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Friday, December 07, 2012

Baseball America’s Top 10 Prospects: Texas Rangers

Crazy. Joey Gallo…is that low on the Profaci Profar list?

1. Jurickson Profar, ss
2. Mike Olt, 3b/1b
3. Martin Perez, lhp
4. Leonys Martin, of
5. Justin Grimm, rhp
6. Luke Jackson, rhp
7. Luis Sardinas, ss/2b
8. Cody Buckel, rhp
9. Jorge Alfaro, c/1b
10. Joey Gallo, 3b

Texas also gave a preview of coming attractions by promoting shortstop Jurickson Profar and third baseman Mike Olt from Double-A before the end of the season. Two of the game’s top prospects, neither played much but could carve out regular big league roles in 2013 despite being blocked by all-stars Elvis Andrus and Adrian Beltre at their best positions.

For the third year in a row, the Rangers sacrificed minor league talent during the season to strengthen the big league team. The most significant losses came when they surrendered third baseman Christian Villanueva and righthander Kyle Hendricks to acquire Ryan Dempster from the Cubs at the July deadline.

In years past, trades for Mike Adams, Cliff Lee and Koji Uehara cost the Rangers young players like Blake Beavan, Chris Davis, Robbie Erlin, Tommy Hunter, Justin Smoak and Joe Wieland. That the system continues to thrive even after the defections testifies to the job Texas does scouting at all levels, domestic, international and professional.

Repoz Posted: December 07, 2012 at 05:54 AM | 15 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: prospects, rangers

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   1. BDC Posted: December 07, 2012 at 09:19 AM (#4319320)
It will remain one of the nagging mysteries of the 2012 Rangers: how Martin Perez got three starts in absolutely crucial pennant-race games, losing them all. He had a decent ERA in AAA last year, but a disturbing 56 walks against 69 strikeouts.

Profar, Olt, and Martin all hit for nothing in limited time in the majors last season. The contrast between Profar and the other two, though, was electric. They'd bring Profar in in key situations; he had a few big hits; he batted (and made a hit) in the last inning of the play-in game, with the season fading but still on the line. SSS, but he's much younger than the other two and, in addition to speed, power, and defense, he controls the strike zone better than they do, better (to judge by his AA stats) than a whole lot of prospects, let alone teenagers.

Profar is blocked by Andrus and Olt by Beltre, but all the columnists here in the offseason expect some musical-chairs repositioning in 2013. Best guess is that Profar starts everyday at 2B, with Kinsler at 1B or possibly even the outfield. Unless Olt can win the 1B job, he's not going to play much. I doubt they'd keep him as a RHB platoon 1B with Mitch Moreland, though it would be a creative move if Olt could also be a backup at 3B and SS.
   2. Adam Starblind Posted: December 07, 2012 at 09:24 AM (#4319324)
Can Olt hack a corner outfield spot? He appears to have the bat for it. Blogs are murmuring about an Olt for Dickey deal, but Olt would be even more blocked at 3B in NY than he is in Tex.
   3. Justin T is planting accountability seeds Posted: December 07, 2012 at 09:51 AM (#4319338)
Perez is like baseball's Jake Locker. No matter how long the guy goes just being so-so, he remains a darling of scouts.
   4. just plain joe Posted: December 07, 2012 at 09:53 AM (#4319341)
I would hate to see the Rangers play Profar at 2B. I don't know what the answer is to get him in the lineup along with Andrus, but IMHO playing him at second would needlessly expose him to injury. Perhaps the answer is to move either Andrus or Profar to CF, with the other playing SS (I'm assuming that Hamilton does not get resigned in this scenario).
   5. BDC Posted: December 07, 2012 at 10:00 AM (#4319349)
Olt for Dickey would be Justin Smoak for Cliff Lee, 2.0. Olt has power and a .390 minor-league OBP and is 24. Smoak has power and had a .400 minor-league OBP and was 23 when traded. It's not like such prospects are plentiful, but they still seem to have an uncertain path to actually becoming any good in the major leagues. I don't know about Olt in the outfield; he isn't particularly fast.
   6. Adam Starblind Posted: December 07, 2012 at 10:15 AM (#4319358)
Smoak though didn't show as much power as Olt has in the minors. And, you know, Dickey's not as good as Cliff Lee.
   7. Spivey Posted: December 07, 2012 at 10:19 AM (#4319362)
Profar has played some 2B in the minors. I think if the Rangers get rid of MY, Profar could be a good utility type playing some 3B, SS, and 2B. It also gives the Ranger some time on figuring out what they want to do with Andrus and Kinsler.

Olt is supposed to be a pretty solid 3B defender, so I do think it is a bit of a waste to have him be an outfielder.

I'll be disappointed if the Rangers play Hamilton in CF, even if they do resign him. I'd like them to give Gentry a crack at a pretty full time role after the last couple of years, and have Martin waiting in the wings as well.
   8. zonk Posted: December 07, 2012 at 10:20 AM (#4319363)
I wonder where Villanueva would have ranked on this list... I like him an awful lot and I think he was Theo's best acquisition last year.

FWIW - and maybe I'm crazy - but if I could trade my team's system for anyone else's -- I think I'd want the Rangers' system. I think they've got a really, really nice mix of talent all over the diamond, a nice mix of ceiling/performance types, advanced/raw talent, etc.
   9. Walt Davis Posted: December 07, 2012 at 04:43 PM (#4319689)
The easiest solution to the Profar "problem" is to trade Andrus. You'd get a lot for him. It's certainly a nice problem to have. Barring a trade, in the ruthless world, I'd keep Profar in the minors long enough to keep him from having a service year at the end of this year, possibly long enough to keep him from super 2 if the team is going well. This would give you a bit more time to evaluate whether Kinsler bounces back, Gentry can handle a full-time gig, whether whatever 1B/LF/RF/DH mix you've come up with is working, etc.
   10. Nasty Nate Posted: December 07, 2012 at 06:25 PM (#4319758)
The easiest solution to the Profar "problem" is to trade Andrus. You'd get a lot for him. It's certainly a nice problem to have. Barring a trade, in the ruthless world, I'd keep Profar in the minors long enough to keep him from having a service year at the end of this year, possibly long enough to keep him from super 2 if the team is going well.


I know this type of thing is almost never done, but it would be interesting if they traded Profar for another team's OF or SP prospect. It would have to be a blue-chipper obviously.
   11. Eugene Freedman Posted: December 08, 2012 at 01:41 PM (#4319976)
Joey Gallo. I said Joey Callo. With a C. Joey Gallo is dead.
   12. Dan Posted: December 08, 2012 at 02:06 PM (#4319990)
Looks like Young to the Phillies is a done deal.
   13. Dock Ellis on Acid Posted: December 08, 2012 at 02:11 PM (#4319995)
The Rangers will kick in $10M, and Young gets an extra $1.2M for waiving his no-trade. Josh Lindblom and minor leaguer Lisalverto Bonilla will go to Texas.
   14. Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play Posted: December 08, 2012 at 02:19 PM (#4319997)
Before the trade: Phillies have a first baseman making $20M who is utterly worthless against lefties.

After the trade: Phillies have a two-headed first baseman making $27M who can hit both lefties and righties quite well.

That's my rose-tinted view. Time to go do some work.
   15. Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play Posted: December 08, 2012 at 02:29 PM (#4320005)
I found ironclad evidence that Young will be platooning with Howard: incumbent Phillies 3B Kevin Frandsen is excited about the deal.

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