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Tuesday, February 07, 2012

BASN: The MLB FRAUD - Oakland, Los Angeles, and New York

Straight from the riveting pages of The Beane Eaters comes…

The jig is up for Major League Baseball, just ask the cities of New York, New York, Los Angeles, and Oakland, California.

The con game is over and the cover is being lifted. MLB wants fans to attend games with minor league players on the field. MLB wants fans to buy their team’s products, and to watch inferior baseball.

The question should be asked, why do fans of the New York Metropolitans, the Oakland Athletics or the Los Angeles Dodgers support their teams?

It seems odd or a coincidence that these teams have a competitor across town to compete for the same fans. Teams that have owned or will own the city. The New York Yankees dominate the Big Apple, the San Francisco Giants own the Bay Area. With the new star first baseman and National League all star Albert Pujols joining the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. You can bet Southern California fans will be flocking to Orange County and leaving Chavez Ravine.

...What is troubling, other teams are now following the Money Ball method of running a baseball team. With Commissioner Bud Selig’s wishes. Baseball continues to slide down the American popularity poll.

...Baseball fans have to take it into their own hands and not attend games of the New York Mets, Oakland A’s, and Los Angeles Dodgers to make their message clear. Put a product on the field that can compete for a division title.

 

Repoz Posted: February 07, 2012 at 07:18 AM | 52 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: athletics, business, history, media, projections, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

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Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Tim Stauffer, Trot Nixon's Coming (Dan Lee) Posted: February 07, 2012 at 07:59 AM (#4055272)
Baseball fans have to take it into their own hands and not attend games of the New York Mets, Oakland A’s, and Los Angeles Dodgers to make their message clear. Put a product on the field that can compete for a division title.

Yeah, it's awful the way the Dodgers have only played in two of the past four NL Championship Series. It's unconscionable that MLB would ask people to pay money for that.
   2. Something Other Posted: February 07, 2012 at 08:21 AM (#4055277)
"A product" on the field? I don't watch "a product".

Also, I watch baseball because classical ballet bores me.
   3. Long John McCaine Mutiny on the Bounty (scott) Posted: February 07, 2012 at 08:52 AM (#4055282)
Has this guy never heard of Pittsburgh?
   4. AROM Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:06 AM (#4055285)
Dodgers are a minor league team. I mean, they had all winter and couldn't even come up with a better outfielder than Matt Kemp.
   5. Greg (U)K Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:13 AM (#4055286)
Dodgers are a minor league team. I mean, they had all winter and couldn't even come up with a better outfielder than Matt Kemp.

Not to mention the best pitcher they could scrounge up is Clayton Kershaw. Call me when that team gets some REAL talent.
   6. bobm Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:23 AM (#4055288)
The question should be asked, why do fans of the New York Metropolitans... support their teams?


Because the Highlanders won't move to NY for another 20 years or so?

http://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/NYP/?mobile=false
   7. Bob Meta-Meusel Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:45 AM (#4055297)
The sky is falling! The sky is falling!
   8. Double-Spin Mechanic Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:51 AM (#4055302)
Has this guy never heard of Pittsburgh?


This guy's never even heard of complete sentences.

I also thought Chicago had two teams, but if his exhaustive research didn't confirm it, I just don't believe it.

I made the mistake of clicking through. Oh, my.
   9. akrasian Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:05 AM (#4055309)
Yeah, it's awful the way the Dodgers have only played in two of the past four NL Championship Series. It's unconscionable that MLB would ask people to pay money for that.

Yeah, but they haven't had a winning record since 2011!
   10. ColonelTom Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:14 AM (#4055313)
Of two teams in a city, one is better than the other! Oh noes!
   11. RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:17 AM (#4055316)
I will not rest until every team finishes with a winning record.
   12. depletion Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:20 AM (#4055318)
Baseball fans have to take it into their own hands and not attend games of the New York Mets...


eat me
   13. Tim Stauffer, Trot Nixon's Coming (Dan Lee) Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:25 AM (#4055319)
I will not rest until every team finishes with a winning record.
Oh hell. Expansion to Lake Wobegon, here we come.
   14. gef the talking mongoose Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:27 AM (#4055323)
The jig


Racist!
   15. UCCF Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:43 AM (#4055342)
What, no discussion of how MLB allows this only in cities with large black populations as a way to keep inner-city black youths from getting interested in baseball, thus driving down the percentage of black players in MLB?

