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Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, December 14, 2006
I haven’t seen this linked yet. This is the latest in Chone’s look at projection results for the 2006 season. To sum it all up, here are Chone’s list of “114 players who had 500 or more AB, and I had to eliminate a few (Dan Uggla and Hanley Ramirez among others) because not all systems projected minor leaguers” and pitchers with 100 innings:
Speaking of projections, the biggest change to ZiPS is that I’m no longer using generic aging curves but a number of player-type aging curves culled after a lot of mind-numbing work. I did come out with some interesting stuff - I believe I can show (rather than theorize) that negative changes in Speed Score have a solid impact on predicting a BABIP bounceback after a decline - but that’s stuff for a different time.
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