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Sunday, May 18, 2014

Athletics Claim Jeff Francis Off Waivers From Reds

The title says it all (except for Joe Savery getting optioned). The Moneyball gang is getting back together!

Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 18, 2014 at 06:15 PM | 12 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: athletics, reds

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   1. BochysFingers Posted: May 18, 2014 at 09:44 PM (#4709297)
Decent sixth starter option, in case Griffin remains out and Pomeranz doesn't hold up.
   2. flournoy Posted: May 19, 2014 at 09:00 AM (#4709380)
So who was the best Jeff Franc-- drafted in the first round of 2002?
   3. SoCalDemon Posted: May 19, 2014 at 03:16 PM (#4709655)
By WAR/WAA, Francis (10.5/0.2) beats Francoeur (7.0/-8.7) pretty handily, which I would tend to agree with. Corner outfielders with 91 OPS+s kind of grow on trees, whereas league-average starters really don't.
   4. theboyqueen Posted: May 19, 2014 at 03:20 PM (#4709664)
Can we talk about the A's? Best offense in the league and very close to the best pitching too. They are destroying teams on a daily basis.
   5. Joyful Calculus Instructor Posted: May 19, 2014 at 03:37 PM (#4709684)
So who was the best Jeff Franc-- drafted in the first round of 2002?


How about who was the best among the guys on Billy Beane's list in Moneyball? Although I think Swisher takes that title pretty easily.
   6. Walt Davis Posted: May 19, 2014 at 06:23 PM (#4709770)
Luke Gregerson makes $5 M ... who knew?

Anyway, doing quite well for a team with 20% of their payroll going to the bullpen. :-)

I guess if I had to choose, I'd comp them to the late 70s O's. No big names other than the aging Palmer (Murray becoming one of course and the always under-rated Singleton). Lots of platoons and no-names, Nick Punto as Mark Belanger.

Is Derek Norris really the next Piazza? I suspect there are some corrections on the way for that offense (and pitching). But exciting times for A's fans -- they are just crushing. And 4 games under their pythag.

Of course they're gonna get knocked out of the playoffs by the Jays so don't get your hopes up too far. :-)
   7. dr. scott Posted: May 19, 2014 at 06:28 PM (#4709775)
The A's are doing it with ~average or above hitting from every position but second base, and WAR loves Soggard's defense. Moss and Donaldson are crushing it in all the value stats (1 and 3 I think), and the current top 3 starting pitchers are 4, 8, and 11 in ERA+. After a 7 game stretch where they only won 1 against Boston and 1 against Seattle they are 9-1 against Nats, WSox, and Cle... I expect the next road trip will be pretty hard, and then coming home to a Detroit team that may very well be much better. It will be impressive if they keep up this lead as the Angles are starting to play well again. A's are 4 games under the Pythag though, so they may actually be better than the current record...
   8. theboyqueen Posted: May 19, 2014 at 06:41 PM (#4709780)
I'm not sure I've ever said this about a baseball manager, but Bob Melvin has been incredible. Managing style is probably comparable to Weaver, but his personality obviously couldn't be more different.

As far as their pythag, it has to be a fluke but man this is fun. The team OPS (.765) is the second highest in the league (to Colorado, which doesn't count), and their OPS against (.614) is WAY better than anyone else. The underperforming of their pythag is easily explained by the fact that they have more blown saves than actual saves.

Jim Johnson needs to go on the DL. I don't care for what exactly.
   9. theboyqueen Posted: May 19, 2014 at 06:42 PM (#4709781)
The Angels look REALLY good too by the way so we'll see how this shakes out.
   10. Danny Posted: May 19, 2014 at 06:46 PM (#4709782)
The best run differentials through 44 games:

Tm  Date    W-L     RS  RA  RD Tot W-L Postseason
NYG 1912   35
-8    298 151 147 103-48  NL Pennant
NYG 1905   34
-10   249 106 143 105-48  WS Champ
NYY 1939   35
-9    292 153 139 106-45  WS Champ
PIT 1902   34
-9    264 126 138 103-36  NL Pennant
PHA 1929   33
-11   303 175 128 104-46  WS Champ
NYY 1936   30
-14   318 194 124 102-51  WS Champ
NYY 1927   29
-14   273 159 114 110-44  WS Champ
NYY 1928   36
-8    283 174 109 101-53  WS Champ
DET 1984   36
-8    251 144 107 104-58  WS Champ
NYY 1932   30
-14   300 197 103 107-47  WS Champ
CLE 1921   30
-14   300 198 102  94-60   
LAD 1974   31
-13   250 148 102 102-60  NL Pennant
TBR 2010   32
-12   240 138 102  96-66   Division Champ
NYY 1998   34
-10   288 187 101 114-48  WS Champ
NYY 1937   27
-17   248 151  97 102-52  WS Champ
CHW 1994   27
-17   290 193  97  67-46   strike
OAK 2014   28
-16   235 140  95  28-16   
BOS 1946   35
-9    249 154  95 104-50  AL Pennant
CLE 1948   31
-13   260 165  95  97-58   WS Champ
NYY 1953   33
-11   265 170  95  99-52   WS Champ
CIN 1976   27
-17   267 172  95 102-60  WS Champ 
   11. dr. scott Posted: May 19, 2014 at 07:35 PM (#4709803)
So for teams with a positive 95 differential at this time there is a 100% chance of going to the world series, and an 80% chance of winning. Ill take that.

Good thing the A's did not get 2 more as then it would be a 50% chance of a strike...
   12. Fred Lynn Nolan Ryan Sweeney Agonistes Posted: May 20, 2014 at 12:32 AM (#4709942)
Jeez, the 1921 Indians started off 30-14 and finished at 94-60... but they never got more than 4 games up on the Yankees, ended up 4 back.
The A's and White Sox were really bad then. The Indians went 15-7 against both, but the White Sox were the only team over .500 against the Yankees.
The White Sox pitcher Red Faber won 4 of his 5 starts against the Yankees that year, also had a save against them. (bless you, Sean Forman, wherever you are)

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