BASN is losing its touch.
   16. The Long Arm of Rudy Law Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:30 PM (#4055489)
If these revolutionary ideas catch on, winning teams will generally have better attendance than losing teams.
   17. Tripon Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:32 PM (#4055495)
Not to rain on your snark parade, but the Dodgers had their biggest drop in attendance this year in a decade. People stayed away.
   18. Jose Can You Seabiscuit Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:45 PM (#4055512)
The Dodgers, Mets and Athletics are all teams in bad situations for one reason or another. This guy is right that those teams need to improve themselves both on the field and in the public perception to improve their business model.

That doesn't change the fact that he is more wrong than right. Given that MLB is a zero sum game on the field it is almost impossible for all 30 teams to be thriving. The business as a whole seems to be succeeding and his claim that MLB is "has slipped to the number four slot in major sports" is just spectacularly wrong.

The A's are a legitimate concern. The Dodgers and Mets have inherent advantages that should allow them, with competent, non-crooked ownership, to improve their status fairly quickly.
   19. Double-Spin Mechanic Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:48 PM (#4055516)
Not to rain on your snark parade, but the Dodgers had their biggest drop in attendance this year in a decade. People stayed away.


Except for the 2.9 million who didn't.

If that constitutes people "staying away", what are the 19 teams below them going to do? Is there a Groupon for MLB payroll?
   20. billyjack Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:50 PM (#4055519)
I will not rest until every team finishes with a winning record.

Reminds me of the NHL standings. Hockey separates "losses in regulation" from "overtime/shootout losses". So a quick look at 8th place (last playoff spot) Minnesota shows them at 25-19, but with their OT losses they are in reality 25-27. Only one team (Columbus) appears to be more than 6 games under-500.

Also, wins aren't separated out... so 11 teams are 11+ games over-500.
   21. Tripon Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:59 PM (#4055528)

Except for the 2.9 million who didn't.

If that constitutes people "staying away", what are the 19 teams below them going to do? Is there a Groupon for MLB payroll?


The Dodgers lost over half a million in attendance from one year. People stayed away. And the place to get cheap tickets is stubhub, duh.
   22. cardsfanboy Posted: February 07, 2012 at 12:59 PM (#4055531)
Not to rain on your snark parade, but the Dodgers had their biggest drop in attendance this year in a decade. People stayed away.


but it had nothing to do with the Dodgers fielding a minor league team, it had to do with a ton of other issues surrounding the team.
   23. Gotham Dave Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:00 PM (#4055533)
his claim that MLB is "has slipped to the number four slot in major sports"
Oh, man, I wasn't about to actually read the article, so I'm glad you shared this gem. Wouldn't have wanted to miss it. Putting the actually-financially-struggling NBA ahead of MLB isn't anything new, but the NHL? Awesome.

Eckstein's First Rule of Entropy: No matter how popular baseball is, it's always getting less popular at any given moment in time. (dB/dt < 0 for -?<t<?)
   24. Poster Nutbag Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:04 PM (#4055538)
Oh hell. Expansion to Lake Wobegon, here we come.


".....and all the players are above average"

The Guy Noir's?
   25. Poster Nutbag Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:07 PM (#4055540)
The A's are a legitimate concern. The Dodgers and Mets have inherent advantages that should allow them, with competent, non-crooked ownership, to improve their status fairly quickly.


Yep. They never even tried, rotten A's. If they'd just offer guys like Beltre, Furcal, etc contracts, it would change EVERYTHING. It has everything to do with the owner, nothing AT ALL to do with the shitty city, the inability to draw FA's and Fans alike or any other factors. It is 100% the owner trying to destroy the team.


(Conspiracy theries get old when they hold absolutely NO water....)
   26. Tripon Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:22 PM (#4055564)
It doesn't help when the current owners declare what a #### stain their current stadium is. Why would you want to go to a game where the local team takes no pride in playing at?
   27. BochysFingers Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:30 PM (#4055580)
I will not rest until every team finishes with a winning record.

Reminds me of the NHL standings. Hockey separates "losses in regulation" from "overtime/shootout losses". So a quick look at 8th place (last playoff spot) Minnesota shows them at 25-19, but with their OT losses they are in reality 25-27. Only one team (Columbus) appears to be more than 6 games under-500.

Also, wins aren't separated out... so 11 teams are 11+ games over-500.


Let's do that for games that go extra innings!
   28. Double-Spin Mechanic Posted: February 07, 2012 at 01:44 PM (#4055600)
The Dodgers lost over half a million in attendance from one year. People stayed away.


