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Sunday, October 21, 2018

After two terrific postseason starts, Nathan Eovaldi should hit it big in free agency

Nick Cafardo’s Sunday column.

Jim Furtado Posted: October 21, 2018 at 10:11 AM | 8 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
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   1. cardsfanboy Posted: October 21, 2018 at 04:49 PM (#5772121)
Does anyone here think that teams are really this stupid anymore? He had a decent year, at an age where that is probably indicative of real growth/improvement as a pitcher, but I'm thinking his 112 era+ and 3.60 fip for the season is more important towards evaluating his free agent salary, than a couple of games in the post season... It's probably in his best interest to sign a one or two year deal and set himself up for a bigger payday, than the 4-5 year deal he'll probably be seeing this off season...
   2. Lars6788 Posted: October 21, 2018 at 05:25 PM (#5772130)
Yes - he has the stuff - I don’t see him any different from Tyler Chatwood, Scott Kazmir, Jordan zimmermann types and it wouldn’t be shocking if he turns into Edwin Jackson but Eovaldi is bound to make some money off a team thinking they can get value for him through the next two or three years, even with his apparent flaws.
   3. cardsfanboy Posted: October 21, 2018 at 05:34 PM (#5772131)
I don't doubt he'll make money, but I think he'll make money based upon his age and performance over the course of the season this year, and not based upon his two appearances in the post season so far. The headline implies he'll make big bucks because of his post season performance, and I don't see that, he's in the area of good bucks, simply because of his good year this year and his age.

At the same time, he probably has a ceiling of what he'll get per year because he doesn't have a track record of this level of performance, and it would probably make sense for him to work a contract that gives him free agent status in two years, assuming he thinks he has reached a new level(which for pitchers at age 28 isn't unheard of)

   4. Benji Gil Gamesh VII - The Opt-Out Awakens Posted: October 21, 2018 at 06:15 PM (#5772138)
From the article:

Former Dodgers owner Frank McCourt, who now owns the Marseille (France) soccer club and still owns property around Dodger Stadium, recalls Cora’s gritty 18-pitch at-bat on May 12, 2004, which ended in a home run. “One of the best big league at-bats I’ve ever seen,” said McCourt, who owned the Dodgers at the time.

Here's the video (also linked in the article). Maybe the most amazing thing to me: the count was still 2-2 when he homered!
   5. Walt Davis Posted: October 22, 2018 at 12:20 AM (#5772210)
It strikes me as pretty unlikely that Eovaldi could do better with 2 years than 5. Obviously that depends on what $$ we're talking about ... and I'm not sure anybody's gonna offer 5 ... but if somebody rocks up with, say, Ian Kennedy's 5/$70 or Mike Leake's 5/$80, he should take it. That 3.60 FIP is a bit worse than his 2013-15 FIP so there's not much reason to think this is a new level of performance (and it's primarily due to his excellent stint in Bos, 4.28 FIP in TB). With just 42 starts over the last 3 years, only one season over 155 IP (only 2 over 120), and "just" $12 M in career earnings, he shouldn't look security in the mouth.

On the other hand, with 5 organizations by age 28, he's tied with Mike Morgan through the same age so no reason to tie himself down now! Although Morgan found a bit of stability spending the next 3 years with his 6th team followed by 3+ more with his 7th.
   6. Never Give an Inge (Dave) Posted: October 22, 2018 at 10:53 AM (#5772328)

With just 42 starts over the last 3 years, only one season over 155 IP (only 2 over 120), and "just" $12 M in career earnings, he shouldn't look security in the mouth.

I agree with everything you've said, but he has 3 seasons over 120 IP in his career.
   7. Walt Davis Posted: October 22, 2018 at 04:52 PM (#5772648)
OK, two seasons over 125.
   8. cardsfanboy Posted: October 22, 2018 at 05:01 PM (#5772655)
If someone offers him a 5 year 70 mil deal, he definitely should take it. I just don't think anyone is going to offer him that, he has a better chance of getting a two year 30-35 mil deal which he could parlay into a bigger deal if he pitches the way he has this year. Obviously he has to believe he has reached a new level of ability, whether it was coaching from the Red Sox or just being in a competitive environment, if he thinks he's made the leap, then he really should be considering a one or two year deal in order to maximize his earnings.

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