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Friday, November 16, 2012

Boston, Give Nick Swisher A Second Chance - Over the Monster

If he’ll take three years at $36 million, I’d say yes. Anything more…pass.

The Yankees aren’t re-signing Swisher because they’re on an austerity kick so as to get their payroll down to $189 million by 2014 and also because he’s difficult to evaluate. Rumors during the season suggested he’d be in pursuit of a Jayson Werth contract (seven years, $126 million). Now, Swisher is good, and he doesn’t have Werth’s injury problems or inconsistency (nor his defensive abilities), but that doesn’t mean he’s worth duplicating Mike Rizzo’s notorious overpay. Swisher will turn 32 later this month. Unlike Werth, he’s slow now, and his defense, though presently acceptable, won’t stay that way forever. His selectivity and power should continue to serve him well as he ages, but as a hitter with “old players’ skills,” his batting average likely won’t survive the transition into baseball’s version of old age. If you sign him to a long-term contract, what do you do when, a year or two in, you have a 33-year-old, .230-hitting DH who is being paid $8 or $10 million a year? Whether Swisher is ultimately a good buy or not depends on his flexibility in terms of years.

Jim Furtado Posted: November 16, 2012 at 08:09 AM | 10 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: nick swisher, red sox, yankees

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   1. Bug Selig Posted: November 16, 2012 at 08:20 AM (#4304079)
7 years, $126mil isn't "$8 or $10 million per year." It is $8 PLUS $10 million per year.

This would be one of the rare cases where a GM shouldn't even return an agent's call.
   2. SG Posted: November 16, 2012 at 09:08 AM (#4304100)
I don't think I'd go over four years for Swisher. But I think he'll get five from someone.

And I don't think he's worth anything close to $18M per year. I'd maybe do 4/$50M.

edit: I should also add that I don't think he has to move to DH if his fielding in the OF declines significantly. He played a solid 1B this year and could probably handle that into his mid-to-late 30s.
   3. Adam Starblind Posted: November 16, 2012 at 09:26 AM (#4304114)
7 years, $126mil isn't "$8 or $10 million per year." It is $8 PLUS $10 million per year.

I mean isn't there ... what about ... what about Obama?
   4. Jose Is The Most Absurd Thing on the Site Posted: November 16, 2012 at 09:42 AM (#4304134)
No nick Swisher please. I think he's going to bust pretty quickly on his next deal.
   5. eddieot Posted: November 16, 2012 at 01:50 PM (#4304394)
Please, please sign him Boston. Get him off the market before Ruben Amaro does something stupid.
   6. valuearbitrageur Posted: November 16, 2012 at 01:53 PM (#4304396)
Can't the Sox finish 4th without Swisher?
   7. ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick Posted: November 16, 2012 at 02:13 PM (#4304422)
Can't the Sox finish 4th without Swisher?

Yeah, the Blue Jays haven't done much in the offseason to worry about.
   8. just plain joe Posted: November 16, 2012 at 02:35 PM (#4304454)
No nick Swisher please. I think he's going to bust pretty quickly on his next deal.

Nick Swisher has Chicago Cubs written all over him.
   9. Walt Davis Posted: November 16, 2012 at 04:29 PM (#4304584)
Nick Swisher has Chicago Cubs written all over him.

Not likely. Soriano in LF, DeJesus in RF, Rizzo at 1B. DeJesus could move to CF but Soriano/DeJesus/Swisher is not a good OF. And Theo is pretty clearly trying to maintain financial flexibility.

I won't rule it out as he kinda needs to sign somebody on offense and there are no 3B out there ... and he can probably trade DeJesus somewhere.

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