Just Manny being Gone-y
   29. Ted Williams Carlos Williams Posted: February 07, 2012 at 02:24 PM (#4055646)
17 -- Why go to the Stadium when you can sit at home and listen to Vin do the play by play?
   30. Tripon Posted: February 07, 2012 at 02:28 PM (#4055651)

17 -- Why go to the Stadium when you can sit at home and listen to Vin do the play by play?


But they play Vin Scully in the latrines of Dodger Stadium!
   31. akrasian Posted: February 07, 2012 at 02:29 PM (#4055654)
The Dodgers lost over half a million in attendance from one year. People stayed away.

Yes, there was a brutal, very well publicized assault on opening day in the parking lot, with it getting publicity all season long. That wasn't the only cause of the attendance dip - but it was a major cause of it. Add in the ownership saga and that would explain the dip.
   32. Bob Evans Posted: February 07, 2012 at 03:07 PM (#4055694)
nothing AT ALL to do with the shitty city

Since Oakland got a franchise:

Oakland - 6 WS appearances
Mets - 4
Dodgers - 5

Edit: can't believe I forgot one.
   33. The DA Baracus Hypothesis Posted: February 07, 2012 at 03:17 PM (#4055708)
The more important question is why is Repoz still linking to BASN? Besides the reason being "it's low hanging fruit."
   34. Shredder Posted: February 07, 2012 at 04:45 PM (#4055808)
Poor punctuation aside....
With the new star first baseman and National League all star Albert Pujols joining the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. You can bet Southern California fans will be flocking to Orange County
Yes.
and leaving Chavez Ravine.
No.
   35. bads85 Posted: February 07, 2012 at 06:02 PM (#4055875)
Except for the 2.9 million who didn't.

If that constitutes people "staying away", what are the 19 teams below them going to do? Is there a Groupon for MLB payroll?


That 2.9 million in attendance was paid attendance. Much of that were tickets being snatched up by those anticipitating a strong secondary market when single games went on sale. That market absolutely collapsed. By the end of the season, the Dodgers were up to 65-75% no show rates. Sure, the Dodgers received the money from those intial sales, but lost out on concessions and parking. Most importantly, the steep decline in people actually going to the games is a better indicator of future sales. Season ticket drops for 2012 have been steep.
   36. bads85 Posted: February 07, 2012 at 06:06 PM (#4055881)
but it had nothing to do with the Dodgers fielding a minor league team, it had to do with a ton of other issues surrounding the team.


It most certainly had a lot to do with the mediocre team on the field -- sure, there were other extrinsic fators -- the McCourt divorce and the Stow beating, but the team tanked early, and people stayed away. Had the Dodgers been playing well, much of the McCourt fiasco would have been ignored in terms of showing up art the park.
   37. Ron J Posted: February 07, 2012 at 08:31 PM (#4055995)
#31 I'd argue that there was no reason for a casual fan to think the team would be any good, and that had more to do with the loss of attendance than anything else.

I mean now we know that Dee Gordon would be a useful player, that Kershaw would take the next step forward and that Kemp would be the best position player in the NL. But it's not hard to imagine a scenario where they're Mariners South is it?

I'd have been surprised if they hadn't taken an attendance hit.
   38. phredbird Posted: February 07, 2012 at 08:50 PM (#4056000)
The Dodgers lost over half a million in attendance from one year. People stayed away. And the place to get cheap tickets is stubhub, duh.


i offered you a free ticket to go to a game and you stood me up! this was your fault!

;)
   39. Tripon Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:01 PM (#4056005)
phredbird, Las Vegas was calling that weekend! :)
   40. bads85 Posted: February 07, 2012 at 09:19 PM (#4056010)
I'd argue that there was no reason for a casual fan to think the team would be any good, and that had more to do with the loss of attendance than anything else.


Plus, the team was ungodly boring the first half.
   41. base ball chick Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:09 PM (#4056036)
now imagine you're an astros fan and your outfielders are justin ruggiano, travis buck, jack cust and brad snyder

and your ace pitcher is j happ

cain't wait - the dodgers are gonna look like the 06 cards compared to us
   42. Cooper Nielson Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:24 PM (#4056043)
It most certainly had a lot to do with the mediocre team on the field -- sure, there were other extrinsic fators -- the McCourt divorce and the Stow beating, but the team tanked early, and people stayed away. Had the Dodgers been playing well, much of the McCourt fiasco would have been ignored in terms of showing up art the park.

