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1. Non-Youkilidian Geometry Posted: April 30, 2012 at 07:56 AM (#4119576)Edit: And more to the point, you'd have to separate out NL teams from ML teams in general because of league differences (pitcher hits and what-not), and check BABIP to see if there's a real trend here or if it's just a fluke over 100 AB. This seems like exactly the kind of thing the media get worked up about but could be just an illusion.
In terms of scoring efficiency, defined as baserunners per non HR run scored, the Giants rank only 11th worst out of 30 and only 7th worst out of the 16 MLB teams. It's bad. However, is it as bad as the RISP stats make it out to be?
2012 Baserunner per (non-HR) Run Scored
BR = H-HR+BB+HBP
nHR = R-HR
EDIT: FTFA
Most hitters should have a consistently higher average with RISP relative to their overall average. It's easier to hit for a higher average with RISP, in part because fly balls with a runner on third and less than two outs frequently go from an out to a non-event, while hitting against a drawn-in infield is also going to yield, on average, more hits. And, less obvious, but probably significant, batters who come up in RISP situations may be more likely to be facing pitchers beginning to tire/lose effecttiveness.
Now, hitting with RISP and two outs, which the FA is discussing, is another matter. Teams should, in general, hit about as well as they do in all other situations. My guess is the Giants don't really need to do anything other than hit better. I don't think there's anything inherent in the two-out, RISP situation, or individual player batting tendencies, that should yield better/worse results in two-out, runner-on situations.
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