What does this say for the 2012 Athletics?
How does a baseball team with a bad offense succeed?
The obvious answer is pitching and defense. The common factors that propelled these five teams to the playoffs were great pitching and above-average defense (each team was above-average defensively, except the ‘03 Cubs who were almost exactly average)—as well as a fair amount of luck.
Thus, the formula that would make the 2012 Athletics successful would be to have a good pitching staff, above-average defense, and the ability to outperform their pythagorean record.
They have the good pitching covered, ranking third in ERA- (87) and ninth in FIP- (96). Also their defense ranks first in DE, and sixth when adjusted for park factors. The Athletics lead the majors in walk-off victories (13), which has led many to claim that they’ve had a fair amount of lucky wins so far. Interestingly, Oakland is only outperforming their pythagorean record by a game, and has been only slightly better than their opponents in one-run games, with a record of 18-13 in those contests.
Posted: August 07, 2012 at 11:01 AM | 47 comment(s)
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