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Monday, September 17, 2012

Baer: Despite RBIs, Ryan Howard’s 2012 One to Forget

Get ‘em on, Get ‘em over and Get ‘em insignificant!

Ryan Howard went 1-for-4 with two more runs batted in yesterday as the Phillies dropped the series finale in Houston, a disappointment in their chase for the National League’s second Wild Card spot. Howard’s RBI total on the season moved up to 46 in just 61 games and 253 plate appearances. In a full season, that would put him on pace for over 120 RBI, a threshold we had gotten used to seeing Howard cross in the past. However, as usual, the RBI statistic is painting a very inaccurate picture of a player’s actual offensive contributions.

All of the signs point to a dramatic decline for Howard, some of which was to be expected after returning from his Achilles injury — some would argue too soon. Howard is walking at the lowest rate of his career, striking out at the highest rate of his career, and hitting for the least amount of power in his career.

...2012 was the first year of Howard’s monstrous five-year, $125 million contract, and it has been a disaster, though not entirely Howard’s fault — his Achilles injury can certainly be classified in the “freak injury” bin. Still, the Phillies still owe him $105 million and he turns 33 years old in November, both numbers that are now too high for their liking. In the likely event the Phillies are making golf plans in October, perhaps the five-month reprieve will allow Howard ample time to return to full strength for 2013. Otherwise, the Phillies will be left trying to hide him and hoping to dump his contract in an August in a waiver deal as the Boston Red Sox did with Josh Beckett, Carl Crawford, and Adrian Gonzalez several weeks ago.

Repoz Posted: September 17, 2012 at 01:07 PM | 13 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: phillies, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

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   1. I Am Not a Number Posted: September 17, 2012 at 03:31 PM (#4238207)
Man, who saw this coming?
   2. Mike Webber Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:06 PM (#4238270)
Ryan Howard is 6th all-time in RBI for the Phillies,and will likely be 4th by the end of next year. Schmidt is #1 obviously.

1. Schmidt 1595
2. _________ 1288
3. _________ 1124
4. _________ 983
5. _________ 963
6. Howard 910
7. _________ 886
8. _________ 827
9. _________ 814
10 _________ 811

Fire away!
   3. The District Attorney Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:10 PM (#4238278)
Chuck Klein, Greg Luzinski, Del Ennis, Chase Utley and Mike Crudale
   4. SoSH U at work Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:15 PM (#4238285)
Dick Allen?

   5. The Long Arm of Rudy Law Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:19 PM (#4238291)
I would have gotten one (Klein) out of the missing eight. Rollins will move into the top ten early next year.
   6. Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:56 PM (#4238330)
I'm going to agree with Chuck Klein, Del Ennis, and Chase Utley, and add

Richie Ashburn
Granville Hamner
Sherry Magee
Pat Burrell
Bobby Abreu
   7. Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play Posted: September 17, 2012 at 04:58 PM (#4238332)
Wait, Utley's only played for like six full seasons.

Oh well, I can't think of anyone else at the moment. Fred Luderus.
   8. Tom Nawrocki Posted: September 17, 2012 at 05:35 PM (#4238378)
There has to be someone from the '93 team who lasted long enough with the Phils to make this list, right? Darren Daulton or Dave Hollins or someone.
   9. mex4173 Posted: September 17, 2012 at 07:56 PM (#4238509)
Delahanty and Thompson.
   10. Mike Webber Posted: September 17, 2012 at 08:03 PM (#4238515)
1. Schmidt 1595
2. Delahanty 1288
3. Del Ennis 1124
4. Chuck Klein 983
5. Sam Thompson 963
6. Howard 910
7. ___________ 886
8. Pat Burrell 827
9. Bobby Abreu 814
10 Greg Luzinski 811

7 is a contemporary of Delahanty and Thompson.
Pat Burrell was a surprise to me, but he was there awhile.
   11. Super Creepy Derek Lowe (GGC) Posted: September 17, 2012 at 08:20 PM (#4238527)
Billy Hamilton for #7? I doubt it, but that's the only name popping in my head.
   12. Mike Webber Posted: September 17, 2012 at 08:28 PM (#4238530)
not the original sliding Billy Hamilton.
   13. Mike Webber Posted: September 17, 2012 at 08:30 PM (#4238531)
7. Sherry Magee - I see it in Crispix list now. Sorry about that.

1. Schmidt 1595
2. Delahanty 1288
3. Del Ennis 1124
4. Chuck Klein 983
5. Sam Thompson 963
6. Howard 910
7. Magee 886
8. Pat Burrell 827
9. Bobby Abreu 814
10 Greg Luzinski 811

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