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Saturday, May 13, 2017

Bryce Harper agrees to $21.625 million deal with Nats for ‘18

The Washington Nationals have agreed to terms with star right fielder Bryce Harper on a contract for the 2018 season, the team announced Saturday.

Harper will make $21.625 million next season, as first reported by FanRag Sports and confirmed by ESPN.

RoyalsRetro (AG#1F) Posted: May 13, 2017 at 03:48 PM | 18 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: bryce harper, nationals, nats

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   1. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: May 13, 2017 at 03:57 PM (#5454800)
Odd timing.
   2. Captain Supporter Posted: May 13, 2017 at 04:55 PM (#5454834)
Good move by Harper/Boros. Gives him financial security, but also keeps the long term contract available while he is still quite young. The Nats may feel they now have a two year window in which to win a championship, and they can approach the trade deadline with that in mind.

This is also good for Manny Machado, as he will now be the sole available young position player superstar available in 2018.
   3. Dog on the sidewalk Posted: May 13, 2017 at 05:04 PM (#5454848)
Huh? This doesn't alter his FA schedule. He'll still hit the market with Machado, barring an extension.

No real reason not to do this that I can think of, but it still seems mostly pointless to me.
   4. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: May 13, 2017 at 05:05 PM (#5454850)
This is also good for Manny Machado, as he will now be the sole available young position player superstar available in 2018.

Machado entered the 2017 with just 4.056 years of MLB service time (per BBRef) and won't be a free agent until the 2018-19 off-season, same as Harper.

EDIT: Coke to Dog on the sidewalk
   5. Captain Supporter Posted: May 13, 2017 at 05:47 PM (#5454903)
Oh, my error. I thought this gave Harper an extra year with the Nats. If not, I'm offically confused.
   6. Jeff Frances the Mute Posted: May 13, 2017 at 05:48 PM (#5454905)
No real reason not to do this that I can think of, but it still seems mostly pointless to me.


I can see a lot of reasons to do this from Harper's perspective. $21.625 million is a record salary for an arbitration eligible player and probably just a few million less than Harper could expect in arbitration even with a MVP type year in 2017. He gives up something like 15% upside to lock in $50+ million in career earnings before free agency. If I wanted to sign a free agent deal that altered the salary scale in MLB this is just the type of decision I would make.

   7. 6 - 4 - 3 Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:11 PM (#5454926)
Oh, my error. I thought this gave Harper an extra year with the Nats. If not, I'm offically confused.

No, only thing that the Nats really gain is cost certainty with respect to what Harper will make in 2018.

I can see a lot of reasons to do this from Harper's perspective. $21.625 million is a record salary for an arbitration eligible player and probably just a few million less than Harper could expect in arbitration even with a MVP type year in 2017. He gives up something like 15% upside to lock in $50+ million in career earnings before free agency. If I wanted to sign a free agent deal that altered the salary scale in MLB this is just the type of decision I would make.

I don't know that there is really that much upside for Harper. Barring catastrophic injury that would force him to miss all of the 2018 season, it was an absolute certainty that Nats would offer him arbitration for 2018. And given his track record and how arbitration panels consider previous earnings and service time, his arbitration award would have been considerably more than his 2017 salary. If he had a lousy 2017, then he probably would have earned a little less than this contract; if he had a great 2017, then he probably would have earned a little more than this contract. End of the day, the difference between a great 2017 and a lousy 2017 with respect to an arbitration award for 2018 is probably no more than ~$5M (i.e., something like $18M for a lousy 2017 and $23M for a great 2017). $21.625M is a little north of the midpoint of those salary ranges (makes sense given that he's presently on pace for a 10 win season), so small victory for Harper, I guess.
   8. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:16 PM (#5454932)
I don't know that there is really that much upside for Harper. Barring catastrophic injury that would force him to miss all of the 2018 season, it was an absolute certainty that Nats would offer him arbitration for 2018.

So it insures him for $21M against catastrophic injury, giving up very little upside. Seems like it makes a ton of sense for Harper if he's going for the 10/300 deal we all think the Yankees are going to give him.
   9. cardsfanboy Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:19 PM (#5454935)
I think there is an team/surrounding talent appeal...this creates cost certainty for the team, so that they can look at where to spend money in the next couple of years, this eliminates any possibility of a heated arbitration hearing, which neither the player or the team enjoy, and I think it's the first step in long term negotiations, which even if Harper doesn't sign with the Nationals, it helps his agent gather data about what Harpers real market might be instead of just theoretical market.


I am kinda surprised that this didn't include a no trade clause though, not that he is likely to be traded, but it adds value to the contract.
   10. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:34 PM (#5454946)
I am kinda surprised that this didn't include a no trade clause though, not that he is likely to be traded, but it adds value to the contract.

The only way he gets traded is if the Nats are far, far out of contention, in which case Harper would probably welcome a trade to a contender.
   11. cardsfanboy Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:47 PM (#5454950)

The only way he gets traded is if the Nats are far, far out of contention, in which case Harper would probably welcome a trade to a contender.


Not disputing that, the value of a no-trade clause is the ability to reject a trade or 'renegotiate' the pay if it happens... again it's not likely to happen, but it makes the contract more valuable.
   12. ReggieThomasLives Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:56 PM (#5454953)
So it insures him for $21M against catastrophic injury, giving up very little upside. Seems like it makes a ton of sense for Harper if he's going for the 10/300 deal we all think the Yankees are going to give him.


He's not going to that city of sin and decadence. Unless he's planning to just go and see Book of Mormon every night
   13. Ziggy: The Platonic Form of Russell Branyan Posted: May 13, 2017 at 06:57 PM (#5454954)
but it makes the contract more valuable.


That's right, and so if he had one the contract would have been for less than the amount he got.
   14. Bote Man Posted: May 13, 2017 at 08:11 PM (#5454968)
Ken Rosenthal @Ken_Rosenthal
Sources: Harper can add maximum of $1M in bonuses in new Nationals deal - $21.625 guaranteed for 2018. Bonuses include $1M for MVP; $500K 2nd; $250K 3rd; $150K 4th; $100K 5th. Also, $100K each for ASG, Gold Glove, Silver Slugger. Max: $1M.

A Nats analyst who is much smarter than I suggests that this cost certainty allows Rizzo to get a player (reliever/closer) whose contract extends beyond 2017 instead of being limited to a rental for only this season.
   15. The Yankee Clapper Posted: May 13, 2017 at 10:56 PM (#5455003)
Early returns are favorable. Walk off HR.
   16. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 14, 2017 at 11:16 AM (#5455069)
He's not going to that city of sin and decadence. Unless he's planning to just go and see Book of Mormon every night

Because Washington is a paragon of virtue :-)
   17. Bote Man Posted: May 14, 2017 at 06:27 PM (#5455255)
Because Washington is a paragon of virtue :-)

Uhh, D.C. residents have to put up with the scumbags that y'all elect and send here. Make better choices.
   18. snapper (history's 42nd greatest monster) Posted: May 14, 2017 at 08:05 PM (#5455283)
Uhh, D.C. residents have to put up with the scumbags that y'all elect and send here. Make better choices.

When your business is running a whore house, you don't get to complain about the clientele.

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