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Monday, September 25, 2017

Angels come from behind to beat Astros, snap losing streak at 6

4 1/2 back.

Jim Furtado Posted: September 25, 2017 at 06:25 AM | 11 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: angels

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   1. Walks Clog Up the Bases Posted: September 25, 2017 at 10:19 AM (#5538009)
No offense to Twins fans, but after the series between the Yankees and Twins last week, I definitely would prefer a Yankees/Angels WC game.
   2. LA Podcasting Hombre of Anaheim Posted: September 25, 2017 at 11:07 AM (#5538100)
Too little, too late. The Twins gave the Angels every chance in the world to build up a WC2 lead, and not only did the Angels not pull ahead, or eve put up a fight, they totally caved against the two best teams in the league. Most depressing week of the season for Angel fans.
   3. Lassus Posted: September 25, 2017 at 11:13 AM (#5538111)
Anything's possible.

But, no, not likely.
   4. eric Posted: September 25, 2017 at 12:15 PM (#5538255)
The Angels' recent play against the Indians and Astros just shows how good of a team they aren't. They aren't deserving of any post-season play, as they'd just fold without a fight. And Trout has probably played his way out of even the top 5 of the MVP vote. Even if he misses a quarter of the season, September is not his month.
   5. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: September 25, 2017 at 12:48 PM (#5538323)
Even 538 is saying that the Twins have a 99% chance of the wild card at this point. The sun is setting on the Angels' playoff hopes.
   6. What did Billy Ripken have against ElRoy Face? Posted: September 25, 2017 at 01:01 PM (#5538342)
Even 538 is saying that the Twins have a 99% chance of the wild card at this point.

Sh*t, does that mean Trump is going to win the AL wild card too??
   7. Heart of Matt Harvey Posted: September 25, 2017 at 01:11 PM (#5538367)
Imagine if Trump were twins. It's easy if you try.
   8. Rally Posted: September 25, 2017 at 01:28 PM (#5538395)
I remember the great comeback of the 2004 Angels. They were down 3 games to the A's with 9 to play. The second to last weekend was a head to head with the A's, and the Angels won the Saturday and Sunday games to pull within 1.

They took 3 of 4 from Texas to go up one, and then 2 out of 3 against the A's to finish things. Vlad Guerrero hit like a man possessed that week to solidify his MVP award.

This situation is infinitely tougher. Even if everything goes right this week - Angels sweep the White Sox, Twins get swept by Cleveland, that would put the Angels not one up, but one down into the final weekend. And then they would be depending on the declawed Tigers to help them out.

It's over. It's always been over.
   9. Lassus Posted: September 25, 2017 at 01:53 PM (#5538434)
Nice try.
   10. Walt Davis Posted: September 25, 2017 at 05:55 PM (#5538702)
538 gave Trump about a 1/3 chance of winning the election. It was the other, less sophisticated models used by NYT and others that gave Trump no chance. Silver discussed it regularly on the site before and after the election. Anybody who thinks Silver got the past election "wrong" wasn't reading what Silver actually wrote. His models picked up very well on how Trump could and did win it.
   11. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: September 25, 2017 at 06:11 PM (#5538709)
Even the NYT model might not have been that bad. It gave Trump a 16% chance. The problem is when there is a sample size of one election you can't see how well calibrated the model is (as opposed to say the 538 sports projections where they've projected 1000s of games). There is a decent sample size in terms of state by state results, but since those are very strongly correlated, rather than being independent, they're not particularly helpful. It is pretty clear, though, that the models giving a greater than 95% chance to Clinton, like the Princeton Consortium, the Huffington Post and Daily Kos Elections, were badly flawed.

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