Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

BtBS: St. John: How Clutch Are Rookies?

Okay…now where’d I ditch my Bobby “The Boy Wonder” Murcer scrapbook.

Rookies performed better than average in the clutch in 16 of the 39 years represented, although in four of those years the difference is practically zero.

Two years stick out the most in this comparison: 1976 - the worst year for rookies - and 2011, their best year. In ‘76, no players stand out as having particularly bad clutch years. Jerry Mumphrey had the worst year with a -1.76 clutch score in 427 PAs, but that is only 42nd worst out of 1,703 qualifying rookie seasons. Only two people (Butch Hobson and Jim Essian) had a good year and eight had bad years.

2011 was by far the best clutch season for rookies. Six players had good years, seven players were great in the clutch and another seven were bad. No one was absolutely terrible. Who are some of those headlining super clutch rookies of 2011? Rene Tonosi, Michael Martinez, Desmond Jennings, Daniel Descalso, and Josh Harrison.

In the entire data set, four player seasons are worth mentioning in more detail. For all players, 1996 Troy O’Leary had the highest clutch per PA score and 2005 David Ortiz had the highest total clutch score. On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate and 1986 Wally Joyner accumulated the most clutch points.

Summary

As is generally the conclusion when studying clutch: There’s not much measurable skill here. In general, rookies tend to perform worse than average, but a lot of times they do better. The biggest takeaway from this analysis doesn’t even have to do with rookies: the league has not had a positive clutch score since the early 1990s and I think that has a lot to do with relief pitcher specialization.

Repoz Posted: April 16, 2013 at 05:21 AM | 2 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: history, sabermetrics

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

   1. Sweatpants Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:15 AM (#4415432)
On the rookie side, 2010 Brooks Conrad had the best Clutch rate
That's right - for almost all of the season, Conrad was thought of as the guy who'd been the best in the clutch for the 2010 Braves. I don't know how many people still think of his 2010 that way, though.
   2. flournoy Posted: April 16, 2013 at 08:20 AM (#4415435)
He was frequently referred to as "Clutch Conrad."

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Adam S
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOT: Soccer January 2015
(421 - 7:42pm, Jan 31)
Last: Mefisto

NewsblogOT - Politics January 2015 - Mario Cuomo, New York Governor and Minor League Ballplayer, Dies at 82
(4315 - 7:26pm, Jan 31)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogJohn D'Acquisto Remembers the Late Charlie Williams
(7 - 7:19pm, Jan 31)
Last: Tubbs & Minnie Miñoso don't fear Sid Monge

NewsblogBaseball America: From The BA Archives: The Great Debate
(14 - 6:55pm, Jan 31)
Last: zfan

NewsblogPuig says Cardinals are Dodgers' biggest adversary
(7 - 6:33pm, Jan 31)
Last: Joyful Calculus Instructor

NewsblogIs old school Pat Gillick the right man for his new job?
(42 - 6:07pm, Jan 31)
Last: Baldrick

NewsblogBreaking down MLB.com's Top 100 Prospects | MLB.com
(2 - 5:47pm, Jan 31)
Last: Dog on the sidewalk

NewsblogCuban infielder Moncada clears government hurdle | MLB.com
(4 - 5:24pm, Jan 31)
Last: The Yankee Clapper

NewsblogOT: Monthly NBA Thread - January 2015
(1705 - 4:21pm, Jan 31)
Last: Moses Taylor, Moses Taylor

NewsblogBaseball's Choice: Change or Die | VICE Sports
(39 - 3:01pm, Jan 31)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

NewsblogBILL JAMES ON FIELDING, PART 7
(19 - 2:20pm, Jan 31)
Last: puck

NewsblogPitchfork: Jack White Gets His Own Baseball Card
(260 - 1:40pm, Jan 31)
Last: Baldrick

NewsblogOT: NBC.news: Valve isn’t making one gaming console, but multiple ‘Steam machines’
(1506 - 1:23pm, Jan 31)
Last: JJ1986

NewsblogOT: NFL/NHL thread
(11745 - 1:02pm, Jan 31)
Last: Rob_Wood

NewsblogHow Has BABIP Held Up as Leaguewide Offense Slides Ever Lower? | Banished to the Pen
(40 - 12:57pm, Jan 31)
Last: cercopithecus aethiops

Page rendered in 0.1424 seconds
48 querie(s) executed