Baseball for the Thinking Fan

Login | Register | Feedback

btf_logo
You are here > Home > Baseball Newsstand > Baseball Primer Newsblog > Discussion
Baseball Primer Newsblog
— The Best News Links from the Baseball Newsstand

Saturday, June 28, 2014

BtBS: The Home Run Derby doesn’t affect some types of hitters more

We keep hearing, though, that players whose swings aren’t built for home runs are particularly susceptible to getting out of whack because of a Derby. Is that true? Albert Pujols and Joe Mauer suffered wOBA drops in 2009 (.046 and .027, respectively), and other hitters who aren’t necessarily thought of as power-first guys have made up a pretty big chunk of the group of 40.

Taking the leap that power-first guys are also pull-first guys, I computed the percentage of the time that each of the 40 Derby participants hit the ball to their pull field (“Pull%”), as well as the percentage of the time that they batted the ball to the opposite field (“Oppo%”).

The results: there’s no evidence to suggest that all-fields hitters are more susceptible to a post-Derby slump than pull hitters.

bobm Posted: June 28, 2014 at 10:05 PM | 0 comment(s) Login to Bookmark
  Tags: home run derby, regression to the mean

Reader Comments and Retorts

Go to end of page

Statements posted here are those of our readers and do not represent the BaseballThinkFactory. Names are provided by the poster and are not verified. We ask that posters follow our submission policy. Please report any inappropriate comments.

You must be Registered and Logged In to post comments.

 

 

<< Back to main

BBTF Partner

Support BBTF

donate

Thanks to
Edmundo got dem ol' Kozma blues again mama
for his generous support.

Bookmarks

You must be logged in to view your Bookmarks.

Hot Topics

NewsblogOTP: 28 November 2016: Bud Selig reminisces about 1999 MLB trip to Cuba, meeting Fidel Castro
(1671 - 6:56pm, Dec 03)
Last: You Know Nothing JT Snow (YR)

NewsblogBraves Acquire Jaime Garcia
(21 - 6:55pm, Dec 03)
Last: Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play

NewsblogOT - November* 2016 College Football thread
(487 - 6:54pm, Dec 03)
Last: Lance Reddick! Lance him!

NewsblogHall of Fame: Bud Selig lock for election on Today's Game ballot | SI.com
(18 - 6:54pm, Dec 03)
Last: David Nieporent (now, with children)

NewsblogOT: NBA 2016-17 Preseason Thread
(1132 - 6:48pm, Dec 03)
Last: maccoach57

Newsblog2016 Non-Tender Tracker
(2 - 6:48pm, Dec 03)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogVenezuelan players rally behind Omar Vizquel, threaten WBC boycott
(38 - 6:48pm, Dec 03)
Last: Lance Reddick! Lance him!

NewsblogCubs sign outfielder Jay to 1-year contract
(7 - 6:36pm, Dec 03)
Last: Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play

NewsblogLifetime Achievement Award: Peter Gammons | BaseballAmerica.com
(135 - 6:32pm, Dec 03)
Last: Crispix reaches boiling point with lackluster play

NewsblogD-Backs nontender Wellington Castillo, sign Jeff Mathis
(6 - 6:14pm, Dec 03)
Last: Walt Davis

NewsblogFree-agent catcher Jeff Mathis signs with Diamondbacks
(2 - 6:10pm, Dec 03)
Last: Matt Welch

NewsblogCarlos Beltran agrees to one-year, $16M deal with Astros
(7 - 5:57pm, Dec 03)
Last: Khrushin it bro

Hall of Merit2017 Hall of Merit Ballot Discussion
(155 - 5:41pm, Dec 03)
Last: Dr. Chaleeko

NewsblogColumn: Nationals Must Go For It All To Win With Harper
(1 - 2:57pm, Dec 03)
Last: Jose Remains The Most Absurd Thing on the Site

NewsblogRays pretty much strike out in MLB's new labor deal
(1 - 2:36pm, Dec 03)
Last: Steve Balboni's Personal Trainer

Page rendered in 0.1584 seconds
45 querie(s) executed