(s)
  Beats: marlins, phillies

Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-9-2018

Washington Evening Star, January 9, 1918:

Barney Dreyfuss, president of the Pittsburgh National League Base Ball Club, announced today that arrangements had been completed whereby Mamaux, Ward and Grimes are to go to the Brooklyn National League club in exchange for Stengel and Cutshaw.

Two of the five players in the trade wound up in the Hall of Fame, though the Old Perfessor got in as a manager.

Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 09, 2018 at 10:11 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

Dave Dombrowski’s reputation, autonomy and the pursuit of JD Martinez

What’s your team’s goal? Do you want short bursts of success or do you want sustained success? Do you want to be the Braves of the 90s or Royals of the recent past?

Small markets may be forced to think of smaller windows of opportunity. Big markets can plan for sustained success. I’d rather have the Red Sox working similarly to the current Dodgers than Ilitch’s Tigers. I like J.D. Martinez. I don’t like him enough to see the Sox go beyond five years. (I’d prefer four with a higher AAV ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:49 AM | 11 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, red sox

Lorenzo Cain likely to age gracefully

Petriello’s comps:
Garret Anderson
Mike Cameron
Brett Gardner
Curtis Granderson
Torii Hunter
Andruw Jones
Kenny Lofton
Reggie Sanders
Shane Victorino
Randy Winn

Baseball Reference’s most similar players.
Similar Batters through 31
Marlon Byrd (968.0)
Angel Pagan (967.0)
Roy Weatherly (965.0)
Al Zarilla (958.7)
Johnny Grubb (957.3)
Dave Robertson (950.6)
Lee Maye (950.1)
Ira Flagstead (947.8)
Frank Catalanotto (947.1)
Fred Schulte (947.0)

Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:33 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: free agents, lorenzo cain, similarity scores

Rosenthal: Many factors contributing to historically slow free agent market – The Athletic

Ken, Ken, Ken. Teams will spend money. The players will get signed. Maybe, though, the Players Association might want some new leadership. The Luxury Tax system they agreed to gives the big markets good reason to be frugal this year. Smart management is only a problem for agents who depend on emotionally-charged decision-making.

An MLB official dismissed any suggestion of collusion, saying clubs are so secretive, they barely communicate with the commissioner’s office during free agency, much ...

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Jim Furtado Posted: January 09, 2018 at 06:13 AM | 1 comment(s)
  Beats: free agency, pay site

Monday, January 08, 2018

Atlanta/Southeast BBTF meet up

From the depths of the much maligned, dreaded, and oft times avoided OTP thread has sprung forth the idea that we have a quorum of ATL and ATL-adjacent Primates to justify a meet up. (We can’t field two softball teams yet.) We’re banging around locations in the city for drinks, dinner and shenanigans now. The date will on or around Feb 12.


Primer Dugout (and link of the day) 1-8-2018

Bridgeport Evening Farmer, January 8, 1918:

Branch Rickey, president of the St. Louis club of the National League, joined Jack Hendricks, the new manager of the Cardinals, in a flat statement that Rogers Hornsby, the star infielder of his team, was not on the market and that he would be seen in a St. Louis uniform this year. Mr. Rickey said:

“Once and for all time, and this is final, Hornsby will not be sold or traded to any club in North America. Neither Charley Weeghman of the Cubs nor John ...

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Jefferson Manship (Dan Lee) Posted: January 08, 2018 at 12:22 PM | 18 comment(s)
  Beats: dugout, history

SBNation : After 5-year odyssey, Daniel Bard calls it a career.

Instead, Bard’s tenure with the Red Sox ended two months before the team would win a World Series in 2013, beginning a four-year journey set mostly on the back fields of extended spring training. After being initially claimed by the Cubs in 2013, Bard would be released and signed by a new club on five different occasions, spending time with the Rangers, Cubs (again), Pirates, and Cardinals before landing with the Mets.

Bard would appear in just 13 innings over that four-year span, allowing ...

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Random Transaction Generator Posted: January 08, 2018 at 08:47 AM | 23 comment(s)
  Beats: daniel bard, red sox, retirement

OTP 8 January 2018: Lawsuits could change the rules in North Carolina politics, balance of power in Raleigh

Jake Quinn says his main job when he umpires baseball games as a volunteer for North Asheville Little League is to ensure each team is treated fairly.

“Before the first pitch is thrown, the score is 0-0 and the team that scores the most runs during the game wins the game,” he said.

But, he says, “That’s not the way elections work. With gerrymandering, one team starts out in the lead. That’s fundamentally unfair.”

 

Mellow Mouse, Benevolent Space Tyrant Posted: January 08, 2018 at 07:54 AM | 2393 comment(s)
  Beats: little league, off topic, politics, umpire

Rosenthal: Nats interested in Lance Lynn; Yelich suitors line up; teams calling Red Sox on Swihart; more notes – The Athletic

It’s tough ignoring The Athletic when it employs so many good/great reporters.

— The Marlins declined to entertain trade interest in first baseman Justin Bour at the winter meetings, but rival clubs continue to check on his availability. Bour, like catcher J.T. Realmuto, is under control for three more seasons. MLBTradeRumors.com projects Bour to earn $3.5 million in arbitration.

The Marlins could really stock up on prospects if they did a full teardown.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 08, 2018 at 06:47 AM | 7 comment(s)
  Beats: notes, pay site

A Different Sort of Debate on WAR - ADAM KAUFMAN

If you are looking to the future tie your system to a projection system. If you are looking to the past, include context. The current WAR systems end up being jack of all trades and masters of none.

Jim Furtado Posted: January 08, 2018 at 06:42 AM | 2 comment(s)
  Beats: war

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