Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Thursday, July 03, 2014

538: Keri: The Giants Clustered Their Luck

With that win, they improved to 42-21. A year after stumbling to a 76-86 record, the Giants owned the best record in baseball. They’ve been terrible ever since. San Francisco has lost 16 of its last 21 games, the worst record for any major league team during that time…Few could have predicted such a sharp and sudden drop. But one indicator did suggest that regression was coming, sooner or later: cluster luck.

In a late-May Grantland column, I wrote about the concept of cluster luck as a way to explain how a series of good (or bad) events coming one after another can propel or punish a team:

Joe Peta, a former Wall Street trader, presented cluster luck in his book, Trading Bases. Essentially, the concept boils down to this: When a team’s batters cluster hits together to score more runs and a team’s pitchers spread hits apart to allow fewer runs, that’s cluster luck. Say a team tallies nine singles in one game. If all of those singles occur in the same inning, the team would likely score seven runs; if each single occurs in a different inning, however, it’d likely mean a shutout.

clusterunluck leads to, ...well, you know…

Pasta-diving Jeter (jmac66) Posted: July 03, 2014 at 03:15 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: clusterluck, giants

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
HowardMegdal
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - January 2015
(1716 - 11:14pm, Jan 31)
Last: rr

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(1507 - 10:50pm, Jan 31)
Last: jyjjy

NewsblogPuig says Cardinals are Dodgers' biggest adversary
(13 - 10:47pm, Jan 31)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogIs old school Pat Gillick the right man for his new job?
(43 - 10:24pm, Jan 31)
Last: bbmck

NewsblogOT - Politics January 2015 - Mario Cuomo, New York Governor and Minor League Ballplayer, Dies at 82
(4321 - 10:23pm, Jan 31)
Last: bobm

NewsblogJohn D'Acquisto Remembers the Late Charlie Williams
(9 - 10:15pm, Jan 31)
Last: TR_Sullivan

NewsblogBILL JAMES ON FIELDING, PART 7
(20 - 10:03pm, Jan 31)
Last: Downtown Bookie

NewsblogWhere does the Mets' future lay? A look at the farm system and prospects | NJ.com
(3 - 9:50pm, Jan 31)
Last: Downtown Bookie

NewsblogCuban infielder Moncada clears government hurdle | MLB.com
(8 - 9:37pm, Jan 31)
Last: odds are meatwad is drunk

NewsblogOT: Soccer January 2015
(423 - 9:34pm, Jan 31)
Last: The John Wetland Memorial Death (CoB)

NewsblogOT: NFL/NHL thread
(11748 - 8:55pm, Jan 31)
Last: DA Baracus

NewsblogBaseball America: From The BA Archives: The Great Debate
(14 - 6:55pm, Jan 31)
Last: zfan

NewsblogBreaking down MLB.com's Top 100 Prospects | MLB.com
(2 - 5:47pm, Jan 31)
Last: Dog on the sidewalk

NewsblogBaseball's Choice: Change or Die | VICE Sports
(39 - 3:01pm, Jan 31)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogPitchfork: Jack White Gets His Own Baseball Card
(260 - 1:40pm, Jan 31)
Last: Baldrick

Page rendered in 0.1427 seconds
46 querie(s) executed