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1. Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer Posted: November 10, 2012 at 12:49 PM (#4299532)Farrell apparently loves working with Ross. Ross apparently is loved by his teammates in Atlanta for being a great clubhouse guy, a joker, a mentor, etc.
It strikes me that the move here is to have Ross start half the games, have Lavarnway start half the games at catcher, have Lavarnway spell Ortiz at DH, and play some games at 1B, too.
According to Baseball Analytics (http://www.baseballanalytics.org/baseball-analytics-blog/2012/11/10/pull-happy-ross-heads-to-fenway.html), Ross is an extreme pull hitter, and the short LF wall could translate into a lot of cheap doubles and HRs.
I think I like the move - but this is clearly a small part of a bigger idea.
The Sox can trade either Salty or Lavarnway. This doesn't lock them into either move, but they're pretty much certain to trade one of them.
On most teams, probably. On this team, I don't see a solution that is all that much better. If there's a first baseman out there worthy of playing full time, I wouldn't want to have Salty taking playing time away from him.
I think the Sox will sign someone better than Salty as a first baseman between now and April. I think a trade is in the works and my guess is its Lavarnway not Salty who goes.
EDIT: a little less shocked...
Ross is pretty much the ultimate back-up catcher. Despite his age, I think it's a really good sign for Boston on the field and in the clubhouse. The Braves will miss him, especially with McCann still on the mend.
His numbers remind me a bit of Mike Redmond's--he has clearly been good enough to start for the majority of teams, but for whatever reason (bad luck?), he's been stuck in the backup role his whole career.
Age 25-31: 1307 PA, .222/.309/.435, 26 K%, 10 BB%, .213 ISO, 90 OPS+, .257 BABIP
Age 32-35 : 663 PA, .269/.353/.463, 27 K%, 11 BB%, .194 ISO, 119 OPS+, .347 BABIP
I don't know quite where league average is but given the amount of payroll they unloaded in August I won't be surprised if they are down dramatically from where they were.
So yes, I think it's Salty who's going. The Red Sox pitchers don't seem to do well pitching to him and he looks as terrible behind the plate as his numbers say. If he can be dealt for some value, while cutting costs to use elsewhere, this is a good move.
Average is about $100 M; median about 80-85. Presumably both going up with the new TV money.
As to Ross et al, offensively the obvious pairing is Salty and Ross as Salty has hit much better as a LHB in his career and Ross is something of a lefty masher. That's probably also the best combo for short-term success. In terms of money or longer-term success, you got with Ross-Lavarnway of course. Also I don't know that you'll really get much in trade for Lavarnway.
I would project Salty to the Cubs but we've got Castillo, nothing much to trade and sure aren't gonna give up any young talent. The Dodgers might have enough sense not to believe in AJ Ellis and make a logical spot. Maybe the Rangers would like him back or the White Sox if they are done with AJ.
Ross career splits:
Vs RHP: .234/.323/.448
Vs LHP: .244/.325/.438
You'd be hard pressed to find a righty with a lesser platoon split.
vs RHP .253/.312/.415
vs LHP .284/.353/.575
You're not excited about the JC Boscan era?
I don't agree with this. It depends what other moves they have in mind, and are able to execute. If this signing allows them to:
1) trade Salty as part of a deal for something they need, like a first baseman, and OF, etc.;
2) Give Lavarnway legit playing time next year;
3) A well-regarded mentor who can help maximize Lavarnway's future performance, while
4) giving them a catcher who will start 90 games for them this year who is (in a different way) at least as good a hitter as Salty...
well, then, this is a good signing. I think it will end up being a good signing.
If we were talking about any current backup catcher who isn't David Ross, I'd agree with you. But we're not talking about someone who isn't David Ross. This is a good signing.
I wonder if he has the worst runs or hits per letter ever.
David Ross is awesome. I join most Braves fans in loving David Ross and mourning his departure as a fan.
David Ross is also a 35 year old backup catcher.
Other players might be interested in...
Mcgahee...no name but can put in the program been in majors most of the last 3 years.
Kotsay...been making the rounds lately as a guy who can reliably put the cap on the mlb roster smell test...actually tho hasn't been a mlb player for years.
tons others.. Wiggington, Matsui, etc.
no guarantees but 3 mil per should do it.
First and last names or just last?
These would seem to be your "leaders" for RC/surname_letters (min 400 PA):
Bogusevic 34/9
Pennington 39/10
Lombardozzi 45/11
Salty 54/14
Looks like Bogusevic wins by a nose although he had the least PAs of the bunch. Pennington actually had the most PA so you could still argue form him over Salty. Anyway, very very close and we might have to bring in park effects or pancake flops or something to sort it out.
If we take both names, Clifton Pennington is 39/17 and Jarrod S is 54/20 and Pennington wins in a cakewalk at 2.3 RC/letter.
I'm pretty sure the Pirates would happily give you a reliever for him. Anyone in particular you had in mind?
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