Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand
Thursday, November 29, 2012
I think I did do this in Strat-O-Matic and .850 is about what happened.
To look at the question of how All-star teams would perform I used Teams-on-Paper estimates for the starting lineups in the 1980-84 all-star games. (using the first four starting pitchers who appeared and the last reliever for the staff). League average scores are around 200 with the best teams ever at slightly over 300. The all-star teams scores ranged from 271 to 357 and the predicted won-lost based on these scores were 96-66 to 122-40. The average number of projected wins was 110.5 (standard deviation 7.62) , a .682 W-L percentage.
Thanks. I think you’re getting close to the reasons for my skepticism about teams playing .850 baseball.
It may be that you could make Strat-o-Matic cards after the season, pick the best card at each position, and THAT team would play .850 baseball. But this is because the season is not long enough to grind all of the randomness out of the statistics; therefore, some players in each season appear to be better than they are. There are a handful of players in the league who are legitimate .310 hitters; one of those hits .340, one of them hits .330. If you pick and choose after the fact, you can make an .850 team—but choosing real players before the fact, the best players would not play at that level.
Hey, Bill, I’m reading “Popular Crime” and I was comparing/contrasting the proposition of the economic class strife of the early 20th Century as it would have applied to baseball at the time. I suppose that same economic stress would have contributed to the Black Sox scandal during the 1919 World Series and would be a major reason gambling on baseball was such a concern during that time?
Absolutely, yes. The Betting Scandals of that era are very directly connected to the tension between rich and poor that was dividing the country in that time. The only reason I didn’t make that point in the book was that I chose to write that book with no reference to baseball—even to the point of repeatedly scouring the manuscript for phrases like “out in left field” or “made a big hit” that might be taken as baseball references.
Bill, Sad news today with the announcement of Marvin Miller`s death. In your opinion, where`s his place in MLB history ? It certainly is a shame that he doesn`t yet have a spot at Cooperstown…
And has told his friends in no uncertain terms that if the Hall of Fame tries to elect him postumously, they are to be told “No, thanks.” Some people are bigger than their awards. Babe Ruth doesn’t need to be in the Hall of Fame; the Hall of Fame needs to honor Babe Ruth to make the Hall of Fame look bigger. To me, Marvin’s on that level. He is too big for it to be relevant whether the Hall of Fame likes him or not…
I knew Marvin fairly well, knew his late wife as well. We have close friends in common, and when I got to New York I would often have lunch or dinner with Marvin and Allen Barra.
You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.
: Ex-Cubs phenom Prior retires at 33
(50 - 8:39pm, Dec 10)
Last: Home Run Teal & Black Black Black Gone!Newsblog
: [OTP-Dec 2013] Toronto Sun: Politics, baseball and Star Trek 2
(886 - 8:38pm, Dec 10)Last:
The Good FaceHall of Merit
: Curt Schilling
(41 - 8:36pm, Dec 10)
Last: Dr. ChaleekoNewsblog
: OT: NFL/NHL thread
(4560 - 8:35pm, Dec 10)Last:
PASTE Thinks This Trout Kid Might Be OK (Zeth)Newsblog
: Tennessean: Nashville Sounds' new ballpark on track for final approval
(5 - 8:31pm, Dec 10)
Last: PASTE Thinks This Trout Kid Might Be OK (Zeth)Newsblog
: D-Backs To Acquire Trumbo In Three-Team Trade With Angels, White Sox
(39 - 8:26pm, Dec 10)
Last: A New LeafNewsblog
: Former White Sox great Jack McDowell seeks return to baseball
(16 - 8:07pm, Dec 10)
: Colorado Rockies acquire pitcher Brett Anderson from A's | MLB.com
(9 - 8:00pm, Dec 10)
Last: guajolote2Hall of Merit
: 2014 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(188 - 7:46pm, Dec 10)Last:
Willie Mays HayesNewsblog
: Schultz: Bisher deserving but falls short of Spink Award
(35 - 7:38pm, Dec 10)
Last: Howie MenckelNewsblog
: Wuerz: Albert Pujols makes eye-opening comments about the Cardinals
(35 - 7:19pm, Dec 10)
Last: Jay ZNewsblog
: Olympics in Future For Baseball, Softball?
(5 - 7:18pm, Dec 10)
: OT: The Soccer Thread, December 2013
(454 - 6:54pm, Dec 10)Last:
: 2013 Winter Meetings OMNICHATTER
(158 - 6:16pm, Dec 10)Last:
: Calcaterra: Jonah Keri, Dave Brown and David Schoenfield admitted to the BBWAA
(6 - 6:13pm, Dec 10)
Last: bob gee