Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Saturday, November 03, 2018

2019 Steamer Projections Now Available! | FanGraphs Baseball

I use the projection systems as a starting point for fantasy purposes. It’s great that Steamer is out now. Slacker Dan needs to get ZiPS up too!!

Jim Furtado Posted: November 03, 2018 at 09:41 AM | 22 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: projections, steamer

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. TDF, trained monkey Posted: November 03, 2018 at 11:08 AM (#5781576)
Homer Bailey - 35 IP of replacement level pitching.

It would cost $28M to just cut him loose, but at some point they have to seriously consider it, don't they?
   2. Jose Bautista Bobblehead Day Posted: November 03, 2018 at 12:48 PM (#5781608)
Vlad Jr. is projected as the sixth-most valuable position player per 600 PA.
   3. Red Voodooin Posted: November 03, 2018 at 01:37 PM (#5781625)
Steamer must be projecting that Addison Russell has further skeletons in his closet that will warrant an additional suspension this year, as they have him projected for all of 8 games and 32 at bats.
   4. puck Posted: November 03, 2018 at 03:41 PM (#5781673)
Ian Desmond projected to regress in a positive direction to a 95 RC+. He was at 69 and 81 his 1st two seasons w/the Rockies. 95 would be great but it sure doesn't seem like he's coming back.

Only 3 Rockies projected to be above average (Arenado, Blackmon, Story).
   5. The Duke Posted: November 03, 2018 at 09:35 PM (#5781803)
Vlad Jr needs about 28 days of seasoning in the minors
   6. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: November 03, 2018 at 10:40 PM (#5781815)
Only 3 Rockies projected to be above average (Arenado, Blackmon, Story).

Position players. Plus 3 pitchers (Marquez, Job Grey, Freeman).

And technically, I think Hampson, Iannetta, and Anderson are projected as above average. Just not as a full season worth of it.
   7. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: November 03, 2018 at 10:41 PM (#5781816)
Also Vlad Jr is the new Matt Wieters.
   8. puck Posted: November 03, 2018 at 10:58 PM (#5781817)
Sorry, I meant batters. Aren't Hampson and Ianetta below 100 wRC+?
   9. Fancy Crazy Town Banana Pants Handle Posted: November 04, 2018 at 05:49 AM (#5781844)
Sorry, I meant batters. Aren't Hampson and Ianetta below 100 wRC+?

Yeah slightly. But Ianetta is a catcher, and Hampson a middle infielder. You don't need a league average bat, to reach average at those positions.
   10. Jim Furtado Posted: November 04, 2018 at 09:17 AM (#5781853)
Esteban Quiroz is the biggest surprise showing for me.
   11. Tom Nawrocki Posted: November 04, 2018 at 10:03 AM (#5781856)
Only 3 Rockies projected to be above average (Arenado, Blackmon, Story).


David Dahl is projected to hit .274/.320/.470, which seems pretty low to me, considering he's a lifetime .293/.341/.534 hitter and is still just 24. Maybe that's park-adjusted.
   12. Adam Starblind Recommends SportSpyder.com Posted: November 04, 2018 at 10:24 AM (#5781861)
The Mets ... need to sign Manny Machado.
   13. puck Posted: November 04, 2018 at 11:15 AM (#5781869)
Yeah slightly. But Ianetta is a catcher, and Hampson a middle infielder. You don't need a league average bat, to reach average at those positions.


I am aware of these things, I'm talking about the bats, a weakness for the Rockies the past two seasons.

Iannetta's projection is interesting given his age. I think Hampson is basically the incumbent at 2nd.
   14. puck Posted: November 04, 2018 at 11:22 AM (#5781871)

David Dahl is projected to hit .274/.320/.470, which seems pretty low to me, considering he's a lifetime .293/.341/.534 hitter and is still just 24. Maybe that's park-adjusted.


IIRC his projections never seem that great. He seems like a guy who could outdo his projections because he's had such a spotty playing time record in the minors and has some tools he's growing into.

Tapia and McMahon's projections never look good either. But I hope to god this is the year Desmond starts losing some playing time.
   15. Baldrick Posted: November 04, 2018 at 11:30 AM (#5781873)
I am aware of these things, I'm talking about the bats, a weakness for the Rockies the past two seasons.

