Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Thursday, July 03, 2014

538: Keri: The Giants Clustered Their Luck

With that win, they improved to 42-21. A year after stumbling to a 76-86 record, the Giants owned the best record in baseball. They’ve been terrible ever since. San Francisco has lost 16 of its last 21 games, the worst record for any major league team during that time…Few could have predicted such a sharp and sudden drop. But one indicator did suggest that regression was coming, sooner or later: cluster luck.

In a late-May Grantland column, I wrote about the concept of cluster luck as a way to explain how a series of good (or bad) events coming one after another can propel or punish a team:

Joe Peta, a former Wall Street trader, presented cluster luck in his book, Trading Bases. Essentially, the concept boils down to this: When a team’s batters cluster hits together to score more runs and a team’s pitchers spread hits apart to allow fewer runs, that’s cluster luck. Say a team tallies nine singles in one game. If all of those singles occur in the same inning, the team would likely score seven runs; if each single occurs in a different inning, however, it’d likely mean a shutout.

clusterunluck leads to, ...well, you know…

Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: July 03, 2014 at 03:15 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: clusterluck, giants

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Renegade JE (((Jason)))
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogDavid Ortiz’s few remaining critics are needling killjoys who don’t deserve him | For The Win
(54 - 1:03am, Oct 01)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOTP 2016 Sep 26: A single for Donald Trump - He doesn’t have to hit a home run to send Hillary to the showers
(1818 - 12:56am, Oct 01)
Last: Renegade JE (((Jason)))

NewsblogOT - September 2016 College Football thread
(379 - 12:44am, Oct 01)
Last: Tulo's Fishy Mullet (mrams)

NewsblogFox Sports: Ken Rosenthal's 2016 MLB awards
(10 - 12:44am, Oct 01)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 9-30-16
(127 - 12:40am, Oct 01)
Last: Bote Man makes baseball fun again

NewsblogHeyman: Twins’ hiring of Falvey raising eyebrows
(31 - 12:24am, Oct 01)
Last: Spahn Insane, stimulus-funded BurlyMan™

NewsblogOT: NBA 2016-17 Preseason Thread
(48 - 12:09am, Oct 01)
Last: Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play

NewsblogWhat's going on inside the Blue Jays clubhouse?
(5 - 12:09am, Oct 01)
Last: Gaelan

NewsblogJesus Montero suspended 50 games for use of a stimulant
(10 - 11:25pm, Sep 30)
Last: Dock Ellis on Acid

NewsblogOT: August 2016 Soccer Thread
(639 - 11:20pm, Sep 30)
Last: Baldrick

Hall of Merit2017 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(109 - 11:14pm, Sep 30)
Last: theorioleway

NewsblogThe View is Much Better When You're the Lead Dog: Mike Trout Closes in on Another Second-Place MVP Finish
(3 - 11:13pm, Sep 30)
Last: cardsfanboy

Sox TherapyA Fan Picks Papi's Ten Best (Red Sox) Moments
(16 - 10:25pm, Sep 30)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogWhy Bo Jackson chose baseball
(2 - 10:20pm, Sep 30)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

Gonfalon CubsFear, Worry, and Overthinking
(15 - 7:40pm, Sep 30)
Last: Walt Davis

Page rendered in 0.1290 seconds
45 querie(s) executed