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Monday, December 03, 2012
When a player has a breakout home run season at the plate, everyone is interested in analyzing whether the new found power can be sustained into the following season. Likewise, as a player ages, if home run totals drop for a season we sometimes wonder whether his power is truly diminishing or whether to expect a one year valley.
Some metrics that are available that I have both seen used by others and used myself in an effort to form a logical analysis of the potential power of a player include average home run distance as well as average home run plus fly ball distance. It would make sense to me that a player that hits the ball farther, on average, would possess more power and hence could be expected to produce more offensive “power” in the near future. I have never actually seen a study that has tried to investigate just how useful these logical indicators are in actually describing or predicting power.
This study will look at three potential predictors for two outcomes that describe power: HR and ISO. The three predictors are the two mentioned above as well as maximum home run distance. Given that the data involved for this study had to be merged from three sources, I have only examined 2011 and 2012 in this study.
Thanks to FH.
Posted: December 03, 2012 at 06:29 AM | 4 comment(s)
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