That's far more narrow than "Only 3 Rockies projected to be above average."

Three good hitters, plus plenty of roughly average ones (some of whom will have good years and come out above average), is a pretty normal distribution. Obviously you'd rather be the Yankees but there's plenty of teams in baseball with this profile.
   16. BillWallace Posted: November 07, 2018 at 01:33 PM (#5783744)
I wonder if there's another player who:

1) Qualified last year
2) Is projected for a bigger gain than Chris Davis' 3.0 WAR pickup.

He's the early favorite for comeback player of the year with his below replacement forecast!
   17. Nasty Nate Posted: November 07, 2018 at 01:40 PM (#5783746)
I wonder if there's another player who:

1) Qualified last year
2) Is projected for a bigger gain than Chris Davis' 3.0 WAR pickup.
I doubt there's anyone else who even reaches 2.0
   18. Der-K: at 10% emotional investment Posted: November 07, 2018 at 01:44 PM (#5783752)
esteban quiroz is one of two interesting and unheralded middle infielders to sign out of the mexican league last year - the other is the cardinals' ramon urias (brother of luis), whose projection here isn't as good (93 ops+ - still reasonable!), though he's probably a better glove.
   19. Jim Furtado Posted: November 08, 2018 at 03:32 PM (#5784440)
Thanks for the heads up on Urias.
   20. jacksone (AKA It's OK...) Posted: November 08, 2018 at 04:21 PM (#5784476)
I wonder if there's another player who:

1) Qualified last year
2) Is projected for a bigger gain than Chris Davis' 3.0 WAR pickup.


I doubt there's anyone else who even reaches 2.0


I have faith that Mookie can get to 14.0 WAR!
   21. Khrushin it bro Posted: November 08, 2018 at 04:25 PM (#5784478)
There's something wrong with these projections, Khris Davis is not projected to have a .247 batting average.
   22. Der-K: at 10% emotional investment Posted: November 20, 2018 at 02:18 PM (#5789743)
Quiroz just dealt to the Padres for Colton Brewer (signed to a 40 man deal as a 6yr minor league fa last offseason).
Urias, fwiw, was just added to the Cards' 40.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Dynasty League Baseball

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Backlasher
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

Sox TherapyFirst World Problems: Ovations
(4 - 2:31am, Mar 20)
Last: Petunia inquires about ponies

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 3-19-2019
(11 - 1:59am, Mar 20)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogAngels and Trout agree (Report)
(103 - 1:38am, Mar 20)
Last: bbmck

Newsblog2019 March Madness thread
(33 - 11:53pm, Mar 19)
Last: Howie Menckel

NewsblogOT - 2018-19 NBA thread (All-Star Weekend to Twelfth of Never edition)
(785 - 10:15pm, Mar 19)
Last: Crispix Attacksel Rios

NewsblogOT Soccer Thread, v.2019
(765 - 8:59pm, Mar 19)
Last: ckash

Sox TherapyReport from the Fort
(12 - 8:26pm, Mar 19)
Last: the Hugh Jorgan returns

NewsblogPassan: How Phillies' 2018 clubhouse issues caused by Fortnite led to a smashed TV
(39 - 8:07pm, Mar 19)
Last: John Reynard

NewsblogOT - Catch-All Pop Culture Extravaganza ([most of] March 2019)
(340 - 8:03pm, Mar 19)
Last: vortex of dissipation

NewsblogMLB Tries iPitch Watch In Spring Training Games
(7 - 7:49pm, Mar 19)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogYankees center fielder Aaron Hicks to miss opening day with back injury
(1 - 7:38pm, Mar 19)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogDane Dunning undergoes Tommy John surgery as another White Sox prospect goes on the shelf
(5 - 6:08pm, Mar 19)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogCarGo, Tribe reach minor league deal
(37 - 5:20pm, Mar 19)
Last: What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face?

NewsblogWith Marlins lacking power, Mattingly preaching small ball
(3 - 5:08pm, Mar 19)
Last: Nasty Nate

NewsblogThe openers experiment isn’t really an experiment anymore for Tampa Bay
(30 - 4:49pm, Mar 19)
Last: Greg Pope

Page rendered in 0.2606 seconds
46 querie(s) executed