Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

BtBS: St. John: How Clutch Are Rookies?

Okay…now where’d I ditch my Bobby “The Boy Wonder” Murcer scrapbook.

Rookies performed better than average in the clutch in 16 of the 39 years represented, although in four of those years the difference is practically zero.

Two years stick out the most in this comparison: 1976 - the worst year for rookies - and 2011, their best year. In ‘76, no players stand out as having particularly bad clutch years. Jerry Mumphrey had the worst year with a -1.76 clutch score in 427 PAs, but that is only 42nd worst out of 1,703 qualifying rookie seasons. Only two people (Butch Hobson and Jim Essian) had a good year and eight had bad years.

2011 was by far the best clutch season for rookies. Six players had good years, seven players were great in the clutch and another seven were bad. No one was absolutely terrible. Who are some of those headlining super clutch rookies of 2011? Rene Tonosi, Michael Martinez, Desmond Jennings, Daniel Descalso, and Josh Harrison.

In the entire data set, four player seasons are worth mentioning in more detail. For all players, 1996 Troy O’Leary had the highest clutch per PA score and 2005 David Ortiz had the highest total clutch score. On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate and 1986 Wally Joyner accumulated the most clutch points.

Summary

As is generally the conclusion when studying clutch: There’s not much measurable skill here. In general, rookies tend to perform worse than average, but a lot of times they do better. The biggest takeaway from this analysis doesn’t even have to do with rookies: the league has not had a positive clutch score since the early 1990s and I think that has a lot to do with relief pitcher specialization.

Repoz Posted: April 16, 2013 at 05:21 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Sweatpants Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:15 AM (#4415432)
On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate
That's right - for almost all of the season, Conrad was thought of as the guy who'd been the best in the clutch for the 2010 Braves. I don't know how many people still think of his 2010 that way, though.
   2. flournoy Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:20 AM (#4415435)
He was frequently referred to as "Clutch Conrad."

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
dirk
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: March-April 2017 Soccer Thread
(178 - 3:30am, Mar 28)
Last: Richard

NewsblogRaul Mondesi wins starting second base job for the Royals
(41 - 3:12am, Mar 28)
Last: Everybody Loves Tyrus Raymond

NewsblogOT - March 2017 NBA thread
(923 - 2:04am, Mar 28)
Last: maccoach57

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 2002 Ballot
(2 - 1:38am, Mar 28)
Last: Moeball

NewsblogBronson Arroyo: "I'm literally about to pull off the impossible"
(10 - 1:33am, Mar 28)
Last: Cargo Cultist

Gonfalon CubsBelated Spring Training Thoughts
(7 - 1:33am, Mar 28)
Last: Moeball

NewsblogBrockmire’ Trailer: “Sybaritic Love Letter To Baseball” Says Hank Azaria
(7 - 1:22am, Mar 28)
Last: cardsfanboy

NewsblogHeyman: Cardinals, Molina Making Big Progress Toward Extension
(9 - 12:46am, Mar 28)
Last: Steve Parris, Je t'aime

NewsblogOTP 27 March 2017: Trump, Healthcare, and the Art of the Botched Deal
(220 - 12:39am, Mar 28)
Last: Gonfalon Bubble

NewsblogTHE B/R Q&A: ROB MANFRED WANTS MLB TO 'OWN THE NEXT GENERATION' OF SPORTS FANS
(27 - 11:39pm, Mar 27)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogTwins' attempt to chart fatigue raises concerns with players union
(20 - 9:31pm, Mar 27)
Last: puck

NewsblogBraves urge fans to plan as traffic test looms with exhibition game
(10 - 8:40pm, Mar 27)
Last: WSPanic

NewsblogOakland A's 'understand' Raiders need to move, remind us they need a new stadium
(3 - 8:23pm, Mar 27)
Last: Bote Man

Hall of MeritMost Meritorious Player: 2002 Discussion
(13 - 8:19pm, Mar 27)
Last: Moeball

NewsblogPrimer Dugout (and link of the day) 3-27-2017
(21 - 7:59pm, Mar 27)
Last: AndrewJ

Page rendered in 0.2400 seconds
47 querie(s) executed