Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

BtBS: St. John: How Clutch Are Rookies?

Okay…now where’d I ditch my Bobby “The Boy Wonder” Murcer scrapbook.

Rookies performed better than average in the clutch in 16 of the 39 years represented, although in four of those years the difference is practically zero.

Two years stick out the most in this comparison: 1976 - the worst year for rookies - and 2011, their best year. In ‘76, no players stand out as having particularly bad clutch years. Jerry Mumphrey had the worst year with a -1.76 clutch score in 427 PAs, but that is only 42nd worst out of 1,703 qualifying rookie seasons. Only two people (Butch Hobson and Jim Essian) had a good year and eight had bad years.

2011 was by far the best clutch season for rookies. Six players had good years, seven players were great in the clutch and another seven were bad. No one was absolutely terrible. Who are some of those headlining super clutch rookies of 2011? Rene Tonosi, Michael Martinez, Desmond Jennings, Daniel Descalso, and Josh Harrison.

In the entire data set, four player seasons are worth mentioning in more detail. For all players, 1996 Troy O’Leary had the highest clutch per PA score and 2005 David Ortiz had the highest total clutch score. On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate and 1986 Wally Joyner accumulated the most clutch points.

Summary

As is generally the conclusion when studying clutch: There’s not much measurable skill here. In general, rookies tend to perform worse than average, but a lot of times they do better. The biggest takeaway from this analysis doesn’t even have to do with rookies: the league has not had a positive clutch score since the early 1990s and I think that has a lot to do with relief pitcher specialization.

Repoz Posted: April 16, 2013 at 05:21 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Sweatpants Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:15 AM (#4415432)
On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate
That's right - for almost all of the season, Conrad was thought of as the guy who'd been the best in the clutch for the 2010 Braves. I don't know how many people still think of his 2010 that way, though.
   2. flournoy Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:20 AM (#4415435)
He was frequently referred to as "Clutch Conrad."

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

News

All News | Prime News

Old-School Newsstand


BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
aleskel
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogJim Palmer on Mark Belanger and Omar Vizquel: The Hardball Times
(86 - 11:40pm, Nov 17)
Last: QLE

Hall of Merit2018 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(239 - 11:33pm, Nov 17)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogOTP 13 November 2017: Politics, race now touching every sport
(1942 - 11:30pm, Nov 17)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

NewsblogOT - NBA 2017-2018 Tip-off Thread
(1391 - 10:34pm, Nov 17)
Last: SPICEY WITH A SIDE OF BEER ON A BABYYYYYYY

NewsblogJudge, Bellinger named BBWAA Rookies of Year | MLB.com
(86 - 9:25pm, Nov 17)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogThe Eric Hosmer Dilemma | FanGraphs Baseball
(19 - 9:02pm, Nov 17)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogStanton, Altuve capture first MVP Awards | MVP
(44 - 8:57pm, Nov 17)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogFangraphs: Let's Make One Thing Absolutely Clear About Aaron Judge
(15 - 8:47pm, Nov 17)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogDerek Jeter addresses Giancarlo Stanton rumors | MLB.com
(24 - 7:38pm, Nov 17)
Last: Khrushin it bro

NewsblogYu Darvish is out to silence his doubters after World Series flop | SI.com
(9 - 7:15pm, Nov 17)
Last: Misirlou doesn't live in the restaurant

Hall of MeritMock 2018 Modern Baseball Committee Hall of Fame Ballot
(72 - 6:47pm, Nov 17)
Last: Jarrod HypnerotomachiaPoliphili (TeddyF.Ballgame)

NewsblogYankees Aiming Lower on the Payroll, but Higher on the Field - The New York Times
(17 - 4:35pm, Nov 17)
Last: Infinite Yost (Voxter)

NewsblogOT - November* 2017 College Football thread
(157 - 4:11pm, Nov 17)
Last: PepTech

NewsblogBraves will lose prospects, and possibly a lot more, for violating international market rules
(47 - 3:12pm, Nov 17)
Last: Rickey! the first of his name

NewsblogRosenthal on latest with Ohtani | MLB.com
(1 - 2:01pm, Nov 17)
Last: ERROR---Jolly Old St. Nick

Page rendered in 0.2729 seconds
47 querie(s) executed