Obviously the team's mediocrity and boringness had something to do with the attendance drop, but the Dodgers DID finish over .500 with a better record and higher finish than they had in 3 of the previous 6 years (including 2010). But they never had an attendance drop this big. So I'm not sure how much the on-field mediocrity had to do with it.
   43. Vaux, A.B.D. Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:43 PM (#4056050)
cain't wait - the dodgers are gonna look like the 06 cards compared to us


The Dodgers are going to win one more game than the Astros?
   44. OCD SS Posted: February 07, 2012 at 10:52 PM (#4056051)
Is there a Groupon for MLB payroll?


I believe it's commonly referred to as "the new CBA."
   45. YR Denies Jesus Montero Posted: February 08, 2012 at 12:02 AM (#4056094)
That 2.9 million in attendance was paid attendance. Much of that were tickets being snatched up by those anticipitating a strong secondary market when single games went on sale.


I though the NL only counted actual clicks of the turnstile in recording attendance. Is that no longer the case?
   46. bobm Posted: February 08, 2012 at 02:24 AM (#4056139)
[45] NL has counted ticket sales, like the AL did, since 1993.
   47. Dan Evensen Posted: February 08, 2012 at 06:14 AM (#4056155)
Those who did not read TFA are missing all the low hanging fruit:

Baseball still does not get it and with these three struggling teams they never will. Remember the Kansas City Royals and Pittsburgh Pirates are still climbing out of the cellars of both leagues. Without the help of MLB. Royal and Pirate fans have had to endure 30 or more years of sub par baseball. Now MLB has added three more teams to this list.

I remember how awful the Royals were in the 1980s. It reminds me of how bad the Pirates were in the early 1990s.

However, this part makes me want to subscribe to his newsletter:

Bud Selig, Number 31, the Commissioner of Baseball, received a two year extension on his contract. This permits another two years of owners granting their own selfish wishes.
   48. Ron J Posted: February 08, 2012 at 06:29 AM (#4056156)
#42 Thing is that as best I can tell, perception of team quality is about twice as important as actual team quality in explaining attendance. It's more complicated than the previous year's winning percentage, but the only other marker that was positive was the 2009 playoff run and that's a fairly weak factor)

Marginal attendance is pretty much all about the bandwagon fans. Maybe these guys will want to come out this year to see Kemp or Kershaw (color me doubtful. Very few players have a significant impact on attendance beyond their contribution to team wins. You can pitch a player successfully if the team's successful but a promotion that boils down to, "We're nothing special but come and watch Matt Kemp" isn't likely to work all that well.), but they had no real reason to be optimistic about Kemp going into 2011.

The other thing to note is that not all wins are created equal. There's very little difference in terms of revenue or attendance between 80 or 82 wins. In terms of either revenue or attendance one extra nice day is probably worth more than those 2 wins. (Yeah, I know. It Never Rains In Southern California)

   49. bobm Posted: February 08, 2012 at 09:00 AM (#4056186)
[48] Very few players have a significant impact on attendance beyond their contribution to team wins.

Maybe during the season that is the case. However, off-season free agent signings would seem to affect advance ticket sales greatly.
   50. salajander Posted: February 08, 2012 at 11:43 PM (#4056927)
Eckstein's First Rule of Entropy: No matter how popular baseball is, it's always getting less popular at any given moment in time. (dB/dt < 0 for -?<t<?)


Brilliant.
   51. SoSHially Unacceptable Posted: February 09, 2012 at 01:57 AM (#4056966)
The other thing to note is that not all wins are created equal. There's very little difference in terms of revenue or attendance between 80 or 82 wins. In terms of either revenue or attendance one extra nice day is probably worth more than those 2 wins. (Yeah, I know. It Never Rains In Southern California)


I would imagine that as far as attendance goes, the distribution of those wins is also important. In 2010, the Dodgers were 12 games over .500 in June (building and maintaining a sense of optimism for the first few months) then fell to their eventual landing spot, while the 2011 Dodgers were 14 games below .500 in July, then rallied to 82 wins. The former scenario has got to be better for attendance than the latter.
   52. Ron J Posted: February 09, 2012 at 07:15 AM (#4056991)
#49 Yeah. Best I can tell free agent signings function as extremely effective advertising. You might get back as much as 80% of what you pay your biggest signing (first year only though -- and it's really not as simple as that) in increased revenue.

#51 Plausible. It does make intuitive sense that the play in the early part of the season should carry disproportionate weight. Never broken it down that way, but I'm aware of some surprise teams who were drawing much better in the later part of the season.

Takes a while for the bandwagon fans to get on board -- and no time at all for them to leave.

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