Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Thursday, July 03, 2014

538: Keri: The Giants Clustered Their Luck

With that win, they improved to 42-21. A year after stumbling to a 76-86 record, the Giants owned the best record in baseball. They’ve been terrible ever since. San Francisco has lost 16 of its last 21 games, the worst record for any major league team during that time…Few could have predicted such a sharp and sudden drop. But one indicator did suggest that regression was coming, sooner or later: cluster luck.

In a late-May Grantland column, I wrote about the concept of cluster luck as a way to explain how a series of good (or bad) events coming one after another can propel or punish a team:

Joe Peta, a former Wall Street trader, presented cluster luck in his book, Trading Bases. Essentially, the concept boils down to this: When a team’s batters cluster hits together to score more runs and a team’s pitchers spread hits apart to allow fewer runs, that’s cluster luck. Say a team tallies nine singles in one game. If all of those singles occur in the same inning, the team would likely score seven runs; if each single occurs in a different inning, however, it’d likely mean a shutout.

clusterunluck leads to, ...well, you know…

Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: July 03, 2014 at 03:15 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: clusterluck, giants

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Dock Ellis on Acid
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOMNICHATTER 5-25-16
(175 - 4:49pm, May 25)
Last: Walks Clog Up the Bases

NewsblogTony Gwynn’s Family’s Lawsuit Against Big Tobacco
(29 - 4:48pm, May 25)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogThornography » Bill Lee is reportedly running for governor of Vermont
(8 - 4:40pm, May 25)
Last: RoyalsRetro (AG#1F)

NewsblogOT: Wrestling Thread November 2014
(1585 - 4:37pm, May 25)
Last: Tubbs is Bobby Grich when he flys off the handle

NewsblogOTP 2016 May 23: Baseball owners hear from Democratic, Republican strategists
(529 - 4:28pm, May 25)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogClickhole: An Oral History Of The 1998 Major League Baseball Home Run Chase
(5 - 4:28pm, May 25)
Last: Davo's Favorite Tacos Are Moose Tacos

NewsblogSilent Matt Harvey confirms he’s the phony Mets have enabled | New York Post
(49 - 4:04pm, May 25)
Last: Dog on the sidewalk

NewsblogNear the bottom in MLB attendance, the Marlins are now suing ticket holders
(15 - 4:04pm, May 25)
Last: Lassus

NewsblogNew York Mets weigh next step for Matt Harvey as right-hander's struggles continue
(29 - 3:57pm, May 25)
Last: Dog on the sidewalk

NewsblogTexas Rangers: Grant: How can Rangers ensure Yu Darvish is still pitching in October? | SportsDay
(3 - 3:49pm, May 25)
Last: PepTech

NewsblogOT: NBA Playoffs Thread 2016
(2461 - 3:49pm, May 25)
Last: Moses Taylor, Optimist in London

Hall of MeritMilt Pappas
(37 - 3:33pm, May 25)
Last: Betts, Bogaerts, and D Price(GGC)

NewsblogDexter Fowler exemplifies why MLB's free agent system is broken
(15 - 3:21pm, May 25)
Last: Randy Jones

NewsblogMarlins Sue Season Ticketholders, Vendors Bankrupted by Small Crowds
(76 - 3:19pm, May 25)
Last: theboyqueen

NewsblogOT: Soccer March/April 2016
(1230 - 2:21pm, May 25)
Last: Ron J2

Page rendered in 0.2291 seconds
45 querie(s) executed